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Bullish
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4·29|Old Vine Review|AI Emotion Ignition, BTC High-Position Volatility, Key Support Must Not Break The market does not rest before May Day, three fundamental things: 1. The hawkish ETF continues the "gold-eating beast" model, with a net inflow of $590 million into BTC and $64 million into ETH; traditional funds are still buying vigorously. 2. OpenAI has introduced a new feature: you can now directly buy things on ChatGPT. This means AI is no longer an abstract concept; it is becoming practical and grounded, which adds both emotional and logical points to the AI sector, with short-term rotation expected to start. 3. The probability of the Federal Reserve remaining still in May is as high as 91.1%, and the market has already taken precautions against a "pause". BTC: After a pullback to 745 at the beginning of April, it made the first segment of a ten-thousand-point surge, oscillating around 86. Now it is in the second phase starting from 84, already beginning to consolidate at high positions. Technically, the K-line is currently oscillating to digest the previous gains, and it is expected that after approaching the 14-day moving average, there will be the next wave of action. As long as it does not break 92, repeatedly challenging above 95, washing out the trapped positions from February, there is still hope for further gains. On the 4-hour chart, 955 is a hurdle; short-term funds tend to take profits here. However, each time it pulls back, the low points are rising, indicating a healthy adjustment. From an operational perspective, support is seen at 936-926, while resistance is at 954-964. ETH: Currently moving sideways in the 1750-1820 range, a typical accumulation phase. The movement is symmetrical, and the key is whether the 1720 support can hold; if it does, there is still a chance to push towards 2100. On the 4-hour chart, there are “spike patterns,” with bulls and bears testing the bottom line, indicating strong intent from the main players. If there can be a volume breakout later, a new trend will start. During the day, support is at 1780-1760, and resistance is at 1810-1830. AI Sector: OpenAI's e-commerce implementation connects the "AI → Scenario → Revenue" chain, further strengthening the sector's logic. Short-term sentiment has already started, focusing on the main line of FET + AGIX, while RNDR looks towards infrastructure, and TAO remains a belief coin hovering at high levels, albeit with high volatility. Additionally, three supplementary coins to watch: WLD: Recently oscillating upwards, short-term support around 1.09; if it holds, look for a recovery towards 1.3; defensive position at 0.98. ARKM: Consolidating, support around 0.57; if it stabilizes, there is a short-term chance to challenge 0.71-0.85, with a defense at 0.5. PHB: Stronger structure, if it pulls back to 0.55 without breaking, continue to favor bullish outlook, target above 0.71; defensive position at 0.51. #加密市场反弹
4·29|Old Vine Review|AI Emotion Ignition, BTC High-Position Volatility, Key Support Must Not Break

The market does not rest before May Day, three fundamental things:

1. The hawkish ETF continues the "gold-eating beast" model, with a net inflow of $590 million into BTC and $64 million into ETH; traditional funds are still buying vigorously.
2. OpenAI has introduced a new feature: you can now directly buy things on ChatGPT. This means AI is no longer an abstract concept; it is becoming practical and grounded, which adds both emotional and logical points to the AI sector, with short-term rotation expected to start.
3. The probability of the Federal Reserve remaining still in May is as high as 91.1%, and the market has already taken precautions against a "pause".

BTC:
After a pullback to 745 at the beginning of April, it made the first segment of a ten-thousand-point surge, oscillating around 86. Now it is in the second phase starting from 84, already beginning to consolidate at high positions. Technically, the K-line is currently oscillating to digest the previous gains, and it is expected that after approaching the 14-day moving average, there will be the next wave of action. As long as it does not break 92, repeatedly challenging above 95, washing out the trapped positions from February, there is still hope for further gains.
On the 4-hour chart, 955 is a hurdle; short-term funds tend to take profits here. However, each time it pulls back, the low points are rising, indicating a healthy adjustment. From an operational perspective, support is seen at 936-926, while resistance is at 954-964.

ETH:
Currently moving sideways in the 1750-1820 range, a typical accumulation phase. The movement is symmetrical, and the key is whether the 1720 support can hold; if it does, there is still a chance to push towards 2100. On the 4-hour chart, there are “spike patterns,” with bulls and bears testing the bottom line, indicating strong intent from the main players. If there can be a volume breakout later, a new trend will start. During the day, support is at 1780-1760, and resistance is at 1810-1830.

AI Sector:
OpenAI's e-commerce implementation connects the "AI → Scenario → Revenue" chain, further strengthening the sector's logic. Short-term sentiment has already started, focusing on the main line of FET + AGIX, while RNDR looks towards infrastructure, and TAO remains a belief coin hovering at high levels, albeit with high volatility.
Additionally, three supplementary coins to watch:

WLD: Recently oscillating upwards, short-term support around 1.09; if it holds, look for a recovery towards 1.3; defensive position at 0.98.

ARKM: Consolidating, support around 0.57; if it stabilizes, there is a short-term chance to challenge 0.71-0.85, with a defense at 0.5.

PHB: Stronger structure, if it pulls back to 0.55 without breaking, continue to favor bullish outlook, target above 0.71; defensive position at 0.51.
#加密市场反弹
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Today laid out two coins FLOKI Current price 0.000082 Limit order 0.000077 Upper resistance 0.00001, not afraid as long as it doesn't drop below 0.000068 WIF Current price 0.678 Limit order 0.64 , Upper resistance 0.78 , not afraid as long as it doesn't drop below 0.56
Today laid out two coins

FLOKI Current price 0.000082 Limit order 0.000077 Upper resistance 0.00001, not afraid as long as it doesn't drop below 0.000068

WIF Current price 0.678 Limit order 0.64 , Upper resistance 0.78 , not afraid as long as it doesn't drop below 0.56
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A spark could ignite a fire, just yesterday WLD surged by 20 points, and NEAR has also increased by 8 points. This wave is taking off, those who believe in the old vine are not mistaken.
A spark could ignite a fire, just yesterday WLD surged by 20 points, and NEAR has also increased by 8 points. This wave is taking off, those who believe in the old vine are not mistaken.
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Countdown begins | SEC roundtable tonight, who can rival in the AI sector? April 26th, 01:00, SEC roundtable discussing cryptocurrency, don't underestimate this wave: Regulatory easing is on the way: big names in the same frame, attitudes are no longer behind high walls, future policies will be more transparent. Institutions may restart buying spree: ETFs/CDOs facing cooling? With a warm breeze of policy, funds can come back at any time. Short-term atmosphere is about to ignite: news landing, the market feels like it has been filled with gunpowder, soaring high. The charge of the AI sector has sounded the horn. #WLD#: Current price around 0.96, watch the upper resistance at 1.12–1.30, if it doesn't break below 0.88, pay attention. #NEAR#: Current price around 2.55, key pressure zone at 3.00–3.20; if it retraces to 2.15–2.00, it’s a good dip-buy opportunity. Trading rhythm should proceed as follows: Gradual layout: enter with a small position before the SEC meeting, add more after the positive news comes out; High sell low buy: take some profits after breaking resistance, decisively stop loss if it breaks support; Volume-price coordination: only when volume increases is it a real breakout, otherwise it’s a false wind. Brothers, don't let the next wave of climax become a stage for others to show off, The SEC wind direction is already set, the AI sector may take off first, getting in early is the way to go!
Countdown begins | SEC roundtable tonight, who can rival in the AI sector?

