不浪漫浮夸

According to a prediction from a predecessor, the first half has come true, and it remains to be seen how the second half will play out. Unfortunately, being stubborn and not believing in the unexpected has led to being swept away by the market. The predictions are roughly as follows:

1. Bitcoin will recently take advantage of the rise of the 'king' and experience an emotional market trend, reaching around 10.5-11.2. Before January 24, leverage should exit, and altcoins should be sold;

2. After Bitcoin reaches 10.5-11.2, it will gain market liquidity and retail sentiment, along with the 'king' taking office and the sentiment solidifying, plus the Federal Reserve not lowering interest rates in the '1+3' months. The price will begin to drop rapidly, stabilizing in the range of 8.0-8.8, collecting cheaper chips and clearing leverage from high positions, consolidating until the end of March to early April;

3. The final wave of the cycle will start at the end of April, accompanied by expectations of two interest rate cuts in the '5+6' months. Bitcoin will start from 8.0-8.8 and rise to 16-18, marking the end of a regular cyclical bull market, around mid-July.

Apart from mainstream coins, don't hold onto hopes for other altcoins and inscriptions this quarter! Wake up... The past is the past, that's called 'sunk cost', don't cling to it. The entire cryptocurrency ecosystem has changed, and liquidity is severely lacking!
We need to reassess and start anew.
Altcoins are in a downward spiral, a vicious cycle, and opportunities for ordinary people in the crypto world are diminishing; it's time to see it clearly, there are no more chances for sudden wealth, only contract gambling, scams, and the altcoin market becoming like A-shares; just thinking about it is terrifying...
What we once hoped for with ETFs, we now realize is the beginning of a nightmare. Before ETFs are approved, Bitcoin is still that big pie in the cryptocurrency blockchain; once ETFs are through, everything changes, it becomes like gold, like the US stock market, and funds will no longer overflow. This is the reality; recently Ethereum has started to gain strength, but altcoins remain stagnant. It is likely that in the future, Ethereum will also follow Bitcoin's path, experiencing an independent trend, completely decoupling from other altcoins. By then, retail investors will likely give up completely. This round might even mark the end of the crypto world, unfortunately, I haven't had the chance to get rich, not yet...
There will be no more four-year cycles in the crypto world, without cycles, the volatility represented by Bitcoin is decreasing, slowly breaking upwards, similar to gold. I really can't accept it... Once again, I missed the dividend period; I blame my cognitive ability for not entering the market a cycle earlier. What a pity... I can only work like a cow or horse in this country again, with no hope of turning things around.

Let's leave, this market is hopeless, it's already rotten, those playing with big coins should go to the US stock market, other worthless knockoffs are not interesting anymore, they have all been ruined by the Americans, damn...

#美联储FOMC会议 在美国通胀报告公布后，特朗普和万斯在社交媒体上要求美联储尽快降低利率。
6月11日，特朗普在社交平台上发帖称，“CPI数据刚刚出来，很好的数字！美联储应该降息整整一个百分点。”
特朗普认为，如果美联储能够降息，这将会大幅减少美国政府为即将到期的债务支付的利息。
同时，美国副总统万斯也在社交媒体附和道：“总统已经说了一段时间了，但现在更加明确了：美联储拒绝降息是货币政策的失职行为。”
美国5月消费者价格指数（CPI）剔除食品和能源成本后同比上涨了2.8%，保持在2021年3月以来的最低水平，也低于市场预期的2.9%。
即使最新的报告好于市场预期，两个同比涨幅仍高于美联储2%的通胀目标。美联储可能更倾向于“按兵不动”，以观察关税对物价的影响。
美联储联邦市场公开委员会（FOMC）定于一周后公布利率决议，目前市场预计该会议几乎没有降息的可能。下一次降息可能要等待到9月份。
#美联储FOMC会议 #以色列伊朗冲突 $BTC

After waiting four years for the knockoff season, why did it go to the US stock market? This is really frustrating...

