培哥说币

If your capital is within 500,000, and you want to quickly succeed in the coin market through short-term trading, then please read this post carefully. After reading, you will have a clear understanding of the essence of short-term trading!
I am Pei Ge, having been in the market for 8 years, and have been trading cryptocurrencies for a living for 4 years!
Not choosing finance as my major in college is one of my biggest regrets. Since my freshman year, I started to learn about stocks/finance/forex online, and the red and green screens filled my life with color, captivating me. With infinite anticipation for the market, I opened an account in my sophomore year, and through an introduction from a classmate, I learned more and more, feeling very interested and thus began my investment career. Like most friends who entered the market not long ago, I initially became obsessed with technical indicators, constantly using coins for backtesting to find patterns; keen on entering low-priced coins or coins with significant pullbacks, thinking their safety was higher; in fact, this understanding of the market was completely wrong. Later I realized that if you want to quickly achieve profits in the market, you must trade short-term. Medium and long-term compounding works together!

I am Peige, a full-time cryptocurrency trader with assets in the tens of millions. I withdraw 100,000 yuan from the cryptocurrency world every month, feeling no impact, living leisurely and freely, without deceit or intrigue, living the life I want. My daily routine now is to wake up at 6:30 and run, without fail.
In the morning, generally, I analyze yesterday's review along with updates from the night, combining my positions and specific situations for swing trading or small funds for short-term operations, enhancing my market feel. Then I conduct a two-hour review summary; this is the most important task in the morning, aiming to earn well at night! Then I write an investment-related article and post it on Zhihu, which serves as a record of my cryptocurrency trading life, providing a place to reminisce when I grow old. I also love to write an article about investment experiences and insights, helping others as well as myself. From initially losing 85% to trading cryptocurrencies to support my family, there is hardly any method I haven't tried. If you want to say what truly helped me out of confusion, it is the ten-word mantra I summarized, which actually applies to most people. Reading it can help you avoid years of detours, especially the tenth word!!!

