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乔乐

Frequent Trader
4.1 Years
公共号:加密消息灵手,最前沿的信息服务。万倍之路。专注研究机构思维、行情分析与判断。通过我对市场的认知以及圈子帮助更多的粉丝避坑。
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Israeli hackers attacked the Iranian exchange Nobitex, 83 million dollars stolen 'nice address' exposed political intentions. Is Iran going to take a dump again tonight? $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Israeli hackers attacked the Iranian exchange Nobitex, 83 million dollars stolen 'nice address' exposed political intentions. Is Iran going to take a dump again tonight? $BTC
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There are more news events in the evening, and today the daytime market is likely to see little fluctuation due to capital hedging. Currently, 98% of people believe that the interest rate decision at 2 AM will remain unchanged $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
There are more news events in the evening, and today the daytime market is likely to see little fluctuation due to capital hedging.

Currently, 98% of people believe that the interest rate decision at 2 AM will remain unchanged $BTC
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The Senate will hold a final vote on the GENIUS stablecoin bill tomorrow at 4:30 PM. If passed, it will be beneficial for the DeFi sector. AAVE and COMP should pay attention in advance #美联储FOMC会议 $AAVE {future}(AAVEUSDT)
The Senate will hold a final vote on the GENIUS stablecoin bill tomorrow at 4:30 PM. If passed, it will be beneficial for the DeFi sector. AAVE and COMP should pay attention in advance #美联储FOMC会议 $AAVE
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Trump gives babies $1,000 in free stocks, can't imagine what else he could do. Trump loves to change things, he randomly issues both negative and positive news. Everyone has made a profit but still needs to reasonably reduce their positions #以太坊生态回暖 $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT)
Trump gives babies $1,000 in free stocks, can't imagine what else he could do. Trump loves to change things, he randomly issues both negative and positive news. Everyone has made a profit but still needs to reasonably reduce their positions #以太坊生态回暖 $ETH
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Trump is the most skilled operator in the world!
Trump is the most skilled operator in the world!
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April 12 Market Analysis The current market has not yet formed a reversal condition, with chips continuously stacking in the $83,000 region. However, there are three major contradictory signals accompanying the rising price: CME data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in June has risen to 25%, and the expectation for rate cuts continues to weaken; the on-chain turnover rate has sharply increased, revealing the intention of long-term holders to reduce their holdings; and the single-day selling volume of whale accounts has reached a recent high, resonating with the outflow of funds from the U.S. Treasury market across markets. This round of rebound is essentially a mixed product of short covering and policy games. While $83,000 shows technical bottoming characteristics, the chip structure still appears loose. Especially under the resonance of corrected rate cut expectations and institutional reductions, one should be cautious of the secondary bottoming risk triggered by liquidity withdrawal. Operational Suggestion: Gradually layout short positions relying on the resistance zone of $85,000-$86,000, while being wary of price false breakouts that lure buyers.
April 12 Market Analysis

The current market has not yet formed a reversal condition, with chips continuously stacking in the $83,000 region. However, there are three major contradictory signals accompanying the rising price: CME data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in June has risen to 25%, and the expectation for rate cuts continues to weaken; the on-chain turnover rate has sharply increased, revealing the intention of long-term holders to reduce their holdings; and the single-day selling volume of whale accounts has reached a recent high, resonating with the outflow of funds from the U.S. Treasury market across markets.

This round of rebound is essentially a mixed product of short covering and policy games. While $83,000 shows technical bottoming characteristics, the chip structure still appears loose. Especially under the resonance of corrected rate cut expectations and institutional reductions, one should be cautious of the secondary bottoming risk triggered by liquidity withdrawal.

Operational Suggestion: Gradually layout short positions relying on the resistance zone of $85,000-$86,000, while being wary of price false breakouts that lure buyers.
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Trump's statement: If China does not withdraw the additional 34% tariffs on the U.S. before tomorrow (April 8), a 50% tariff will be imposed on China starting April 9. The current market can be completely said to be controlled by news, so we must manage risks when trading! $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) #美国加征关税
Trump's statement: If China does not withdraw the additional 34% tariffs on the U.S. before tomorrow (April 8), a 50% tariff will be imposed on China starting April 9.