April 26th, 01:00, SEC roundtable discussing cryptocurrency, don't underestimate this wave:

Regulatory easing is on the way: big names in the same frame, attitudes are no longer behind high walls, future policies will be more transparent.

Institutions may restart buying spree: ETFs/CDOs facing cooling? With a warm breeze of policy, funds can come back at any time.

Short-term atmosphere is about to ignite: news landing, the market feels like it has been filled with gunpowder, soaring high.

The charge of the AI sector has sounded the horn.

#WLD#: Current price around 0.96, watch the upper resistance at 1.12–1.30, if it doesn't break below 0.88, pay attention.

#NEAR#: Current price around 2.55, key pressure zone at 3.00–3.20; if it retraces to 2.15–2.00, it’s a good dip-buy opportunity.

Trading rhythm should proceed as follows:

Gradual layout: enter with a small position before the SEC meeting, add more after the positive news comes out;

High sell low buy: take some profits after breaking resistance, decisively stop loss if it breaks support;

Volume-price coordination: only when volume increases is it a real breakout, otherwise it’s a false wind.

Brothers, don't let the next wave of climax become a stage for others to show off,
The SEC wind direction is already set, the AI sector may take off first, getting in early is the way to go!
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Brothers, a password has come, a good opportunity for spot trading——#S# Current Price: 0.51 Key Resistance: 0.62 – 0.65 (if it breaks out with volume, consider holding on) Strong Support: 0.40 – 0.45 (sell out if it breaks, otherwise buying here is the safest) Trading Strategy High sell and low buy within the range: reduce positions in batches near 0.62–0.65, and lightly buy back when it retraces to 0.45. Stop Loss Setting: Stop loss if it breaks 0.40, hold the support before discussing rebounds. Pay Attention to Trading Volume: Only a breakout accompanied by increased volume is a true signal; otherwise, treat it as a false breakout. Short-term Sprint – Quick in and out, target 0.62 for the first victory, if broken, aim for 0.70; – After the boiling point, watch for a pullback, don’t bet all positions. Remember: “Don’t short if support is not broken, follow the volume to chase the rise.” Brothers, let’s go! #以太坊的未来
Brothers, a password has come, a good opportunity for spot trading——#S#

Current Price: 0.51
Key Resistance: 0.62 – 0.65 (if it breaks out with volume, consider holding on)
Strong Support: 0.40 – 0.45 (sell out if it breaks, otherwise buying here is the safest)

Trading Strategy

High sell and low buy within the range: reduce positions in batches near 0.62–0.65, and lightly buy back when it retraces to 0.45.

Stop Loss Setting: Stop loss if it breaks 0.40, hold the support before discussing rebounds.

Pay Attention to Trading Volume: Only a breakout accompanied by increased volume is a true signal; otherwise, treat it as a false breakout.

Short-term Sprint
– Quick in and out, target 0.62 for the first victory, if broken, aim for 0.70;
– After the boiling point, watch for a pullback, don’t bet all positions.

Remember: “Don’t short if support is not broken, follow the volume to chase the rise.” Brothers, let’s go!

#以太坊的未来
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Old Vine Review | Fluctuation is just a transition, the storm is gaining strength First, let’s mention a few key signals — 1️⃣ SEC will hold a crypto roundtable at 1 AM tonight. Don’t underestimate this "neutral occasion"; the new head is relatively friendly and might throw out some treats; 2️⃣ Trump continues to make noise, causing the dollar, U.S. Treasury, and U.S. stocks to collectively decouple, deciding the global ups and downs with his words every day. This Wall Street is really collapsing; 3️⃣ The Fed has basically confirmed no rate hike in May, and the "unemployment expectations" brought by high officials have brought rate cuts back to the table, overall leaning towards bullish. How to view the market? 🔹BTC: After three consecutive large bullish candles, it has entered a high-level fluctuation between 918-945, which is a normal technical correction — if there is no consolidation after a large bullish candle, it is actually unhealthy. Now is the "accumulation period"; fluctuations do not change the trend, wait for a pullback confirmation before continuing to surge up. The 4-hour chart tested the 945 resistance last night; today’s focus is on whether the pullback around 918 can hold. If it breaks down, avoid temporarily; if it breaks up, it will be the last fluctuation before the breakout. Key points: The 95-98 range is heavy pressure; a real breakout requires volume + emotional cooperation. Don't chase blindly; keep an eye on the signals from the SEC meeting at dawn. 🔹ETH: Ethereum's rhythm is more technically oriented, currently following a standard "volume contraction pullback + moving average support" structure. The 7-day and 30-day moving averages have formed a golden cross; the daily trend is fine, and in the short term, it's just looking for support to accumulate strength. Pay attention to the defense around 1740-1720; if it stabilizes, it’s a washout before a second upward attack; conversely, if it breaks 1700, then the bullish rhythm needs to be rearranged. Operational strategy: For short-term trading, focus on buying low around 1740, and quickly enter and exit at 1780-1800 resistance. Consider chasing long only after confirming volume. 🔹Altcoin Direction: As Ethereum is correcting, altcoins naturally adjust as well. The core buying point is not now, but after "Ethereum does not break 1700-1720 + volume attack", the second round of opportunities for altcoins will truly be released. In terms of memes, affected by Trump's rhythm, capital sentiment is very active; WIF and PEOPLE have entered the pullback range, so light buying can be considered. The AI sector continues to be strong, TAO and FET show healthy trends, LPT is pulling back around $5, and there are good short-term opportunities. In summary: Fluctuation is to filter out people; the real market hasn't started yet. Maintain a calm mindset, focus on structure, don’t rush, and opportunities will come to those who are patient. #以太坊的未来
Old Vine Review | Fluctuation is just a transition, the storm is gaining strength

First, let’s mention a few key signals —

1️⃣ SEC will hold a crypto roundtable at 1 AM tonight. Don’t underestimate this "neutral occasion"; the new head is relatively friendly and might throw out some treats;
2️⃣ Trump continues to make noise, causing the dollar, U.S. Treasury, and U.S. stocks to collectively decouple, deciding the global ups and downs with his words every day. This Wall Street is really collapsing;
3️⃣ The Fed has basically confirmed no rate hike in May, and the "unemployment expectations" brought by high officials have brought rate cuts back to the table, overall leaning towards bullish.

