柏盛A
公众号:Crypto-柏盛。主做二级市场，经历两牛一熊，擅长中短线布局、趋势及波段战法。曾经执着寻找山寨百倍币，现在专注比特币、以太坊。
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This week's summary, layout section, accumulated gains of 15003 BTC and 430 ETH
This week’s actual trading mostly followed the public strategy, starting from 82000 and continuously placing long orders up to 92000.
Then, from 92000, continuously shorting down to 88000.
This round of ups and downs captured the two key points on the left side well; how to operate in between was also correct. In such a market, some people may incur losses back and forth, or even blow up a position.
However, the strategy during this period has completely aligned with the topic while also providing you with the answers; as long as you know how to copy, the gains for this week won't be low.
If you haven’t grasped it well, feel free to chat with us!
This week’s actual trading mostly followed the public strategy, starting from 82000 and continuously placing long orders up to 92000.
Then, from 92000, continuously shorting down to 88000.
This round of ups and downs captured the two key points on the left side well; how to operate in between was also correct. In such a market, some people may incur losses back and forth, or even blow up a position.
However, the strategy during this period has completely aligned with the topic while also providing you with the answers; as long as you know how to copy, the gains for this week won't be low.
If you haven’t grasped it well, feel free to chat with us!
Summary of this week, strategy, cumulative harvest of 18,000 BTC points!
This week, on the 4th, it was predicted that the BTC price would fall back to around 82,000 or 81,000 and then start a rebound to 86,500 or 94,000
In the early morning of the 5th, not only did the price fall back to 81,200 as expected, but it also rebounded to 90,897 at night, which perfectly confirmed the idea of 4th.
On the night of the 5th, according to the structure at that time, the operation suggestion of taking more at 87,500 and stopping profit at around 93,000 was given again.
In the early morning of the 6th, the price fell to 87,558 at the lowest. After reaching the buy 2 in the strategy of No. 5, the price rebounded rapidly and fell under pressure at 92,780 at noon. The idea of No. 5 was once again perfectly confirmed.
After the price fell to 92,780, it was judged that there would be a round of callback to 87,000-86,000 at night on the 6th according to the structure, and the target range would be reached again during the day on the 7th.
3 rounds of public strategy long and short double confirmation, cumulatively tens of thousands of points.
The layout record will be sorted out in the next article. $BTC $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析 #ETH #ETH走势分析
This week, on the 4th, it was predicted that the BTC price would fall back to around 82,000 or 81,000 and then start a rebound to 86,500 or 94,000
In the early morning of the 5th, not only did the price fall back to 81,200 as expected, but it also rebounded to 90,897 at night, which perfectly confirmed the idea of 4th.
On the night of the 5th, according to the structure at that time, the operation suggestion of taking more at 87,500 and stopping profit at around 93,000 was given again.
In the early morning of the 6th, the price fell to 87,558 at the lowest. After reaching the buy 2 in the strategy of No. 5, the price rebounded rapidly and fell under pressure at 92,780 at noon. The idea of No. 5 was once again perfectly confirmed.
After the price fell to 92,780, it was judged that there would be a round of callback to 87,000-86,000 at night on the 6th according to the structure, and the target range would be reached again during the day on the 7th.
3 rounds of public strategy long and short double confirmation, cumulatively tens of thousands of points.
The layout record will be sorted out in the next article. $BTC $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析 #ETH #ETH走势分析
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Summary of this week, strategy, cumulative harvest of 18,000 BTC points!
This week, on the 4th, it was predicted that the BTC price would fall back to around 82,000 or 81,000 and then start a rebound to 86,500 or 94,000
In the early morning of the 5th, not only did the price fall back to 81,200 as expected, but it also rebounded to 90,897 at night, which perfectly confirmed the idea of 4th.
On the night of the 5th, according to the structure at that time, the operation suggestion of taking more at 87,500 and stopping profit at around 93,000 was given again.
In the early morning of the 6th, the price fell to 87,558 at the lowest. After reaching the buy 2 in the strategy of No. 5, the price rebounded rapidly and fell under pressure at 92,780 at noon. The idea of No. 5 was once again perfectly confirmed.