The current market can be completely said to be controlled by news, so we must manage risks when trading! $BTC
#美国加征关税
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No need to wait for the U.S. stock market to open. Just look at whether there are large-scale buybacks in the A-shares and Asian stock markets before closing. Trump's team sells high and buys low. The U.S. uses the dollar to buy quality assets around the world. If it were me, I would print unlimited money to buy at the bottom. Trump is not an ordinary person; perhaps my idea is wrong. #加密市场回调 $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) Trump will soon release positive news for arbitrage. There will be a big rebound!!!
No need to wait for the U.S. stock market to open. Just look at whether there are large-scale buybacks in the A-shares and Asian stock markets before closing. Trump's team sells high and buys low. The U.S. uses the dollar to buy quality assets around the world. If it were me, I would print unlimited money to buy at the bottom. Trump is not an ordinary person; perhaps my idea is wrong. #加密市场回调 $BTC
Trump will soon release positive news for arbitrage. There will be a big rebound!!!
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Institution: Asian Stock Markets Plunge, Market Eager for Rapid Rate Cuts in the U.S. Sydney ITC Markets Senior Forex Analyst Sean Callow stated: "The only real circuit breaker is President Trump's remarks, and there are almost no signs that the market sell-off has troubled him enough to reconsider the policy positions he has held for decades." Previously, investors believed that the trillions of dollars in wealth loss and the potential severe impact on the economy would lead Trump to rethink his plans. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) #美国加征关税
Institution: Asian Stock Markets Plunge, Market Eager for Rapid Rate Cuts in the U.S.

Sydney ITC Markets Senior Forex Analyst Sean Callow stated: "The only real circuit breaker is President Trump's remarks, and there are almost no signs that the market sell-off has troubled him enough to reconsider the policy positions he has held for decades." Previously, investors believed that the trillions of dollars in wealth loss and the potential severe impact on the economy would lead Trump to rethink his plans. $BTC
#美国加征关税
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Trump maliciously shorted. He said it was for the people!!! $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Trump maliciously shorted. He said it was for the people!!! $BTC
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The chart above shows the Dow Jones Index, with a large bearish candlestick on Friday, leaving endless associations over the weekend. In this situation, Monday's opening will definitely face a significant amount of selling pressure. Now we can only look at Trump's response policy; if not handled well, it could be a repeat of the circuit breaker incident in 2020. $BTC
The chart above shows the Dow Jones Index, with a large bearish candlestick on Friday, leaving endless associations over the weekend.

In this situation, Monday's opening will definitely face a significant amount of selling pressure. Now we can only look at Trump's response policy; if not handled well, it could be a repeat of the circuit breaker incident in 2020. $BTC
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Bullish
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April 4th Market Analysis US stocks plummeted 5%, hitting a new low for the year, while BTC only slightly fell by 0.73%, showing its resilience. ETH plunged deeply to 1750, reaching a 15-month low. On-chain data indicates that institutional funds are migrating from small and mid-cap tokens to Bitcoin, suggesting that April may witness a "big coin bloodsucking" market. Operational Suggestions: Bitcoin has stabilized at the 83,000 level, and the daily chart may complete a final bottoming structure. Trump's tariff issues may disrupt volatility throughout the year, and this pullback may be the last round of panic release. The strategy continues with a left-side layout approach, raising the BTC long position stop loss to 79,500 and defending ETH support at 1,740. If it breaks above 86,000, positions can be pursued on the right side. The medium-term target looks towards the 89,000-90,000 pressure zone. Current advice is to maintain the base position and wait for liquidity to warm up after the tariffs are finalized. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) #加密市场回调
April 4th Market Analysis

US stocks plummeted 5%, hitting a new low for the year, while BTC only slightly fell by 0.73%, showing its resilience. ETH plunged deeply to 1750, reaching a 15-month low. On-chain data indicates that institutional funds are migrating from small and mid-cap tokens to Bitcoin, suggesting that April may witness a "big coin bloodsucking" market.

