沐言笔记
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• Today's Market
Bitcoin: Bitcoin has been consolidating sideways for nearly 20 days since the peak in mid-July. Last Friday, it broke below the 116K support level, initiating the first wave of decline. After two days of technical rebound with reduced volume, the daily chart has begun to form a second wave of downward structure. On August 10, it successfully broke below 113K during trading and reached a low of 112.6K. The 4-hour chart shows that bullish funds continue to flow out, with bears gradually gaining the upper hand, and it is expected to continue to test the 110K level in the short term.
• Ethereum: Ethereum broke above $4300 on Sunday (August 10), reaching a new high since the end of 2021, with a more than 7% increase within 24 hours, but it subsequently turned downward. Ethereum has been under pressure above 3700 points for nearly half a month, forming a high position doji and long upper shadow combination, with a clear divergence between volume and price, indicating a depletion of bullish momentum. Although there was a rebound due to short-term positive stimulus, it failed to stabilize above 3700 points, and the daily structure has weakened again. The current 4-hour chart is in a slow decline structure, with key support around 3560; if it breaks below, it may test 3450.
• Altcoins: The altcoin sector continues to perform weakly, with various major hot topics showing sporadic rotations, lacking a clear leading sector. Mainstream coins are in a consolidation phase after a major uptrend, with some leading projects experiencing early runs before good news and subsequent sell-offs after news breaks. Several altcoins have encountered deep pullbacks after surges, indicating instability in speculative funds and insufficient confidence in holding.
Bitcoin: Bitcoin has been consolidating sideways for nearly 20 days since the peak in mid-July. Last Friday, it broke below the 116K support level, initiating the first wave of decline. After two days of technical rebound with reduced volume, the daily chart has begun to form a second wave of downward structure. On August 10, it successfully broke below 113K during trading and reached a low of 112.6K. The 4-hour chart shows that bullish funds continue to flow out, with bears gradually gaining the upper hand, and it is expected to continue to test the 110K level in the short term.
• Ethereum: Ethereum broke above $4300 on Sunday (August 10), reaching a new high since the end of 2021, with a more than 7% increase within 24 hours, but it subsequently turned downward. Ethereum has been under pressure above 3700 points for nearly half a month, forming a high position doji and long upper shadow combination, with a clear divergence between volume and price, indicating a depletion of bullish momentum. Although there was a rebound due to short-term positive stimulus, it failed to stabilize above 3700 points, and the daily structure has weakened again. The current 4-hour chart is in a slow decline structure, with key support around 3560; if it breaks below, it may test 3450.
• Altcoins: The altcoin sector continues to perform weakly, with various major hot topics showing sporadic rotations, lacking a clear leading sector. Mainstream coins are in a consolidation phase after a major uptrend, with some leading projects experiencing early runs before good news and subsequent sell-offs after news breaks. Several altcoins have encountered deep pullbacks after surges, indicating instability in speculative funds and insufficient confidence in holding.
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If you must trade contracts
If you absolutely must trade contracts, make sure to adhere to these bottom lines; they’re more effective than reading 100 articles on techniques.
1. Contracts are a game of 'small bets for big returns'; stop-loss is the norm, don't treat a single loss as the end of the world. But after a stop-loss, your mindset is tested—some rush to 'recover losses' and end up losing even more; others immediately stop and review, enabling them to brake in time. Remember: if you have consecutive stop-losses over 2 times, you must shut down for the day; don't take your frustrations out on the market.
2. Don't believe in the myth of 'doubling your money in three days'; contracts earn money through steady streams. If you just lost a trade and want to go all-in to recover? You're likely to face liquidation. In trading, being 'eager for quick success' is the worst; it's like running a red light—sometimes you get lucky and nothing happens, but over the long term, something serious will definitely happen. Be steady; even if you only earn 3% a day, accumulating that is better than aimlessly messing around.
1. Contracts are a game of 'small bets for big returns'; stop-loss is the norm, don't treat a single loss as the end of the world. But after a stop-loss, your mindset is tested—some rush to 'recover losses' and end up losing even more; others immediately stop and review, enabling them to brake in time. Remember: if you have consecutive stop-losses over 2 times, you must shut down for the day; don't take your frustrations out on the market.
2. Don't believe in the myth of 'doubling your money in three days'; contracts earn money through steady streams. If you just lost a trade and want to go all-in to recover? You're likely to face liquidation. In trading, being 'eager for quick success' is the worst; it's like running a red light—sometimes you get lucky and nothing happens, but over the long term, something serious will definitely happen. Be steady; even if you only earn 3% a day, accumulating that is better than aimlessly messing around.
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💥I went from 500U to 52,000U, and every step is documented!