How to view the market?

🔹BTC:
After three consecutive large bullish candles, it has entered a high-level fluctuation between 918-945, which is a normal technical correction — if there is no consolidation after a large bullish candle, it is actually unhealthy. Now is the "accumulation period"; fluctuations do not change the trend, wait for a pullback confirmation before continuing to surge up.

The 4-hour chart tested the 945 resistance last night; today’s focus is on whether the pullback around 918 can hold. If it breaks down, avoid temporarily; if it breaks up, it will be the last fluctuation before the breakout.

Key points: The 95-98 range is heavy pressure; a real breakout requires volume + emotional cooperation. Don't chase blindly; keep an eye on the signals from the SEC meeting at dawn.

🔹ETH:
Ethereum's rhythm is more technically oriented, currently following a standard "volume contraction pullback + moving average support" structure. The 7-day and 30-day moving averages have formed a golden cross; the daily trend is fine, and in the short term, it's just looking for support to accumulate strength.

Pay attention to the defense around 1740-1720; if it stabilizes, it’s a washout before a second upward attack; conversely, if it breaks 1700, then the bullish rhythm needs to be rearranged.

Operational strategy: For short-term trading, focus on buying low around 1740, and quickly enter and exit at 1780-1800 resistance. Consider chasing long only after confirming volume.

🔹Altcoin Direction:
As Ethereum is correcting, altcoins naturally adjust as well. The core buying point is not now, but after "Ethereum does not break 1700-1720 + volume attack", the second round of opportunities for altcoins will truly be released.

In terms of memes, affected by Trump's rhythm, capital sentiment is very active; WIF and PEOPLE have entered the pullback range, so light buying can be considered.

The AI sector continues to be strong, TAO and FET show healthy trends, LPT is pulling back around $5, and there are good short-term opportunities.

In summary:

Fluctuation is to filter out people; the real market hasn't started yet. Maintain a calm mindset, focus on structure, don’t rush, and opportunities will come to those who are patient.

#以太坊的未来
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4/23 BTC/ETH Altcoin Analysis Old Vine Review | Good News All Around, Bitcoin Soars Again 🚀 Basic Overview: ① SEC Leadership Change Paul Atkins replaces Gensler as the head of the SEC, calling for “rational, coherent regulation” and encouraging innovation, which brings some relief to the crypto market. ② Tariff Easing Trump announced significant tariff reductions (but not to zero), leading to optimistic market expectations, major gains in the U.S. stock market, a drop in gold prices, and Bitcoin surging to 94K. ③ Liquidity Support The probability that the Fed will remain inactive in May is still over 90%, and USDT has minted an additional 1 billion—liquidity is not an issue. Technical Highlights: 🔹 BTC – Yesterday broke through 90K and 92K, quickly standing above 94K, with three consecutive large bullish candles on the daily chart, showing strong momentum! – However, there is significant selling pressure in the range of 95–98K, so a short-term consolidation may occur. – The 4H level has risen from 84K to 94K, showing signs of stagnation. – Trading range: Resistance at 93.5–94.5K, support at 90.5–91.5K. 🔹 ETH – Weakness in the past few days led to a pullback, but yesterday morning it briefly dipped to 1.54K before quickly recovering, closing with an 11% bullish candle on the daily chart. – Directly approaching the 1.78K resistance area, with the next target at 1.95K. – The 4H level shows stagnation in the bottom range of 1.78–1.83K, with not much trapped inventory, indicating flexibility in the market. – Trading range: Resistance at 1.83–1.85K, support at 1.74–1.76K. Altcoin Sector Rotation 🔥 Three major thematic tracks perform remarkably— – AI Sector: TAO +10%, FET +5%, LPT +50% – MEME Sector: WIF +20%, PEOPLE +10%, FLOKI +15% – GameFi Sector: GALA +10%, GMT +5%, SAND +10% Opportunities should not be missed; brothers looking to make a swing trade can add to their watchlist, buy the dip, and the direction is clear. For more precise private messaging, Old Vine ensures you’ll avoid pitfalls! 😉 #加密市场反弹
4/23 BTC/ETH Altcoin Analysis

Old Vine Review | Good News All Around, Bitcoin Soars Again 🚀

Basic Overview:
① SEC Leadership Change
Paul Atkins replaces Gensler as the head of the SEC, calling for “rational, coherent regulation” and encouraging innovation, which brings some relief to the crypto market.

② Tariff Easing
Trump announced significant tariff reductions (but not to zero), leading to optimistic market expectations, major gains in the U.S. stock market, a drop in gold prices, and Bitcoin surging to 94K.

③ Liquidity Support
The probability that the Fed will remain inactive in May is still over 90%, and USDT has minted an additional 1 billion—liquidity is not an issue.

Technical Highlights:

🔹 BTC
– Yesterday broke through 90K and 92K, quickly standing above 94K, with three consecutive large bullish candles on the daily chart, showing strong momentum!
– However, there is significant selling pressure in the range of 95–98K, so a short-term consolidation may occur.
– The 4H level has risen from 84K to 94K, showing signs of stagnation.
– Trading range: Resistance at 93.5–94.5K, support at 90.5–91.5K.

🔹 ETH
– Weakness in the past few days led to a pullback, but yesterday morning it briefly dipped to 1.54K before quickly recovering, closing with an 11% bullish candle on the daily chart.
– Directly approaching the 1.78K resistance area, with the next target at 1.95K.
– The 4H level shows stagnation in the bottom range of 1.78–1.83K, with not much trapped inventory, indicating flexibility in the market.
– Trading range: Resistance at 1.83–1.85K, support at 1.74–1.76K.