After the price fell to 92,780, it was judged that there would be a round of callback to 87,000-86,000 at night on the 6th according to the structure, and the target range would be reached again during the day on the 7th.
3 rounds of public strategy long and short double confirmation, cumulatively tens of thousands of points.
The layout record will be sorted out in the next article. $BTC $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析 #ETH #ETH走势分析
This week, on the 4th, it was predicted that the BTC price would fall back to around 82,000 or 81,000 and then start a rebound to 86,500 or 94,000
In the early morning of the 5th, not only did the price fall back to 81,200 as expected, but it also rebounded to 90,897 at night, which perfectly confirmed the idea of 4th.
On the night of the 5th, according to the structure at that time, the operation suggestion of taking more at 87,500 and stopping profit at around 93,000 was given again.
In the early morning of the 6th, the price fell to 87,558 at the lowest. After reaching the buy 2 in the strategy of No. 5, the price rebounded rapidly and fell under pressure at 92,780 at noon. The idea of No. 5 was once again perfectly confirmed.
After the price fell to 92,780, it was judged that there would be a round of callback to 87,000-86,000 at night on the 6th according to the structure, and the target range would be reached again during the day on the 7th.
3 rounds of public strategy long and short double confirmation, cumulatively tens of thousands of points.
The layout record will be sorted out in the next article. $BTC $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析 #ETH #ETH走势分析
No need for many words
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2025-04-19 BTC Market Analysis, a change is about to come, either tomorrow or next Monday!
Today, I still couldn't break out of the pullback, but instead, it has risen slightly with reduced volume. However, it hasn't broken through 86000, so this rise can only be viewed as within the range of fluctuations and shouldn't be overly FOMO. But the breakthrough is just around the corner, so those shorting need to pay attention to stop losses. Some may ask if they can chase long positions? The answer is no, as breaking 86000 allows for following the trend to chase a small rise, but before that, the short-term trend could reverse at any time.
Market Analysis
The change is imminent; I believe the 4h level will only follow one of the two predicted trends from my article on the 16th. Interested friends can refer to it.
Market Analysis
The change is imminent; I believe the 4h level will only follow one of the two predicted trends from my article on the 16th. Interested friends can refer to it.
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2025-04-18 BTC Market Analysis, Oscillation Continues, If It Doesn't Break 86,000, Expect a Correction.
BTC has been oscillating above 83,000 for nearly a week. During this time, there were two breakouts above 86,000, but neither sustained. The range is still narrowing, indicating that a breakout is imminent.
Market Analysis
For the 4-hour analysis, there is no need for further analysis. Interested readers can refer to the market analysis on the 16th.
On the 1-hour level, it has been oscillating for a long time. The trend from the 12th to now has formed a 1-hour center. If it breaks above 86,000 again later, the probability of continuing to rise will be greater, as it will extend a rebound away from the center, with the target still focusing around 89,000.
Market Analysis
For the 4-hour analysis, there is no need for further analysis. Interested readers can refer to the market analysis on the 16th.
On the 1-hour level, it has been oscillating for a long time. The trend from the 12th to now has formed a 1-hour center. If it breaks above 86,000 again later, the probability of continuing to rise will be greater, as it will extend a rebound away from the center, with the target still focusing around 89,000.
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2025-04-17 BTC Market Analysis, Fluctuation Range Narrowing, Continuing to Observe 1-Hour Pullback.
Although BTC started to rebound after pulling back to 83000, it only reached a high of 85500, thus still remaining within a broad range of fluctuations. From a structural and timing perspective, over the past two days, each 15-minute rebound high has been relatively lower. While it hasn't made a new low, it is sufficient to indicate that the upward momentum is starting to slow down. From a probabilistic standpoint, the likelihood of a short-term decline is certainly higher. We can pay attention to whether the 1-hour pullback continues later.
Market Analysis
I won't analyze the 4-hour chart today; interested readers can refer to the market analysis from the 16th.
Let's focus on the 1-hour level. In fact, the pullback to 83000 yesterday was not strictly a 1-hour level; at most, it was a 15-minute pullback. If the price breaks below 83000 later, then the structure of the 1-hour pullback will be complete, indicating that we are currently in a 1-hour pullback. However, if the market continues to fluctuate and does not break below 83000, it is more likely to make another push, with a target around 89000.