中国银行香港分行股价周一大涨6.7%，收报37.58港元。消息称，这家国有大行正筹备申请香港最新监管框架下的稳定币发行牌照。
这一消息引发市场热议：作为中国四大行之一，中行或将发行由国家支持的稳定币，潜在地成为数字人民币的有力竞争者。
据《信报》报道，中银香港已经成立了专门工作组研究稳定币发行。市场人士透露，该行正积极准备材料，力争成为首批申请牌照的机构之一，以响应香港金融管理局（HKMA）要求在8月底前提交的“早鸟”申请。
这一进展紧随香港《稳定币法案》于8月1日正式生效之后。该法案确立了全球首批法币锚定稳定币（Fiat-backed Stablecoin）的专属牌照制度之一。
根据最新条例，任何在香港发行法币锚定稳定币的机构，或在境外发行但与港元挂钩的项目，都必须向香港金融管理局（HKMA）申请并获得合规牌照。
获牌机构需严格执行储备资产管理、用户资金隔离，并确保按面值 1:1 赎回。法律同时要求合规方必须落实反洗钱（AML）机制、风险控制框架、信息披露、定期审计，以及团队的适格性审查。
HKMA 自8月1日开始接受意向申请，并设定9月30日为正式申请截止日期。官方透露，即便在条例正式生效之前，已经收到超过40家公司发出的咨询。
包括 京东、蚂蚁集团、渣打银行以及 Circle 在内的巨头均已公开表态将递交申请。与此同时，多家律所也确认正在为潜在申请方提供合规咨询和材料准备服务。
8月8日，Animoca Brands 宣布与渣打香港和香港电讯（HKT）组建合资公司，共同申请香港首张稳定币牌照，成为市场焦点。
香港正加速打造合规稳定币枢纽，直面2610亿美元市场增量
激烈的竞争吸引了大量投资者涌入。香港监管机构同时提醒市场注意波动性，指出仅仅“表态申请牌照”的消息，就已经在二级市场引发相关个股大幅波动。
8月14日，香港金融管理局（HKMA）与证券及期货事务监察委员会（SFC）联合发布声明，强调“提交意向”并不等于“自动获批”。他们重申，只有真正满足监管框架中高门槛要求的申请方，才可能拿到稳定币牌照。
香港金管局总裁 余伟文 表示，初期只会发出极少量牌照，以凸显严格的审查标准。证监会（SFC）行政总裁 梁凤仪 也警告投资者，不要盲目追逐短期行情，强调社交媒体上一些误导性言论已经影响了市场情绪。
这一条例的落地，标志着香港正式迈向全球稳定币合规枢纽，恰逢该赛道全球市值连续22个月增长，创下 2610亿美元历史新高。
监管机构希望通过更严格的规则，在吸引大型金融机构入场的同时，降低潜在的系统性风险。分析人士指出，该框架或将推动 非美元稳定币 在亚洲的崛起，从而对美元在区域结算中的主导地位构成挑战。
中国银行的动向尤为关键，因为这与北京正在推进的央行数字货币——数字人民币（CBDC） 紧密相关。与由央行直管的数字人民币不同，若中行在香港获得稳定币牌照，其发行的代币可能成为 商业化、国际可接入 的国家级数字资产补充。部分观察者认为，这一尝试有助于中国探索 跨境支付与清算的数字资产应用场景。
金管局则表示，将继续就技术标准与风险管控进行市场咨询，现有稳定币发行方也需要在未来数月内逐步过渡至合规状态。
目前尚无任何牌照正式批出，监管机构提醒投资者必须通过官方渠道核实发行方资质。随着香港加快步伐，亚洲稳定币牌照竞赛已全面打响。
香港7月吸金15亿美元，稳定币赛道成资本追逐焦点
香港在稳定币领域的布局，正置身于亚洲范围内更趋严厉的监管环境与投资热潮之中。
8月15日，香港证监会（SFC）公布了虚拟资产交易平台的新托管标准，以应对2025年上半年全球黑客攻击事件所带来的冲击 —— 当期各大交易所被盗资金总额已超过 30亿美元。
这份通函对钱包基础设施、交易验证以及访问控制设定了最低要求，作为监管机构数字资产安全“ASPIRe 路线图”的一部分。
这一措施的紧迫性在 8 月 14 日土耳其交易所 BtcTurk 遭遇新一轮攻击事件后被再次凸显 —— 黑客在不到 4 秒内横扫 7 条链，盗走 4800 万美元，远远快于大多数交易所的预警系统。
尽管安全风险频发，资金依然不断涌入香港快速演变的加密行业。根据交易所披露，7 月份香港上市公司共融资超过 15 亿美元，资金主要投向稳定币、区块链及支付网络相关项目。
其中，OSL 独自通过加速配股融资 3 亿美元，背后有主权财富基金与对冲基金的支持。
值得注意的是，稳定币概念股指数今年以来已暴涨 65%，远远跑赢恒生指数。
监管加码的同时，区域市场也在快速推进。日本计划今秋批准首个日元锚定稳定币，中国则在评估发行人民币挂钩代币，以扩展人民币的全球影响力。
随着高盛预测未来将有数万亿美元资金流入稳定币赛道，该行业的变革正加速上演，而香港正努力站在这场格局重塑的中心
我是培哥，八年币圈深耕，短线博弈见真章，中长线布局有章法。精准捕捉最优交易时机，一手消息为你赋能投资决策。选对方向，找对节奏，这里有你需要的专业视角。
$BTC $ETH
#Strategy增持比特币

 

