柏盛A
公众号:Crypto-柏盛。主做二级市场，经历两牛一熊，擅长中短线布局、趋势及波段战法。曾经执着寻找山寨百倍币，现在专注比特币、以太坊。
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In the early morning, the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision, and the market direction still failed to reach a consensus. After the announcement, although the BTC price briefly fell to 103400, it quickly surged, and is currently around 105000.
From a technical perspective, the larger trend is still in a correction, but the 1-hour and 15-minute charts are showing more of a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.
In the short term, resistance is located around 106300, and it is expected that the market will continue to rise for a while with reduced volume during the day. It is advisable to operate around short positions on rebounds for more safety. Players holding long positions below 104000 should be cautious and take profits in a timely manner.
BTC: Short around 106000-106300, aiming for 102500-102200.
Personal advice, for reference only! $BTC $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析
From a technical perspective, the larger trend is still in a correction, but the 1-hour and 15-minute charts are showing more of a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.
In the short term, resistance is located around 106300, and it is expected that the market will continue to rise for a while with reduced volume during the day. It is advisable to operate around short positions on rebounds for more safety. Players holding long positions below 104000 should be cautious and take profits in a timely manner.
BTC: Short around 106000-106300, aiming for 102500-102200.
Personal advice, for reference only! $BTC $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析
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BTC's white plate will definitely consolidate and fluctuate for a while, and it will make a new round of pullback from evening to midnight. As for the current short-term view, the rebound is a relatively good opportunity to short. Personally, I believe that the price will not break through 108700 before pulling back to 106000.
Short-term players can wait for the price to rise above 108000 before entering short positions, then look towards the vicinity of 106000.
Short-term players can wait for the price to rise above 108000 before entering short positions, then look towards the vicinity of 106000.
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Actually, there is no need to have too high expectations for tonight's CPI. Regardless of whether it ends up higher or lower than expected, looking at the large-scale (daily, weekly) patterns and trading volume of BTC, it still falls short. In the short term, it is difficult to break through new highs, and it will require some time for consolidation and washing out.
From the 1-hour structure, it is currently very likely in a pullback, and if this round of retracement goes as expected, we can pay attention to around 106000 below. $BTC $ETH #看懂K线 #BTC #BTC走势分析
From the 1-hour structure, it is currently very likely in a pullback, and if this round of retracement goes as expected, we can pay attention to around 106000 below. $BTC $ETH #看懂K线 #BTC #BTC走势分析
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BTC at a larger scale is very likely to have another pullback to 100k, and it might be slightly deeper to 80k or 90k.
At a smaller scale, from the 15-minute pattern, the fluctuation will continue until the evening. Given the current liquidity, it is impossible to break through the new high, so 110600 has already become the short-term peak.
In terms of operation, after the price runs above 110k, one can boldly short, while paying attention to the area around 107500 below. $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析
At a smaller scale, from the 15-minute pattern, the fluctuation will continue until the evening. Given the current liquidity, it is impossible to break through the new high, so 110600 has already become the short-term peak.
In terms of operation, after the price runs above 110k, one can boldly short, while paying attention to the area around 107500 below. $ETH #BTC #BTC走势分析
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Currently, BTC is still showing a downward trend in the short term, and the market has entered a consolidation period, facing a technical pullback.
It is highly likely that we are currently in a 1h pullback (if it breaks 109000, we will reassess based on the structure). The endpoint of this 1h pullback should be around 103500.
In the short term, there is a high probability that the price will further drop to 105500. Therefore, considering a short position around the current quote of 107800, with a stop loss at 109000 and a take profit at 105500, one could achieve an approximate 2:1 risk-reward ratio. #BTC #BTC走势分析
It is highly likely that we are currently in a 1h pullback (if it breaks 109000, we will reassess based on the structure). The endpoint of this 1h pullback should be around 103500.
In the short term, there is a high probability that the price will further drop to 105500. Therefore, considering a short position around the current quote of 107800, with a stop loss at 109000 and a take profit at 105500, one could achieve an approximate 2:1 risk-reward ratio. #BTC #BTC走势分析
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Just now, ETH surged quite strongly, but it is approaching the key resistance level of 2800. In the short term, it should maintain a high-level fluctuation, and it is expected to surge again to around 2850.
For the right side, when chasing long positions, ensure that the stop-loss is below 2600. This way, even if stuck at a high position, there will still be opportunities to break even or profit.
