区块链允善

From getting rich overnight to returning to zero:

● Entering the cryptocurrency circle, becoming rich overnight: Zeng Wen, a junior high school graduate, was a cargo loader with low wages and heavy debts. In 2017, he was invited by a friend to enter the cryptocurrency circle, and his friend lent him 5,000 yuan to speculate in cryptocurrencies. He couldn't afford Bitcoin, so he speculated in altcoins, buying at low prices and selling at high prices, and self-taught himself "band operation" and "leverage trading". In 2017, Bitcoin was in a frenzy, with the highest annual increase reaching 1,700%. Zeng Wen also lived a dream life, achieving freedom to eat and buy clothes, paying off debts, buying things for his family, and participating in cryptocurrency gatherings, feeling a different kind of respect than before.

● Market shocks, returning to poverty overnight: However, in the market shocks at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, Zeng Wen suffered a liquidation, and more than 3,000 etc and 7 bch virtual currencies disappeared in an instant. Sun Zheng had a similar experience. He quit his job and sold his house, invested 1 million yuan and used 10 times leverage to trade futures, but eventually suffered a series of blow-ups in the volatility. Zhang Quan from Beijing also regretted missing the opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a low price in the early days. He re-entered the market when the price of Bitcoin was high, but also faced market uncertainty.

Yesterday's market mainly focused on after 2:30 AM. Currently, the market has begun to rise steadily, with today's morning high reaching around 87,500. However, due to the pressure from above, the market has started to decline again. From the current perspective, this round of decline still shows a continuing trend. Therefore, aggressive friends can continue to short in the short term, aiming for around 84,500. The previous rise was mainly due to one being the dovish stance of the monetary policy press conference, and the other being "Trump's little trumpet" buying 518.6 Bitcoin to go long, which caused this round of stretch. In the short term, operations should still be mainly bearish, with upper pressure focusing on 87,500. If it breaks, we can look towards 90,000.

Now let's take a look at ETH. ETH also rose in the morning along with Bitcoin, reaching a high near 2,070 before falling back under pressure, currently running around 2,030, consistent with Bitcoin. In the morning, it is still mainly bearish. If it breaks above, we can look towards around 2,150, but personally, I still believe that during the day, it should remain mainly bearish.

Linking Weakness + Bearish Resonance

The K-line from the last hour shows a significant price drop, breaking below the previous lows at several points in time, forming a large bearish candlestick, and the closing price is lower than the opening price. This indicates strong selling pressure, and market sentiment may lean towards pessimism. At the same time, trading volume has decreased, and both price and volume are declining, suggesting a quiet market that may lack buying support, potentially indicating a continuation of the downward trend.
Next, let's look at the technical indicators. The MACD shows a bearish market, with the histogram turning from positive to negative, and the MACD line crossing down through the signal line, forming a dead cross, which is usually a strong sell signal. The KDJ indicator does not show a golden cross or a dead cross, with a value of 78 in a high position, possibly nearing the overbought zone, but in conjunction with the current downward trend, it may indicate pullback pressure. The MA10 is greater than the MA30, but it is important to note that if the short-term moving average begins to cross down through the long-term moving average, it may signal a trend reversal. However, for now, the MA10 is still above the MA30, which may suggest a phase of consolidation or adjustment, but the overall trend may be starting to weaken. The current market is dominated by bears, but there is a possibility of a rebound from oversold conditions. The trading strategy should focus on following the trend, but close attention should be paid to the breakout of support and resistance levels, as well as changes in trading volume. If the price rebounds with high volume near the support level, a long position may be considered; otherwise, the bearish outlook continues. At the same time, strict stop-loss measures should be set to avoid risks from sudden market reversals. The support below is at 81300; if it continues to break down, the market will start with a '7'. The resistance above is at 84800; if that level breaks, we can look towards 85800.

Now looking at Ethereum, when Bitcoin is in consolidation, Ethereum drops; when Bitcoin rises, Ethereum consolidates; when Bitcoin falls, Ethereum crashes. Currently, Ethereum at 1900 is indeed at a low level, but it is certainly not the bottom for this round, so today's main thinking is to maintain a bearish outlook consistent with Bitcoin.

Bitcoin: Short near the rebound at 84000-84500, targeting 83200-82500-82000.
Ethereum: Short near the rebound at 1940-1960, targeting 1900-1870-1840.