$BTC 美联储议息倒计时：币圈生死10小时
​​核弹级事件：19日凌晨2点定生死​​
美联储利率决议进入最后倒计时！当前市场押注“按兵不动”概率99%，但真正的爆点在于​​点阵图调整​​和鲍威尔表态——若暗示年内降息缩水至1次，BTC恐瞬间插针破10万刀，全网17亿爆仓单已埋伏。链上数据显示，过去48小时巨鲸转出3.2万枚BTC至交易所，明牌准备砸盘爆多
​​三大变量决定BTC生死​​
​​中东雷​​：伊朗再射导弹→油价飙至130美元→通胀反弹→美联储鹰派→BTC看跌至9.5万刀；若美伊和谈→BTC反攻10.8万刀
​​政策雷​​：鲍威尔若上调核心PCE通胀预期至2.8%+暗示“年内仅降息1次”，机构ETF买盘将熄火，灰度15万刀目标成空谈
​​解锁雷​​：ARB、ZK等代币本周抛压2.6亿美元，ETH份额跌至7.9%（5年新低），狗庄或借机拉SOL、XRP吸血
​​操作铁律​​：
​​BTC​​：破10万刀必止损，反弹至10.5万减仓50%
​​ETH​​：Gas费50刀+质押收益3.8%，换仓SOL（TVL破100亿）或XRP（跨境支付协议上线）更优
​​山寨币​​：远离非三大所币种，90%归零；只玩BNB、OKB等平台币
​​终极真相：美联储是最大狗庄​​
别信“降息3次”忽悠！中金实锤：关税+油价推升通胀，9月前降息概率不足30%。美联储玩“预期管理”比川普更狠——先放鸽拉盘，再放鹰收割，2022年俄乌战争时同套路爆仓20万人

#越南加密政策 Vietnam passed the "Digital Technology Industry Law" in June 2025, officially recognizing the legal status of crypto assets, which will take effect in 2026. The new law categorizes digital assets into "virtual assets" and "crypto assets," clarifying the regulatory framework and strengthening anti-money laundering and cybersecurity requirements. This move will help Vietnam exit the FATF grey list, enhance international investment confidence, and simultaneously encourage the development of digital industries such as blockchain and AI in the region, injecting new momentum into the Southeast Asian crypto ecosystem.

Seeing Metaplanet's major increase in holdings of $BTC, I was truly shocked! However, it seems that today at 9:30, they have already entered the market. On June 16, the Tokyo-listed company Metaplanet directly invested $117.2 million, purchasing 1,112 BTC at a price of $105,435 each all at once. Now, their total amount of Bitcoin has reached 10,000, and considering previous investments, the total cost is approximately $947 million, with an average cost of $94,697 per coin.
It is important to note that since the beginning of this year, the price of Bitcoin has skyrocketed, and Metaplanet's investment demonstrates remarkable insight. By the halfway point of 2025, their return on investment in Bitcoin has reached 266.1%, equivalent to nearly tripling their principal. This not only showcases the company's strong confidence in the prospects of the cryptocurrency market but also indirectly indicates the rising value of Bitcoin in the eyes of institutional investors.
However, the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, with wild fluctuations being the norm. Metaplanet's large-scale increase in holdings raises the question of whether they are betting on Bitcoin's continued surge or if there are other strategies at play. The subsequent trends are definitely worth paying attention to, and I will keep a close eye on market dynamics.

#卡尔达诺稳定币提案 #卡尔达诺稳定币提案 Recently, the Cardano community has been fervently discussing proposals related to stablecoins, and I couldn't help but join in.
Speaking of stablecoins, for us players in the cryptocurrency world, it's like a beacon of light in the darkness. Did you know? Volatility has always been Achilles' heel of cryptocurrencies. With stablecoins, we can quickly transfer our assets to relatively stable value storage during market fluctuations, avoiding being swept away by the market's waves.
Moreover, this Cardano proposal is not just empty talk; it truly considers the future of the DeFi ecosystem. Just think, if there could be a reliable stablecoin on Cardano, what kind of explosion would DeFi applications experience? Lending, trading, liquidity mining – just thinking about it is exciting.
Of course, stablecoins are not a panacea. They require transparent collateral mechanisms, robust risk control, and community oversight. But if Cardano can successfully launch a safe and reliable stablecoin, I believe it will become a major highlight in the entire blockchain field and bring us more opportunities. What do you think?