Regarding the left side, continue to patiently wait for a pullback to around 2600 (expected before mid-June), and in the range of 2850-2900, one can boldly take short positions. #ETH #以太坊走势 #比特币2025大会
For the right side, when chasing long positions, ensure that the stop-loss is below 2600. This way, even if stuck at a high position, there will still be opportunities to break even or profit.
Regarding the left side, continue to patiently wait for a pullback to around 2600 (expected before mid-June), and in the range of 2850-2900, one can boldly take short positions. #ETH #以太坊走势 #比特币2025大会
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At present, BTC is still in a downward trend overall. 107000 is only a short-term support level, and after the fluctuations end, the likelihood of breaking downwards is greater. It is recommended to focus on short positions in short-term operations.
Operation Suggestions:
Short BTC around 108500-109000, aiming for 107000-106500.
Short ETH around 2552-2562, aiming for 2522-2512.
Operation Suggestions:
Short BTC around 108500-109000, aiming for 107000-106500.
Short ETH around 2552-2562, aiming for 2522-2512.
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2025-04-19 BTC Market Analysis, a change is about to come, either tomorrow or next Monday!
Today, I still couldn't break out of the pullback, but instead, it has risen slightly with reduced volume. However, it hasn't broken through 86000, so this rise can only be viewed as within the range of fluctuations and shouldn't be overly FOMO. But the breakthrough is just around the corner, so those shorting need to pay attention to stop losses. Some may ask if they can chase long positions? The answer is no, as breaking 86000 allows for following the trend to chase a small rise, but before that, the short-term trend could reverse at any time.
Market Analysis
The change is imminent; I believe the 4h level will only follow one of the two predicted trends from my article on the 16th. Interested friends can refer to it.
Market Analysis
The change is imminent; I believe the 4h level will only follow one of the two predicted trends from my article on the 16th. Interested friends can refer to it.
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2025-04-18 BTC Market Analysis, Oscillation Continues, If It Doesn't Break 86,000, Expect a Correction.
BTC has been oscillating above 83,000 for nearly a week. During this time, there were two breakouts above 86,000, but neither sustained. The range is still narrowing, indicating that a breakout is imminent.
Market Analysis
For the 4-hour analysis, there is no need for further analysis. Interested readers can refer to the market analysis on the 16th.
On the 1-hour level, it has been oscillating for a long time. The trend from the 12th to now has formed a 1-hour center. If it breaks above 86,000 again later, the probability of continuing to rise will be greater, as it will extend a rebound away from the center, with the target still focusing around 89,000.
Market Analysis
For the 4-hour analysis, there is no need for further analysis. Interested readers can refer to the market analysis on the 16th.
On the 1-hour level, it has been oscillating for a long time. The trend from the 12th to now has formed a 1-hour center. If it breaks above 86,000 again later, the probability of continuing to rise will be greater, as it will extend a rebound away from the center, with the target still focusing around 89,000.
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2025-04-17 BTC Market Analysis, Fluctuation Range Narrowing, Continuing to Observe 1-Hour Pullback.
Although BTC started to rebound after pulling back to 83000, it only reached a high of 85500, thus still remaining within a broad range of fluctuations. From a structural and timing perspective, over the past two days, each 15-minute rebound high has been relatively lower. While it hasn't made a new low, it is sufficient to indicate that the upward momentum is starting to slow down. From a probabilistic standpoint, the likelihood of a short-term decline is certainly higher. We can pay attention to whether the 1-hour pullback continues later.
Market Analysis
I won't analyze the 4-hour chart today; interested readers can refer to the market analysis from the 16th.
Let's focus on the 1-hour level. In fact, the pullback to 83000 yesterday was not strictly a 1-hour level; at most, it was a 15-minute pullback. If the price breaks below 83000 later, then the structure of the 1-hour pullback will be complete, indicating that we are currently in a 1-hour pullback. However, if the market continues to fluctuate and does not break below 83000, it is more likely to make another push, with a target around 89000.
Market Analysis
I won't analyze the 4-hour chart today; interested readers can refer to the market analysis from the 16th.
Let's focus on the 1-hour level. In fact, the pullback to 83000 yesterday was not strictly a 1-hour level; at most, it was a 15-minute pullback. If the price breaks below 83000 later, then the structure of the 1-hour pullback will be complete, indicating that we are currently in a 1-hour pullback. However, if the market continues to fluctuate and does not break below 83000, it is more likely to make another push, with a target around 89000.
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