舵手无名

This is the third long position bought in the last two days, ONDR was just bought at the starting rise point. Sold one third, let the remaining profit run itself.

The memefi surged in the afternoon.

Unity of knowledge and action, insist on low leverage, do not be greedy.
I am exhausted, waited for this opportunity for a month.

#ONDO #memefi

As long as there is a market, it will come as it goes.
#memefi

The answer was sent yesterday morning. The opportunity is in MEME. I don’t know where the next opportunity is. I am not a god. It is useless to give you a chance.
TRUMP, those who entered the market at 8.861 have already sold out. Don’t ask

#TRUMP

$ETH finally became hard once

Haha, now that the price has risen, everyone comes to ask, but when it was low, no one was around, chasing the market trends.

BTC has spot short-term preparations to take profits in batches, with the upper area being a resistance zone; if it turns around, some can be sold in batches.
No matter how it goes from here, first lock in some profits; a correct strategy is better than subjective fantasies.
#加密市场反弹 #BTC走势分析

Yesterday's public account article discussed short-term opportunities in the metaverse sector over the past two days.

Today, the metaverse sector targets such as #Pixels , #audio , #MBOX🔥🔥 , #XAI , and #ACE all saw significant increases, with half of the gainers on the list.

I noticed two subtle changes in the market that are particularly noteworthy:
1. The long-lost effect of the altcoin sector has appeared, such as the catch-up effect.
2. Leading coins haven't seen much increase, and any gains are mostly related to Binance's metaverse targets, including those small metaverse altcoins from previous IEOs or POOLs, which have almost plummeted over 90%.

For metaverse coins that have already risen in the short term, it's not advisable to chase after them. If there’s room above with a favorable risk-reward ratio, then it’s okay, but if not, one should decisively exit. Without a significant market background to support it, sector cycles tend to be very quick.

In the short term, wait and see for the next opportunity point; check if the sector effect reappears before entering again. Observe if the altcoin sector can continue and if there’s any rotation happening.

If BTC can maintain an upward fluctuation, altcoins may likely take the opportunity for a short-term surge.
$PIXEL

This week may welcome a market turning signal. The market has been sluggish for a while, and the more quiet it is, the more attention we need to pay; market turning points almost always emerge from this.

It has always been the case before significant market opportunities, experience tells me that there will be a round of opportunities in the future. Partners who stay in the market without making random moves have a high probability of profiting. If there is no bottom position during the downturn, chasing the market after it rises will surely lead to losses.

This week's market trend interpretation and short-term spot contract response strategies have been published on the public account; interested parties can check it themselves. It seems that no one reads the long articles on the platform.
#BTC走势分析

Last week, the spot market for altcoins, including some coins planned for delisting by Korbit and Binance, experienced a significant surge. On April 12, a post was made to highlight new trends in altcoins, at which point it was already sensed that the market was changing.

A reminder: for those still shorting small altcoins, especially those with small market caps, be cautious. Currently, most low-quality small altcoins do not provide good value for shorting, so avoid shorting as much as possible; if you must, only do it for the short term. This includes those with low leverage; be bearish but do not short, unless it’s a large altcoin at a high price. Recently, some small coins have indeed presented short-term contract long opportunities, and small positions have yielded quite good returns. In the past couple of days, short-term hotspot opportunities have been in the metaverse sector, driven by VOXEL, MAGIC, and ENJ, making it suitable for short-term trading to earn fees.

For contract altcoins, choose those with large open interest and that are popular in both spot and contract markets. Altcoins with low popularity have shown strong short-term speculation, often directly competing with market maker orders, making stop-losses or long and short traps a norm.

It is advisable to monitor the extreme fee rates and changes in open interest of altcoins, as well as several core indicators of price fluctuations, as most opportunities arise from this. Last week, a characteristic of small altcoins experiencing significant surges was observed.
#加密市场反弹

Isn't it like a counterfeit bull market trend.
First drop 90%, then rise 15 times from the bottom. Who says there are no opportunities in the stock market, this is Bubble Mart.

Do not follow trades. Another fresh example of following trades has resulted in a loss of 10 million RMB, with a total of over 2,600 followers. Soon, there will be more trades to follow.