随着2025年的临近，加密行业面临着可能的重大变化。2024年已为许多人称为“加密货币最具历史意义的一年”奠定了基础，比特币突破了10万美元大关。
随着2025年的临近，加密行业面临着可能的重大变化。2024年已为许多人称为“加密货币最具历史意义的一年”奠定了基础，比特币突破了10万美元大关。
今年的关键发展包括机构兴趣的复苏、唐纳德·特朗普等政治人物的影响，以及关于国家战略性比特币储备的讨论。
展望未来，加密领域的意见多种多样。一些人对比特币价值持续上涨持乐观态度，将其角色比作过去的黄金。另一些人则预期创新与监管并行，将推动比特币更接近全球公认资产的地位。

采用：能否为加密货币提供所需的主流动力？
机构对比特币的兴趣稳步增加，许多大型公司如贝莱德（BlackRock）现在都持有比特币。
一些行业领袖认为，机构可能推动比特币达到新高度，因为全球对其作为资产的价值认可不断提升。
Agoric Systems首席执行官Dean Tribble强调，比特币预计创下历史新高将成为更多机构参与的触发点。
Tribble指出：
“比特币的历史新高将激发机构和监管机构对加密货币的重新兴趣，这也将在2025年重新振兴整个加密行业。机构可能受到比特币表现的启发，将更多资源和资本分配到加密领域，表明对其长期潜力的信心。”
这种预测反映了机构可能将比特币视为在全球经济不稳定和通货膨胀等挑战中的一种潜在替代方案。
在传统市场波动不定的情况下，比特币的固定供应和去中心化性质通常被视为一种有吸引力的对冲工具。
Raiinmaker首席执行官J.D. Seraphine也强化了这一观点。他强调，正在进行的牛市可能不会像2021年的零售狂热那样，但仍将为市场带来显著动力。
Seraphine告诉Cryptonews：
“2025年注定成为加密行业的关键一年，受益于正在进行的牛市……像比特币创下历史新高这样的重大里程碑将为市场注入活力。这种能量预计将流向山寨币和新兴领域，尤其是区块链中的人工智能，这已被证明是行业未来的核心。”
然而，机构资本涌入比特币虽然带来机遇，也引入了新的复杂性。
正如Tribble提到的，监管机构的关注不可避免。这可能促使出台全面的框架，这些框架既可能促进也可能阻碍增长。
“尽管这带来了挑战，如监管的增加，但也加速了全面监管框架的推进。清晰的法规将建立信任，并为大众采用打开大门，平衡的政策将在解决安全和欺诈等合法问题的同时促进创新。”
关键在于在创新和消费者保护需求之间找到平衡。
如果2025年成为监管清晰成型的一年，它可能标志着大众采用的转折点。
特朗普效应：比特币在亲加密总统的带领下能涨多高？
唐纳德·特朗普对比特币和更广泛的加密市场产生了重大影响。
他的当选胜利与重大市场变动同时发生，包括贝莱德的IBIT在他胜选当天的交易量达到41亿美元。两周后，比特币创下108,135美元的历史新高。
这一“特朗普效应”也影响了更广泛的加密市场，山寨币大幅上涨，迷因币创下前所未有的市值。
