Anonymous-User-4d26d

As of May 8, 2025, the conflict between India and Pakistan has attracted global attention, having profound impacts on geopolitical stability and economic markets. Below is an economic analysis of this conflict:
⸻
🌏 Global Economic Impact: Supply Chain and Food Security Risks
• Disruption of food supply chains: India and Pakistan are the world's first and fourth largest rice exporters, respectively. The conflict may lead to export disruptions, posing risks of rising food prices and supply shortages for Southeast Asian countries that rely on imports, such as Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia.
• Energy and manufacturing supply chain risks: A prolonged conflict may affect energy transportation and manufacturing supply chains in the South Asian region, further disrupting global trade and exacerbating inflationary pressures.
⸻
🧭 International Community Response and Outlook
• Diplomatic calls for de-escalation: Countries such as the United States, the United Kingdom, China, and Turkey have called for both sides to exercise restraint to avoid escalation of the conflict. However, neither side has shown a willingness to ease tensions, increasing the risk of regional instability.

#Stripe稳定币账户 The Stripe stablecoin account is an important initiative by payment giant Stripe to explore the field of digital currency. It will provide users with a brand new way to pay and store funds. The stablecoin account relies on blockchain technology, offering advantages such as fast transaction speeds and low costs, enabling efficient processing of cross-border payments and reducing settlement delays and fees in the traditional financial system. At the same time, Stripe leverages its powerful payment network and security system to ensure the safety of user funds and the compliance of transactions. The launch of this account is expected to promote the widespread application of digital currencies in commercial payment scenarios, bringing transformation to global e-commerce, fintech, and other industries, enhancing the inclusiveness and convenience of financial services.

Why did the cryptocurrency market surge despite the Federal Reserve not lowering interest rates?
Can you still get on board with Bitcoin at 100,000 USD?
Why did the cryptocurrency market rise when the Federal Reserve didn't lower interest rates?
The market has already digested the expectation of 'no interest rate cuts'; when the bad news is fully priced in, it becomes good news.
Do you think that after a rise, it's time to short?
Be careful, this might be a trap! The fluctuations over the past few weeks have been intended to create the illusion for retail investors that 'if it rises, it will fall.'
And the result? The more you short, the more it rises; the more it rises, the less you dare to close your position, and in the end, you get stuck and can't sleep all night.
The key questions going forward:
Is 100,000 USD for Bitcoin just the starting point or a short-term peak?
Will the main players continue to push the price up or suddenly crash it?
If you are still trading by gut feeling, the market will teach you a lesson.
The real winners rely on clear strategies and insights into the intentions of the main players.

Why hasn't the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates, and why has the crypto market surged?
Can you still get on board with Bitcoin at 100,000 dollars?
Why hasn't the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates, yet the crypto market has instead surged?
The market has long since digested the expectation of 'no interest rate cuts', and once the negative news is fully absorbed, it becomes positive.
Do you think that after a rise, it's time to short?
Be careful, this could be a trap! The fluctuations over the past few weeks have been designed to give retail investors the illusion that 'if it rises, it will fall'.
What happened? The more you shorted, the more it rose; the more it rose, the less you dared to close your positions, leading to sleepless nights.
The key questions ahead:
Is Bitcoin at 100,000 dollars just the starting point or a short-term peak?
Will the main players continue to force a short squeeze, or will they suddenly crash the market?
If you're still trading based on instinct, the market will teach you a costly lesson.
True winners rely on clear strategies and insights into the intentions of the main players.

#比特币预测
Did everyone follow the advice given last night, brothers? The suggestion was to go long on Bitcoin in the 96000-96500 range and to go long on Ethereum in the 1820-1800 range. After not checking all night, it indeed dropped first before rising. We will wait patiently, with resistance at 97500 and support at 95500. We will follow the trend; if it breaks 97500, we will look towards 99000, and if it breaks the support at 95500, we will look towards 94000!
From a technical structure perspective, looking at the one-hour technical indicators, after the downward opening of the channel, the volume lacks an entity push. The price tested and faced obstacles forming a recovery upward. The moving averages show a gentle upward trend, and the short-term rhythm is narrow without breaking levels, forming a clear recovery extension. The bearish volume has significantly shrunk, indicating some signs of a trend reversal. Moving forward, I personally favor a continuation of a choppy upward recovery. During the night and morning, our strategy will be to go long at lower levels.