Altcoin Sector Rotation 🔥
Three major thematic tracks perform remarkably—
– AI Sector: TAO +10%, FET +5%, LPT +50%
– MEME Sector: WIF +20%, PEOPLE +10%, FLOKI +15%
– GameFi Sector: GALA +10%, GMT +5%, SAND +10%

Opportunities should not be missed; brothers looking to make a swing trade can add to their watchlist, buy the dip, and the direction is clear.
For more precise private messaging, Old Vine ensures you’ll avoid pitfalls! 😉

#加密市场反弹
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Bearish
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Breaking News|SEC Has New Leadership, Is the Crypto Market Facing a New Inflection Point? Tomorrow, Paul Atkins will officially succeed Gary Gensler as the Chair of the U.S. SEC — The Powell era is gone for good, and Gensler's 'iron fist' has come to an end. From past experiences, Atkins has strong ties with insiders in the digital asset industry and has been involved in consulting for many years, earning a reputation as being 'relatively friendly'. Interpretation of the impact: 1️⃣ Compliance Window May Open During the Gensler era, the SEC heavily scrutinized IPOs, the metaverse, and DeFi. With Atkins coming to power, it is expected that there will be more encouragement for 'self-regulation' + 'industry self-cleaning,' and many stalled ETF applications may have a chance to be restarted. 2️⃣ Accelerated Capital Flows Institutions were previously waiting on the sidelines; Atkins has stated that he 'respects innovation,' which may lead to large-scale foreign investments re-entering the market in the short term. 3️⃣ Sector Differentiation Intensifies Not all altcoins will benefit; only those close to the 'innovation windfall' will be the first choice: AI Computing & Data: Computing tokens, on-chain AI projects have promising futures. GameFi Sector: Real user growth and strong ecosystem stickiness. Decentralization: EigenLayer, re-staking protocols, concepts that are more appealing to the SEC's 'friendly regulation'. RWA Assets on Chain: Projects like Ondo, Plume, and Clearpool will also come into the investors' sights. Practical Strategies: – Bottom Fishing: After BTC/ETH stabilizes, first look at the rotation of AI, GameFi, and DeFi, then pay attention to RWA recovery opportunities. – Avoid FOMO: Frontline hot spots may not be sustainable; wait for both transaction volume and subscription enthusiasm to confirm before getting in. – Parallel Take-Profit and Stop-Loss: The ZC window is precious, but the market sentiment changes quickly; effective risk management is necessary to come out on top. Brothers, the SEC 'leadership change' signal is lit; it's not the beginning of a celebration but rather the most dangerous and opportunistic watershed moment. When Trump took office, it was also a flourishing time, but good times didn’t last long, and the six-month downward trend is still fresh in memory. So in this current situation, do not blindly chase hot trends and run immediately; do not get carried away. #特朗普称无意解雇鲍威尔
Breaking News|SEC Has New Leadership, Is the Crypto Market Facing a New Inflection Point?

Tomorrow, Paul Atkins will officially succeed Gary Gensler as the Chair of the U.S. SEC —
The Powell era is gone for good, and Gensler's 'iron fist' has come to an end.

From past experiences, Atkins has strong ties with insiders in the digital asset industry and has been involved in consulting for many years, earning a reputation as being 'relatively friendly'.
Interpretation of the impact:
1️⃣ Compliance Window May Open
During the Gensler era, the SEC heavily scrutinized IPOs, the metaverse, and DeFi. With Atkins coming to power, it is expected that there will be more encouragement for 'self-regulation' + 'industry self-cleaning,' and many stalled ETF applications may have a chance to be restarted.
2️⃣ Accelerated Capital Flows
Institutions were previously waiting on the sidelines; Atkins has stated that he 'respects innovation,' which may lead to large-scale foreign investments re-entering the market in the short term.
3️⃣ Sector Differentiation Intensifies
Not all altcoins will benefit; only those close to the 'innovation windfall' will be the first choice:

AI Computing & Data: Computing tokens, on-chain AI projects have promising futures.

GameFi Sector: Real user growth and strong ecosystem stickiness.

Decentralization: EigenLayer, re-staking protocols, concepts that are more appealing to the SEC's 'friendly regulation'.

RWA Assets on Chain: Projects like Ondo, Plume, and Clearpool will also come into the investors' sights.

Practical Strategies:
– Bottom Fishing: After BTC/ETH stabilizes, first look at the rotation of AI, GameFi, and DeFi, then pay attention to RWA recovery opportunities.
– Avoid FOMO: Frontline hot spots may not be sustainable; wait for both transaction volume and subscription enthusiasm to confirm before getting in.
– Parallel Take-Profit and Stop-Loss: The ZC window is precious, but the market sentiment changes quickly; effective risk management is necessary to come out on top.

Brothers, the SEC 'leadership change' signal is lit; it's not the beginning of a celebration but rather the most dangerous and opportunistic watershed moment. When Trump took office, it was also a flourishing time, but good times didn’t last long, and the six-month downward trend is still fresh in memory.
So in this current situation, do not blindly chase hot trends and run immediately; do not get carried away.

#特朗普称无意解雇鲍威尔
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Old Vine Review | The Market is About to Change Don't hesitate, Bitcoin has already broken through consecutively, and the main funds have clearly stated: this is not a rebound, this is the starting point of a new round of market. Tonight's key point - Jefferson's speech. If he continues to maintain a dovish stance, then the altcoin counterattack will be a certainty, and it should take off by the end of this week at the latest. Hesitating now means letting others scoop up your bottom. Once the market confirms a reversal, altcoins won't give you a chance to board slowly, Rallies are always sudden; by the time you react, the increase has already doubled. Brothers, load your bullets, prepare your lists, the altcoins are about to move, keeping up means eating well. This is not a prediction, it's a signal, it's a direction, it's the bell for "start." Brothers, wait for the conference to sound the first shot tonight, YGG current price 0.182 Target first position entry 0.175 Second position entry 0.160 Charge Forward #比特币
Old Vine Review | The Market is About to Change

Don't hesitate, Bitcoin has already broken through consecutively, and the main funds have clearly stated: this is not a rebound, this is the starting point of a new round of market.

Tonight's key point - Jefferson's speech.
If he continues to maintain a dovish stance, then the altcoin counterattack will be a certainty, and it should take off by the end of this week at the latest.

Hesitating now means letting others scoop up your bottom.
Once the market confirms a reversal, altcoins won't give you a chance to board slowly,
Rallies are always sudden; by the time you react, the increase has already doubled.

Brothers, load your bullets, prepare your lists, the altcoins are about to move, keeping up means eating well.
This is not a prediction, it's a signal, it's a direction, it's the bell for "start."

