Crypto滕子京

Highlights for June 14
Today's market greed and fear index is 52, a decrease of 2 points in the greed index compared to yesterday, indicating that market sentiment remains predominantly neutral. The total number of people holding positions in the market over the past 24 hours is 50,000, with a total amount of 209 million USD.
Yesterday, we discussed the current market trends and synchronized them with last week, expecting a significant drop around Wednesday and Thursday. Therefore, it is anticipated that the market will likely undergo a K-line repair over the weekend, resulting in a fluctuating rebound. The research report provided yesterday suggested high short operations for BTC with resistance levels at 105,200 to 106,200, and the highest point intraday perfectly touched and successfully executed the order. The resistance point for ETH was given as a maximum of 2,566 to 2,585, also successfully executed. As of now, all high short points have successfully executed orders, while low long points are still pending. Do not get overly excited; strictly follow the points provided by the old vine and secure profits.
Point Analysis
Today's focus on BTC:
Upper resistance around 105,800 to 106,200 as the first and second resistances.
Lower support around 104,000 to 103,300 as the first and second supports.
(Direction remains unchanged; over the weekend, focus on high short and low long strategies, strictly manage take-profit and stop-loss orders, with the first and second resistances posted, and stop-loss placed about 400 points below the second resistance, and vice versa)
Today's focus on ETH: 2,580 and 2,610 as the first and second resistances.
Lower support at 2,460 to around 2,420 as the first and second supports.
(Similar to BTC, weekend operations should focus on low long or high short strategies, placing stop-loss about 20 points below the second resistance)
Summary: The weekend market will see small upward fluctuations, undergoing market repairs, with further declines expected next week; the market volatility is quite high, so be sure to manage stop-loss and take-profit effectively.

A brother asked if there are any recommended potential altcoins? What should I do if my hands are itchy?

Yes, many, but now they are all at historical lows, can we buy the dip?

No, we still need to wait. Now that Bitcoin is so high, what altcoins can we buy? When Bitcoin drops, altcoins will collapse as well.

Buying the dip doesn’t mean buying at the bottom of altcoins, it means buying altcoins at the bottom of Bitcoin. If Bitcoin is at 80,000 and you don’t buy the dip, then you go to buy the dip at 110,000.

A friend who misses out loses time; making a mistake means losing capital. Think about this carefully.

#加密市场回调

Highlights for June 13

Today's market greed and fear index is 54, with the greed index down 7 points from yesterday, indicating that market sentiment remains predominantly neutral. The market's 24-hour leveraged positions have 247,000 individuals with a total value of 1.144 billion USD.

Yesterday, we discussed that the market's news was aimed at raising prices to offload. The CPI data released the day before yesterday and the PPI data released yesterday were relatively positive news for the crypto market. After the news was released, the subsequent month typically sees a price spike followed by a sharp drop the next morning. In yesterday's significant correction, a total of 250,000 individuals faced liquidation, resulting in an overnight loss of 1.14 billion USD. Of course, today another reason was provided: there has been conflict in the Middle East, leading to market economic risk aversion and creating a channel for release.

This is how market institutions operate; even when things are chaotic, they try to maintain a facade. On the surface, they claim to be tightening risk aversion, but in reality, they are afraid that future news will lack substance, which is why they provide explanations.

Price Analysis
Today's focus is on BTC:
Resistance levels around 105,200 to 106,200 act as the first and second resistance levels.
Support levels around 103,200 to 102,300 act as the first and second support levels.
(The reason for the early morning drop was due to liquidation and panic selling from the foreign conflict, but after the news settles, there may be a rebound in the market. Weekend trading will also see some price recovery. Tonight and over the weekend, the strategy will be to primarily focus on high short and low long trades, while strictly managing take profit and stop loss levels. Place orders at the first and second resistance levels, with stop losses set about 400 points below the second resistance level.)

Today's focus is on ETH:
Resistance levels around 2566 and 2610 act as the first and second resistance levels.
Support levels around 2465 to 2410 act as the first and second support levels.
(Like BTC, weekend trading will focus on low long or high short strategies. Place orders at the first and second resistance levels, with stop losses set about 20 points below the second resistance level.)

Summary: Weekend trading will see small fluctuations upward for market recovery, and next week will likely continue to decline. Market volatility is significant, so manage take profit and stop loss levels carefully.