Market Analysis
I won't analyze the 4-hour chart today; interested readers can refer to the market analysis from the 16th.
Let's focus on the 1-hour level. In fact, the pullback to 83000 yesterday was not strictly a 1-hour level; at most, it was a 15-minute pullback. If the price breaks below 83000 later, then the structure of the 1-hour pullback will be complete, indicating that we are currently in a 1-hour pullback. However, if the market continues to fluctuate and does not break below 83000, it is more likely to make another push, with a target around 89000.
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2025-04-16 BTC Market Analysis, 1h Pullback is not over, the rebound will have to wait.
BTC has been consolidating in the range of 84000-86000 for nearly 4 days, and it finally pulled back this morning. The current 1h pullback should still be in progress. If it cannot break 86000 by tomorrow morning, it will test the 83000 support again.
Market Analysis
First, at the 4h level, if the price does not drop below 83000 in the short term, it may continue the 4h rebound that started from 74457 on the 7th of this month. Focus on whether the short-term price can break 86400 again and stabilize above 84000. If so, it will continue to rise for a while, first focusing on around 89000. As for whether it can break 90000 in one go, we need to observe the trading volume in the next couple of days.
Market Analysis
First, at the 4h level, if the price does not drop below 83000 in the short term, it may continue the 4h rebound that started from 74457 on the 7th of this month. Focus on whether the short-term price can break 86400 again and stabilize above 84000. If so, it will continue to rise for a while, first focusing on around 89000. As for whether it can break 90000 in one go, we need to observe the trading volume in the next couple of days.
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2025-04-15 BTC Market Analysis, the 1h pullback we've been waiting for 3 days has finally emerged, with a short-term focus on around 83000.
BTC high-level fluctuations have lasted for 3 days, and just now it has finally formed a relatively ideal 1h pullback structure. We should continue to observe the pullback strength a bit later, with a short-term target around 83000.
If 83000 has strong support, then it remains in a range-bound category, and in the coming days, it will build a period of hourly level center. If it breaks through quickly, it will continue to extend downward to around 80000 or even 78000.
So those who want to make longer-term arrangements still need to continue to wait patiently.
Market Analysis
First, I won't elaborate much on the 4h level today; friends who want to know can refer to yesterday's market analysis.
If 83000 has strong support, then it remains in a range-bound category, and in the coming days, it will build a period of hourly level center. If it breaks through quickly, it will continue to extend downward to around 80000 or even 78000.
So those who want to make longer-term arrangements still need to continue to wait patiently.
Market Analysis
First, I won't elaborate much on the 4h level today; friends who want to know can refer to yesterday's market analysis.
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2025-04-14 BTC market analysis, high-level fluctuations continue. Before breaking 90k, can it still retest 78k?
The pullback of BTC last night was not significant, or we can say that the drop in the past few days has not been large. Overall, it has still risen a bit more, but most of the time it has been maintaining high-level fluctuations. We can only say that both long and short positions can gain some profit in the short term.
Now that it hasn't fallen for a long time, it shows that we still have to wait for the pullback. Whether there will be another surge or if it will start to fall directly may depend on tomorrow.
Market analysis
Firstly, the 4h level has completely broken out of the downward trend since 110k. So I personally believe that it is impossible to create a new low next. As for whether it can go single-sided directly, considering the current trading volume, it might happen, but it's not very likely. However, for players who are looking to long in the mid to long term, as long as they ensure that the forced liquidation is below 74k, they will definitely be able to achieve ideal returns in the next few periods. Being a little cautious, they can also ensure forced liquidation is below 70k.
Now that it hasn't fallen for a long time, it shows that we still have to wait for the pullback. Whether there will be another surge or if it will start to fall directly may depend on tomorrow.
Market analysis
Firstly, the 4h level has completely broken out of the downward trend since 110k. So I personally believe that it is impossible to create a new low next. As for whether it can go single-sided directly, considering the current trading volume, it might happen, but it's not very likely. However, for players who are looking to long in the mid to long term, as long as they ensure that the forced liquidation is below 74k, they will definitely be able to achieve ideal returns in the next few periods. Being a little cautious, they can also ensure forced liquidation is below 70k.
