宫麦琪Maggie

From a technical perspective, overall it is above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and recently it has been in a high-level consolidation, forming multiple upper and lower shadows. The struggle for dominance is intense, and the MACD is in negative territory, with the fast and slow lines diverging downwards. In the short term, the bulls are dominant. The RSI is gradually retreating from the overbought zone and is currently approaching a neutral level, indicating that market sentiment has eased. Given this point, we still prioritize the pullback to the bulls.
For Bitcoin operation suggestions, buy in the 93000-92500 range, aiming for the 94500-95500 area, with defense based on personal position.

Last night, a giant whale bought 30,000 ETH and 600 BTC, with a total value exceeding 110 million dollars. Recently, giant whales and institutions have been frantically buying Bitcoin. Are they preparing for a short position?

Will SOL become the next ETH?

Morning Market Analysis on 3.26

Bitcoin is being suppressed by the daily trend line, with a potential false breakout around the 88500 level. Additionally, there is a potential bat pattern in the formation, and a bearish wedge has formed on the 4H chart.

Trading Suggestion:
Bitcoin at 88500 level 🈳, target 85400-82400 ​​​

Morning flight analysis on March 25

Last night, it was indicated that Bitcoin had a double top bearish signal, and we have already entered the market. The short position is currently held, targeting 85400 first, and reducing positions around the liquidation map.

Operational Silk Road:
The market price of Bitcoin can be shorted, with added positions around 90000, targeting 85400.

Interpretation of Flight Situation on the Evening of March 24

Bitcoin has currently formed a double top, with entry points referencing the top weekly neck resistance around 89100 - daily Bollinger upper band resistance around 90000. The overall idea is to rise first and then fall; logically, we look at the liquidation map. From the trading perspective, after the double top, there will first be a short squeeze, and then if it declines, a large liquidation amount exists starting from 83300, with 6 billion in liquidation around 80000. Therefore, the main take-profit level for this large wave of short positions is calculated around support and liquidation amounts.

Operation Silk Road:
Main Bitcoin line 89100-90000 🈳, target 85300-82400

As shown in Figure 1: Blue represents the pen and center; Yellow represents the line segment and center; Purple represents the trend and center;
From the trend perspective, since the bottom of 15000, Bitcoin is currently in segment c of the trend, constructing the center of trend C, still in a bullish trend.
According to the recent pullback trend, there are two expectations in terms of direction:
Expectation 1: The support around 76000 is effective, the bears are exhausted, and the price is rising.
Expectation 2: The price continues to drop until it touches the center at the trend level, forming a 3-buy at the trend level (the upper edge of the purple rectangle in Figure 1).

Morning shipping analysis on March 13th

Bitcoin has formed a bottom in the medium term, currently looking at a price increase of $20,000, with the overall Silk Road mainly characterized by low volatility. Currently, there is no need to take action. In the short term, we are looking at a shark reversal on January 13th.

Operational suggestions:
For Bitcoin, focus on the 82,000 line with a target of an increase of over $5,000.

Starting from the end of February, as liquidity conditions tightened, confidence in increasing holdings began to deteriorate. External risk factors, including the Bybit hack and escalating US tariff tensions, intensified market uncertainty, causing Bitcoin prices to drop below $92,000. This level is crucial as it reflects the market falling below the cost basis of short-term holders.

Unlike previous periods, there has not been a significant buy-the-dip reaction this time, indicating that investor sentiment has shifted towards risk aversion and capital preservation, rather than continuing to increase holdings.

The CBD heat map confirms that as macro uncertainty increases, cumulative demand weakens, further proving that investor confidence is a key driver of accumulation behavior. The lack of buy-the-dip at lower levels suggests that capital rotation is underway, which may lead the market to experience a longer consolidation or adjustment phase before finding solid support.

Interpretation of Navigation Situation on December 3rd

Bitcoin's 1H and 4H levels are below healthy levels, and the daily level is also below healthy levels. Today, we expect consolidation, while the long-term outlook remains intact, with the overall Silk Road unchanged.

Operational Suggestions:
For Bitcoin, target the 80700-80000 range, aiming for a space of over 5000 points.
For Ethereum, target the 1760-1730 range, aiming for a space of over 300 points.