Highlights for June 13

Today's market Greed and Fear Index is 54, with the Greed Index down 7 points from yesterday, indicating that market sentiment remains predominantly neutral. The market has 247,000 people in positions over the past 24 hours, totaling 1.144 billion USD.

Yesterday, we discussed that the market news was aimed at driving prices up for selling. The CPI data released the day before yesterday and the PPI data released yesterday were both positive news for the cryptocurrency market. After the news was released, the market often sees an initial surge followed by a sharp drop the next morning. The recent large correction saw a total of 250,000 people liquidated, resulting in a direct loss of 1.14 billion USD overnight. Of course, today a reason was provided: there’s conflict in the Middle East, leading the market to seek safe havens, which gave an outlet for the panic.

This is how market institutions operate; even when they take risks, they must maintain a facade. On the surface, they present the news as a reason to tighten positions for safe havens, while in reality, they are concerned that future news may not hold significant value, hence the need for an explanation.

Price Analysis
Today, focus on BTC:
The upper resistance is around 105,200 to 106,200 as the first and second resistance levels.
The lower support is around 103,200 to 102,300 as the first and second support levels.
(The sharp drop in the early morning was due to liquidation and panic selling caused by foreign conflicts, with the market expected to stabilize after some time. A rebound may occur, and the weekend may also see some recovery. Tonight and through the weekend, focus on high short and low long strategies, and strictly manage stop-losses and take-profits, placing orders at the first and second resistance levels, with stop-losses set around 400 points below the second resistance.)

Today, focus on ETH:
Resistance levels are around 2,566 and 2,610 as the first and second resistance levels.
Support levels are around 2,465 to 2,410 as the first and second support levels.
(Just like BTC, the weekend trading for ETH should primarily involve low long or high short strategies. Place orders at the first and second resistance levels, with stop-losses set around 20 points below the second resistance.)

Summary: The weekend trading will likely see small upward fluctuations for market recovery, with a continuation of declines next week. The market will experience significant volatility, so ensure to manage stop-losses and take-profits effectively.

#加密市场回调

This wave of market adjustment is entirely due to the shift in the international situation, as Israel has clashed with Iran again, leading to a noticeable risk aversion in the market. Given the current circumstances, as the news gradually settles, there will be a slight rebound in the intraday market.

#以色列空襲伊朗核設施

It's been a rollercoaster, Bitcoin (BTC) reached 400%;
WCT has also reached 14000%

Incredible, right? 😁

Highlights for June 12
Today's market greed and fear index is 61, with the greed index down 4 points from yesterday. Market sentiment remains bullish, with the majority of positions still holding an advantage. The total amount of leveraged positions in the market over the past 24 hours is 328 million USD.
After the PCI data was released last night, in terms of data, it was a slight positive. The market surged sharply but saw a pullback of nearly 3000 points this morning. To put it simply, such news without a significant trend or major good news is just a way to push prices up for selling. If it were really about halving, upgrades, or interest rate cuts, that would lead to a clear trend, but is the data completely useless? Is the market just going to drop without looking back?
Do not go all in with heavy positions; playing in the crypto circle is about making money and recovering losses, not about just going all in recklessly. Look at the current market, sometimes it's flourishing, and sometimes it's desolate. A slow and steady approach, waiting for the major coin to drop below 90,000 and then buying in batches on altcoins is a better strategy. Therefore, I personally suggest that regardless of how the market fluctuates, follow the old trend and make small trend trades.
Position Analysis
Today's key focus on BTC:
Upper resistance at around 108,600 to 109,500 as the first and second resistance levels.
Lower support at 107,200, down to around 106,400 as the first and second support levels.
(Currently, the direction for BTC can be treated as a small trend with a low buy trend, with strict take profit and stop loss parameters, first and second resistance levels placed for orders, and stop loss set about 400 points below the second resistance.)
Today's key focus on ETH:
Resistance at around 2780 and 2805 as the first and second resistance levels.
Lower support at 2730, down to around 2700 as the first and second support levels.
(Similar to BTC, the main focus is on low buy trends, with first and second resistance levels for orders, and stop loss set about 20 points below the second resistance.)
Summary: From my personal perspective, we are currently in a state of tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The news from yesterday did indeed have a market impact, but the overall trend still remains chaotic. I still advise my fellow traders in the market to engage in short-term trades. Now is not the time for heavy positions and reckless moves. A significant drop may occur in the next two months, likely below 90,000, but in this unclear market, going all in is the worst strategy. Don't let your capital be wiped out before it's time to really go all in.