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2025-04-13 BTC Market Analysis: Although the increase exceeded expectations, we are still looking for a pullback
In the past two days, the articles have predicted that BTC would undergo a minor pullback, so reminders have been made to attempt light shorts above 83000. However, the expected pullback did not materialize and instead surged past 85000 to reach 86100.
For the weekend, a rise of nearly 3000 points has indeed exceeded expectations, but structurally there hasn't been much change, and trading volume hasn't improved. So even though there has been a significant increase, we should not be overly FOMO; let's wait for a pullback first.
Market Analysis
As the saying goes, things do not happen more than three times. For the 1-hour level, given that the overall structure and trading volume have not changed, being able to surge three times and unexpectedly reach 86100 is already an absolute top. Moving forward, we should definitely short and look for a pullback, but we can't say that this round of increase has changed nothing. I personally believe that there won't be new lows, and 78000 should be the limit for the pullback. The next rebound should break 90,000 in one go, so investors looking to go long should always be prepared.
For the weekend, a rise of nearly 3000 points has indeed exceeded expectations, but structurally there hasn't been much change, and trading volume hasn't improved. So even though there has been a significant increase, we should not be overly FOMO; let's wait for a pullback first.
Market Analysis
As the saying goes, things do not happen more than three times. For the 1-hour level, given that the overall structure and trading volume have not changed, being able to surge three times and unexpectedly reach 86100 is already an absolute top. Moving forward, we should definitely short and look for a pullback, but we can't say that this round of increase has changed nothing. I personally believe that there won't be new lows, and 78000 should be the limit for the pullback. The next rebound should break 90,000 in one go, so investors looking to go long should always be prepared.
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2025-04-12 BTC Market Analysis, Weekend Reduction in Volume Expected to Focus on Consolidation, Anticipated to Experience a 15-Minute Pullback Later Until Early Sunday
There are some matters today, so I'll update earlier. Also, as usual, the trading volume is reduced over the weekend, so there isn't much to report.
Not much to talk about,
Last night, based on structural analysis, I judged that the probability of a short-term pullback was higher, but the result was completely opposite to my prediction. Not only did the price rebound from 81300 to 84300, but it is currently still consolidating above 83000.
Generally speaking, in terms of weekend trading volume and liquidity, the upward momentum is obviously insufficient. Even if it continues upwards, touching 85000 would already be the limit. After that, a pullback is highly likely to begin, so it is not recommended to chase long positions above 83000.
Not much to talk about,
Last night, based on structural analysis, I judged that the probability of a short-term pullback was higher, but the result was completely opposite to my prediction. Not only did the price rebound from 81300 to 84300, but it is currently still consolidating above 83000.
Generally speaking, in terms of weekend trading volume and liquidity, the upward momentum is obviously insufficient. Even if it continues upwards, touching 85000 would already be the limit. After that, a pullback is highly likely to begin, so it is not recommended to chase long positions above 83000.
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2025-04-11 BTC Market Analysis, Daily Line Set to Form a Golden Cross Again, Upward Trend About to Form, Patience to Wait for the Final Round of Retracement.
I still remember that in the article on the 29th of last month, it was mentioned that the BTC price would once again test 76,500 or hit a new low, but even so, we still need to continue to go long.
The recent market performance has perfectly confirmed my prediction.
In the early morning, the price once tested around 78,400 but quickly recovered above 80k during the day. The recent trading volume has been continuously increasing, which fully indicates that the chips below 80k are still very attractive, and the main players are willing to buy.
However, I personally believe that the bottoming process will not be completed so quickly, and there should still be another pullback to test the bottom.
From now on, let's focus on the end of April or May, as I believe a rebound will occur here.
The recent market performance has perfectly confirmed my prediction.
In the early morning, the price once tested around 78,400 but quickly recovered above 80k during the day. The recent trading volume has been continuously increasing, which fully indicates that the chips below 80k are still very attractive, and the main players are willing to buy.
However, I personally believe that the bottoming process will not be completed so quickly, and there should still be another pullback to test the bottom.
From now on, let's focus on the end of April or May, as I believe a rebound will occur here.
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2025-03-29 BTC Market Analysis, expecting a few more days for the pullback to end, 81963 is not the endpoint.