SideShift.ai创始人Andres Brekken将这种飙升归因于特朗普政府对加密货币更为友好的态度转变。
Brekken表示：
“比特币的宿敌加里·根斯勒一直在派他的爪牙打击每一个项目和代币。幸运的是，特朗普找到了他的替代者。伊丽莎白·沃伦的反加密军队被特朗普的亲加密军队击败。是否会推出国家战略储备仍有待观察，但超级周期显然回来了。”
特朗普任命了许多支持加密货币的官员，如David Sacks和Bo Hines，这强化了他的政府可能积极推动加密增长的观点。
这可能加速比特币国家战略储备等举措，并正式强化比特币作为对抗法币贬值的对冲工具。
Syscoin核心开发者Jagdeep Sidhu建议，即使储备未能完全实现，特朗普的决定保留现有比特币持有量也会向市场发出强烈信号。
Sidhu解释：
“我认为战略性比特币储备将会推出，但我认为它更可能以美国政府简单地保留其现有的约200,000枚比特币的形式出现。因此，这更多是关于特朗普表示这些比特币不会被出售，这将成为储备的基础。”
他还谈到了大公司持有比特币的可能性，这将受到全球各国将比特币纳入国库储备的趋势影响。
这一政治一致性可能在国际上引发多米诺效应，鼓励其他国家探索类似储备。
事实上，Brekken对此做出了大胆预测：
“2025年比特币将涨至20万美元。我还相信至少有三个国家将把比特币纳入其国库储备。”战略性比特币储备：全球金融的一场变革？
许多专家认为，尽管雄心勃勃，战略性比特币储备的概念具有重塑全球金融动态的巨大潜力。他们认为，这可能会推动世界走向去中心化、平等和透明的信念。
Zeebu首席执行官Raj Brahmbhatt将此视为传统金融与新兴数字经济之间的桥梁。
Brahmbhatt表示：
“推出战略性比特币储备可能对美元产生复杂影响。如果管理得当，它可能通过展示对创新和适应能力的承诺来增强美元的地位。利用区块链技术可以加强金融系统，释放新的经济机会，并提高整体韧性。关键在于平衡。”
可以肯定的是，战略储备将验证比特币作为价值存储的角色，并提供对抗通胀压力的对冲。
Acheron Trading首席执行官Laurent Benayoun也强调，比特币的可携带性和稀缺性使其相较传统储备如黄金更具优势。
Benayoun指出：
“与黄金相比，比特币作为储备资产特别有吸引力，因为它更易携带且更易保护。由于其编程确定的稀缺性，使其成为非通胀性的，与央行发行的货币相比更具吸引力。”
然而，建立这种储备的道路充满挑战。
要获得两党支持并应对监管复杂性，需要展示切实的利益。
随着政府结构的改革，社区希望随着亲加密政府明年一月上任，实现重大变化的可能性比以前更高。
我是培哥 ，八年币圈深耕，短线博弈见真章，中长线布局有章法。精准捕捉最优交易时机，一手消息为你赋能投资决策。选对方向，找对节奏，这里有你需要的专业视角。
$BTC $ETH
#比特币巨鲸换仓以太坊