A few days ago, I saw one with over 90% win rate, but in the end, it also resulted in a big loss. Such appealing data is of no real use; it can be easily fabricated, and when losses accumulate, the final outcome is a disaster.

Following trades became infamous on forex platforms years ago and was picked up by cryptocurrency platforms.

Making money by following trades does not work from a fundamental financial logic standpoint; even if Livermore were here, it might not work. No matter how skilled one is, if the capital is large, they can still be besieged, which in turn affects the original market trend due to the reflexivity in finance.

Moreover, it's almost impossible to find high-level players on these platforms.
#合约爆仓

Today, surprisingly, two people asked about 06516594335 coins. I really don’t know what’s going on with the pump? Whether it's contracts or spot, it’s really easy to handle.

Currently, there are signs of stabilization and bottoming out. For spot, either wait for the bottom to break upwards before getting in, as there are no hot spots right now. Buying in too early can be agonizing, and it might drop another level.
The high-level downward momentum continues to weaken, with low selling volume and no opportunity for shorting, except for playing within small level ranges. If you want to take a big bite in contracts, try to wait for later to find long opportunities.
At that time, if the market sentiment aligns, I will consider taking a small position to roll it, aiming to quickly gain a significant portion and see if I can roll out six figures from a few thousand U. There’s a high probability of one or two rounds of such opportunities in the second half of the year, which should be enough to fill up.

How we proceed next is not important; what matters is how to respond to the possible scenarios and quickly identify the best strategies. It’s not just about having a good position + good odds + good background without consideration.

Contract trading never loses big money!

The essence is to use a small amount to gain a large amount!

(1) The extremely small cost each time should be anticipated in advance and strictly enforced during the development of the market.

The result of strictly enforcing this discipline is -- never losing big money. The cost we incur after the market moves against us can be planned in advance and controlled during the process.

If we do not proactively implement the pre-planned strategies and in-process controls, then we are left with just one thing to passively accept, which is -- "regret after the fact."

(2) Never losing big money is not only reflected in the determined execution of each market movement but should also be integrated into the overall strategy of operations.

For example, when formulating an overall profit plan, the total risk incurred should be a small portion of the total funds. I generally limit it to 20%. Then consider how to reasonably and fully utilize this 20% of expendable "ammunition" to achieve victory.

If we firmly execute the principle of not losing big money, we achieve half of the essence of using a small amount to gain a large amount, namely the word "small." If we cannot achieve this, then there is no discussion of "using a small amount to gain a large amount." You can only resort to "using a large amount to gain a large amount" or even "using a large amount to gain a small amount."

Like in war, protecting oneself first is essential to effectively eliminate the enemy. Protecting oneself does not mean avoiding sacrifice, but minimizing it, or maximizing the ratio of victory to cost. If you can indeed execute according to the pre-planned strategies and keep each loss to a minimum, then you gain a greater macro win rate. Why do I say this?

(1) In cases of consecutive judgment errors, or when our judgments lack accuracy, the smaller the loss after each failed trade, the longer we can survive in the market, and the more opportunities we have for revival.

(2) In cases where our judgments are half right and half wrong, if each loss is less than the profit, then we will definitely have a surplus on our account. We will be on the side of victory. Moreover, the smaller the average loss, the greater the profit. The greater the ratio of average profit to loss, the more profit we make.

(3) In cases where our judgments are more right than wrong, if each loss is less than the profit, then we will definitely achieve great success and reap abundant rewards.

Every day, retail investors spend time on social media looking at posts, which can be roughly divided into 3 categories:

Third-tier investors: chasing trends, asking for passwords, seeking news, looking at analyses, accounting for 70%, usually losing everything and leaving in frustration;

Second-tier investors: learning methods, seeking techniques, accounting for 28%;

First-tier investors: digging into the underlying logic of the market, improving their understanding, accounting for 2%;

#韭菜的自我修养

$ORDI in stock is not afraid of becoming a meme.

The people with the inscriptions are beyond saving; when I reminded them during the crazy times earlier, I was scolded. You can never wake someone who is pretending to sleep.
#ordi​​​ #ORDIUSDT

AICoin is such a fool, it pops up this kind of stuff every day, 800 analysis and predictions a day. Right or wrong, if you can make money by following this operation, there will be no poor people in the financial market, and if you don’t lose money, you’ll lose money.

