Interest Rate Decision, Non-Farm Data, Tariff Implementation - How to Interpret These Messages??
In the short term, continue to pay attention to the news
The interest rate decision at 2 AM on Thursday currently has a 96% chance of maintaining the interest rate unchanged.
The non-farm data will be released at 8:30 PM on Friday,
Non-farm employment higher than expected → Economy overheating → Delay in rate cuts → Currency price under pressure (bearish for the cryptocurrency market, bullish for the dollar)
Non-farm employment lower than expected → Economic recession → Advance rate cuts → Currency price increase (bullish for the cryptocurrency market, bearish for the dollar)
Tariff decision on Friday
Currently, two directions
Mainly looking at the implementation form of the tariff policy
Trump does not change his stance → Strong implementation of tariffs → Risk aversion → BTC large holders (whales) will sell off in response, market panic selling will temporarily drop to around 110,000-106,000 before rising again
Trump appears strong but secretly delays reconciliation → Soft implementation of tariffs continues to be negotiated → Risk appetite → ETH + altcoins rebound
Some peripheral news is expected to ferment in the next couple of days, and rumors may flow into the market in advance causing panic. Everyone can try to take small positions and go with the trend.
