Laraine Nuner CwGW

$BTC is calculated based on a 4-year cycle.
7/10/2025: 126,200
+365 days
During the period of 1/10/2026-1/11/2026, it's time to buy 🥰🥰🥰
Dif : -5000 to -5300
Estimated :32,000-35,000

Dif :-5700 to -6000
- 74.8% = 31,800
-76.1% = 30,200
-77.4% = 28,500

Estimated bottom 28,000-30,000
Images and personal judgments should not be considered as investment advice.
The buying zone will be at 2 parallel lines below if correct.

$BTC there is a plan for 26/12 that may also occur. It may be re-applied by MM.
-on 23-11: there was a significant buying force
And I review maxpain: (the minimum pain threshold is the point where MM minimizes losses in the options contract, it tends to pull the price up to the 9x range) on 26/12
Therefore, from now until 26/12
Today is 19/12
- currently, the 5d candle is a green candle that just tested the area of the month of November (23/11), which could also be the maxpain of the week in November.
Today is 19/12, which is also the maxpain of the week. There must be a rise in trading within the area (87-88) to resolve options for MM.
Then there are some drops after that where buying dips can be done for the maxpain strategy on 26/12 to surf this wave at $BTC because maxpain must pull the price up to at least the 9x range (90 and above) which can be considered for application with $ETH
Buy dip for the maxpain on 26/12 must also reach at least 3000

$BTC and currently for short-term trading
Then 84,900-85,300 will be the decisive area

Above 84,900-85,300 ==>> it may spike to 88,200-88,700
Below 84,900 ==>> it may drop to 83,660-82,200-81,100

During the trading hours, the level 84,900-85,300 will determine the direction of the trade.

$BTC So on Saturday, the next 3D candle closing day will be a day that can pull back to 83,660. The 3D candle closing area without considering the wicks means that 83,660 is the average level that will be achieved for the candle closing.

Be careful on Saturday, everyone. Today is Friday, and it might swing and close the day at 84,900-85,100.
As for the running range all day, who knows how it will move.

However, we cannot exclude the cases of pulling up wicks to sweep back the liquidity of those with large leverage in the short term.

The boundary area will be recalculated as follows on the 3D operation until the closing of December: the safety level is no longer at (85,900-86,300) for you all.

78,988-(84900-85300)-90,900

$BTC with 3d view yesterday in the right direction, there will be further waves of decline in the short term, at least happening this week. The area 83,888 for December will surely have to be tested again on the 3d view. Please take note of this.
And the 3d view runs longer.

It is a shortcoming not to consider the 1d view so that you can catch the decline accurately. But in the analysis below in the comments, I always say it will decrease.

And especially today is the second day of the 3d view. The next 3d candle closing day will be tomorrow. Then around 83,660 will be the closing candle target of my 3d view. So today and tomorrow, 3d will do its job.

$BTC tuy is at the upper border but the 3d closure is quite favorable in a negative direction. 1 3d red candle.
If favorable then
Btc today tests the wick of 83,888 for the month. Then nodding continues

$BTC
When winter comes, flowers wither.
When spring arrives, flowers bloom together.
Kèo kẹo kéo ra đề anh em có lời sét tp hợp lú sl dương
Losing is not an excuse; currently, it's all good, okay? 🥰 Good luck!

$BTC 1d green candle. Tested with red beard and double bottom up. And now it is retesting this.
Retesting this sw.
Done then hit up. It's that simple.==> 89,200 can be sw done to hit the target.
Short term is like that 🥱

But there is a red cloud above so need to fomo to overcome the cloud. If there is no fomo then it will go down.

$BTC
(85,888-86,300) just remember that is enough
==>89,200 (sl 85,500)
Below 85,500==> retest 83,100

$BTC quarterly chart (3 months) supports 55,977 still on the long-term upward trend of the quarter with nothing yet, early buyers at the bottom are still profiting x6 (600%) throughout the cycle. The analysis is a bit of a headache. There is support with the news of a high unemployment rate of 4.6%, which benefits the Fed to consider further interest rate cuts next year.
- short-term benefit of a bit is max pain on December 26: exchanges (95-98-99) => (95+98+99)/3 = 97,300

Long-term risk: is the data just released showing that when the government shuts down, it could affect the actual situation leading to a hawkish Fed reconsidering. Dip down to 80-84k

Returning to gold is easier, BTC is a bit sensitive and gives headaches
as the admin reported the other day.
-NFP decreases => USD is more negative
-Q4 GDP weak due to government shutdown => USD weakens.
-Dot plot in 2026 cuts by 0.25% => USD will decrease
- the geopolitical situation is a bit tense
- the situation of weddings at the end of the year and the beginning of the year in Asian countries is increasing.

Therefore, gold is a bit hard to decrease. The chart shows a green w in the area of 4100-4200 as the main support. So in the short term, gold is bouncing back and expanding FOMO to test the peak or break the peak, the possibility of a deep decrease has not yet appeared.
Yesterday, the admin reported gold bouncing back, 1d today making a green candle.
The support area is quite good at 4280-4270; every retest has an upward trend. Only when it drops below 4250-4255 will gold show a bearish trend. Currently, 4330 is still far away.