Brothers, wait for the conference to sound the first shot tonight,

YGG current price 0.182
Target first position entry 0.175
Second position entry 0.160

Charge Forward

#比特币
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Musk tweeted, "If a pretty girl messages you asking about cryptocurrency, block her." Is this a case of being scammed by some girl for a shitcoin??😂😂 ​​​ #马斯克
Musk tweeted, "If a pretty girl messages you asking about cryptocurrency, block her."
Is this a case of being scammed by some girl for a shitcoin??😂😂

​​​
#马斯克
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Old Vine Review|Big Brother Solo Dance, Aunty Lacks Power, Altcoins Wait for the Wind The news front has been a bit interesting these days: 💥 The Federal Reserve is likely to remain unchanged in May, with the probability of no rate change soaring to 96.3%, and the market has priced it in early. 💸 Ethereum ETF funds continue to flow out, with a net outflow of 1.1 billion dollars over seven weeks, the enthusiasm is as cold as Aunty’s trading volume. 👀 The new head of the SEC, Paul Atkins, starts tomorrow. This person has a good reputation, is pro-market, and supports innovation. There might be some favorable regulatory news coming, worth keeping an eye on. To be honest, the technical side isn’t complicated: BTC: – The market fluctuated during the day yesterday, dipped before the US market opened, and then surged directly after, peaking at 885, perfectly hitting the pressure; – Re-tested 864 in the early hours, the overall rhythm aligns with expectations from the past few days; – The daily line shows a large upper shadow candle, gold is rising, and BTC is also being viewed as a safe-haven asset, the correlation is a bit strong; – The 4-hour center of gravity is slowly rising, but be wary of a sudden high-low reversal candle at any time, the rhythm cannot drift. – Today's range remains unchanged: resistance at 884-894, support at 864-874. – Ethereum really can’t get moving, it surged a bit yesterday and then lost steam, this morning it again dropped sharply; – The price hit around 1530, technically it looks weak, the 4-hour just finished a spike and may need to linger; – Aunty's trend can be summed up in one word: weak. – In terms of operations, don’t be too aggressive: support at 1540 below, if that breaks, caution is required; the old problem above 1600-1620, if it can’t break through, there’s no hope. Altcoins: – It’s not about who falls the least now, but who can rise; – Overall liquidity is weak, need to watch sectors lead the rhythm; – In the AI direction, TAO, FET, LPT have funding support, while on the MEME side, WIF, PEOPLE, FLOKI have occasional fluctuations, and the gaming side has some activity, GALA, GMT, SAND can be monitored. – The logic is very simple: during pullbacks, see who holds up, during rebounds, see who moves first, chasing highs is basically a dead end. In conclusion: BTC is playing the rhythm at the upper resistance range, don’t force Aunty or altcoins without signals, watch more and act less, wait for the real rotation to start before making moves. #比特币 #以太坊
Old Vine Review|Big Brother Solo Dance, Aunty Lacks Power, Altcoins Wait for the Wind

The news front has been a bit interesting these days:
💥 The Federal Reserve is likely to remain unchanged in May, with the probability of no rate change soaring to 96.3%, and the market has priced it in early.
💸 Ethereum ETF funds continue to flow out, with a net outflow of 1.1 billion dollars over seven weeks, the enthusiasm is as cold as Aunty’s trading volume.
👀 The new head of the SEC, Paul Atkins, starts tomorrow. This person has a good reputation, is pro-market, and supports innovation. There might be some favorable regulatory news coming, worth keeping an eye on.

To be honest, the technical side isn’t complicated:
BTC:
– The market fluctuated during the day yesterday, dipped before the US market opened, and then surged directly after, peaking at 885, perfectly hitting the pressure;
– Re-tested 864 in the early hours, the overall rhythm aligns with expectations from the past few days;
– The daily line shows a large upper shadow candle, gold is rising, and BTC is also being viewed as a safe-haven asset, the correlation is a bit strong;
– The 4-hour center of gravity is slowly rising, but be wary of a sudden high-low reversal candle at any time, the rhythm cannot drift.
– Today's range remains unchanged: resistance at 884-894, support at 864-874.

– Ethereum really can’t get moving, it surged a bit yesterday and then lost steam, this morning it again dropped sharply;
– The price hit around 1530, technically it looks weak, the 4-hour just finished a spike and may need to linger;
– Aunty's trend can be summed up in one word: weak.
– In terms of operations, don’t be too aggressive: support at 1540 below, if that breaks, caution is required; the old problem above 1600-1620, if it can’t break through, there’s no hope.

Altcoins:
– It’s not about who falls the least now, but who can rise;
– Overall liquidity is weak, need to watch sectors lead the rhythm;
– In the AI direction, TAO, FET, LPT have funding support, while on the MEME side, WIF, PEOPLE, FLOKI have occasional fluctuations, and the gaming side has some activity, GALA, GMT, SAND can be monitored.
– The logic is very simple: during pullbacks, see who holds up, during rebounds, see who moves first, chasing highs is basically a dead end.

In conclusion:
BTC is playing the rhythm at the upper resistance range, don’t force Aunty or altcoins without signals, watch more and act less, wait for the real rotation to start before making moves.

#比特币 #以太坊
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This week's market performance depends on the "three-piece news set": ① Tuesday at 9 PM, Jefferson speaks This guy's attitude is crucial—if he continues to stand by old Powell, that means stability; if he suddenly aligns with Trump, it wouldn't be surprising if the market changes its face entirely. ② Wednesday G20 meeting On the surface, it's the usual talk about the global economy, but in reality, the market loves to interpret "positive signals" from the cracks, and bulls and bears can start fighting at any moment. ③ Thursday at 2 AM, Federal Reserve Beige Book This time slot is the most likely for ghost stories to unfold; one careless move could lead to a big spike that targets night owls and greedy investors. In short: This week is a typical "week of wind and grass movement," with the market dancing to the news. There are opportunities in the market, but if the timing is wrong, operations can easily turn into "throwing your life to the dogs." #加密市场反弹
This week's market performance depends on the "three-piece news set":

① Tuesday at 9 PM, Jefferson speaks
This guy's attitude is crucial—if he continues to stand by old Powell, that means stability; if he suddenly aligns with Trump, it wouldn't be surprising if the market changes its face entirely.

② Wednesday G20 meeting
On the surface, it's the usual talk about the global economy, but in reality, the market loves to interpret "positive signals" from the cracks, and bulls and bears can start fighting at any moment.

③ Thursday at 2 AM, Federal Reserve Beige Book
This time slot is the most likely for ghost stories to unfold; one careless move could lead to a big spike that targets night owls and greedy investors.

In short:
This week is a typical "week of wind and grass movement," with the market dancing to the news. There are opportunities in the market, but if the timing is wrong, operations can easily turn into "throwing your life to the dogs."