Brothers, take a look at this map and compare it with the 22-year BTC market. Does it feel very similar?
#CPI数据来袭

The CPI data for May has been released, previous value 2.3, expected 2.5, actual published data 2.4

The data is higher than last month, lower than expected, slightly positive for the cryptocurrency market

Trump is the most theatrical businessman and politician, from last year's vote-seeking that caused a vertical crash to the subsequent tariff policy, and now the falling out with Musk. How many times has it all been a collaboration of public opinion?

From a tearing “divorce” it will eventually lead to a peaceful “separation”.

From now on, both parties will return to their respective lives, dust to dust, and soil to soil, each living well.

This time, from Musk and Trump’s conflict, Tesla plummeted, to later reconciliation, Tesla surged by several points,
It’s all just about recovering low-priced, bloodied stock market chips,
It’s the same principle as DOGE, after the stock market, it will soon be the turn of the crypto world again.
#DOGE

#CPI数据来袭

Let's wait and see, tonight's CPI data, hoping for a published value of 2.7%, directly higher than the published value, which would directly crash the market ​​​

Last month's was 2.3%, and the expected value is 2.5%,
Tonight's data release, if it's higher than 2.5%, it's a big negative, the market looks bearish
If it's lower than 2.5%, for example, 2.3%, which is equal to last month's consumer price index, it's positive, the market looks bullish

#CPI

June 11 Trend Analysis

Today's market greed and fear index is 65, the greed index has risen by 1 point compared to yesterday, the market sentiment has shifted from bullish to neutral and then to greedy, with the majority of people in the market now holding long positions. The total amount of leveraged positions in the market over the last 24 hours is 300 million USD.

Yesterday's analysis mainly discussed two aspects: first, the CPI data coming out tonight at 8:30 PM; second, the prediction that the market would likely go up until the data is released. Yesterday, Bitcoin's price hit support just below 108,500 and rebounded, with the highest rebound being 1,500 points, just shy of reaching the first target position.

Tonight at 8:30 PM, the CPI data will be released, reflecting last month's overall economic situation in the United States and making adjustments accordingly. The impact on expected and published values is illustrated below. Currently, before the news comes out, the overall trend remains unchanged, with strong support still at the range between 108,500 and 107,750. As long as this range is not breached, this defense remains unchanged. The intraday outlook is still the same as yesterday, focusing on defending against fluctuations while aiming for upward movement.

Price Analysis
Today’s key focus is on Bitcoin:
Resistance above at around 110,600 to 111,500 as the first and second resistance levels.
Support below at 108,500 to around 107,750 as the first and second support levels.
(Bitcoin has formed a wedge continuation pattern; as long as the range of 108,500 to 107,750 holds, there is still a possibility of making new highs! Brothers in harmony, my personal suggestion is not to rush into the market, but to wait for the news to be released before looking for opportunities to enter.)

Today’s key focus is on Ethereum: 2830 and around 2860 as the first and second resistance levels.
Support below at 2755 to around 2695 as the first and second support levels.
(Similar to Bitcoin, we should remain patient and not enter blindly; wait for the news to be released before making decisions.)

Summary: My personal view, brothers holding short positions should not act for now; we are currently in a large cycle of significant volatility. Clear news will come out tonight. The possibility of interest rate cuts will determine whether there will be a price surge; if the rate cut is successful in June, we may see 140,000, and if delayed, we may see 100,000. Therefore, it is important to remain calm and not make frequent trades; patiently wait for the news to be released.

