财神爷本爷

Public Account: Notes from the God of Wealth
Experience, methods, will continue to be updated later.

Tried bringing in two orders, not bad, both long and short positions profited, just a bit tight on time, only one person managed to keep up.
Brothers in the group can open the messages after 7 PM.

#事件合约
I originally thought it would take two days of fluctuations to determine a winner, but I didn't expect it to break 96,000 today.
As expected, no one can guess the dog's intention.
Let's survive in the cracks, not seeking great wealth, just enough to eat and drink.
I originally set up a group today, but it was gone in less than five minutes, which made the brothers quite unhappy.
So I set up another one, sent out #公众号 , and anyone who wants to join can join.
Some brothers have already recouped their costs, some are new, and some haven't recouped yet, so let's help each other out. Those who have made a profit remember to cash out; only what you take home is money, here it’s just data.
In fact, not cashing out is also an important reason for ultimately losing everything.
Money kept here is always just a number; no matter how much, you just look at it happily, but you don't really know why it's pleasant. Only when you exchange it for cash, buy what you want, eat what you want, and play what you want, will you feel its value. Only when you use the money here will you feel it's precious; then, your subsequent transactions will be cautious and careful.

The third installment of practical tips, strategies that can make you a fortune
#事件合约
Too much to chew, so today I will explain in detail the two strategies mentioned a couple of days ago and how to use them.
Everyone should have seen the message sent at noon; making a profit is definitely not an issue.
Also, hedging is not simply about opening a position in the opposite direction; you need to consider whether you need it and whether you can open it.
For example, if your 30-minute position is completely going the opposite way, and 20 minutes later it is still far from your target, and you don’t know which direction it will take next, then opening any position will be useless.
Hedging is meant to avoid the uncertainties of your current position, not to create larger losses.
Secondly, look at the number of pending orders when trading. If you can’t understand normal sideways movements, then look at bullish and bearish trends. For example, if there is a sudden large number of sell orders while buy orders are scarce during a price increase, don’t hesitate, just open a short position. The opposite is also true.
If during an upward trend, buy orders are consistently filling the lower levels, then there is still room for further increases, and you can open a position in the direction of the trend; the opposite applies as well.
Of course, iceberg orders are not visible to you, but being able to utilize these strategies is enough for you to make some profit.

1. Do not go all in
2. Do not open impulsive orders
3. After closing a position, wait a moment, calm down, and then open a new one

For more advanced strategies, please contact #公众号

Has anyone used the valuable information shared in the past few days? How did it go?
#事件合约
I completed around twenty orders this morning, hedged four times, and the rest were all profitable.
A little suggestion: don't go all-in. Many people get anxious when they lose and tend to go all-in, but if you lose, won't you lose everything?
Also, no matter whose strategy indicators you learn, study them first, simulate them first. If you haven't even finished reviewing them and you directly place bets, won't you be confused?
What I can share, whether free or paid, is definitely useful and applicable; I won't give you useless information.
Still the same statement: regardless of the strategy or method, simulate first, see which one suits you, and being overly eager for quick success is not feasible.

Second Batch of Useful Tips
#事件合约
Today's market is simply taking off, brothers have made quite a bit.
Today's useful tips on how to judge the current range.
Everyone take a look at Figure 3, this shows the number of open orders in the spot market, which has a high win rate for event contracts.
There are 137 BTC sell orders at 95000, and there are also 130 BTC buy orders at 94800 and 94700 below.
This forms a range that can last for a while. Within this range, for 10-minute orders, short at highs and long at lows, it's simply delightful to profit.
Of course, this can also be viewed as short-term support and resistance.
When prices are around this level, you can directly place orders; having a pig trotter rice daily is not a problem.
However, all indicators will fail when encountering significant market movements, such as rapid increases or decreases, so when faced with large price changes, take a break, rest for a bit, and continue when the market stabilizes. Don't rush; the more anxious you are, the more chaotic it becomes.
For more strategies, please move to #主页公众号

Today, I will teach you some practical tips on playing event contracts to reduce losses and expand profits.
#事件合约
Everyone knows that event contracts can be set for 10 minutes, 30 minutes, 1 hour, or a day.

So, opening longer-term positions can be hedged with shorter-term positions to mitigate risk or achieve profits on both sides.

Many people must know or have used this method.

You will find that there is a significant risk: if the direction completely reverses, hedging at that time will lead to the problem of simultaneous losses on both sides.

How to solve this problem? It is unrealistic to say it can be completely solved. The fact that this gameplay can be implemented means the platform has undergone big data experiments and has no issues, leaving you with no loopholes to exploit.

Therefore, when the direction completely reverses, you need to abandon that position. If the direction is correct and unlikely to revert, there is no need to hedge; you only need to hedge when the position is uncertain.
So now, there are four scenarios:
1. Two positions hedged - loss of 20% of the principal
2. Profit on both sides - profit of 260% of the principal
3. Profit on one position - profit of 180% of the principal
4. Loss on one position - loss of 100% of the principal

Based on the average probabilities of these four scenarios, let's calculate when I have 100 yuan and bet 10 yuan, with each scenario occupying 25% in 10 rounds.