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, stated on the 21st that he is optimistic about the subsequent trends of Ethereum (ETH) and expects prices to rise significantly. At the same time, he openly revealed that he has re-purchased Ethereum. Hayes is currently the Chief Investment Officer at biotech company Maelstrom.
The outlook for Ethereum and market tailwinds
Hayes has updated his previous price target, predicting that Ethereum could soar to between $10,000 and $20,000 before the end of this market cycle.
This prediction is an increase from his earlier expectations—he previously predicted $5,000 in May and $10,000 in June.

美国政府在公共区块链上分发国内生产总值
根据彭博社报导，政府已开始在公共区块链上分发国内生产总值GDP数据，包括比特币、以太坊和Solana。商务部官员指出，这为发布经济数据创造了额外的途径，而不是替代现有的渠道。这一发展恰逢商务部长Howard Lutnick表明，他们将开始在区块链上发布GDP数据和其他经济数据的声明。他表示，现时之所以采取这些措施，是因为川普是加密总统，他计划使美国成为世界加密资本。ck表明，他们将开始在区块链上发布GDP数据和其他经济数据的声明。他表示，现时之所以采取这些措施，是因为川普是加密总统，他计划使美国成为世界加密资本。
根据报告，商务部正在针对九个区块链，其中包括顶级的第一层网络比特币、以太坊和Solana。未来还计划扩大这项倡议的范围。与此同时，目标是使这些经济数据易于验证并可供所有人访问，从而实现透明度。有趣的是，这一举措距离川普解雇劳工统计局局长以释放7月非农就业数据的事件仅几周，川普声称数据被操纵。然而，商务部澄清说这项区块链倡议与该事件无关。
美国商务部与Pyth和Chainlink合作
在一篇博客文章中，Pyth团队宣布商务部选择该网络来验证和分发链上的经济数据。根据战略合作关系，Pyth将首先提供过去五年的GDP数据季度发布。同时，网络贡献者预期此倡议将支持更广泛的经济数据集。团队进一步表示这一新倡议反映了政府利用密码学工具来增强公众信息系统信心的刻意努力。
同时，Chainlink团队也在一篇博客文章中确认，它与商务部合作将数据上链。Chainlink将作为提供来自经济分析局BEA宏观经济数据的预言机。这些Chainlink数据源将提供有关实际GDP数据、个人消费支出PCE物价指数以及实际最终销售给私营国内买家的信息。Chainlink 将根据需要每月和每季度更新此数据，并且该网络将在 Arbitrum、Avalanche、Base、Botanix、Ethereum、Linea、Mantle、Optimism、Sonic和ZKsync输出数据。
TOKEN6900终极认购倒计时
与SPX6900的颓势形成鲜明对比的，是新兴项目TOKEN6900（$T6900）的快速吸引力。这个被视为SPX精神继承者的代币，选择了从零开始，依旧保留戏谑金融的文化基因，但体量更小、想像空间更大。最重要的是，TOKEN6900正处于早期阶段，这本身就意味着潜在回报更为可观。当前预售价格仅为0.0071美元，且已经筹集超过260万美元的种子资金。更值得注意的是，代币分配中有高达八成直接流向社群，让人感受到自下而上的参与感与归属感。这与SPX6900如今庞大却显得笨重的市值形成强烈反差。

部分分析师对$T6900持乐观态度。知名评论员ClayBro指出，TOKEN6900或许是下一轮周期中最具爆发力的迷因币，其亮点在于质押收益与设计简单的代币经济学。这种模型既迎合了短期投机者的需求，也满足了长期持有者对稳定回报的期待。如果这一判断成立，那么小额投资便有机会在下一轮牛市中转化为极具吸引力的收益。TOKEN6900的预售即将进入尾声，距离结束仅剩不到5天。对于希望以低成本提前进场的投资者来说，这或许是最后的窗口。未来当它登陆DEX或CEX后，价格走高的空间将随着曝光度增加而进一步放大。
我是培哥，八年币圈深耕，短线博弈见真章，中长线布局有章法。精准捕捉最优交易时机，一手消息为你赋能投资决策。选对方向，找对节奏，这里有你需要的专业视角。
$BTC $ETH

#MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

被誉为“日本 MicroStrategy”的 Metaplanet 再次大手笔出击。公司周一披露，近期以约 164.8 亿日元（买入 1,009 枚比特币，单枚均价约 111,068 美元，令总持仓首次跨越 20,000 枚门槛。
随着这一步，Metaplanet 已成为 日本持币规模第一的上市公司，并在全球排名中位列第六，在这次加仓前，Riot Platforms为原本的第六位，现已被取代。

更令人关注的是，公司今年初的年度目标仅为 1 万枚比特币。但随着买入速度不断加快，目标在年中被调高至 3 万枚。如今仅用不到三个月时间就从 1 万枚增至 2 万枚，相当于已完成新目标的三分之二。
为支持扩张计划，Metaplanet 上周宣布将通过国际增资募集 1,300 亿日元（约 8.8 亿美元），预计未来两个月大部分资金将用于继续增持比特币。
股价延续跌势 以太坊大幅跑赢比特币
首席执行官 Simon Gerovich 7 月时还曾提到，公司未来考虑以持有的比特币作为抵押，筹集现金用于收购具备稳定盈利能力的企业，其中日本本土的 数字银行是潜在收购方向之一。
市场表现方面，Metaplanet 上周五收盘跌2.22％，股价周一延续跌势，收盘再跌逾5％报831日元。比特币方面则报109,716美元，有止跌迹象，不断尝试重新站回11万美元水平。值得一提的是，比特币过去3个月仅有约3％升幅，同期以太坊大幅跑赢比特币，3个月升近76％
我是培哥，八年币圈深耕，短线博弈见真章，中长线布局有章法。精准捕捉最优交易时机，一手消息为你赋能投资决策。选对方向，找对节奏，这里有你需要的专业视角。
$BTC $ETH
#比特币巨鲸换仓以太坊