Operational Suggestions: Bitcoin has stabilized at the 83,000 level, and the daily chart may complete a final bottoming structure. Trump's tariff issues may disrupt volatility throughout the year, and this pullback may be the last round of panic release. The strategy continues with a left-side layout approach, raising the BTC long position stop loss to 79,500 and defending ETH support at 1,740. If it breaks above 86,000, positions can be pursued on the right side. The medium-term target looks towards the 89,000-90,000 pressure zone. Current advice is to maintain the base position and wait for liquidity to warm up after the tariffs are finalized. $BTC
#加密市场回调
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Recently, the main force behind Binance address projects led by ACT, SATS, and MASK has exhibited illogical rapid actions to harvest retail investors. With such low trading volume, after a period of sideways movement, they crash the market, pump it up, and then crash it again. The market basically only focuses on hot topics and quickly harvests retail investors. Be very cautious with these few cryptocurrencies recently. #BNBChain爆发 $BNB
Recently, the main force behind Binance address projects led by ACT, SATS, and MASK has exhibited illogical rapid actions to harvest retail investors. With such low trading volume, after a period of sideways movement, they crash the market, pump it up, and then crash it again. The market basically only focuses on hot topics and quickly harvests retail investors. Be very cautious with these few cryptocurrencies recently. #BNBChain爆发 $BNB
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Bullish
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Today's mainstream currency trend analysis: #BTC The market has been fluctuating up and down in the past two days, indicating that both bulls and bears are competing. The current market still presents a fluctuating pattern, with short-term support forming between 82000-81200, and resistance to pay attention to at 84300-85000. Specifics depend on this week's tariff and non-farm data. #ETH Ethereum experienced two pullbacks at the resistance level yesterday, both within a 40-point range. The trend is basically the same as Bitcoin, with a 4-hour upward fluctuation. Today shows signs of strengthening, with short-term resistance at the 1880-1905 range and support at 1800-1780. The intraday market has warmed slightly, but the existing upper pressure cannot be ignored. The market is ever-changing, so specifics should be based on actual trading conditions. Remember to manage risk well! #美国加征关税
Today's mainstream currency trend analysis:

#BTC The market has been fluctuating up and down in the past two days, indicating that both bulls and bears are competing. The current market still presents a fluctuating pattern, with short-term support forming between 82000-81200, and resistance to pay attention to at 84300-85000. Specifics depend on this week's tariff and non-farm data.

#ETH Ethereum experienced two pullbacks at the resistance level yesterday, both within a 40-point range. The trend is basically the same as Bitcoin, with a 4-hour upward fluctuation. Today shows signs of strengthening, with short-term resistance at the 1880-1905 range and support at 1800-1780.

The intraday market has warmed slightly, but the existing upper pressure cannot be ignored. The market is ever-changing, so specifics should be based on actual trading conditions. Remember to manage risk well! #美国加征关税
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Sun Ge: In 2015, ten years ago, I just entered Lakeside University. At that time, I was 25 years old, the youngest student at Lakeside University. At that time, Alibaba and President Jack Ma were at their peak, having just completed the largest IPO in American history. Ten years later, the stars have shifted, and the world has changed, but the only constant is inheritance, perseverance, and construction. It has been ten years, and everything is just beginning. #孙宇晨购得喜剧演员
Sun Ge: In 2015, ten years ago, I just entered Lakeside University. At that time, I was 25 years old, the youngest student at Lakeside University. At that time, Alibaba and President Jack Ma were at their peak, having just completed the largest IPO in American history. Ten years later, the stars have shifted, and the world has changed, but the only constant is inheritance, perseverance, and construction. It has been ten years, and everything is just beginning. #孙宇晨购得喜剧演员
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Bullish
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In the past, meme coins casually had a market value of hundreds of millions of USD, with the highest reaching tens of billions of USD. Now, popular projects on Binance have a market value of 100-200 million USD and several tens of millions. The lingering bearish sentiment continues to ferment. Based on the current market dynamics and adjustments in Binance's strategy, the shrinking market value of meme coins is mainly influenced by the following factors: 1. Changes in Market Structure After 2024, the crypto market enters an adjustment period, and the high circulation token (FDV) model is difficult to sustain. The average circulation volume of projects listed on Binance is only 13%, but fully diluted valuations (FDV) reach several billion USD, leading to a dramatic drop in token prices after listing due to unlocking selling pressure. For example, the TST token, which launched in February 2025, skyrocketed 100 times before its launch but fell by 67% after going live. 2. Shift in Binance's Strategy To address the trust crisis, Binance launched the "Vote-to-List" community voting mechanism for listing coins, handing some decision-making power to users. While this has increased participation, it has led to uneven project quality. In the first round of voting, tokens associated with CZ, such as BROCCOLI and TUT, performed outstandingly, while the independent project Mubarak, despite leading in popularity, fell against the trend, reflecting market aesthetic fatigue. 3. Intensified Ecological Competition The BSC chain faces challenges from Solana and Base chains, with daily active user numbers being surpassed. Although Binance integrates on-chain assets through Alpha 2.0, the popularity of meme coins is dispersed, making it difficult for individual projects to replicate the early "hundreds of millions of USD market value" wealth creation effect. For instance, in March 2025, the daily trading volume on the BNB Chain DEX reached 2.5 billion USD, but mainly relied on a few tokens like TUT and BROCCOLI for support. 4. Evolution of Exchange Roles Binance has shifted from a "wealth creation code" to a "risk filter," with more than 60% of projects launched in 2024 experiencing a price drop. Currently, the market value of popular projects is mostly in the range of 100-200 million USD, reflecting that exchanges are placing more emphasis on compliance and long-term value rather than short-term speculation. For example, after the TUT contract launch, Binance stabilized prices through derivative trading, suppressing excessive volatility. Future Outlook: With Binance burning BNB, introducing zero transaction fees, and the ongoing optimization of the BSC chain ecosystem, meme coins may experience differentiation. Projects with technological innovation or strong community-driven initiatives (such as SIREN) still have the potential to break through, but the overall market value ceiling has significantly decreased.
In the past, meme coins casually had a market value of hundreds of millions of USD, with the highest reaching tens of billions of USD. Now, popular projects on Binance have a market value of 100-200 million USD and several tens of millions. The lingering bearish sentiment continues to ferment.

