RoyQuant
Open Trade
Occasional Trader
4.4 Years
2 Following
20 Followers
33 Liked
0 Shared
See original
📊 Using statistics to improve your trades on Binance
By RoyQuant – Statistician & Crypto Assets Analyst.
In a market like cryptocurrencies, where the price of an asset can change drastically in minutes, intuition is not enough. We need tools. And that's where applied statistics comes in.
As a statistician specialized in the behavior of digital assets, I want to show you how you can use stochastic models to make more informed decisions when trading Bitcoin (BTC), Binance Coin (BNB), or other cryptos.
In a market like cryptocurrencies, where the price of an asset can change drastically in minutes, intuition is not enough. We need tools. And that's where applied statistics comes in.
As a statistician specialized in the behavior of digital assets, I want to show you how you can use stochastic models to make more informed decisions when trading Bitcoin (BTC), Binance Coin (BNB), or other cryptos.
See original
Trump! Power and uncertainty: Why statistics favor the crypto market in 2025?
By RoyQuant – Statistician
With Donald Trump once again setting the global agenda — now as the main opposition figure in the U.S. and with growing influence in Europe and the Middle East — the data is starting to speak clearly: cryptocurrencies are at their best statistical moment in the last five years.
🏛️ Trump and the crypto factor
Trump has left behind his skeptical rhetoric about Bitcoin. In 2024:
He stated that the dollar "needs competition" in the face of uncontrolled monetary expansion.
With Donald Trump once again setting the global agenda — now as the main opposition figure in the U.S. and with growing influence in Europe and the Middle East — the data is starting to speak clearly: cryptocurrencies are at their best statistical moment in the last five years.
🏛️ Trump and the crypto factor
Trump has left behind his skeptical rhetoric about Bitcoin. In 2024:
He stated that the dollar "needs competition" in the face of uncontrolled monetary expansion.
See original
#ShareYourThoughtOnBTC
#BTCbelow100k
✨ Bitcoin surpasses $105,000: Bubble or financial refuge?
By Roy Espinoza – Statistical Engineer
📈 This week, Bitcoin (BTC) has exceeded $105,000 USD for the first time in history. Many see it as a speculative bubble... but from a statistical perspective, we can read something very different: a solid trend driven by the global geopolitical context and the search for financial refuges.
⸻
🔍 Technical analysis from statistics
Applying a stochastic model of Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM), we obtain the following:
• Average daily return (μ) ≈ 2.7%
• Daily volatility (σ) ≈ 4.5%
📊 Simulating 10,000 trajectories with initial prices of $105,934:
Percentile. Estimated price (June 30)
25%. $101,200
50%. $108,600
75%. $116,800
The probability of staying above $100,000 this week is 80%.
⸻
🌍 Global context driving this rally
• Growing military conflict in the Middle East (Iran–Israel–U.S.)
• Political and fiscal instability in the U.S.
• Possible interest rate cuts by the FED
• Growing institutional demand (funds, ETFs, and private holdings)
🔐 Bitcoin consolidates as a macroeconomic refuge, not just a speculative asset.
🧠 Final reflection
As a statistical engineer, I see in BTC more than just numbers. I see a signal of the shift in global confidence. The market is not only seeking returns: it is seeking stability and sovereignty.
⸻
🔗 Did you like the analysis?
Follow me for more content combining statistics, technical analysis, and crypto context with a human perspective.
#Bitcoin105K #BTCOnTheRise #CryptoStatistics #CryptoForecast #BinanceFeed #FinancialStatistics #BTCRefuge #CryptoAnálisis
#BTCbelow100k
✨ Bitcoin surpasses $105,000: Bubble or financial refuge?
By Roy Espinoza – Statistical Engineer
📈 This week, Bitcoin (BTC) has exceeded $105,000 USD for the first time in history. Many see it as a speculative bubble... but from a statistical perspective, we can read something very different: a solid trend driven by the global geopolitical context and the search for financial refuges.
⸻
🔍 Technical analysis from statistics
Applying a stochastic model of Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM), we obtain the following:
• Average daily return (μ) ≈ 2.7%
• Daily volatility (σ) ≈ 4.5%
📊 Simulating 10,000 trajectories with initial prices of $105,934:
Percentile. Estimated price (June 30)
25%. $101,200
50%. $108,600
75%. $116,800
The probability of staying above $100,000 this week is 80%.
⸻
🌍 Global context driving this rally
• Growing military conflict in the Middle East (Iran–Israel–U.S.)
• Political and fiscal instability in the U.S.
• Possible interest rate cuts by the FED
• Growing institutional demand (funds, ETFs, and private holdings)
🔐 Bitcoin consolidates as a macroeconomic refuge, not just a speculative asset.
🧠 Final reflection
As a statistical engineer, I see in BTC more than just numbers. I see a signal of the shift in global confidence. The market is not only seeking returns: it is seeking stability and sovereignty.
⸻
🔗 Did you like the analysis?
Follow me for more content combining statistics, technical analysis, and crypto context with a human perspective.
#Bitcoin105K #BTCOnTheRise #CryptoStatistics #CryptoForecast #BinanceFeed #FinancialStatistics #BTCRefuge #CryptoAnálisis
See original
BTC surpasses $105,000: Bubble or refuge? A statistical analysis in times of uncertainty.
#ShareYourThoughtOnBTC
By R. Espinoza – Statistician
This week, Bitcoin has surpassed $105,000 USD, a historic milestone that marks the highest point of its existence. Are we facing a speculative bubble or simply observing how the market begins to properly value a decentralized, scarce, and resilient asset against macroeconomic fluctuations?
From a statistical perspective, the data speaks for itself. The trend is not coincidental, and behind this rapid growth are geopolitical, technological, and financial reasons that deserve to be understood rigorously, but communicated clearly.
By R. Espinoza – Statistician
This week, Bitcoin has surpassed $105,000 USD, a historic milestone that marks the highest point of its existence. Are we facing a speculative bubble or simply observing how the market begins to properly value a decentralized, scarce, and resilient asset against macroeconomic fluctuations?
From a statistical perspective, the data speaks for itself. The trend is not coincidental, and behind this rapid growth are geopolitical, technological, and financial reasons that deserve to be understood rigorously, but communicated clearly.
Login to explore more contents