From the hourly perspective, the current Bitcoin market is overall in an upward state. The market surged towards 85,000 in the early morning before quickly falling back, forming a large bullish candlestick with a closing price higher than the opening price. Coupled with a simultaneous increase in trading volume, this indicates that bullish forces are gradually gaining dominance in the short term.

Recently, trading volume has been continuously rising, with price and trading volume showing a 'double rise' pattern, reflecting an increase in market participation enthusiasm and significant capital inflow. The last candlestick closed positively with a relatively long body, further validating the strong upward momentum in the short term. If trading volume remains high, it may drive the price to break through resistance. Although the MACD histogram is still in the negative range, the reduction trend is significant, indicating that bearish pressure is gradually weakening and bullish forces are accumulating. The KDJ value has reached the oversold area (J=5), indicating a short-term technical correction demand, but no clear golden cross signal has appeared, so caution is needed regarding the sustainability of the rebound. First support: 82,022.0; if lost, it may retest around 81,600. Core resistance: 84,701.0; breaking through may open up upward space to the 85,000 level.

What needs to be noted is the breakout situation of the upper pressure; be vigilant of the peak inflection point of the MACD histogram. If there is a reduction in volume, it may trigger a pullback. The DJ value is currently at 34, in the neutral zone, without forming a clear golden cross or death cross signal, reflecting a temporary balance between bulls and bears. If the price breaks through the resistance level, the KDJ may quickly move towards the overbought area; conversely, it may retest support. First support: 1,864.0; if lost, it may test the 1,850 level. Core resistance: 1,934.0; after breaking through, pay attention to the selling pressure around 1,950.84. Short-term volatility range: 1,864.0-1,950.84; breaking in either direction may trigger a trending market.

The market is currently showing a bottoming and rebound state, and a rebound has already occurred. The current trading range is fluctuating between 77655 and 83582. The current trading volume shows a stepwise contraction, with the trading volume in the past hour reduced by 15%-20% compared to the previous period. The characteristics of simultaneous decline in volume and price are significant, and market trading activity has dropped to a 24-hour low. The capital participation index shows that the main funds are in a net outflow state. From a technical indicator perspective, MACD shows a long-short contest, with both lines continuously operating below the zero axis. The histogram's negative value area has expanded for three consecutive periods, and the difference between the fast and slow lines has exaggerated to -280, indicating that bearish momentum holds an absolute advantage, with no divergence signals appearing. There are no signs of a reversal in the downward trend, and the KDJ three lines are in a bearish arrangement (K: 38 D: 42 J: 32). The J value has remained below the oversold level for six consecutive hours, indicating a need for technical repair. The distance between the three lines has narrowed to 10 basis points, and a directional choice window may enter in the short term.

Key point layout: the support level to watch below is 76818, which is the upper edge of the dense chip area on March 9. The core resistance level is 84200, with the previous high neckline located at the EMA120 intersection area. The day’s fluctuation center is the psychological threshold of 80000. Therefore, our short positions can be arranged around 83000-83500. Today, it is important to be cautious about the long-short tug-of-war at the $78,000 level, which has gathered nearly $230 million in option contracts. If the trading volume continues to shrink below $1.5 billion per hour, it could trigger liquidity trap risks. Additionally, the focus on news data is the countdown to the release of the US March CPI data, which is in a 72-hour countdown. CME Bitcoin futures open interest has sharply decreased by 12%, reflecting institutional cautious sentiment.

The idea is confirmed again, today's market has started to rebound, our first targets have all been reached, Bitcoin has hit 1093 points, and Ethereum has reached 92 points. #鲸鱼囤币 #稳定币淘金热 #加密市场回调 #加密市场观察 #美国犹他州比特币法案

The big pie shows a typical oscillation pattern, and in the last hour, a 'bullish engulfing' pattern has formed. The bullish body covers the previous bearish candle, and it appears that the market has stabilized and is starting to rebound. Aggressive friends can go ahead and make a long position, with the first target at 83000.
Support below the big pie is focused on 80036-79956, this level is the dividing line between bulls and bears; breaking below will open up downward space. The resistance above is focused on the previous high of 86416-87106, this position is the previous high resistance zone, and a breakout will require volume support. What we need to pay attention to today is that the current market shows 'low volatility + low volume' consolidation characteristics:
1. MACD and RSI show a bottom divergence signal, but insufficient volume may limit the height of the rebound.
2. The extreme oversold state of KDJ has lasted for 3 cycles, be alert for a technical correction.
3. Pay close attention to the battle for the integer level of 80000; an effective break below will trigger programmatic selling. Below the auntie, focus on 1966-2000, this position is the Fibonacci 50% retracement level + integer level dual defense, while above, pay attention to 2210-2227, this position is a historical dense transaction area. The first target for auntie long positions can be set around 2080.