WLFI trading will begin on September 1, with investors limited to selling one-fifth of their allocation.
WLFI is issued as the governance token of World Liberty Financial, aimed at allowing holders to vote on protocol upgrades. Trading will officially begin on September 1, but early investors are only allowed to sell one-fifth of their allocation.
Founders, including Donald Trump's younger son and Eric Trump, will not participate in this initial token release.
This issuance will test to what extent the Trump name can elevate the value of a supply of 100 billion tokens. In pre-market trading, some platforms have priced WLFI at around $0.42, implying a fully diluted valuation nearing $40 billion.

In 2019, Bitcoin rebounded from $3,000 at the end of 2018 to $13,000 in June. The Federal Reserve announced rate cuts on July 31, September 18, and October 30.
Each interest rate cut decision marks the approach of Bitcoin's upward momentum exhaustion. BTC surged significantly before the interest rate meeting, but was sold off again as the reality of weak economic growth reemerged after the meeting. This indicates that the benefits of rate cuts have been priced in by the market in advance, while the reality of slowing economic growth dominated subsequent trends.
2020: An Exception Under Emergency Rate Cuts

The situation in March 2020 was not a typical cycle. At that time, in response to the panic triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve significantly cut interest rates to zero.

Breaking! Whale Sells 3,410 Bitcoins in 11 Days, Huge Funds Flow into Ethereum! Is this a quake in the crypto space or the start of a new cycle?
Event Summary: Recently, there has been a stunning wave in the market! On-chain data shows that an 'ancient whale' has sold a total of 34,110 bitcoins over the past 11 days, worth about $3.7 billion, and has exchanged all of it for 813,298 ethers. Even more shocking is that this whale has concentrated on selling 7,000 bitcoins in just over the past 50 hours.
The Whale's "Ethereum Frenzy": The whale's actions are likely closely related to the significant positive outlook for Ethereum fundamentals. Data shows that the supply of stablecoins on the Ethereum network has surpassed $160 billion, reaching an all-time high, nearly tripling since January 2024. This indicates a sharp increase in the funding activity and potential attraction of the Ethereum ecosystem.

1. Technical analysis is king: K-line cycle selection determines success or failure
Technical analysis is a core tool for short-term cryptocurrency trading. A multi-period strategy is recommended: high-frequency traders can focus on the 5-minute candlestick chart to capture transient fluctuations, while trend traders prefer the 15-30 minute timeframe. For example, during a BTC surge, the 5-minute chart showed the RSI breaking through the 70 overbought level, while the 30-minute Bollinger Bands widened. Intervening at this point could have yielded a 12% daily gain. Remember to use moving averages (such as the 5-day and 10-day) to identify support levels. When the price retraces to the 10-day moving average without breaking it, the optimal entry point is often.

What are the tips for investing in cryptocurrency?
1. Maintain patience in cryptocurrency investment.
Since cryptocurrency trading operates 24 hours a day, some traders lack patience and constantly try to seize profits during their own time. Like obsessive-compulsive behavior, they trade frequently, even when the timing is not right, and rush to enter the market. In fact, in the cryptocurrency market, there is no trading standard that requires trading every hour, and over 70% of the market is in a state of fluctuation. Entering the market under unclear conditions can lead to significant losses. Therefore, you must learn to control your desire to trade and wait for suitable opportunities to enter.

Withdrawing funds in the crypto world, which involves converting digital assets into fiat currency and withdrawing to a personal account, is a crucial process for investors. This involves multiple steps and considerations, which may seem complex for beginners. This article will gradually analyze the basic process of withdrawing funds in the crypto world and provide some practical tips to help investors complete withdrawals safely and efficiently.