$BTC
Did everyone follow the suggestions from last night, brothers? I suggested going long on Bitcoin in the 96000-96500 range and on Ethereum in the 1820-1800 range. After not looking for a whole night, it indeed first dropped and then pulled back. We will wait patiently, with resistance at 97500 and support at 95500. We will go with the flow; if it breaks 97500, we will look towards 99000, and if it breaks the support at 95500, we will look towards 94000!
From a technical structure perspective, looking at the hourly technical indicators, after the downward opening of the operating channel, the volume is unable to get entity-driven momentum. The price tests resistance, forming a recovery upwards. The moving averages show a gradual upward trend. In the short term, the rhythm is narrow without breaking the level, and the recovery shows a clear continuation; the bearish volume has noticeably decreased, indicating some signs of a shift to bullish. Moving forward, I personally anticipate a continuation of oscillating recovery upwards. During the night and morning, our strategy will be to go long cautiously.

The #MEME法案 is the "Modernizing Enforcement of Misconduct and Emoluments Act," initiated by California Democratic Congressman Sam Liccardo on February 27, aimed at prohibiting federal officials from issuing, sponsoring, or promoting securities, commodities, or digital assets, with violators facing criminal and civil penalties. The bill has a dozen Democratic co-sponsors. The MEME Act primarily targets the President, Members of Congress, and other senior officials, as well as their spouses and children, restricting them from issuing or sponsoring securities, commodities, and meme coins such as cryptocurrencies. The introduction of the bill is closely related to the TRUMP coin launched by Trump. On January 18, Trump announced the launch of the eponymous meme coin TRUMP, which at one point had a market value controlled by his team that exceeded 70 billion dollars, but then plummeted by 85%, resulting in losses for 200,000 retail investors.

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$BTC Pancake Evening Operation Suggestions are as follows:

Technical Analysis: The current Bitcoin price is fluctuating around $94,200, with the 4-hour candlestick showing three consecutive bearish candles. The MACD histogram remains negative, indicating that the bearish momentum is dominant. The key support level is at $93,500 (200-day moving average), and if it breaks down, it may test $90,000. The resistance level is at $97,384 (high on May 5), and a breakout could lead to a test of the $100,000 mark.

Market Sentiment and Capital Movement: The U.S. House of Representatives today released a draft for cryptocurrency regulation, which may increase volatility in the short term. However, 88% of the circulating supply is in profit, with $75,000-$95,000 forming a new structural bottom, providing strong support. The derivatives market shows a surge in open interest for $300,000 call options by the end of June, reflecting institutional long-term optimism.

Operating Strategies:

1. Aggressive Strategy: If the price stabilizes at $93,500, consider opening a small long position with a stop loss at $93,000 and a target at $97,384.

2. Conservative Strategy: Wait for the price to break above $97,384 and then enter a long position with a stop loss at $96,500 and a target at $100,000.

3. Short Selling Opportunity: If it breaks below $93,500, consider shorting near $94,000 on a rebound, with a stop loss at $94,500 and a target at $90,000.

#美联储FOMC会议 The Federal Reserve is dropping the hammer! The fate of BTC is hanging by a thread! What the market fears most is not bad news, but uncertainty.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be the watershed that determines whether BTC will surge to $100,000 or plummet!
Currently, the market expects three interest rate cuts this year, maintaining the rate at 4.5%. As long as the Federal Reserve does not contradict this, BTC has a chance to directly surge to $95,000!
If the direction of the rate cut is confirmed, it will strengthen expectations of liquidity, and the crypto market will either rally or surge dramatically;
If the statements are hawkish or ambiguous, then tonight will be a “trap for longs” scenario, and $95,000 could directly become a trap for investors!
The range between $94,700 and $95,000 is an excellent shorting zone; as long as it does not break $95,500, failing to rise is a trap for longs!
Key support below is at $91,600. Once that level is broken, the space for decline will be completely opened.