#加密市场反弹
See original
《Vitalik is about to flip the table! Ethereum's heart upgrade with RISC-V, are all L2s going to cool down?》 Brothers, Vitalik has pulled out the RISC-V dragon-slaying sword and is swinging it directly at his beloved EVM! Right now, the whole internet is still in a daze, let me help you understand this nuclear-level operation👇 📌 The motivation is fierce: The old EVM can't carry on anymore! After years of patchwork, the transaction fees during congestion are more expensive than Shanghai license plates, and the decentralization slogan is almost covered in capital grease; if we don't change the engine, it will really turn into an antique chain. 📌 What kind of black technology is RISC-V? Simply put: it directly overturns the mathematical problems of ZK-EVM and rewrites the code at the bottom layer! Speed takes off instantly, the code is fresher than a young man's abs, and it directly transforms into a "performance beast chain." 📌 High-risk list warning: All L2 gas stations (OP/ARB/ZK series): The mainnet is racing at 200 mph; who would still go there to pay tolls? Popular chains like SOL/BSC: If Ethereum is both decentralized and smooth, how are you going to brag about your "pay-to-win servers"? The entire EVM family: BSC/Polygon should change their names overnight to "nostalgia server"... 💡 Vitalik's bold statement: Don't be fooled by Ethereum looking like a 996 programmer (messy hair and even messier code); if it really switches to the RISC-V cyber heart, ETH reaching $4000 would be considered low-key! But keep a close eye on Vitalik's Twitter—if he ever posts a 😏 emoji, L2 coin prices might plummet like a high dive! 🚦 Survival guide: ✅ L2 friends, don't be stubborn; if the situation looks bad, get out quickly (the big players run faster than you) ✅ Hold Ethereum spot, it may become legendary (even if it fails, it's still Ethereum) ✅ Chip-level projects are surging; ambush RISC-V ecosystem powerhouses in advance 🎯 Ultimate ridicule: Wasn't Vitalik previously boasting that ZK was a diversion? The real ace is making Ethereum "mechanically ascend!" (SOL: We agreed to be high-fake chains together, but you're secretly working on originals?) 🧠 My viewpoint: Ethereum is currently a bit confused, but if Vitalik really decides to change the core, I wouldn't be surprised if ETH goes over $4000. The key is to watch when Vitalik speaks up; don’t wait until you see the news to react; once L2 is named, slow runners can get buried. So right now: ✅ Pay more attention to Vitalik's public mentions of RISC-V ✅ Brothers heavily invested in L2, don’t hold out stubbornly; prepare for any signs of change ✅ ETH may be struggling, but its foundation is still there; this wave might just be a comeback
《Vitalik is about to flip the table! Ethereum's heart upgrade with RISC-V, are all L2s going to cool down?》

Brothers, Vitalik has pulled out the RISC-V dragon-slaying sword and is swinging it directly at his beloved EVM! Right now, the whole internet is still in a daze, let me help you understand this nuclear-level operation👇

📌 The motivation is fierce:
The old EVM can't carry on anymore! After years of patchwork, the transaction fees during congestion are more expensive than Shanghai license plates, and the decentralization slogan is almost covered in capital grease; if we don't change the engine, it will really turn into an antique chain.

📌 What kind of black technology is RISC-V?
Simply put: it directly overturns the mathematical problems of ZK-EVM and rewrites the code at the bottom layer! Speed takes off instantly, the code is fresher than a young man's abs, and it directly transforms into a "performance beast chain."

📌 High-risk list warning:

All L2 gas stations (OP/ARB/ZK series): The mainnet is racing at 200 mph; who would still go there to pay tolls?

Popular chains like SOL/BSC: If Ethereum is both decentralized and smooth, how are you going to brag about your "pay-to-win servers"?

The entire EVM family: BSC/Polygon should change their names overnight to "nostalgia server"...

💡 Vitalik's bold statement:
Don't be fooled by Ethereum looking like a 996 programmer (messy hair and even messier code); if it really switches to the RISC-V cyber heart, ETH reaching $4000 would be considered low-key! But keep a close eye on Vitalik's Twitter—if he ever posts a 😏 emoji, L2 coin prices might plummet like a high dive!

🚦 Survival guide:
✅ L2 friends, don't be stubborn; if the situation looks bad, get out quickly (the big players run faster than you)
✅ Hold Ethereum spot, it may become legendary (even if it fails, it's still Ethereum)
✅ Chip-level projects are surging; ambush RISC-V ecosystem powerhouses in advance

🎯 Ultimate ridicule:
Wasn't Vitalik previously boasting that ZK was a diversion? The real ace is making Ethereum "mechanically ascend!"
(SOL: We agreed to be high-fake chains together, but you're secretly working on originals?)

🧠 My viewpoint:
Ethereum is currently a bit confused, but if Vitalik really decides to change the core, I wouldn't be surprised if ETH goes over $4000. The key is to watch when Vitalik speaks up; don’t wait until you see the news to react; once L2 is named, slow runners can get buried.

So right now:
✅ Pay more attention to Vitalik's public mentions of RISC-V
✅ Brothers heavily invested in L2, don’t hold out stubbornly; prepare for any signs of change
✅ ETH may be struggling, but its foundation is still there; this wave might just be a comeback
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April 21 Market Briefing: Fundamentals: Recently, former U.S. President Trump’s comments on the Federal Reserve's intervention have attracted market attention, and the U.S. dollar index has dropped to a three-year low. Driven by risk aversion, gold prices have reached new highs, and Bitcoin (BTC), due to its 'digital gold' attribute, has also gained popularity, with prices rising over 2%. Technical Analysis: BTC: The current price of Bitcoin is $87,436, with an intraday increase of about 2.7%. Technical charts indicate that BTC broke upward after fluctuating in the $83,000 to $86,000 range last week. Key resistance levels to watch are $89,300 and $91,800, with strong resistance at $95,000. Support levels are in the $85,500 to $86,500 range. ETH: The current price of Ethereum is $1,638.91, with an intraday increase of about 1.6%. The technical analysis shows that after recent low-level fluctuations, ETH has rebounded due to the rise of BTC. Key resistance levels to watch are $1,660 and $1,680, with strong resistance at $1,760. Support levels are in the $1,600 to $1,620 range. Altcoin Performance: With BTC's rise, the altcoin market has generally warmed up. The artificial intelligence sector has performed outstandingly, with FET's price rising to $0.608867, an intraday increase of about 5.8%; TAO's price rising to $326.97, an intraday increase of about 9.7%; LPT's price rising to $4.24, an intraday increase of about 2.4%. Operational Suggestions: The current market is significantly influenced by policy news, and it is recommended that investors closely monitor macroeconomic dynamics, reasonably control positions, and avoid chasing highs. In terms of altcoins, attention can be paid to leading coins in the artificial intelligence sector, but market volatility risks should be noted.
April 21 Market Briefing:

Fundamentals:
Recently, former U.S. President Trump’s comments on the Federal Reserve's intervention have attracted market attention, and the U.S. dollar index has dropped to a three-year low. Driven by risk aversion, gold prices have reached new highs, and Bitcoin (BTC), due to its 'digital gold' attribute, has also gained popularity, with prices rising over 2%.

