山顶资本007
Open Trade
WBETH Holder
High-Frequency Trader
1.4 Years
基本面投机者
24 Following
32 Followers
41 Liked
2 Shared
All
Quotes
See original
The current valuation of era is overly high, the zk rollup sector is not worth this much! The coin price is expected to reach 0.3, it is worth shorting $ERA
S
ERAUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
+49.78USDT
See original
$BNB
【Non-farm payrolls miss expectations, cryptocurrency and U.S. stocks decline in tandem】U.S. non-farm payroll data missed expectations, with the Nasdaq falling nearly 2 points in a single day, and the cryptocurrency market following suit.
If the U.S. enters a recessionary period, looking back to 2021, both the Nasdaq and Bitcoin (including BNB) could plummet by more than 50%. Where does the U.S. stand at this moment?
【Conclusion】There is currently no need to panic; the unemployment rate, which reflects relative strength and weakness, remains between 4-4.2%, indicating weak supply and demand in the labor market. Hourly wage growth is still around 4%, suggesting a cooling labor market but still within a controllable range. During the pandemic, the U.S. government issued a large amount of money and maintained a high government deficit, and the residents' balance sheets remain healthy, making the probability of a significant recession low. Under baseline conditions, the labor market, like the U.S. economy, is still in a soft landing phase, with the market trading on whether the downward slope is steep or flat.
【Data to watch for】The services PMI on August 5, CPI on the 12th, retail sales on the 15th, Jackson Hole later in the month, non-farm payrolls on September 5, QCEW on the 9th, and CPI on the 11th could all add variables to the September FOMC decision. Compared to guessing the direction, the amplification of volatility may be a more certain event.
【Non-farm payrolls miss expectations, cryptocurrency and U.S. stocks decline in tandem】U.S. non-farm payroll data missed expectations, with the Nasdaq falling nearly 2 points in a single day, and the cryptocurrency market following suit.
If the U.S. enters a recessionary period, looking back to 2021, both the Nasdaq and Bitcoin (including BNB) could plummet by more than 50%. Where does the U.S. stand at this moment?
【Conclusion】There is currently no need to panic; the unemployment rate, which reflects relative strength and weakness, remains between 4-4.2%, indicating weak supply and demand in the labor market. Hourly wage growth is still around 4%, suggesting a cooling labor market but still within a controllable range. During the pandemic, the U.S. government issued a large amount of money and maintained a high government deficit, and the residents' balance sheets remain healthy, making the probability of a significant recession low. Under baseline conditions, the labor market, like the U.S. economy, is still in a soft landing phase, with the market trading on whether the downward slope is steep or flat.
【Data to watch for】The services PMI on August 5, CPI on the 12th, retail sales on the 15th, Jackson Hole later in the month, non-farm payrolls on September 5, QCEW on the 9th, and CPI on the 11th could all add variables to the September FOMC decision. Compared to guessing the direction, the amplification of volatility may be a more certain event.
See original
#chainbase #chainbasehq
How to understand the chainbase project?
1. Industry Position:
Data indexer that can convert blockchain data into structured, easily retrievable information, helping on-chain applications obtain data. Currently, it is mainly used in financial scenarios, such as in the DeFi sector where real-time trading pair data can be accessed.
2. Data indexers are considered a high-quality sector.
There are practical application scenarios; DeFi and NFTs are core application areas in the crypto market, regarded as necessities. In recent years, the rapid development of RWA will greatly drive the demand for on-chain data queries. By linking token burning with query scenarios, it can achieve supply-demand balance in token economics, allowing tokens to capture value. In the future, with the expansion of the Web3 world, data indexers may emerge as projects worth tens of billions.
3. Solid financing background.
Projects launched by traditional Chinese Web2 institutions, including Jingwei, Tencent, and XVC, have gathered many well-known T1-T2 investment institutions from China.
4. Comparison with similar projects:
$SXT : A project backed by Microsoft and Samsung, with funding of 30 million USD and an FDV of 428 million.
$GRT : Industry leader, FDV of 1 billion USD, with indexing times exceeding 5.3 billion in Q3 2024, capturing a major market share.
$C : Funded 15 million USD, currently with an FDV of 300 million USD.
5. Overall conclusion on C tokens:
The sector is promising; the current valuation is slightly high, with a reasonable token price around 0.2.
How to understand the chainbase project?