For this wave of altcoins, whether they can take off depends on these two points
Recently, everyone has felt the market rhythm: Bitcoin and Ethereum are taking turns to surge, while altcoins are still playing dead.
At this time, we need to look back at how the wave of rotations went in the second half of last year, 2024—Bitcoin started running in September, skyrocketing to 100,000 in four months, and it was only after November that altcoins began to take off. The typical rhythm of that wave was: Bitcoin surged first, Ethereum followed, and finally, funds flowed into altcoins.
The current market is, to some extent, replicating last year's path:
On a macro level, while the Federal Reserve's policy is hawkish in words, the market has begun to bet on a pivot, coupled with election expectations, the window is getting closer;
On the funding side, stablecoins have also started to quietly gain momentum—last November to December was a peak for stablecoin issuance, and this round has just begun;
Currently, the money in the market is still fighting in the mainstream, while altcoins have not truly begun to take off.
But I want to say: at times like this, it is often the vacuum phase before the explosion.
In the past 24 hours, most altcoins have remained still, but if you look at the details, some low-position coins have already started to see funds slowly accumulating, with transaction volumes gently increasing, clearly absorbing quietly.
Referring to historical rhythms, if Bitcoin can really stabilize above the key level, it is very likely that there will be altcoin takeoff signals within a month.
So where is the opportunity in this wave? Here are some thoughts on selecting coins:
Choose those that have already emerged from the bottom structure;
Transaction volumes haven't exploded, but have been warming up recently;
Focus still on the infrastructure direction, and the AI sector, keep a close eye on a few leading players.
Don't rush, don't be anxious, just be in position when the wind rises.
Let's wait until the CPI data is released, the key is whether there will be a rate cut in June, if rates are cut, prices will rise, if not, we will see declines.
#ETH #BTC #看懂K线

6 / 10 Major Trend Analysis
Today's market greed and fear index is 64, with the greed index rising 9 points from yesterday. Market sentiment has shifted from bullish to neutral and then to greedy, with most people in the market being bullish. The total liquidation amount in the market over the past 24 hours is 446 million dollars.

Bitcoin has dropped 10,000 dollars over half a month, and has directly risen 10,000 dollars in just four days since Friday. The recent large fluctuations and one-sided market have left the market in a daze. As of now, this is all preparing for the CPI release tomorrow night.
On Wednesday, there will be news regarding the CPI data, which will affect whether there will be an interest rate cut in June. Currently, over 90% suggests that the interest rate cut will not go through, which is relatively bearish news. If it's bearish, it may cause a sharp drop; based on past patterns, there won't be any immediate reaction, but a sudden drop will follow. Therefore, I feel we need to rely on the data at 8:30 PM on Wednesday, at least until Thursday afternoon for a sudden drop. Until the release, the market will likely experience small fluctuations upwards with low volume, attracting more bulls to enter, and then a large sell-off will occur.
Price Analysis
Today, focus on BTC Bitcoin:
Upper resistance at 110600 to around 111500 as the first and second resistance
Lower support at 108500 to around 107750 as the first and second support
(For the next two days until the CPI data release, it is recommended to observe mainly. The view of the old expert is that the market will continue to break new highs back and forth, attracting retail investors until the news is released, then burying most of the users.)
Today, focus on ETH Ethereum:
2725 and 2790 as the first and second resistance
Lower support at 2614 to around 565 as the first and second support
(Same as BTC Bitcoin, mainly wait and see, do not blindly enter the market, wait for the news to be released before making a decision.)
Summary: The old expert's personal view is that brothers holding short positions should not act for now. We are currently in a large cycle of volatility. Clear news will come tomorrow night, whether there will be an interest rate cut will determine the rise or fall. If the interest rate cut is successful in June, we will see 140,000; if it is delayed, we will see 100,000. Therefore, it is important to remain calm and avoid frequent operations, waiting for the news to land.

Brothers, I want to say WCT I'm still here, how about you? 😅#WCT

6 / 9 Daily Trend Analysis
Today's market greed and fear index is 55, the greed index is flat compared to yesterday, and the market sentiment is currently in a slightly greedy state.
Looking back at what was mentioned in last Friday's analysis regarding the weekend market, the big coin and the small coin will slightly trend upwards, and sure enough, the small coin has ended with two upward candles, with the big coin rebounding up to 2500 points in the last two days. The rebound of the small coin is slightly weaker than that of the big coin, but it is still at the support level on the daily chart.
Current trend, BTC and ETH have rebounded after two days of market activity over the weekend, and they have now returned to the position before last week's sharp decline. The primary focus is on positioning ahead of Wednesday's CPI data release. It is now clear that a rate cut this month is impossible; the question is whether there will be a spike before the data is released, and then a significant drop after the negative news is digested.
Point Analysis
Today's focus is on BTC:
Upper resistance at around 106400 to 106700 as the first and second resistance levels.
Lower support at 105150, down to around 104700 as the first and second support levels.
(The bearish trend continues, primarily short positions; place orders at the first and second resistance levels, and set stop-loss at the second resistance level approximately 400 points above.)
Today's focus is on the small coin: 2525 and around 2540 as the first and second resistance levels.
Lower resistance at 2470, down to around 2415 as the first and second support levels.
(The bearish trend continues, primarily short positions; place orders at the first and second resistance levels, and set stop-loss about 20 points above the second resistance level.)
Summary: My personal view is that the short positions continue, waiting for a rebound opportunity to maintain short positions; we are currently in a large cycle of high volatility. Try not to chase the market now, focus on placing limit orders, so the emphasis is still on small fluctuations. Don’t get caught up in the big picture; secure profits when possible.