Technical Analysis:
BTC:
The current price of Bitcoin is $87,436, with an intraday increase of about 2.7%. Technical charts indicate that BTC broke upward after fluctuating in the $83,000 to $86,000 range last week. Key resistance levels to watch are $89,300 and $91,800, with strong resistance at $95,000. Support levels are in the $85,500 to $86,500 range.

ETH:
The current price of Ethereum is $1,638.91, with an intraday increase of about 1.6%. The technical analysis shows that after recent low-level fluctuations, ETH has rebounded due to the rise of BTC. Key resistance levels to watch are $1,660 and $1,680, with strong resistance at $1,760. Support levels are in the $1,600 to $1,620 range.

Altcoin Performance:
With BTC's rise, the altcoin market has generally warmed up. The artificial intelligence sector has performed outstandingly, with FET's price rising to $0.608867, an intraday increase of about 5.8%; TAO's price rising to $326.97, an intraday increase of about 9.7%; LPT's price rising to $4.24, an intraday increase of about 2.4%.

Operational Suggestions:
The current market is significantly influenced by policy news, and it is recommended that investors closely monitor macroeconomic dynamics, reasonably control positions, and avoid chasing highs. In terms of altcoins, attention can be paid to leading coins in the artificial intelligence sector, but market volatility risks should be noted.
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【BTC&ETH Short-term Observation】 Big brother BTC is fluctuating with a slight strength; the unreliable tax increase issue hasn't caused panic. Bears are trying to exert pressure but are struggling, like being forced to stand still. Support levels to watch are 83,500 / 82,000, and resistance levels are 85,500 / 86,500. Overall rhythm: buy on dips, cut losses if it breaks, and don't get caught in the middle. Little brother ETH is no less impressive, having just defended the lower trend line of the upward trend, which can be considered a test passed. It is currently attempting to return above 1600. Support is seen at 1580 / 1550, with strong defensive level at 1385 (previous low); resistance levels to watch are 1620 / 1650, and it needs to break through 1690 to move higher. If BTC can surge this time, ETH may have a delayed rally. The rhythm remains the same: don't chase highs, buy on dips, and wait for confirmation rather than acting on emotional impulses. #比特币与美国关税政策 #ETH走势分析
【BTC&ETH Short-term Observation】

Big brother BTC is fluctuating with a slight strength; the unreliable tax increase issue hasn't caused panic. Bears are trying to exert pressure but are struggling, like being forced to stand still.

Support levels to watch are 83,500 / 82,000, and resistance levels are 85,500 / 86,500. Overall rhythm: buy on dips, cut losses if it breaks, and don't get caught in the middle.

Little brother ETH is no less impressive, having just defended the lower trend line of the upward trend, which can be considered a test passed. It is currently attempting to return above 1600.

Support is seen at 1580 / 1550, with strong defensive level at 1385 (previous low); resistance levels to watch are 1620 / 1650, and it needs to break through 1690 to move higher.

If BTC can surge this time, ETH may have a delayed rally. The rhythm remains the same: don't chase highs, buy on dips, and wait for confirmation rather than acting on emotional impulses.

#比特币与美国关税政策 #ETH走势分析
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The SEC is making moves again! Big shots in the crypto world are being 'invited to a meeting' at the end of the month~ On April 25th, the SEC is bringing in top players like Fidelity, Kraken, and Anchorage for a 'roundtable discussion', not discussing anything else, just focusing on one thing: compliance issues surrounding asset management for clients! To put it simply: How institutions play with crypto and manage client assets might be reshuffled. The security threshold for storing coins is likely going to soar to new heights... This meeting could directly determine whether May Day is about happily enjoying skewers, or scratching our heads pondering 'where did the coins go?'😅 #SEC #BTC
The SEC is making moves again! Big shots in the crypto world are being 'invited to a meeting' at the end of the month~
On April 25th, the SEC is bringing in top players like Fidelity, Kraken, and Anchorage for a 'roundtable discussion',
not discussing anything else, just focusing on one thing: compliance issues surrounding asset management for clients!
To put it simply:
How institutions play with crypto and manage client assets might be reshuffled.
The security threshold for storing coins is likely going to soar to new heights...
This meeting could directly determine whether May Day is about happily enjoying skewers,
or scratching our heads pondering 'where did the coins go?'😅
#SEC #BTC
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The altcoin market is basically in a downward trend, with no highlights. Dogecoin is looking at a bottom around 0.1, Focus on Bitcoin's key support at 83K, Once it breaks — it's not a pullback, it's a total loss! Looking at the technicals in the altcoin market is not very meaningful, Now it's mainly relying on two points of judgment: 🟡 Ethereum's stop-loss signal, which determines when to buy the dip on altcoins 🟠 Bitcoin's pullback rhythm, used to assess risk levels Don't rush, patiently wait for signals! #币安投票下币 #Metaplanet增持比特币
The altcoin market is basically in a downward trend, with no highlights.

Dogecoin is looking at a bottom around 0.1,
Focus on Bitcoin's key support at 83K,
Once it breaks — it's not a pullback, it's a total loss!

Looking at the technicals in the altcoin market is not very meaningful,
Now it's mainly relying on two points of judgment:
🟡 Ethereum's stop-loss signal, which determines when to buy the dip on altcoins
🟠 Bitcoin's pullback rhythm, used to assess risk levels

Don't rush, patiently wait for signals!
#币安投票下币 #Metaplanet增持比特币
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B安 has done it again, has the "stay or leave vote" become a live control signal? #FTT# and #GPS# were just voted in with high approval, and now they are being quickly nominated for delisting again. B安 is saying: 👀 "You are lucky, but I don't believe in fate, let's nominate again!" But here comes the question—why are these few always on the list? Could it be that the market manipulators are playing along, performing a duet, and staging a voting defense battle? On one hand, nominating for delisting to scare retail investors into selling, and on the other hand, secretly buying low to support the market, then waiting for a "community decision to retain" result to wash and harvest? 🚨 These types of coins aren't afraid of being voted for delisting, what they fear is no one nominating them. Being named might actually be a signal to enter. Because the underlying logic is: It's not that "the coin is dying," but rather "the manipulators want to absorb" The more controversial the project, the easier it is to become a breeding ground for market control. If it's truly going to be delisted, it will happen directly, they won't give you two rounds of drama. 🎯 Investment advice? Pay attention to fluctuations before and after the voting, you might get a bite from market makers supporting the price or emotional speculation. But don’t get too carried away, don’t fantasize about doubling—this is a theatrical market, not a dream factory. ZEC, JASMY, FTT, STPT, ARK, ARDR, GPS, MBL, PERP, NKN, WING, LTO, FLM, BSW, ALPACA, VOXEL, PDA #币安投票下币 #CPI数据来袭
B安 has done it again, has the "stay or leave vote" become a live control signal?