1. Industry Position:
Data indexer that can convert blockchain data into structured, easily retrievable information, helping on-chain applications obtain data. Currently, it is mainly used in financial scenarios, such as in the DeFi sector where real-time trading pair data can be accessed.
2. Data indexers are considered a high-quality sector.
There are practical application scenarios; DeFi and NFTs are core application areas in the crypto market, regarded as necessities. In recent years, the rapid development of RWA will greatly drive the demand for on-chain data queries. By linking token burning with query scenarios, it can achieve supply-demand balance in token economics, allowing tokens to capture value. In the future, with the expansion of the Web3 world, data indexers may emerge as projects worth tens of billions.
3. Solid financing background.
Projects launched by traditional Chinese Web2 institutions, including Jingwei, Tencent, and XVC, have gathered many well-known T1-T2 investment institutions from China.
4. Comparison with similar projects:
$SXT : A project backed by Microsoft and Samsung, with funding of 30 million USD and an FDV of 428 million.
$GRT : Industry leader, FDV of 1 billion USD, with indexing times exceeding 5.3 billion in Q3 2024, capturing a major market share.
$C : Funded 15 million USD, currently with an FDV of 300 million USD.
5. Overall conclusion on C tokens:
The sector is promising; the current valuation is slightly high, with a reasonable token price around 0.2.
See original
#ALPHA
A cold piece of knowledge is that the total amount of airdrops will not increase; alpha points will only change the distribution of tokens, but will not change the total amount of tokens.
If everyone accumulates alpha points, the amount of tokens each person receives will not increase, because the threshold will be raised. In the end, the result is that those who engage in competition only take away the cake from those who are indifferent.
A zero-sum game, where the only winner in the end is the casino.
A cold piece of knowledge is that the total amount of airdrops will not increase; alpha points will only change the distribution of tokens, but will not change the total amount of tokens.
If everyone accumulates alpha points, the amount of tokens each person receives will not increase, because the threshold will be raised. In the end, the result is that those who engage in competition only take away the cake from those who are indifferent.
A zero-sum game, where the only winner in the end is the casino.
See original
$LAYER
Why is it not recommended to go long on layer?
1. VC allocation, with a funding amount of less than 100 million USD, now the FDV is nearly 3 billion, institutions are making a big profit
2. The valuation compared to high-speed public chains like Sonic is seriously overestimated
3. The founder is the original founder of Suishiswap, lacking true innovation capability
Why is it not recommended to go long on layer?
1. VC allocation, with a funding amount of less than 100 million USD, now the FDV is nearly 3 billion, institutions are making a big profit
2. The valuation compared to high-speed public chains like Sonic is seriously overestimated
3. The founder is the original founder of Suishiswap, lacking true innovation capability
See original
$ETH
Speaking of which, Ethereum should be considered the asset that has fallen the most among major asset classes this year, having dropped nearly 60 points since the beginning of the year.
Speaking of which, Ethereum should be considered the asset that has fallen the most among major asset classes this year, having dropped nearly 60 points since the beginning of the year.
See original
$TUT
The cryptocurrency world is truly magical. Tut made a video teaching you how to issue a token, and it already has a market value of over 300 million. The official website was even just created yesterday, and it has nothing on it. They are even trying to ride the AI wave. In the cryptocurrency world, it's all about harvesting investors.
The cryptocurrency world is truly magical. Tut made a video teaching you how to issue a token, and it already has a market value of over 300 million. The official website was even just created yesterday, and it has nothing on it. They are even trying to ride the AI wave. In the cryptocurrency world, it's all about harvesting investors.
See original
$1000CHEEMS
The era of memes has long since ended. Previously, American assets were unrivaled globally, with AI far ahead and the economy being the best in the world. Now these conditions are no longer in place, and Bitcoin, as an American asset, is beginning to show signs of decline, not to mention the garbage clones that are profiting off Bitcoin.
Although Cheems is a meme with potential, driving up prices requires the right timing, location, and people, and no one is participating in this game anymore.
The era of memes has long since ended. Previously, American assets were unrivaled globally, with AI far ahead and the economy being the best in the world. Now these conditions are no longer in place, and Bitcoin, as an American asset, is beginning to show signs of decline, not to mention the garbage clones that are profiting off Bitcoin.
Although Cheems is a meme with potential, driving up prices requires the right timing, location, and people, and no one is participating in this game anymore.
See original
$1000CHEEMS
In the past day, 120,000 USD in short positions exploded, and there are basically no short positions left above.
In the past day, 120,000 USD in short positions exploded, and there are basically no short positions left above.