#美国众议院市场结构讨论草案 #美国众议院市场结构讨论草案
In May 2025, Republican leaders from the House Financial Services Committee and the Agriculture Committee introduced a new discussion draft on digital asset market structure, aimed at establishing a clear regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency market. 
The draft inherits the spirit of the previous '21st Century Financial Innovation and Technology Act' (FIT21) and seeks to address the controversy surrounding whether digital assets have been classified as securities since 2017. The draft proposes a set of processes that allow digital assets to be issued and traded without being classified as securities, provided that these assets do not possess the characteristics of exchanges, futures, or derivatives.  
In addition, the draft also designs a mechanism to determine the legal status of blockchain networks that were initiated before the law's implementation. Due to traditional securities laws struggling to adapt to decentralized technologies, this proposal is viewed as a comprehensive and complex legislative effort that is expected to spark intense debate and revisions in Congress.

$SOL If the last 1-hour candle is a bullish candle, it indicates that the closing price of SOL during this hour is higher than the opening price, reflecting an overall upward trend in price, with relatively strong bullish momentum in the short term.
- If it is a bearish candle, it indicates that the closing price is lower than the opening price, and bearish forces dominated during this hour, leading to a downward trend in price.

Body and Shadows

- The length of the body reflects the main price fluctuation range during this hour. A longer body indicates greater price volatility and more intense competition between bulls and bears during that time period.
- The lengths of the upper and lower shadows are also crucial. A longer upper shadow indicates that the price reached a high during this hour but then faced resistance and fell back, suggesting some pressure above; a longer lower shadow means that the price dropped to a certain level but was subsequently lifted by bulls, indicating some support below.

Combining with Trading Volume

- If the price of the last 1-hour candle rises and trading volume increases, it is usually a more positive signal, indicating that more funds are buying SOL, driving the price up, and that bullish momentum is supported by trading volume.

In 2023, the United States made significant strides in stablecoin regulation. On March 13, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee passed the "Guidance and Establishment of a National Innovation Act for U.S. Stablecoins" (the "GENIUS Act") with a vote of 18 to 6, marking an important step towards legal enactment of the bill. This legislation will regulate U.S. stablecoin issuers at the federal level. The bill focuses on payment stablecoins and aims to build a clear regulatory framework to ensure transparency, accountability, and consumer rights, promoting their proper use in the digital economy.
The bill clearly defines payment stablecoins, which must be denominated in national currency, with issuers committing to exchange for a fixed amount, and which do not belong to national currency or investment company securities. Issuance eligibility is strictly limited to approved subsidiaries of insured deposit institutions, federally or state-certified non-bank payment stablecoin issuers. Issuers must hold 100% reserve assets, covering cash in U.S. dollars, Federal Reserve Bank deposits, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities. They are required to publish a reserve composition report monthly, which must be audited by an independent accounting firm, with written certification from the CEO and CFO. In terms of custody, only federally or state-regulated financial institutions may provide services, with client assets prioritized and prohibited from being included on the issuer's balance sheet. Regulatory violations will face penalties such as disqualification, cease-and-desist orders, civil fines, and even criminal penalties.

#欧盟隐私币禁令 Macroeconomics and Regulation:
The U.S. government's increased holdings of Bitcoin face obstacles: BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes believes that although the U.S. government holds a large amount of Bitcoin, it is unlikely to significantly increase its holdings in the short term due to pressure from national debt and public image issues. This reflects the cautious attitude of government institutions toward cryptocurrency investments, as well as the complex challenges faced in policy-making.

The GENIUS Act encounters obstacles: Nine Senate Democrats oppose the current version of the GENIUS Act (Senate Stablecoin Bill) and will not support it in the full Senate vote unless modifications are made. This indicates that stablecoin regulatory legislation faces significant hurdles, and there is still uncertainty about its future direction.

