龙攻略

Good morning everyone, today is February 27th. There are less than two days until the end of February. It is Monday. It is difficult to interpret the content of today's BTC/ETH market because there are many factors to consider, which affect the market trend. There are many deterministic factors.

At the same time, we must also consider that students’ excessive pessimism after their enthusiasm for the market was extinguished by a puddle of urine will affect their subsequent grasp of opportunities, thus affecting their trading mentality and leaving them short when they need to enter the market. The market is very simple, but what is complicated is the human heart. The key problem lies in our subjective assumptions. We are subjectively unwilling to see market price fluctuations go in the same direction as we expect. The market situation in mid-to-early March was more difficult than in January and February. Some, everyone must be mentally prepared for this.

1. Waiting, waiting, there is gold everywhere in the financial market. Waiting is a kind of torture for most people. They always unconsciously imagine that if they seize this opportunity, they will make XXX money. We are not waiting aimlessly, but waiting for prey. appears, the entry signal that conforms to our trading pattern appears. Before it appears, waiting is the best policy.

2. ETH closed again today with one negative crossing three, and its performance is weaker than BTC. There is a high probability that it will test the support of 1560 again in the past two days, and the 4H level MACD indicator has already crossed below the zero axis. In the short term, pay attention to 1560U Support situation.

1. The former confirmed the top divergence of MACD's dead cross yesterday, and today's closing confirmed the 5/10 dead cross, which is a bit like a double dead cross. It has repeatedly emphasized that rebounding to reduce positions. If there is still no reduction in position, a rebound of 5/10 is still the best way for you to reduce your position. It’s a good time. We have waited patiently to reduce our positions. If there is a short-term rebound, it is not advisable to pursue it. The lowest price touched 22875U, which has broken through the daily lifeline. Below, we need to pay attention to the support area of ​​22300-21600U, especially the lower edge support.

2. ETH showed a top divergence earlier than BTC, and also reminded that the currency should not be held. The lowest touch is 1580U. It is very likely to fluctuate between 1580U-1630U in the next few days, but it does not mean that the market will start again. We need to pay attention to the following The key position of 1495U.

Someone left a message on social media today saying: Yesterday, Sister Mu was pulling the market, so the price went up, and technical analysis is of no use on the main force or fundamentals. This is a general idea. I don’t know who Sister Mu is. Maybe I am ignorant. Because, I have always believed that trading is a matter of one person and cannot be discussed, because no one can give you the correct answer. There is no correct answer in the financial trading market, so how can others give you the correct answer? And you?

Even truth can only be called truth under certain conditions. Without those conditions, it becomes nihilistic and ineffective. In fact, in the trading market, it can be said that the currency circle era is one where a hundred schools of thought contend, and everyone is an analyst. No one is convinced by anyone, and no one thinks that the other party is much better than themselves. The mutual disdain between scholars is also vividly displayed here, which is a good thing. The truth is becoming more and more clear, which is better than remaining silent.

1. The former trend of the daily line. Yesterday, MACD was hesitant between the dead cross and the rejection of the dead cross. If the dead cross is rejected, there will be a turning point. If the dead cross is confirmed today, then the top divergence signal of the daily line is confirmed, and ETH should not leave a position. It If it represents an altcoin, it is very likely to lead the market down;

2. BTC has closed below the 5-day moving average for two consecutive days. The short-term weak market has appeared. The MACD has turned red from the current shape. It will take tomorrow's close to confirm the death cross. However, judging from this trend, it is more likely to be bad than good. At this time, everyone must reduce their positions. This daily level divergence will cause technical traders to leave the market in large numbers to avoid risks.

There is no so-called core secret in technical theory when it comes to trading. We believe that the core secret lies in your belief in a trading system and the unity of knowledge and action. There is no other way. Any trading technology is only a formal difference, which will only make our trading charts more complex and our thinking more confusing, and will not gain more different wisdom.

Today I occasionally reviewed SSV. I have repeatedly emphasized that it is a currency that not many people pay attention to. The trading technical analysis is very simple and effective. When we look at the history, it will be clear at a glance. We will wonder how we can not understand such a simple technical form. Do you understand? It’s not that I don’t understand, it’s that I didn’t choose to believe it.

1. The trends of the two tested the previous highs again yesterday, and were still suppressed by 25200 and 1720U respectively. At the same time, they found support at 24800 and 1680U respectively. They are very likely to fluctuate in the corresponding ranges in the short term until this balance is broken. Regardless of whether it is upward Whether it breaks or breaks downward, the intensity will be more impactful, and we must be mentally prepared.

2. On the daily line, we analyze from the perspective of MACD’s golden cross pattern near the zero axis and its price firmly holding on to the 5-day moving average. This is also a manifestation of the bulls’ accumulation of strength. Currently, the bulls still have the advantage, which is very worthy of our analysis. expected.