I’m curious who is listening to this every day

In recent days, KOLs on social media have coincidentally shared their experiences of making money, life, love, insights, and tool tutorials, attracting quite a bit of traffic... There has been less talk about cryptocurrency and market trends.

Today I came across an interesting summary: "When KOLs are up, they shout 'bull market'; when down, they say 'bear market'; when sideways, they talk about the past and other topics."

What seems like a teasing remark actually contains profound practical significance. Inspired by friends who trade stocks, it wasn't until the last two or three years that I fully understood it. Over the past two years, I've been exploring it in more detail and applying it to spot trading. Last November, I was able to effectively utilize this method to capitalize on the market movement. Currently, I have about 70% mastery of this method in the long-term spot market, but I have yet to master it in the short-term, and I find it difficult to grasp without tools.

One of the main purposes of engaging with self-media is to indirectly collect market signals. Last year, I discussed with a friend involved in tech development the plan to develop a set of big data indicators that can monitor and quantify social media in real time, for personal use in trading rather than for external distribution. This plan has been shelved due to the absence of a market surge.

As a retail investor wanting to make money in the financial market, this direction is more valuable because it directly relates to human nature and the essence of finance, which remains unchanged throughout time. In reality, most retail investors do the opposite, which is why even in a bull market, many still lose money.

It is more reliable, enduring, and fundamental than fundamental research, technical analysis, and other tools. It is the most core element.

The key to wealth lies within!!!

#kol

The reluctance to cut losses and the habit of 'holding positions' is almost a universal behavior. When the position is heavy and the direction is wrong, holding on once can lead to significant losses.

Years ago, I watched an interview with Soros on the financial program of Channel 2. The host asked him what his greatest wisdom was. Soros immediately replied—cutting losses.

The mindset of not cutting losses comes from 'loss aversion': people would rather take a chance than actively admit mistakes and face facts objectively. Psychologically, the pain of loss is 2-3 times greater than the pleasure of equivalent gains.

Those who are afraid to face mistakes should consider taking a course on trading cognition—probability thinking; trading itself is a probability game. If you're wrong, you must acknowledge it, and if you take a hit, you stand tall. Cutting losses is also part of the trading system.

Not only should you cut losses, but you should also exchange minimal losses for maximum gains. Taking small risks for large rewards is the essence of contracts!

I have read many classic books, interviews with masters, and the trading wisdom of well-known large investors in the history of the A-share market. The most profound commonality among all masters, ancient and modern, from all over the world, is the importance of cutting losses.

I dare not make too many subjective predictions and fantasies, because I know there are 100 ways for the dog house to play me to death!

——Helmsman Nameless

Jack Dorsey is a staunch evangelist for Bitcoin. BTC indeed has a chance of failing, although it's a low probability. Most people only see the current price and then determine how the future will be, just like the countless believers in ETH who once were OGs.

He calls for the development of simple and secure payment solutions. This is not a potential reason for BTC's failure; BTC is only suitable for large transaction solutions, while high-frequency small amounts can use Dogecoin. The Lightning Network and other solutions for BTC have not seen success either.

In my opinion, the biggest risk of BTC's failure in the future comes from the centralized control of Wall Street, stemming from the abandonment of the underlying technology. Those who stand high and mighty think they have enough chips to control everything; what they fail to understand is that when that day comes, perhaps no one will want to play with you, just like retail investors today don't engage with the altcoins dominated by VC institutions, preferring to participate in MEME gambling.

In ten or twenty years, BTC will follow the stock market, fading into mediocrity. For the next generation, BTC will just be a purely financial investment or storage tool, losing its charm, losing its appeal, losing its spirit of innovation, lacking passion and excitement, and no longer having the consensus and support of the vast grassroots population...

What goes too far must come back; I don't know when another great tech geek will rise up, and with a call to arms, thousands of individuals abandoned by BTC, grassroots communities, rooted in stronger technological solutions, will recreate a brand new BTC.

The value of BTC comes from the consensus of the majority. Once it becomes a tool for the minority, it will be nothing more than a pile of worthless code. When the majority gathers a new consensus, a new BTC will rise. It's just not the right time yet.