$ADA 💥【Is the ADA storm coming? Whales cash out $170 million, Hoskinson shocks with Bitcoin treasury plan!】
In the past week, whales have sold off 270 million ADA, dumping over $170 million worth of chips, with the price plunging from $0.71 to $0.623, currently reported at $0.636, a drop of over 10%! Technical risks are escalating, hovering on the edge of a head and shoulders pattern, and if it falls, it could directly head for the critical support at $0.50⚠️!
Even more explosive: ADA founder Hoskinson has put forward a significant proposal💣—to convert $100 million worth of ADA into BTC + stablecoins, claiming it will boost DeFi liquidity and enhance ecological competitiveness! Supporters are optimistic about the ecological upgrade, but the opposing voices are equally strong, fearing that this move will intensify the selling wave and trigger a secondary drop.
Geopolitical tensions continue to ferment, with turmoil in the Middle East increasing market risk aversion. Can the on-chain OTC institutional demand catch the selling pressure?📉

Recently, the Cardano (ADA) community is actively promoting a proposal regarding native stablecoins, aimed at enhancing the financial infrastructure of the ecosystem. The proposal suggests the launch of stablecoins pegged to fiat currencies to improve Cardano's utility and liquidity in DeFi. Stablecoins are expected to attract more users and developers while also supporting on-chain lending, payments, and cross-chain bridges. This marks a transition for Cardano from an academically oriented network to a stronger phase of financial application implementation. If the proposal passes smoothly,

$BTC Heavyweight! The first "Bitcoin Treasury" in Europe has been born - the Blockchain Group is sparking a revolution in crypto assets】
The European capital market is welcoming a groundbreaking change! The Blockchain Group - the first publicly listed company with Bitcoin as its core treasury asset - has officially risen, occupying the strategic high ground of digital assets! As the Bitcoin craze sweeps across the globe, the group has successfully raised 9.7 million euros, significantly increasing its Bitcoin holdings, and declaring with real action: Bitcoin is the value anchor of the new era!
This financing structure is highly innovative: the issuance of new shares brings immediate liquidity, the design of convertible bonds is clever, allowing investors future equity premium space, and the capital operation is flexible and robust, truly achieving a win-win for the company and shareholders. More importantly, all of this funding will be used to increase Bitcoin reserves, not just buying coins, but demonstrating the institution's belief in Bitcoin's long-term value through action!
The Blockchain Group's move is not only a strong declaration to the market but also aligns with the Bitcoin strategic reserve pace of top global listed companies. In the face of short-term volatility, the group insists on long-termism, using "digital gold" to forge a resilient wealth foundation, seizing the commanding heights of the future financial landscape. The era of Bitcoin treasuries in Europe has begun!

#以色列伊朗冲突 After waking up from this nap, digital gold has become digital, and it directly tanked. Every time there is a war in the Middle East, crypto ends up paying the price, it's hard to express.
1. $BTC is under the bombardment of Israel and Iran, it has directly plummeted, breaking through its support level, not sure if it can hold on;
2. $ETH's strong side has been stripped of its mask under the bombardment, it goes wherever it wants;
3. $SOL thought it was rebounding strongly, but it unexpectedly fell even harder, dropping from 168 to 150 in a day;
4. Market news: Israel launches a preemptive strike against Iran;
5. The three major U.S. stock indexes have expanded their short-term losses to 1%;
6. Spot gold has risen above $3,400 per ounce, up 0.42% for the day;
7. GameStop announces it will increase the previously announced $1.75 billion private placement to $2.25 billion;
8. The NFT market Solsniper announces it will close at noon (PST) on June 13, 2025;
Finally, the NFT market without tokens can no longer hold on;
9. Ripple and the SEC have reached a settlement proposal over a $125 million fine, seeking to end years of litigation;
10. Coinbase announces it will add Sonic (S) to its listing roadmap;
Previously, there was a dispute over listing fees between ac and Coinbase;
11. The SEC has postponed its decision on the approval of spot ETFs for Dogecoin, Hedera, and Avalanche;
12. Coinbase announces the launch of a Bitcoin cashback card, planning to launch perpetual contracts in the U.S.;
13. Shopify will introduce USDC stablecoin payments, with partners including Coinbase and Stripe;
14. XRP ledger adopts the stablecoin USDC a week after Circle's listing;
15. All news pales in comparison to the war initiated by Iran and Israel;