In 42 days, I have mastered the "stability principle"
Day1: Opened position at 500U, the group was full of "let's see how long you can hold before liquidation"
Day15: Reached 2000U, they said "it's just short-term luck"
Day28: Broke through 4000U, private messages started asking "what indicators are you using"
Day42: Screenshot stopped at 52,000U, the group was flooded with "please take me along"
I didn't do any miraculous operations, just relied on the three cycles of "light positions + taking profits + waiting for signals":
1️⃣ Never exceed 15% of principal when opening a position, first let the trade "survive", then hope it "grows"
2️⃣ When profits reach 10%, withdraw half of the profits, set the rest to breakeven stop loss, pocket the gains, and leave the risks to the market
3️⃣ No more than 2 trades in three days, resolutely avoid markets that are hard to understand, better to sit idle and drink tea
Three iron rules welded into trading:
✅ No all-in, no holding positions, no staying up late to watch the market
✅ Write the stop-loss line when opening a position, write the take-profit line after making a profit
✅ As soon as you break discipline once, shut down for the day
So what were the results?
📈 First stage 15 days, +100%
📈 Second stage 13 days, another +100%
📈 Third stage 14 days, +250%, account exceeds 50,000U
Some always say "the market is bad, you can't make money", but I want to ask:
Is your liquidation due to the market not being strong, or because you couldn't resist making random trades?
Trading does not rely on gambling, but on rhythm. Engrave discipline into your bones, and 500U can also grow into your own confidence.
In 42 days, I have mastered the "stability principle"
Day1: Opened position at 500U, the group was full of "let's see how long you can hold before liquidation"
Day15: Reached 2000U, they said "it's just short-term luck"
Day28: Broke through 4000U, private messages started asking "what indicators are you using"
Day42: Screenshot stopped at 52,000U, the group was flooded with "please take me along"
I didn't do any miraculous operations, just relied on the three cycles of "light positions + taking profits + waiting for signals":
1️⃣ Never exceed 15% of principal when opening a position, first let the trade "survive", then hope it "grows"
2️⃣ When profits reach 10%, withdraw half of the profits, set the rest to breakeven stop loss, pocket the gains, and leave the risks to the market
3️⃣ No more than 2 trades in three days, resolutely avoid markets that are hard to understand, better to sit idle and drink tea
Three iron rules welded into trading:
✅ No all-in, no holding positions, no staying up late to watch the market
✅ Write the stop-loss line when opening a position, write the take-profit line after making a profit
✅ As soon as you break discipline once, shut down for the day
So what were the results?
📈 First stage 15 days, +100%
📈 Second stage 13 days, another +100%
📈 Third stage 14 days, +250%, account exceeds 50,000U
Some always say "the market is bad, you can't make money", but I want to ask:
Is your liquidation due to the market not being strong, or because you couldn't resist making random trades?
Trading does not rely on gambling, but on rhythm. Engrave discipline into your bones, and 500U can also grow into your own confidence.
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Today's market performance shows mixed trends:
1: The tokens leading in intraday gains are RAY and LDO, while ILV and CFX are leading the decline. Bitcoin's 4-hour candlestick chart shows increased selling pressure, the MACD histogram is extending negatively, and the KDJ has formed a death cross, with support at $114,756 and resistance at $118,009. Ethereum, on the other hand, is performing strongly, with a 24-hour gain exceeding 8%, the price standing above $4200, and the market cap surpassing $500 billion, pushing the total market cap of cryptocurrencies to break the $4 trillion mark again. In the past 24 hours, over 100,000 people in the cryptocurrency market have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount close to $400 million. The largest single liquidation occurred in Ethereum, valued at $10.6284 million.
2. Japan's wave of Bitcoin assetization by companies: Japanese companies are launching a wave of Bitcoin treasury assetization, with Metaplanet Inc. already holding 17,595 BTC and aiming to accumulate 210,000 BTC by 2027. Beauty salon operator Convano also plans to collect 21,000 BTC. Additionally, companies such as clothing retailer Mac-House and textile manufacturers Kitabo and Toho Remac are also actively engaging in Bitcoin purchases or mining operations. This trend is driven by an improved regulatory environment in Japan, as the Financial Services Agency's new working group redefines crypto assets, potentially unlocking Bitcoin ETFs.
3. August popular token unlocks: This month's top token unlocks are expected to release tokens worth nearly $3 billion, although lower than in July, it remains one of the largest monthly unlock events this year. Key tokens such as SUI, ENA, APT, ARB, and ZRO dominate the unlock plans. For instance, SUI will unlock $214 million on August 1, and ENA will unlock $59.1 million on August 2. These unlock events may trigger market fluctuations while also presenting trading opportunities.