See original
The upward momentum of $1000CHEEMS is starting to exhaust, it's time to slowly short.
See original
Hedging is equivalent to direct contract at most. It is recommended to be cautious. The decline of currency price may cause huge losses.
This, funding rate, made a profit
See original
$RAY Ray fundamentals tracking (3)
The rebound of Ray's price is surprising, but it lacks fundamental support and is suitable for shorting at highs.
In terms of trading volume, Ray's trading volume has completely fallen back to the level before January 16. In such a low trading volume environment, any increase in Ray is a good opportunity to short.
From the daily K-line, the downward trend has not changed. The bearish view is maintained and the price of the currency is expected to reach 5.
The rebound of Ray's price is surprising, but it lacks fundamental support and is suitable for shorting at highs.
In terms of trading volume, Ray's trading volume has completely fallen back to the level before January 16. In such a low trading volume environment, any increase in Ray is a good opportunity to short.
From the daily K-line, the downward trend has not changed. The bearish view is maintained and the price of the currency is expected to reach 5.
See original
$RAY ray Fundamental Update (2)
After deepseek triggered a massive shock in U.S. tech stocks, sentiment in the crypto circle has weakened, and trading on the Solana chain has been particularly affected.
Currently, ray's trading volume has decreased to 2.7b, ranking third, even lower than pancake. If the sentiment continues to decline, what can support ray's valuation, which is four times that of cake?
Continuing to be bearish on ray, target price 5
After deepseek triggered a massive shock in U.S. tech stocks, sentiment in the crypto circle has weakened, and trading on the Solana chain has been particularly affected.
Currently, ray's trading volume has decreased to 2.7b, ranking third, even lower than pancake. If the sentiment continues to decline, what can support ray's valuation, which is four times that of cake?
Continuing to be bearish on ray, target price 5
See original
$RAY
A few days ago, I predicted the downward trend of ray and made a good profit from shorting. I appropriately closed a bit of my short position; ray is still a good coin in the medium term, and there will be opportunities for an increase when it corrects.
Wishing everyone abundant wealth in the new year!
A few days ago, I predicted the downward trend of ray and made a good profit from shorting. I appropriately closed a bit of my short position; ray is still a good coin in the medium term, and there will be opportunities for an increase when it corrects.
Wishing everyone abundant wealth in the new year!
See original
$RAY
Continuing to track Ray's trading volume, it can be seen that the downward trend in Ray's trading volume has not stopped. Yesterday's volume was 5.2b, a decrease of 60% compared to the peak of 13.2b on January 18th. If no new hotspots emerge, it is expected to decline to around 2.5b levels seen before January 16th.
Compared to centralized exchanges (CEX), the lack of liquidity in decentralized exchanges (DEX) is a common long-term phenomenon. Except for Uni, the pioneering AMM, most of these DEX projects without technological innovation are just fleeting and can be easily surpassed by subsequent competitors.
Maintaining the previous bearish view, the coin price is expected to reach 5.
Continuing to track Ray's trading volume, it can be seen that the downward trend in Ray's trading volume has not stopped. Yesterday's volume was 5.2b, a decrease of 60% compared to the peak of 13.2b on January 18th. If no new hotspots emerge, it is expected to decline to around 2.5b levels seen before January 16th.
Compared to centralized exchanges (CEX), the lack of liquidity in decentralized exchanges (DEX) is a common long-term phenomenon. Except for Uni, the pioneering AMM, most of these DEX projects without technological innovation are just fleeting and can be easily surpassed by subsequent competitors.
Maintaining the previous bearish view, the coin price is expected to reach 5.
See original
$RAY
The reason for the previous surge of ray was due to Trump's issuance of a token that led to a surge in trading volume on DEX, and the mechanism of the ray token is that the project party will buy back based on revenue. Currently, it appears that the peak trading volume on the sol chain has passed, and the trading volume of ray is quickly returning to the level before 1.14, with the coin price expected to reach 5.
The reason for the previous surge of ray was due to Trump's issuance of a token that led to a surge in trading volume on DEX, and the mechanism of the ray token is that the project party will buy back based on revenue. Currently, it appears that the peak trading volume on the sol chain has passed, and the trading volume of ray is quickly returning to the level before 1.14, with the coin price expected to reach 5.
See original
$RAY
The index trading volume has quickly returned to the levels before January 14, seeing 5
The index trading volume has quickly returned to the levels before January 14, seeing 5
Login to explore more contents