Do you think trading cryptocurrencies relies on luck? Then you've already lost. This market doesn't kick you out just because your skills are lacking, but because your mindset collapses too quickly. Those who can truly emerge from the cryptocurrency world are not necessarily the ones who read K-lines the best, nor the ones who get news the fastest, but rather those who learn from the market and can still get back up to continue trading.
1. If you don't get liquidated, you'll always live in a fantasy.
Before getting liquidated, you think you're a god; after getting liquidated, you realize you're even worse than a novice. A 50% loss requires doubling to break even, and that's not just math; it's reality. Many people start with 1 million and end up with only 100,000 after just two downturns. It's not that they haven't made money; it's that they haven't been able to keep it. You can double your money 100 times, but one time losing it all means you're out. Your capital is your life; anyone who dares to touch your bottom line must be cut off without hesitation.
2. The real victims die from impulsiveness.
The biggest problem for retail investors is not poor skills but being too impulsive. They see a green K-line and sell, see red and chase. To put it simply, it's a case of itchy hands and greedy hearts. You can spend three days comparing prices for a pair of shoes but only take three seconds to decide to enter the market for cryptocurrencies. Trading fees eat away at your profits, and frequent trades will only trap you deeper. Real experts already have a clear entry and exit strategy—target profit, stop-loss line, withdrawal point—and execute it as soon as it's met, even if it means earning less.
3. Destiny is not gambled; it's endured.
If you're holding 10,000 and still hoping to earn thousands daily, it shows you have no respect for the market. True big players think this way: the goal is a thousand-fold return, not anxiously watching for fluctuations of a few hundred bucks every day. When there's a market, hold tight; when there isn't, rest. Making money in cryptocurrency has never been about daily activity; it’s about having the courage to invest heavily at critical moments while being able to endure the quiet times. Trading is an anti-human practice; this market will only eliminate those with a collapsed mindset, not those without skills. Whether you are a victim or a future hunter depends on your ability to withstand the urge to 'go all in' time and again.

On the third day of China-US negotiations, the results should be fairly optimistic, although the final agreement may not be definitive. There may be considerable room for concessions this time—after all, domestic companies are waiting to buy rare earths, and the fewer obstacles, the better. It is not very meaningful for both sides to drag on, especially since the pressure is greater on the US. Eastern University can withstand short-term economic fluctuations, but the Americans may not be willing to endure. I have a feeling that this trade war will end a bit abruptly, as the White House is under time pressure, opposition party outcry, and voters' patience is running out. Donald, you better keep your mouth shut this time.

Opportunities are coming next week for $ETH , big events in the crypto world are about to explode! Don't say I didn't remind you!
Recently, half the people are confused, while the other half are making a killing. If you're still on the sidelines, you're really missing the rhythm to make big money!
Three cryptocurrencies have the chance to double next week!
These tokens have logic, funding, and expectations. I've already invested in them; it's not just talking, it's about making profits!
Internal news: BTC is going to crash on Wednesday!
A large institution has quietly built a short position on the contract—3.2 billion USDT in short orders are lined up waiting for the crash!
Once Bitcoin can't hold on, this wave of decline won't be a "correction," but a harvest!
A certain country has just introduced new policies; trading cryptocurrencies is illegal!
A brother asked me: Can we still play in this market? I have just one sentence: Change the approach and keep flying.
The risk isn't in not doing anything, but in not knowing how to do it. Finding the right people is much more useful than working hard by yourself!
US inflation data will be released this week!
Once the data is out, the market could either soar or plummet. Last round, the CPI was favorable, and ETH rose by $300!
Is this time favorable or unfavorable? You don't know? No problem, I'll tell you how to prepare in advance!
🇺🇸 Trump is set to return to the stage! ZK concept is gaining traction!
Trump Coin and ZK Coin are experiencing violent fluctuations; with politics and technology driving them, even short trading can yield explosive returns.
Opportunities are only reserved for those who are prepared.