1: The tokens leading in intraday gains are RAY and LDO, while ILV and CFX are leading the decline. Bitcoin's 4-hour candlestick chart shows increased selling pressure, the MACD histogram is extending negatively, and the KDJ has formed a death cross, with support at $114,756 and resistance at $118,009. Ethereum, on the other hand, is performing strongly, with a 24-hour gain exceeding 8%, the price standing above $4200, and the market cap surpassing $500 billion, pushing the total market cap of cryptocurrencies to break the $4 trillion mark again. In the past 24 hours, over 100,000 people in the cryptocurrency market have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount close to $400 million. The largest single liquidation occurred in Ethereum, valued at $10.6284 million.
2. Japan's wave of Bitcoin assetization by companies: Japanese companies are launching a wave of Bitcoin treasury assetization, with Metaplanet Inc. already holding 17,595 BTC and aiming to accumulate 210,000 BTC by 2027. Beauty salon operator Convano also plans to collect 21,000 BTC. Additionally, companies such as clothing retailer Mac-House and textile manufacturers Kitabo and Toho Remac are also actively engaging in Bitcoin purchases or mining operations. This trend is driven by an improved regulatory environment in Japan, as the Financial Services Agency's new working group redefines crypto assets, potentially unlocking Bitcoin ETFs.
3. August popular token unlocks: This month's top token unlocks are expected to release tokens worth nearly $3 billion, although lower than in July, it remains one of the largest monthly unlock events this year. Key tokens such as SUI, ENA, APT, ARB, and ZRO dominate the unlock plans. For instance, SUI will unlock $214 million on August 1, and ENA will unlock $59.1 million on August 2. These unlock events may trigger market fluctuations while also presenting trading opportunities.
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A veteran of the crypto world for ten years accompanies you in madness.
In 2016, when I rushed into the crypto world with a few thousand in 'spending money,' I thought this was a place where 'if you buy the right thing, you can win effortlessly.' I didn't expect that after two rounds of bull and bear markets, I would find that it felt more like a 'refining furnace'—burning away greed and refining reverence, with the last remaining thing called 'survival.'
2017: Learning to 'let go' in the bubble.
The madness of the first bull market still feels like a dream when I think back on it. At that time, opening the exchange felt like rockets were strapped to the candlesticks; buying any altcoin could lead to gains. People in the group were constantly posting screenshots of 'turning a monthly salary of 3,000 into a net worth of a million.' I once chased an air coin labeled 'blockchain + gaming' with leverage, and it multiplied five times in three days. I couldn't sleep at night, planning that 'if it rises one more wave, I'll cash out and buy a house.'
2017: Learning to 'let go' in the bubble.
The madness of the first bull market still feels like a dream when I think back on it. At that time, opening the exchange felt like rockets were strapped to the candlesticks; buying any altcoin could lead to gains. People in the group were constantly posting screenshots of 'turning a monthly salary of 3,000 into a net worth of a million.' I once chased an air coin labeled 'blockchain + gaming' with leverage, and it multiplied five times in three days. I couldn't sleep at night, planning that 'if it rises one more wave, I'll cash out and buy a house.'
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How to join your group
Ten Years of Ups and Downs: Eight Harsh Words for Those Still Struggling in the Crypto Space
It’s been ten years; from the first liquidation in 2015 to now, I have personally buried 17 zeroed projects and accompanied 3 thousand-fold myths. I’ve seen too many people rush in with dreams of wealth, only to become too afraid to even send emojis. Today I’ll share my bottom-line advice, eight bloody lessons—understand them and then test them in the market with real money; don’t let it go in one ear and out the other.
1. It's not about how many coins you have, but the position you hold.
Principal @100,000, only focus on one leading track; within 300,000, at most two; capped at four for 500,000. Exceeding this amount means you’re not investing; you’re paying salaries to project teams. Concentrate firepower in a bull market, clear the account with one click in a bear market, and only a clean account allows for a good night’s sleep.
1. It's not about how many coins you have, but the position you hold.
Principal @100,000, only focus on one leading track; within 300,000, at most two; capped at four for 500,000. Exceeding this amount means you’re not investing; you’re paying salaries to project teams. Concentrate firepower in a bull market, clear the account with one click in a bear market, and only a clean account allows for a good night’s sleep.
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Let's listen to you.
$BCH BCH Short-term analysis indicates a bearish trend on the 1/2/4 hour levels.
Key focus now is on 321.65,
with resistance levels at: around 321.69-323.96-333.66.
For those still holding short positions, seize the daily level pullback to decisively position in the spot market.
Spot reference points are around 313.50-309.64-304.46.
#BCH
Key focus now is on 321.65,
with resistance levels at: around 321.69-323.96-333.66.
For those still holding short positions, seize the daily level pullback to decisively position in the spot market.
Spot reference points are around 313.50-309.64-304.46.
#BCH
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