The overall trend from early morning to daytime is still completely consistent with what was described in yesterday's article. However, in the afternoon, it directly broke the support that was expected to break on Monday and started a new round of pullback. The current low has reached 81963.
Since 83000 has already broken down, we should focus on the range of 79000-80000. If it breaks below 79000, it will likely create a new low or retrace to 76500.
But no matter what, we must continue to go long. Even if it breaks below 76500, we still have to go long.
Market Analysis
Since 83000 has already broken down, we should focus on the range of 79000-80000. If it breaks below 79000, it will likely create a new low or retrace to 76500.
But no matter what, we must continue to go long. Even if it breaks below 76500, we still have to go long.
Market Analysis
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2025-03-28 BTC Market Analysis, Increase Below Expectations, Next, Continue to Watch for Corrections
Today, BTC did not achieve the expected rebound, which means that the judgment on the 1-hour trend in yesterday's article was incorrect.
Today is Friday, the last trading day of this week for US stocks. If there is no breakthrough above 86000 during the midnight rebound, then it will likely continue to correct.
Expected to drop to the support level at midnight, followed by a period of sideways consolidation over the weekend, and then a further drop below the minor support on Monday to continue the downward retracement.
Market Analysis
First, at the 4-hour level, I personally tend to think that a correction is needed to trigger a second buy, which should also be the last bottom before a strong rebound that I mentioned earlier. It is still uncertain whether it will drop below 80,000 again, but precautions need to be taken. After the second buy, it should surge straight to 90,000.
Today is Friday, the last trading day of this week for US stocks. If there is no breakthrough above 86000 during the midnight rebound, then it will likely continue to correct.
Expected to drop to the support level at midnight, followed by a period of sideways consolidation over the weekend, and then a further drop below the minor support on Monday to continue the downward retracement.
Market Analysis
First, at the 4-hour level, I personally tend to think that a correction is needed to trigger a second buy, which should also be the last bottom before a strong rebound that I mentioned earlier. It is still uncertain whether it will drop below 80,000 again, but precautions need to be taken. After the second buy, it should surge straight to 90,000.
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2025-03-27 BTC Market Analysis, Can it Reach 89000?
Yesterday did not rise and then fall as expected, but instead started to pull back directly.
Explanation: The 1h pullback actually started on the 24th at 88752, but from a structural perspective, it seems more like a consolidation.
A few hours ago, the price met support at 85724, so if it does not break below 85000 in the early morning, it is very likely to form the 'top' of a 'head and shoulders' pattern.
Market Analysis
I won't elaborate too much on the 4h today since there isn't much change. Interested readers can refer to recent articles.
1h level, since yesterday's 1h level pullback did not break below 85000, the short-term tendency is to have a rebound here (around 3 days) before attempting to reach 89000 again. Of course, whether it can succeed depends on whether it breaks below 86000 again in the early morning. If it does not break below 86000, it will definitely be able to carry out this round of rebound.
Explanation: The 1h pullback actually started on the 24th at 88752, but from a structural perspective, it seems more like a consolidation.
A few hours ago, the price met support at 85724, so if it does not break below 85000 in the early morning, it is very likely to form the 'top' of a 'head and shoulders' pattern.
Market Analysis
I won't elaborate too much on the 4h today since there isn't much change. Interested readers can refer to recent articles.
1h level, since yesterday's 1h level pullback did not break below 85000, the short-term tendency is to have a rebound here (around 3 days) before attempting to reach 89000 again. Of course, whether it can succeed depends on whether it breaks below 86000 again in the early morning. If it does not break below 86000, it will definitely be able to carry out this round of rebound.
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In two days, there were consecutive prompts to short above 88000,
then go long around 85000 to 86000. If you really followed Baisheng's strategy, you could have taken 4 trades in this up and down range.
Even if the actual operation wouldn't be so ideal, you could at least catch one segment, right? Any segment would still have over 1500 points of space.
Following the thought process is definitely better than playing around and losing back and forth, right? $BTC #BTC #BTC走势分析
then go long around 85000 to 86000. If you really followed Baisheng's strategy, you could have taken 4 trades in this up and down range.
Even if the actual operation wouldn't be so ideal, you could at least catch one segment, right? Any segment would still have over 1500 points of space.