1. Choose a suitable trading platform
Key Keywords: Choosing a Trading Platform
Analysis: Choosing a reliable trading platform is the primary step in the withdrawal process. Investors need to consider factors such as the platform's reputation, security, supported currencies, and withdrawal fees.

Is it easy to make money in the cryptocurrency world?
Making money in the cryptocurrency world is not that easy. It requires a certain amount of capital investment, and beginners often lack sufficient funds and professional knowledge. Additionally, personal connections and professional investment strategies are key factors for successful investment, which are often lacking for beginners. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, with prices capable of experiencing drastic changes in a short period. This volatility brings high risks, making it difficult even for experienced investors to predict the market's specific direction. Therefore, investors need to have strong psychological endurance and risk control abilities.

According to some Republican lawmakers, the Senate's top cryptocurrency-related agenda will be to pass market structure legislation.
After a month-long recess, the U.S. Senate and House plan to return to government work, which includes key policy reviews affecting the cryptocurrency and blockchain industry.
The two chambers of the 119th United States Congress went into recess a few weeks ago according to the schedule set in January. This move effectively paused all related work, including the advancement of the Digital Asset Market Structure Bill, the consideration of Brian Quintenz's nomination as chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and the legislative process containing restrictions on Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC).

Introduction: A game with no way out
"One day in the crypto world is like a year in the human world."
This statement not only describes how fast the market changes but also hides a truth: The crypto world may be the most extreme wealth experiment of our time—some make 15 times returns from 0.5 U, while others go all in to zero and leave in debt.
It acts like a magnifying glass, exposing the most naked greed and fear of human nature, and also revealing the cruel rules of class leap.
Today, we won't talk about the myth of getting rich overnight, but rather dismantle the social experiment logic behind the crypto world—why is it both an opportunity for ordinary people and a pitfall for most?

Looking back at the entire month of August, the cryptocurrency market was once in a frenzy. Bitcoin surged to a historical peak of $124,000 on August 13, leading countless people to shout that the bull market would never be enslaved. However, in less than half a month, the price plummeted to $107,000, shattering the hearts of retail investors. Yet, such dramatic ups and downs are not new in the crypto world, as Bitcoin tends to be wildly volatile.

The trigger for this crash was the whales starting to adjust their portfolios. On-chain revelations show that a certain big player directly dumped 80,000 Bitcoins into the market, setting a historic transfer record. Moreover, this batch of Bitcoins was split into smaller orders and quietly exchanged for Ethereum. This operation directly led to two consequences:

If you trade contracts in the cryptocurrency market, you must be familiar with the term stop-loss. Some see it as a 'lifeline', while others think it’s a 'trap'—setting a stop-loss results in the account being swept over like by a 'harvester', with constant small losses and dwindling funds.
Today, we are going to talk about a high-level approach: 'probabilistic stop-loss settings'. By combining win rate and profit-loss ratio, we can turn stop-loss from a 'capital killer' into your 'profit amplifier'. Sounds exciting, right? Don’t rush; we will break it down slowly to ensure you understand and can use it!

Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) recently released its Q2 2025 financial report, showing a net loss of $20 million, of which about $15 million was attributed to legal fees related to the merger with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC). As a result, the company's stock price fell by 3.8%.
However, behind this seemingly pressured financial report lies a key strategic transformation: TMTG is quietly pushing a critical strategic shift—from a social media platform to a high-risk, high-leverage crypto fintech company, with Bitcoin and crypto finance as its core weapons.

The Bitcoin market has once again reached a critical turning point. As of today, September 1, Bitcoin's price closed at around $108,000 in August, marking the first monthly decline since April.
Currently, the fear and greed index has dropped to a neutral 47, with retail investors no longer experiencing the euphoria of Bitcoin's continuous record highs at the beginning of the month, while whales are hesitating on whether to increase their positions or sell amid the ongoing decline.
The market is simultaneously caught in a fierce battle between the historical 'September curse' and the potential bullish signals for new highs. This contradiction and uncertainty have laid the groundwork for September's market.