Based on the current market dynamics and adjustments in Binance's strategy, the shrinking market value of meme coins is mainly influenced by the following factors:

1. Changes in Market Structure
After 2024, the crypto market enters an adjustment period, and the high circulation token (FDV) model is difficult to sustain. The average circulation volume of projects listed on Binance is only 13%, but fully diluted valuations (FDV) reach several billion USD, leading to a dramatic drop in token prices after listing due to unlocking selling pressure. For example, the TST token, which launched in February 2025, skyrocketed 100 times before its launch but fell by 67% after going live.

2. Shift in Binance's Strategy
To address the trust crisis, Binance launched the "Vote-to-List" community voting mechanism for listing coins, handing some decision-making power to users. While this has increased participation, it has led to uneven project quality. In the first round of voting, tokens associated with CZ, such as BROCCOLI and TUT, performed outstandingly, while the independent project Mubarak, despite leading in popularity, fell against the trend, reflecting market aesthetic fatigue.

3. Intensified Ecological Competition
The BSC chain faces challenges from Solana and Base chains, with daily active user numbers being surpassed. Although Binance integrates on-chain assets through Alpha 2.0, the popularity of meme coins is dispersed, making it difficult for individual projects to replicate the early "hundreds of millions of USD market value" wealth creation effect. For instance, in March 2025, the daily trading volume on the BNB Chain DEX reached 2.5 billion USD, but mainly relied on a few tokens like TUT and BROCCOLI for support.

4. Evolution of Exchange Roles
Binance has shifted from a "wealth creation code" to a "risk filter," with more than 60% of projects launched in 2024 experiencing a price drop. Currently, the market value of popular projects is mostly in the range of 100-200 million USD, reflecting that exchanges are placing more emphasis on compliance and long-term value rather than short-term speculation. For example, after the TUT contract launch, Binance stabilized prices through derivative trading, suppressing excessive volatility.

Future Outlook: With Binance burning BNB, introducing zero transaction fees, and the ongoing optimization of the BSC chain ecosystem, meme coins may experience differentiation. Projects with technological innovation or strong community-driven initiatives (such as SIREN) still have the potential to break through, but the overall market value ceiling has significantly decreased.
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Do you want to get my exclusive benefits? The major level has broken through and is about to explode, with support levels at 3.65-3.56 looking towards around 4.5!!! $TON {future}(TONUSDT)
Do you want to get my exclusive benefits?

The major level has broken through and is about to explode, with support levels at 3.65-3.56 looking towards around 4.5!!! $TON
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