🈳What is not as good as empty auntie in one word 6, still the same old saying, if you are short on money, short on empty auntie at a high point, you really won't be disappointed
This time no need for K, use order flow analysis to analyze BTC's direction in the next hour
$BTC 1. Order flow core data breakdown • Key liquidity pool ◦ Upper sell wall: Near the previous high of 85,528.6, $230 million limit sell orders are piled up, forming an 'iron top suppression', the main force sets a trap here to lure buyers! ◦ Lower buy wall: Near EMA7 (84,915.9), $180 million stop-loss orders are ambushed, once broken will trigger a chain liquidation! • Trading volume distribution ◦ High volume nodes: ▪ 85,200-85,300 range: High transaction density but Delta = -123,000 (selling pressure dominant), indicating the main force is selling at high! ▪ 84,900-85,000 range: A hidden buy order of $54 million appears (iceberg order), suspected of the dealer protecting the market and accumulating!
$BTC Stop dallying! Now is the moment of the long-short meat grinder! 1. Core indicator nuclear explosion point • EMA moving average: the bulls' last fig leaf has been torn! ◦ Price (85,191.6) breaks EMA7 (85,280.5) and EMA25 (85,470.1), pressing hard on EMA99 (85,208.8)! This is the life-and-death line—— ▪ Stabilize above EMA99 (85,208.8): can still struggle to rebound to 85,500, giving bulls a lifeline! ▪ Break EMA99: directly hit the nuclear button! Kill down to 84,800, leaving no bones left! • KDJ: so what if it's oversold? The big players love to kill panic orders!
$BTC 【Long and short two-way hunting strategy】 ▶ Nuclear explosion short selling conditions (profit and loss ratio 12:1) • Trigger signal: 1. The price rebounded to 81,320.8 (EMA99) and then fell under pressure 2. 15-minute K-line closes with a long upper shadow + KDJ three lines turn down • Leverage: 20 times (position ≤ 3%) • Entry: Open positions in batches between 81,300-81,500 • Stop loss: 82,000 (stop loss if it breaks the previous day’s high) • Take profit: 78,091.6 (EMA7 support, 74,457.0 after breaking through) ▶ Guillotine chasing short point (profit and loss ratio 18:1) • Trigger signal: 1. The price broke through 81,320.8 and then plummeted to below 80,000
◦ Medium-term: 2,035 (previous high resistance, laddered take profit).
Risk Control and Discipline
1. Rigid Stop Loss: Strict stop-loss to avoid holding positions (in extreme market conditions, price may quickly test 1,950).
2. Leverage Limit: ≤3x leverage, reserving price fluctuation space to 1,950.
3. Volume Verification: All breakouts require accompanying trading volume (Vol > MA5), otherwise considered false signals.
Summary
Currently, ETH/USDT is in an oversold recovery window, with the technical resonance support of the three charts in the 1,985-1,990 range being the core trial area for long positions. Conservatives can wait for stabilization signals near 1,985, while aggressives can follow up after stabilizing above EMA(7)=2,004.5. Long position targets are progressively aimed at 2,011 → 2,035, with strict stop losses at 1,975-1,995. The market's trading volume is low, and caution is needed against false breakouts, mainly holding light positions!