数据分析

Rebound and short, 4-hour volume and price divergence, MACD divergence, KDJ/Macd both become death crosses, do whatever you want $BTC

The situation has changed. The BTC rate has become negative, which means that the short side has to pay the long military rate. It is estimated that the dog dealer will continue to pull it up. Look for a high point to do it $BTC

If the rebound does not break the previous high before 11 o'clock, and the downward trend continues, go short directly. The three-hour MACD forms a top divergence, and the KDG\MACD both form a dead cross, and the short is over. $BTC

Many people are looking forward to a breakthrough of 67,200. Predict whether the dealer will do so. If it goes up, will the upper part be released? I predict that the dealer will not do so. It will probably go down after it touches 67,200. What do you think the script should be? $BTC

Long and short liquidation chart, what do you think of the blind market

Damn, I'm going to play the same trick as yesterday again $BTC

Rapid rise, dealers sell, short

Wall Street bulls: "Fed put option" is back, the risk of US stock market collapse is increasing $BTC

$BTC Run, the pressure from above is huge

$BTC No longer hopeful that the Fed will cut interest rates soon! American companies are beginning to "surrender"
In recent months, the number of corporate bankruptcies has increased as confidence that interest rates will be lowered quickly has shaky.
According to S&P Global data, April was the month with the most corporate bankruptcies in the past year, with 66 companies filing for bankruptcy, an 88% increase from 35 applications in January.
Questions about the Fed's expectation that it may cut the federal funds rate as soon as possible are one of the reasons why so many companies have filed for bankruptcy. Since July last year, the Fed's federal funds rate has remained between 5.25% and 5.50%. Although people had high hopes at the beginning of 2024 that the Fed would start easing policies as early as March, strong economic and inflation data since then have pushed this expectation back to December.
For many companies burdened with high interest rates, this means "surrender." After all, the Fed's hawkish policies are the reason why most companies' assets last year were in a state of decline. The main reason for the deterioration of balance sheets, whose survival depends on lower borrowing costs.
According to one measure, the pace of corporate cost increases did slow in early 2024 when the market expected the Federal Reserve might soon cut interest rates. According to one index, the effective yield on junk-rated corporate bonds fell to 7.40% in March. But that yield then surged to 8.11% last month as stubborn inflation made it look unlikely that the Fed would cut rates soon.
The three sectors with the most bankruptcies that month were consumer discretionary, health care and industrials, according to S&P Global.
Although market concerns about stagflation have faded after a weaker-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls report in April, Fed officials continue to signal that inflation needs to continue to slow before cutting rates.
But some analysts warn that the longer the Fed "stays on its hands," the greater the risk of problems in the economy. Frances Donald, chief economist at Manulife Investment Management, said in April:
"Now that we're back in an environment where we've lost the potential for rate cuts, we actually have to increase the probability of bad things happening."

In 15 minutes, pay attention to whether it can break through and stabilize 61800, and pay attention to 62024 in one hour. If it cannot break through, the bears will dominate. The bears are mainly $BTC

$BTC Run, this is to meet you at 61

Two days down and two days up, some people slap their thighs and some people have left this circle. No matter what state we are in, we must adjust to the best state, keep a cool head, endure loneliness, and maintain a good attitude, so that there will be a long future. If we miss it, we should summarize it. If we lose it, I should summarize it and improve my cognition. $BTC $ETH #交易心得

The funding rate has become negative again $BTC

$ETH Who told you to go long at this position? Do you dare to do it? Three-point divergence, what do you think is the possibility of a breakthrough? Please leave a message

The essence of finance is to protect the principal. Others are greedy and I am afraid. We are all human beings, not gods, and we cannot be angry. If we do not believe in this evil and play in this circle, then we will lose everything. We would rather wait for our brother to miss it. We can't play with intuition. That is gambling. Everyone knows that nine out of ten gambling will lose. So when we don't know anything, we are only allowed to make small trials and errors, not all-in. We should learn more, watch more, listen more, and do less. As long as we seize good opportunities, a bull market once or twice is enough, instead of frequent operations and roller coasters every day.
What do you think of the current market? Let's learn from each other and make progress together $BTC $ETH

Kind reminder not to chase too much $BTC $ETH

The weekly line has also fallen below, and the situation will be even worse next $BTC $ETH

Personal opinion: The Americans are drawing the line again. Don't be greedy. The overall situation is not ideal. The probability of falling is higher than that of rising. Stay calm and wait for changes. Don't blindly buy the bottom. $BTC $ETH

$ETH It is not the time to buy the bottom yet. Ethereum is relatively weak. If Bitcoin falls a little, it will fall sharply. It has not yet stabilized. Don't blindly chase it. The essence of finance is to protect the principal. As long as you have the chips, you will have the opportunity to buy the bottom at any time.