$BTC Thus, according to the previous analysis, the monthly candle must close at least 88,888-89,244 for there to be a chance to retest 92,600 and higher levels.

Currently, we are trading below the upper boundary of the next month (89,244). Until we get past this level, we shouldn't think about price increases, guys.
For there to be a recovery direction, there must be strong buying volume from the whales in this area (89,244), and no selling pressure should exist. If the whales continue to sell heavily in this area, we will keep testing the lower region. If the situation worsens, it indicates that the whales are gradually exiting.
If the quarterly candle closes below 89,244, it will remain tense going into the next quarter. This means a deep red quarterly candle, and it's close to the bottom. The third quarter candle next month might have a slight recovery, but the bottom could be lower than this quarter's candle.

- December:
+ peak: 94,600 (fomo)
+ bottom low: 83,888 (fear)

(94,600 + 83,888)/2 = 89,244 middle range

Fomo-500 price = 94,100 peak
Fear +500 price = 84,388 bottom low

(94,100 + 84,388)/2 = 88,778

Fomo-1000 price = 93,100 peak
Fear +1000 price = 84,888 bottom low

(93,100 + 84,888)/2 = 88,994

Fomo-2000 price = 92,600
Fear +2000 price = 85,888

(92,600 + 85,888)/2 = 89,244

- November: close 90,366 bottom 80,636
(90,366 + 80,636)/2 = 85,500

And December each year mostly closes lower compared to the closing price of November by (3%-7%)
90,366 * 3% = 2,711 ==>
90,366 - 2,711 = 87,655
90,366 * 8% = 6,325 ==>
90,366 - 6,325 = 84,041

Thus, I can predict the closing price of December will be around (84k - 88k)

Key words: short-term trading tp and sl at the range
Can watch according to H4 could be more accurate when looking at the next W close.
Price above (85,900 - 86,300) ==>
trend recovery 89,244
Price below (85,500 - 85,888) ==>
trend retest 82,000 - 83,500

Monthly candle close range is 84k - 88k do not trade far from this range for spot buying.

You all look at this border area to understand the market that is happening. After that, I will post a tutorial and provide the key focus keywords

Regarding employment data decreases
The unemployment rate is the highest in 4 years at 4.6%

And the recently updated dot plot chart for the entire year 2026 hovers around 3.4-3.5% for interest rates

Currently at 3.75-4.0%, the drop on the forecast chart shows that the Fed is quite hawkish in 2026.

The dot plot chart indicates that the Fed will only cut by about 0.25% in 2026.

And currently, with the highest unemployment rate in the past 4 years, there is a risk of leading to recession. The data contradicts the dot plot. Forcing the Fed to reconsider in 2026 for an additional 2-3 rate cuts instead of just 1.

Short-term risk: is with the above data, if considered not bad enough and the Fed is rigid (hawkish indeed), then the level of 80k-84k may have to be retested in BTC.

- NFP decreases negatively affect USD and gold will have a bounce.

Data is available, guys
- high unemployment rate: 4.6%
- NFP also decreased compared to the previous actual 46k

Today, the market will begin to fluctuate more annoyingly with
The unemployment rate and non-farm payroll
Announced at 8:30 AM Vietnam time

Be careful this week

Where to buy the dip, you can also know. Buy the dip completely, buy near the bottom and sell near the top or right at the middle 👌

$BTC and what comes next?
Then look at the major boundary areas. So we know the boundary increase of the monthly plan must reach at least 87,200 to expand the upward trends.
Today I have calculated the plan for the last 2 weeks of December:
It is: (81,100-85,900-93,500) which is the average boundary but in the larger view of the monthly chart.
And for the entire month of December, 87,200 is the middle boundary. We are falling out of the middle boundary of the entire monthly chart, which means the expansion will prioritize the downward trend of the month when this week continues to close candles below 85,900.

81,100-(83,500-85,900-89,700)-93,500

81,100-(83,500-85,900-87,200)-87,700-89,100
The weak trend will follow this boundary area. For short-term trading, you apply this boundary taking 85,900 as the center. Stop loss right here.

Dear friends.
I have calculated that there will be 2 green weeks at the end of November and the first 2 weeks of December. And before that, considering taking profits before Christmas.
Today is 16/12, so with the green opening candle and the red closing, it aligns well with this thought. And whales continue to take profits when buying the dip beforehand. With the red candle closing from last week, I have re-divided the range as soon as I saw it.
It is no longer safe in the area :87200 when the actual price is at 89,6xx, and if this week continues to be red, we may have to check back 80,000-80,300 in the near future.

The range 87,200-87,275 is quite important in the recovery phase of the boundary aiming for 96,000, but the volume has not been sufficient, leading to the appearance of trap girls. And we lost support at 88,000, making a retest of 85,000 unavoidable with the short range. Therefore, yesterday I reminded you that 85,900 is the midpoint of the last 2 weeks of this month.