#BTC

This week's data is not insignificant, with the focus mainly on Wednesday's CPI. Let's briefly go over the schedule:

On Monday, at 22:00, there is wholesale sales data, followed by the New York Fed's inflation expectations at 23:00, which are mainly sentiment-driven and will not have a significant impact;

The real core is Wednesday night's CPI, which is the biggest turning point for the entire next week. The market has been dreaming of interest rate cuts, and if the CPI does not cooperate, this dream may have to be postponed until September before this news lands.

Following that, there will be Thursday's initial jobless claims + PPI, which can be seen as supplementary data;

Friday will wrap things up, looking at consumer confidence and one-year inflation expectations, which will help further set the market's direction for the third quarter.

The current issue is whether inflation can go down, entirely depending on how well the goods and services sectors perform. According to the Cleveland Fed's model estimates, May's CPI year-on-year may be 2.4%, slightly higher than last month's 2.3%, while the core CPI might remain unchanged at 2.8%.

What does this mean? The market has been overly optimistic about inflation retreating. If you are really counting on a rate cut in June, it will just be empty rhetoric.

The real window period seems to be in August or September, so don't be too anxious.

#比特币

Unfortunately, yesterday's FET, entered at 0.82, rebounded to a maximum of 0.802,
today it has pulled back by more than ten points so far, if I had entered it would have been a big profit
😭

6 / 6 Daily Trend Analysis

Today's market greed and fear index is 44, the greed index has decreased by 11 points compared to yesterday, and the market sentiment is currently in a slight state of fear.

Looking back at yesterday's analysis, recent research reports have continuously emphasized a short-oriented operational direction. Last night, the major cryptocurrency (Bitcoin) directly broke down with a maximum correction of 5000 points (nearly 5%) within 24 hours, while the second major cryptocurrency (Ethereum) had a maximum correction of 260 points (over 10%). Those who have been following our trades recently have made significant profits.

Current situation: Although there was a significant drop last night, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown substantial corrections, but the overall trend remains unchanged. After the rebound, the focus is still on short positions at high levels, and the weekly chart for Bitcoin shows a clear double-top pattern. We are still paying attention to tonight's non-farm payroll announcement at 8:30 PM (less important, focus on the needle), and next Wednesday's CPI announcement (important, determines the major directional trend).

Level Analysis
Today, focus on Bitcoin:
Upper resistance around 103700 to around 104300 as the first and second resistance
Lower support at 101900, around 10200 as the first and second support
(Short positions continue, focus on high shorts, place orders at first and second resistance, set stop loss above the second resistance by about 400 points)

Today, focus on Ethereum: 2470 and around 2500 as the first and second resistance
Lower resistance at 2410, around 2375 as the first and second support
(Short positions continue, focus on high shorts, place orders at first and second resistance, set stop loss above the second resistance by about 20 points)

Summary: In my personal view, short positions continue, waiting for rebound opportunities to maintain high shorts. We are currently in a large cycle with significant volatility, so try not to chase trades now; focus on placing orders. Tonight at 8:30 PM, wait for news to drop and look for opportunities to enter. The weekend market is likely to show a slight upward trend, so for now, focus on small fluctuations, avoid big positions, and take profits for safety.

Grasping the Ethereum ETH levels, successful positioning for long trades,

Successfully holding long trades at 2595 and 2585, with the current intraday low at 2579.

Precise targeting of levels, following along with Old Vine's daily profits.

😁😁😁
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