Following the thought process is definitely better than playing around and losing back and forth, right? $BTC #BTC #BTC走势分析
See original
In two days, there were consecutive prompts to short above 88000,
then go long around 85000 to 86000. If you really followed Baisheng's strategy, you could have taken 4 trades in this up and down range.
Even if the actual operation wouldn't be so ideal, you could at least catch one segment, right? Any segment would still have over 1500 points of space.
Following the thought process is definitely better than playing around and losing back and forth, right? $BTC #BTC #BTC走势分析
then go long around 85000 to 86000. If you really followed Baisheng's strategy, you could have taken 4 trades in this up and down range.
Even if the actual operation wouldn't be so ideal, you could at least catch one segment, right? Any segment would still have over 1500 points of space.
Following the thought process is definitely better than playing around and losing back and forth, right? $BTC #BTC #BTC走势分析
Rollover record, from $8741 to $76196
The public strategy actually gives both the entry point and the target position.
A full 12,000 points, in this period of almost no retracement, if you follow Bosheng's strategy and participate in it, how much can you gain in the end if you roll over the position?
The real market is already seeking stability, and the position has been rolled over nearly 9 times with only 6440 points of BTC. $BTC $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析 #ETH #ETH走势分析
The public strategy actually gives both the entry point and the target position.
A full 12,000 points, in this period of almost no retracement, if you follow Bosheng's strategy and participate in it, how much can you gain in the end if you roll over the position?
The real market is already seeking stability, and the position has been rolled over nearly 9 times with only 6440 points of BTC. $BTC $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析 #ETH #ETH走势分析
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2025-03-26 BTC market analysis, liquidity is poor, 1h rebound is nearing its end.
Currently, the 1h level rebound starting from above 83000 is nearing its end based on the short-term structure. The short-term may push up a bit more, with a maximum expected to reach around 89500, after which there will definitely be a 1h correction.
We need to keep a close eye on the strength of the retracement. If the retracement breaks below 83000, we must be cautious of the price making new lows.
Market analysis
For the 4h level, it is still uncertain whether the rebound can continue. If a rebound rhythm occurs later, it will inevitably lead to a new round of daily level increases, which will last at least 2 months or more. Therefore, the rebound will not come that quickly. Mid to long-term players should continue to patiently wait for the opportunity to buy the dip; the question is only at what position to enter, ideally after a retracement and a secondary buy.
We need to keep a close eye on the strength of the retracement. If the retracement breaks below 83000, we must be cautious of the price making new lows.
Market analysis
For the 4h level, it is still uncertain whether the rebound can continue. If a rebound rhythm occurs later, it will inevitably lead to a new round of daily level increases, which will last at least 2 months or more. Therefore, the rebound will not come that quickly. Mid to long-term players should continue to patiently wait for the opportunity to buy the dip; the question is only at what position to enter, ideally after a retracement and a secondary buy.
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Yesterday's short position strategy was once again verified, and the real trading was arranged like this.
The target was slightly off, but the idea and direction were still correct. During the day, there were countless opportunities to take profits; how much one can gain still depends on the individual. $BTC $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析
The target was slightly off, but the idea and direction were still correct. During the day, there were countless opportunities to take profits; how much one can gain still depends on the individual. $BTC $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析
The short strategy shared publicly last night once again confirms a space above 1000 points for BTC.
Are there any friends who followed the idea and took the short position?
Are there any friends who followed the idea and took the short position?
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The short strategy shared publicly last night once again confirms a space above 1000 points for BTC.
Are there any friends who followed the idea and took the short position?
Are there any friends who followed the idea and took the short position?
So I always tell my students that the premise of investing is not to affect your life. If you can't sleep while holding a position, then you shouldn't continue.
There are quite a few who have followed Bo Sheng from 0 to 1 and then to 100, and then from 100 back to 0.
So profit and compound interest are just processes; ultimately, being able to cash out is the long-term path.$BTC $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析 #ETH #ETH走势分析
There are quite a few who have followed Bo Sheng from 0 to 1 and then to 100, and then from 100 back to 0.
So profit and compound interest are just processes; ultimately, being able to cash out is the long-term path.$BTC $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析 #ETH #ETH走势分析
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