Apple relaxes cryptocurrency app policies: Apple has adjusted its policies in the U.S. App Store, allowing developers to bypass the 30% commission fee, which will reduce operating costs for NFT and cryptocurrency applications and may promote the development of the DApp ecosystem. However, this policy is currently limited to the U.S. market. Trump's positive stance attracts businesses to enter the U.S.: Trump's friendly position on cryptocurrency has attracted several companies, including Deribit and OKX, to enter the U.S. market, indicating the potential for a huge market size in the U.S. and the impact of regulatory policy uncertainty on investor decisions.

$USDC Macroeconomics and Regulation:
US Government's Increase in Bitcoin Holdings Faces Obstacles: BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes believes that, although the US government holds a significant amount of Bitcoin, it is unlikely to significantly increase its holdings in the short term due to pressure from national debt and public image issues. This reflects a cautious attitude of government agencies towards cryptocurrency investments and the complex challenges faced in policy-making.

The GENIUS Act Encounters Obstacles: Nine Senate Democrats oppose the current version of the GENIUS Act (Senate Stablecoin Bill), stating that they will not support it in a full Senate vote unless it is modified. This indicates that regulatory legislation for stablecoins faces significant hurdles, and its future direction remains uncertain.

Apple Eases Crypto App Policies: Apple has adjusted its policies in the US App Store, allowing developers to bypass the 30% commission fee, which will reduce operating costs for NFT and cryptocurrency applications and may promote the development of the DApp ecosystem. However, this policy is currently limited to the US market. Trump's Positive Attitude Attracts Companies to the US: Trump's friendly stance towards cryptocurrency has attracted several companies, including Deribit and OKX, to enter the US market, demonstrating the potential vast market size in the US and the impact of regulatory uncertainty on investor decisions.

#苹果放宽加密规则 Amazing Alert! Is Bitcoin on the Brink of Collapse? Giant Whale Dumps 1000 BTC! 😱📉
Abraxas Transfers 191 Million to Kraken, Market Panic Intensifies!
Giant Whale Activity
4 hours ago, the Abraxas Capital wallet transferred 1000 BTC (approximately $96.9 million) to Kraken exchange, breaking a nearly 3-month silence. Previously, Abraxas accumulated 2983 BTC from the 74k bottom between April 15-18, catching the subsequent surge. History shows that its transfers to exchanges are often accompanied by severe market adjustments.
Market Signals
Abraxas currently holds 1983 BTC (approximately $191 million). This transfer may be for short-term profit-taking or could indicate a complete sell-off of holdings. BTC has been rising steadily recently, and the actions of the giant whale suggest a strong risk of correction; investors need to be cautious.

$BTC Breaking alarm! Is this a precursor to a Bitcoin crash? A giant whale dumps 1000 BTC! 😱📉
Abraxas transfers 191 million to Kraken, market panic intensifies!
Whale movement
4 hours ago, the Abraxas Capital wallet transferred 1000 BTC (approximately 96.9 million USD) to the Kraken exchange, breaking a near 3-month silence. Previously, Abraxas accumulated 2983 BTC from a bottom of 74k between April 15-18, coinciding with a subsequent surge. History shows that its transfers to exchanges are often accompanied by severe market corrections.
Market signal
Abraxas currently holds 1983 BTC (approximately 191 million USD). This transfer may be for short-term profit-taking or may indicate a sell-off of all holdings. BTC has been rising recently, and the whale's actions suggest a strong risk of correction, so investors should remain vigilant.

关注狂人不迷路

The introduction of the Digital Asset Act #数字资产法案 is undoubtedly a key milestone in the development of the digital asset ecosystem. The passage of the FIT21 Act in the United States clearly delineates the responsibilities of regulatory agencies, providing a clear path for digital asset regulation and ending the industry’s prolonged regulatory chaos. We can see its positive significance in constructing market order. The UK’s legislation that includes cryptocurrencies and others within the scope of personal property provides strong legal protection for investors, significantly enhancing market confidence.
Although these acts have their highlights, they also face challenges. For instance, the lack of uniform standards among some state-level acts can lead to regulatory arbitrage, allowing some criminals to exploit gaps. Furthermore, the inherent characteristics of digital assets, such as severe price volatility and technical security risks, mean that current legislation is still not sufficiently comprehensive in addressing these issues.