#FTT# and #GPS# were just voted in with high approval, and now they are being quickly nominated for delisting again. B安 is saying:
👀 "You are lucky, but I don't believe in fate, let's nominate again!"

But here comes the question—why are these few always on the list?
Could it be that the market manipulators are playing along, performing a duet, and staging a voting defense battle?
On one hand, nominating for delisting to scare retail investors into selling, and on the other hand, secretly buying low to support the market, then waiting for a "community decision to retain" result to wash and harvest?

🚨 These types of coins aren't afraid of being voted for delisting, what they fear is no one nominating them. Being named might actually be a signal to enter.

Because the underlying logic is:

It's not that "the coin is dying," but rather "the manipulators want to absorb"

The more controversial the project, the easier it is to become a breeding ground for market control.

If it's truly going to be delisted, it will happen directly, they won't give you two rounds of drama.

🎯 Investment advice?
Pay attention to fluctuations before and after the voting, you might get a bite from market makers supporting the price or emotional speculation. But don’t get too carried away, don’t fantasize about doubling—this is a theatrical market, not a dream factory.

ZEC, JASMY, FTT, STPT, ARK, ARDR, GPS, MBL, PERP, NKN, WING, LTO, FLM, BSW, ALPACA, VOXEL, PDA

#币安投票下币 #CPI数据来袭
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Trump's trade and finance station is about to begin, if there are no countermeasures, last night's rebound may just be a rebound and not a reversal. Next, it is very likely that there will be a circuit breaker in the US tech sector, a plunge in gold 📉, and global financial market turmoil may force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates ahead of schedule, which is a certain event! Now, as small retail investors in the market, we must maintain a certain attitude, watch more and act less, it is better to miss out than to make a mistake, protect the few capital we have #鲍威尔发言 #美国加征关税
Trump's trade and finance station is about to begin,
if there are no countermeasures, last night's rebound may just be a rebound and not a reversal.
Next, it is very likely that there will be a circuit breaker in the US tech sector, a plunge in gold 📉, and global financial market turmoil may force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates ahead of schedule, which is a certain event!
Now, as small retail investors in the market, we must maintain a certain attitude,
watch more and act less, it is better to miss out than to make a mistake, protect the few capital we have #鲍威尔发言
#美国加征关税
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April 1st BTC/ETH Market Analysis Today's Fear and Greed Index is 34, indicating a fearful market sentiment. Major unlocks this week include ENA and W. Since March 27th, when Trump announced the increase in tariffs, the market began a significant decline the following day, with many financial institutions fleeing to safer positions, leaving retail investors to take over. Due to concerns over inflation, the market currently lacks confidence, and there is little possibility of a restart of interest rate cuts in the short term to restore market confidence. Major Data: 4/3 US March ADP Employment Numbers Released / Trump Imposes Tariffs on Imported Cars 4/4 Trump Announces Details of Reciprocal Tariffs and Industry-Specific Tariffs / March Non-Farm Payrolls Released BTC closed the monthly line last night approaching a rebound above 30,000, resulting in a downward pin bar on the real monthly line. It can be observed that there is currently a technical recovery in the market. After a doji candlestick on the daily chart yesterday, there was a slight increase today, but it still does not indicate significant volume, so it cannot be considered a bottoming signal. Combined with news over the next few days, increased volume will always accompany news; for now, bottom fishing should wait for the meeting's outcome. The upper resistance levels to watch are between 84,000-84,500. The lower range to focus on is between approximately 82,100 and 81,200. On the weekly chart, strong support continues to be at 78,500; if it breaks below, we will look directly at below 76,000, hoping Trump shows some mercy. ETH has been relatively weak, especially the ETH/BTC exchange rate, which has reached a five-year low. This signifies that the influence and credibility of Ethereum is gradually declining. However, it also suggests that due to the significant drop in exchange rate, there is ample upward potential. As the king of public chains, while the Solana and BSC chains have previously surged, ERC20 has remained relatively subdued over the past two years. Therefore, my view is that ETH lacks a triggering opportunity for an on-chain explosion. On the weekly chart, Ethereum has been oscillating between 1,750 and 1,850 for four weeks, forming a strong support level. If the market breaks below 1,750, we will directly look towards around 1,530. For today, the upper resistance levels to monitor are 1,860 and 1,900, while the lower support levels to watch are between 1,810 and 1,770. Currently, BTC and ETH are primarily focused on observing rebounds in preparation for tomorrow's conference, with an initial rise followed by a decline.
April 1st BTC/ETH Market Analysis

Today's Fear and Greed Index is 34, indicating a fearful market sentiment. Major unlocks this week include ENA and W.
Since March 27th, when Trump announced the increase in tariffs, the market began a significant decline the following day, with many financial institutions fleeing to safer positions, leaving retail investors to take over. Due to concerns over inflation, the market currently lacks confidence, and there is little possibility of a restart of interest rate cuts in the short term to restore market confidence.

Major Data:
4/3 US March ADP Employment Numbers Released / Trump Imposes Tariffs on Imported Cars
4/4 Trump Announces Details of Reciprocal Tariffs and Industry-Specific Tariffs / March Non-Farm Payrolls Released

BTC closed the monthly line last night approaching a rebound above 30,000, resulting in a downward pin bar on the real monthly line. It can be observed that there is currently a technical recovery in the market. After a doji candlestick on the daily chart yesterday, there was a slight increase today, but it still does not indicate significant volume, so it cannot be considered a bottoming signal. Combined with news over the next few days, increased volume will always accompany news; for now, bottom fishing should wait for the meeting's outcome. The upper resistance levels to watch are between 84,000-84,500. The lower range to focus on is between approximately 82,100 and 81,200. On the weekly chart, strong support continues to be at 78,500; if it breaks below, we will look directly at below 76,000, hoping Trump shows some mercy.

ETH has been relatively weak, especially the ETH/BTC exchange rate, which has reached a five-year low. This signifies that the influence and credibility of Ethereum is gradually declining. However, it also suggests that due to the significant drop in exchange rate, there is ample upward potential. As the king of public chains, while the Solana and BSC chains have previously surged, ERC20 has remained relatively subdued over the past two years. Therefore, my view is that ETH lacks a triggering opportunity for an on-chain explosion. On the weekly chart, Ethereum has been oscillating between 1,750 and 1,850 for four weeks, forming a strong support level. If the market breaks below 1,750, we will directly look towards around 1,530. For today, the upper resistance levels to monitor are 1,860 and 1,900, while the lower support levels to watch are between 1,810 and 1,770.

Currently, BTC and ETH are primarily focused on observing rebounds in preparation for tomorrow's conference, with an initial rise followed by a decline.
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