#纳斯达克加密ETF扩容 plans to include 9 tokens such as Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), and XRP into the benchmark index to promote diversification of holdings. Currently, the Hashdex Nasdaq Crypto Index ETF (NCIQ) is limited to holding BTC and ETH, but the SEC has accepted its rule change application as of June 2025. If approved, it will allow investments in all index component assets, with results expected to be announced before November 2, 2025. This move will enhance institutional capital allocation efficiency, reduce tracking error risk, and may trigger a wave of passive fund inflows into newly included tokens such as SOL. It serves as a key junction for the integration of traditional finance and the crypto market.

In cryptocurrency trading, I mainly use a combination of three indicators: RSI + MACD + MA to improve decision-making accuracy: RSI (30/70 oversold/overbought) identifies reversal opportunities, MACD (Golden Cross/Death Cross) assesses trend momentum, and MA (7/20/50/200) confirms support and resistance. In practical operations on Binance, I will cross-verify signals (such as MA Golden Cross + MACD histogram amplification + RSI rebound) and use TradingView volume analysis to filter out false breakouts. Typical application: When BTC breaks through a key level, if the 50MA crosses above the 200MA (Golden Cross), while the MACD shows a Golden Cross and RSI is not overbought, it is considered a high-probability long opportunity. It is recommended that beginners first master the basic combination of 'MA + MACD', and then gradually incorporate RSI and volume-price analysis, optimizing strategies using Binance backtesting tools. $BTC #TradersLeague #TradersLeagueS02

Don't be fooled by the posts in your friend circle! The real daily life of a full-time trader exposed!
Do you think trading in the crypto world means staring at the screen and making passionate orders every day? Wrong! It takes time in this industry to understand — a trader earning a million a year is actually battling with "boredom" every day.
The daily life of a trader: much like a "night watchman" of the financial market.
Every day, staring at six screens with dozens of indicators, it’s not about watching the market but waiting for signals. Just like a fisherman squatting on the ice, staring at the K-line buoy for hours. The market is in a fluctuation 90% of the time; there might only be 10 minutes of opportunities that fit the strategy in a day. What about the rest of the time? Either reviewing data or staring into space — the more professional the trader, the more they understand that "being in cash requires more courage than being in a position."
What others see as "freedom" is actually the loneliness of being on call 24 hours a day.
The afternoon teas and travel photos posted in the friend circle are real, but the premise is that your phone must keep the trading interface on 24 hours a day. Getting up at 3 AM to check the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, staring at the fluctuations in overseas markets during the weekend — the "freedom of time" comes with the helplessness of integrating life into K-line charts. New traders find trading exhilarating, while veterans treat it as "moving numbers" — opening and closing positions is merely routine, and the heart races only when first entering the industry.
Want to get rich through trading? First, learn to befriend "boredom."
Traders who have lasted more than five years in the crypto circle all have a set of anti-human survival rules:
✔️ Use automated strategies to filter out ineffective fluctuations
✔️ Cultivate more than three hobbies unrelated to trading (I survived countless dull days by writing strategy analyses)
✔️ Treat trading as "digital farming," patiently waiting to harvest after sowing.
Remember: the truly profitable trader spends 99% of their time battling with themselves. If you still have fantasies about full-time trading, ask yourself: Can you endure the agony of staring at the screen for 8 hours a day without taking action?

The biggest common problem among retail investors in the crypto space is 'buying in a hurry, selling in a panic, and dragging on stop losses'! They see the price of a coin rising and rush to chase the high, only to buy and immediately get stuck at the peak; when it drops a little, they panic and sell at a loss, only to see it rebound right after they sell; when it's time to stop loss, they always fantasize about a rebound, dragging it out and losing more and more! Remember: wait a couple of days before buying to see the trend clearly, don't be greedy or panic when selling, stick to the plan, and if the stop loss line is broken, cut your losses immediately; being soft-hearted will only harm your wallet!