Last night's market first received a boost from the non-farm payroll data, leading to an upward movement. After that, U.S. stocks opened lower but rose again, pushing the market higher. However, it faced resistance and retraced around 91000, and in the morning, there was another downward wave, reaching a low of about 85100. Recently, trading volume has decreased, with volume lower than in the previous few hours, and both price and volume are declining: the market is quiet, and trading is inactive. However, it appears that the market has found support at the lower levels, so the current price allows for a small long position, with Bitcoin initially targeting 86700.

Now let's look at Ether, analyzing the current market trend on the hourly chart based on MACD: there is no obvious trend, the MACD histogram: the histogram continues to be negative and gradually shortens: bullish strength is increasing.
KDJ indicator: no KDJ golden cross or death cross, based on KDJ: oversold KDJ value is 10, the market is fluctuating, with divergence between volume and price, so a small long position can also be placed targeting 2160. However, the trend is still downward, so our morning strategy mainly focuses on rebound shorts, which is the same for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin: short around 88000-88500 on the rebound, targeting 87200-86500-86000
Ether: short around 2160-2190 on the rebound, targeting 2130-2100-2070

Today's third wave! Kong🥚 directly eaten full, Auntie Tai 72 classics, big pancake 2877 classics! The follow-up will depend on the situation of the speeches at dawn.

The second wave of US stocks opened low and rose again! Currently, the resistance at 91000 is still quite strong, and the market has once again entered a consolidation phase, so we will take profits and exit for now. Bitcoin's second wave is at 1680, with 58% gains captured from Auntie's 7.7w oil income totaling #非农就业数据来袭 #特朗普签署行政命令 #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #德克萨斯州比特币战略储备法案 #MtGox钱包动态

A wave of early layout, the first news in the evening is announced, the non-farm data is favorable, lower than expected, successfully grasping the big pie at 1276, aunt 17. There are more news in the evening, continue to seize the opportunity! #非农就业数据来袭 #特朗普签署行政命令 #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #德克萨斯州比特币战略储备法案 #MtGox钱包动态

Today's Important News

Yesterday, the overall market still showed an upward trend. As early as yesterday morning, I had already reminded everyone that the market would march towards 90,000. Our main strategy today remains to focus on buying on dips. Tomorrow, there will be two news events: a cryptocurrency summit and the release of non-farm payroll data. This indicates that under favorable news conditions, the market is likely to experience a significant rise, aiming for 100,000 is not unreasonable. Therefore, friends who still hold long positions can continue to maintain them. The resistance above Bitcoin is around 93,500, and the support below is around 89,600.

After hitting the bottom at 1,979, the market for Ethereum has also been running upwards. This morning, it touched near 2,288, and the upward trend is currently very obvious. Thus, we still approach Ethereum with the strategy of buying on dips.

Bitcoin: Buy on dips around 90,000-90,500, with targets looking towards 91,200-92,000-92,700.
Ethereum: Buy on dips around 2,200-2,230, with targets looking towards 2,270-2,300-2,330.
#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #MtGox钱包动态 #美国2月ADP就业人数 #美国加密战略储备 #加密市场反弹

The tips provided in the morning suggested looking towards 90000, and in the evening, we experienced a wave of upward movement, reaching a high of around 90600. Our long positions also perfectly took profit, and Auntie entered the market in a timely manner to seize the opportunity together! Big cake 2780 points, Auntie 75 points. #美国加密战略储备 #特朗普国会演讲 #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #加密市场反弹 #币安上线GPS

Bitcoin experienced a downward movement last night, testing the lower support again, and then the market began to rebound, rising over 7000 points, with the highest point reaching 88900. After that, it started to fluctuate, with the market moving down twice. The first time it touched 78200, and the second time it touched 81200. The two bottom points were getting higher, indicating that the overall direction is still mainly upward in the medium to long term, and the layout can look towards the vicinity of 90000. After all, the structure of the two bottom tests has already become clearly stable, so our general idea today is still mainly focused on buying on dips. The short-term support to pay attention to is 85300, and without a stable breakdown, we can directly proceed with the layout of the dip 🥚.

