ETH Next Hour Analysis

Strategy 1: Oversold Rebound Try Long (Conservative)

• Entry Point:

◦ 1,985.71-1,990 range, requires a 15-minute level stop-loss signal (e.g., long lower shadow + RSI(6) > 45).

◦ Verification Condition: Trading volume recovers above MA5 (25,960-96,563) to avoid volume-less rebound traps.

• Stop Loss: 1,975.00 (below the 24-hour low point, tolerance space 0.5%).

• Targets:

◦ First Target: 2,004.50;

◦ Second Target: 2,011.50;

◦ Breakout Add Position: If the volume breaks 2,011.50, additional long positions can be added, target 2,035 (24-hour high point).

Strategy 2: Moving Average Breakout Pullback (Aggressive)

• Entry Point:

◦ Price stabilizes above EMA(7)=2,004.50 (second chart), and 1-hour candlestick closes above the moving average.

◦ Pullback Confirmation: After breaking through, if the price pulls back to 2,004 without breaking, it is considered valid support.

• Stop Loss: 1,995.00 (below EMA7 + volatility tolerance).

• Targets:

◦ Short-term: 2,024.81 (third chart EMA99);

◦ Medium-term: 2,035 (previous high resistance, laddered take profit).

Risk Control and Discipline

1. Rigid Stop Loss: Strict stop-loss to avoid holding positions (in extreme market conditions, price may quickly test 1,950).

2. Leverage Limit: ≤3x leverage, reserving price fluctuation space to 1,950.

3. Volume Verification: All breakouts require accompanying trading volume (Vol > MA5), otherwise considered false signals.

Summary

Currently, ETH/USDT is in an oversold recovery window, with the technical resonance support of the three charts in the 1,985-1,990 range being the core trial area for long positions. Conservatives can wait for stabilization signals near 1,985, while aggressives can follow up after stabilizing above EMA(7)=2,004.5. Long position targets are progressively aimed at 2,011 → 2,035, with strict stop losses at 1,975-1,995. The market's trading volume is low, and caution is needed against false breakouts, mainly holding light positions!