Overview #BTC from 1/1 to 12/5/2025: Bitcoin started the year around $99,900, reaching a peak of ~$108,700 (mid 2/2025) due to ETF expectations and institutional money flow. However, BTC sharply declined to a low of ~$74,000 on April 8 due to concerns about U.S. tax policy, then quickly recovered. Currently, BTC is fluctuating around $104,000, holding above the psychological support level of $100,000.
Weekly frame: • Strong support: $92,000 – $100,000 • Resistance: $110,000 – $120,000 • The main trend remains bullish, with the Higher High – Higher Low pattern maintained.
Forecast for the next 3 months: • If it stays above $100,000, BTC could aim for $120,000. • If it breaks below $100,000, it could adjust to $92,000 or lower.
Main risks: U.S. financial policy, geopolitical volatility, actions from the SEC, and whale manipulation.
Recommendation: Prioritize holding positions if the price stabilizes above $100,000. No FOMO, adhere to discipline and manage capital tightly. Always prepare for unexpected volatility.
Today's News: 1. Bitcoin surpasses $105,000 → The upward trend continues but liquidity decreases, signs of accumulation after a strong increase. 2. Ethereum holds steady above $2,500 → The next target could be $2,800 if the trend continues. 3. Altcoins attract capital → Solana and MATIC see significant increases in volume – capital is leaving BTC in search of new opportunities. 4. US-China negotiations progress positively → Improves the sentiment in the financial market, supporting the upward trend of crypto. 5. SEC meeting with major organizations on asset tokenization → Fidelity, Nasdaq, BlackRock participating – increasing signals of crypto acceptance.
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Analysis & Advice: • BTC is rising but prone to corrections – should look to buy when there is a correction, avoid FOMO. • ETH maintains good strength – if it does not break below $2,500, the opportunity for further increases is quite clear. • Altcoins are diverging – should only choose coins with clear cash flow, avoid haphazard purchases. • Positive macro news but still carries risks – should keep 20-30% of capital as a reserve. • Major institutions are entering the market – this is a positive sign for the medium term.
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Note: Even though the market is rising, invest strategically and maintain strong risk management discipline.
5 Most Notable Highlights Today: 1. Bitcoin holds steady above $103,000 → Reached a peak of $104,857 today, liquidity decreases indicate the market is accumulating after a strong uptrend. 2. Ethereum surpasses $2,500 → Strong upward momentum, next target $2,800 as institutional money continues to flow in. 3. Altcoin season begins → Capital is shifting from BTC to altcoins like ETH, SOL, DOGE, ADA as BTC dominance decreases. 4. Dogecoin rises 24% → Whales are buying in heavily, reflecting confidence in the altcoin rally. 5. US-China negotiations are about to take place → May affect the sentiment of the global financial market, including crypto.
Short-Term Trend Analysis
1. Bitcoin is resting – don’t rush in!
After a strong bounce above $104,000, BTC is pausing, liquidity is decreasing. → Wait for a healthy correction, avoid FOMO while the market is catching its breath.
Crypto News 1. Bitcoin surpasses $103,000 → Expectations of the Fed lowering interest rates + institutional funds flowing into the market. 2. Bitcoin ETF in the U.S. attracts record capital → Strong signals from institutional investors; the market is being reshaped as a serious investment channel. 3. Altcoins recover strongly → Ethereum +11%, Dogecoin, Sui rise significantly — investor sentiment shifts to 'risk-on'. 4. Meta returns to the crypto market → Promises to revive the blockchain application segment for social media and payments. 5. Trump announces major trade deal → Expectations to boost the financial market in general, creating a positive effect for risk assets like crypto.
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Short-term reference: • Market sentiment: Strongly optimistic. Institutional funds, ETF growth, and risk-on sentiment are returning. • Bitcoin: Likely to maintain above $100,000 if the Fed confirms signals of monetary easing. Nearby resistance: $108,000. Support: $97,000. • Altcoins: Could break out strongly if funds spread out. Especially ETH, DOGE, tokens in the AI, socialFi, and layer-2 sectors. • Risks: Short-term correction due to profit-taking if Bitcoin cannot hold above the 100k range; news from the Fed or sudden changes in international policy.