Now let's take a look at Ethereum. Early yesterday morning, after seeing Ethereum starting with the number 1, the market received support from below and opened an upward channel, rising nearly 200 points, with the highest point reaching 2220. It has now entered a state of fluctuation, with both 15-minute and 1-hour levels dominated by bulls, while the bearish trend on the 4-hour is also weakening. Therefore, Ethereum can still be treated with the idea of buying on dips.

Bitcoin: Buy on dips around 85300-85800, target towards 86500-87300-87800.
Ethereum: Buy on dips around 2120-2140, target towards 2170-2200-2230.
#特朗普国会演讲 #白宫首届加密货币峰会 #币安上线GPS #美国加征关税 #FTX赔付

Today's midday thoughts are once again confirmed, the market rebounded to 84900 before precisely hitting the target point, and then the market began to decline. This wave was again accurately grasped, and the same applies to Auntie! If 82000 is broken again, we will look towards 78000. #币安上线GPS #美国加征关税 #加密市场回调 #FTX赔付 #BNBChainMeme热潮

In the morning market, after the price touched the lower 2000 integer mark, it started a small rebound, rising over 100 points, but the downward trend has not changed. Therefore, our subsequent strategy remains focused on shorting during the rebound, paying attention to the area around 2180 above. If opportunities arise, we can set up short positions near the resistance level.

The big coin market touched around 82400 below and then entered a consolidation state. The volatility of the big coin is smaller compared to the small coin. It is expected to rebound again in the evening, with the upper resistance still focusing on 86600. If opportunities arise under the breaking condition, we can set up short positions. The market continues to decline, rising by 10,000 points the previous day and falling by 10,000 points yesterday. How many retail investors can withstand such a market? Many friends are discouraged, but I hope everyone can regroup because the cryptocurrency world is never short of miracles!

Big Coin: Short around 84800-85300 on the rebound, targeting 84000-83500-83000.
Small Coin: Short around 2140-2160 on the rebound, targeting 2100-2080-2050.

Today's market continues to decline. From yesterday to this morning, the price of Bitcoin has dropped a total of 10,000, reaching a low of around 82,600. Currently, it seems that this round of waterfall can look towards a low around 80,000. The main strategy today is still to focus on shorting during rebounds. The market is currently near the lower Bollinger Band support level on the hourly chart. If this position breaks, the market will continue to move downward. Therefore, it is advisable to open short positions with light positions. If you want to be more secure, you can wait for the market to rebound to a higher level before entering short positions. For short-term trading, watch the resistance above Bitcoin at 86,600.

Now let's take a look at Ethereum. Ethereum is also at support at the lower level, with a clear downtrend channel on the hourly chart, and there is still room for further decline. So, similar to Bitcoin, it is advisable to open short positions with light positions. Those who prefer caution should wait for a rebound to enter the market. For Ethereum, it can look towards starting with 1.

The market has dropped again, and our short positions are also catching up again! Two waves of decline perfectly grasped, Bitcoin once again hit 1719 points, and Ethereum hit 80 points. #BNBChainMeme热潮 #美国加密战略储备 #CZ新代币模型设想 #芝商所将推出SOL期货 #币安盘前市场上线RED

The market fell again in the early morning. I mentioned to everyone in the evening that the subsequent market will mainly be bearish. First, watch 88900; if it breaks, it will continue to look down, with the current lowest point also around 86700. Although I didn't fully capitalize on it, Bitcoin has also achieved a support level at 3200, and the market has started to rebound slightly. Currently, the upward movement still seems weak, so our subsequent strategy remains focused on bearish rebounds. First, we need to pay attention to whether the support level below Bitcoin in the range of 86000-86500 is broken. If it continues to break, then a 7-character opening will be a certainty. However, if it does not break, it will move closer to 90000 and test the upper pressure. Therefore, we can set up a small position for long orders, targeting around 89000. For Ethereum, the support below is around 2150. If it does not break, it will move closer to 2240 to test the pressure.

Bitcoin: Sell on the rebound around 88500-89000, targeting 87800-87000-86500.
Ethereum: Sell on the rebound around 2240-2260, targeting 2200-2170-2140. #BNBChainMeme热潮 #美国加密战略储备 #CZ新代币模型设想 #芝商所将推出SOL期货 #币安盘前市场上线RED