The Compass in the Bear
Due to selling pressure primarily from investors who recently purchased tokens at relatively high prices, it becomes insightful to judge the depth that the current bearish phase may reach. To assess this, we will use various statistical ranges based on the cost basis of short-term holders as readings of psychological fair value extremes.
The chart below shows the statistical high and low ranges of price deviations derived from these cost basis models.
Currently, the lower limit of this model (severe underfunding of short-term holders) is between $713,000 and $919,000. Notably, this range aligns with the previously discussed liquidity gap between $70,000 and $88,000, indicating that there is a high likelihood of forming a temporary bottom in this area at least in the short term.

Interpretation of Flight Information on the Morning of December 3rd

The Bitcoin long cycle is in a bearish trend, with a decline that was less than expected. Instead of experiencing a strong acceleration in the drop, it has been primarily affected by the decline in the U.S. stock market. From this perspective, it can be considered that the short-term market is not as weak as imagined.

From a technical standpoint, the two 2B tests in both small and large cycles can be seen as temporary signals for stopping the decline, indicating that the market has a demand for a rebound.

Operational Advice:
For Bitcoin, the target is around 80,500 with a goal of an increase of over 20,000 dollars.
For altcoins, the target is around 1,850 with a goal of above 3,000.

The indicator bear market reaching green gives a buy signal, the last bull market gave a sell signal, reaching the red zone. This signal indicates that Bitcoin has not peaked. I believe this curve can provide accurate buy and sell signals. A reference for bull and bear tops and bottoms.

3.10 Morning Flight Situation Interpretation

Yesterday indicated that Bitcoin's triangle was converging, and to act on the stronger side; if it breaks below 85k, watch for 81k. The current market price is around 805, and it's appropriate to buy some spot.

Operating Suggestions:
Market price around 80500-79500, target 83000-85000

Today's Mainstream Coin Trend Analysis:

#BTC The big coin rebounded 1200 points from the given position yesterday, and then dipped to the daily lower support level in the evening, with a moderate rebound strength. Typically, in such cases, further declines are expected. Short-term resistance is concentrated around 97000 (the dividing line between bullish and bearish), with a short-term focus on around 94000 and key attention around 92000.

#ETH Yesterday, it rebounded 80 points from around the given 2650. Ethereum has been performing well in the last two days, currently oscillating above 2600. Short-term support can be referenced around 2630-2600, with resistance above in the 2750-2780 range.
The above content is for reference only.

Daily Market Interpretation - BTC 02/18

The trend of BTC continues the previous structure, showing no significant changes. It remains in a narrow range, with more observation and less action, trying to wait for an opportunity to break out.

In detail, a direct rise here will encounter layers of resistance above, and the extendable space is not large. Do not take action until it breaks through. If the daily line continues to decline, it will accumulate upward rebound momentum and space, allowing for a regular low buy at the support level.

Short-term support at 94044~92422, second support at 87127~84763 (low probability points, normal fluctuations won't reach, alternative nature, 1:2 pending orders), short-term resistance at 98222~99743, second resistance at 100800~101430 (can enter on a breakout and pullback).

The long-term seven presidential coins of SOL have led to the exhaustion of on-chain liquidity➕massive unlocking has resulted in extremely pessimistic market sentiment. Currently, this is an extremely low good opportunity.

2.17 Maggie's long position was perfectly closed and Maggie talked about adding positions and holding. We strictly abide by the trading discipline. Go long on Ethereum at 2661, hold for 1H, and gain 15 points of space.
​At present, the shipping situation is volatile, and we are all using scalping trading strategies, mainly bands, both quantity and quality.

Continue to increase your position in Ethereum ETH. Ethereum will upgrade the Holesky test network - Ethereum Pectra on the 25th of this month (05:55 in the morning). Starting at 11 o'clock tonight, FTX will begin to issue 6 billion stablecoins to creditors, and these funds will flow back to the cryptocurrency circle. Solana will be unblocked in large amounts next, and funds should flow back to BTC and ETH.

In the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are still trending downwards, and the upper band is also clearly pressing down, overlapping with the EMA80. There may be a continued break down towards the EMA60 position during the day. The current candlestick is once again encountering resistance from the middle band. The MACD is shrinking below the 0 axis, and the fast and slow lines are converging for the first time. Attention can be paid to the position approaching the 0 axis to consider opening a short position.