1. First, calculate the expected return for each bet:
- Each time spending 10 yuan to bet, the actual returns for different scenarios are as follows:
- Scenario one actual return is 26 - 10 = 16 yuan;
- Scenario two actual return is 18 - 10 = 8 yuan;
- Scenario three actual return is 8 - 10 = -2 yuan;
- Scenario four actual return is 0 - 10 = -10 yuan.
- According to the expected return formula, the expected return for each bet is:
-E(X)=0.25×(16 + 8 - 2 - 10) = 3 (yuan).
- The expected return for each bet is 3 yuan, so the total expected return after 10 bets is 3×10 = 30 yuan.
- Therefore, after buying ten times, the remaining amount is the initial amount plus the total expected return, which is 100 + 30 = 130 yuan.

Of course, this is just an expected result based on probabilities, and the actual outcome depends on your own strategy. If your accuracy is high, then the returns will be high; conversely, if the accuracy is low or if you bet randomly based on mood, then it becomes completely random.
So, when everyone plays, it is still important to have your own standards.
If anything is incorrect, please feel free to add your input.

Follow the strategy, maintain a calm mindset, and continue to profit.
#事件合约

The new number is indeed much easier to play than the old number.

Disappeared for a long time, what have you been doing?
I went out to play for a few days, which caused my mindset to be unstable and I ended up losing about three thousand in profits.
So I've come up with an idea to create a trading robot for automated trading, focusing on systematic trading of event contracts for stability.
After struggling with programming for more than half a month, it's really difficult. I'm posting this to seek help; are there any programming experts out there? Please contact me.

#事件合约
On the twelfth day, today's profit is 300u, total profit is 6900u.
Today I was studying AI, didn't play much.
Today let's talk about what the buying point of event contracts is? How to use the buying point to improve the win rate.
In the absence of a dealer's intervention, there is a synchronized group called retail investors, yes, that's you and me.
Everyone knows that indicators are determined by price, just another way of displaying price, and cannot predict the subsequent trend, but why do these indicators often predict very accurately?
This is behavior patterns. When K-line indicators appear, most retail investors will act similarly or even identically based on the current indicators, which is why there are often very accurate predictions.
This is where the buying point appears. In historical K-lines, there are many indicators with similar patterns, but such indicators are rare, and finding an indicator with consistent behavior among everyone is quite difficult, requiring a lot of data backtracking.
So this irregular regularity is what we call the buying point.
Therefore, the method I provide is a buying point.
Having a buying point does not mean you will win 100% of the time, that is unrealistic. The method is just to give you better accuracy, reduce your error rate and losses, that is the original intention, no one can guarantee a 100% win.
Why can I make profits for more than ten consecutive days? I have to thank the square 😂, as I mentioned in my first post, there is a constraint, you have to share it, and people will watch, worried about losses, so every trade will be cautious, which greatly improves the accuracy.
#置顶上车
Alright, that's it for today, good night, only by resting well can you have a good spirit to make judgments.

#事件合约
Today's profit is 500u, total profit is 6600u, there are many things today, and I didn't open many orders. In fact, having less than 10 orders a day is the best.
By the way, let me mention some methods to reduce loss rates and increase return rates when playing events.
Let's talk about doubling and compound betting.
Everyone should be familiar with these two, but it is a double-edged sword; used well, it can enhance your gains, but used poorly, it can lead to total loss.
In what situation can you use it? When your betting win rate can reach over 80%, you can use it; if below, do not use it lightly.
No matter what trading strategy, it is impossible to have a 100% win rate; there will always be risks. However, when your win rate is high, these two methods can help mitigate risks and increase profits.
Doubling
After each betting failure, increase the betting amount by a fixed ratio (such as doubling) to cover all previous losses and make a profit with one victory.
This method carries significant risks without strong win rate support, so use it with caution.
Compound Betting
Reinvest the principal and profits from each win together, creating a “compound interest” effect.
Similarly, it also requires a high win rate. This method can reduce your losses and increase profits; starting with 5u, if you double it four times, you can profit 54u. If you incur losses midway, you only lose 5u, but do not double too many times, as the odds become too small; the more you double, the greater the risk.
Those who purely guess sizes should not use this; otherwise, the losses will be even more severe. These two methods are just enhancements, not lifelines; please discern!!!
#置顶上车

It's been the tenth day of stable profits, and the total earnings have reached 6000U, averaging 600U per day. Let's summarize a bit.
I have been diligently following this strategy for ten days. To summarize, the strategy is sound; in fact, this strategy has been improved and optimized from a short-term trading strategy, so running event contracts is completely fine.
Seeing so many people losing money, I want to share my thoughts.
This is actually the state of most people in the crypto world.
From the beginning of guessing sizes, I gradually learned to read the charts, summarized my trading methods, and then strictly executed them, which led to profits.
However, most people get stuck in the phase of guessing sizes and learning to read charts. It's not that they can't progress, but rather that they are unwilling to move forward and unwilling to learn.
No matter the place or industry, it follows the Pareto principle; only a few people can make a profit. If others do not study while you do, and others are unwilling to invest effort while you are willing to research, it may not guarantee you will stand in the right place, but it will definitely help you stay away from the wrong place.
In the future, I might return to contracts to continue trading contracts, as event contracts do have a profit ceiling. Learn slowly, research gradually, and I hope everyone can get rich and achieve great wealth.
Friends who see this post will definitely become wealthy tonight!!!
#事件合约

Day Nine, today's earnings 1200U, all 8 orders of 200U hit successfully. #主页领取

Resend, day nine.
Total earnings 4000u.

I looked at the total profit of the event contract, it's about 4000u now. I added a few indicators for assistance, and the win rate has gradually improved.
Since starting the method on March 4th, it's been nearly 10 days, and with the 800u recouped, I've steadily generated nearly 5000u in profit.

The impression left by 3.12 lingers on, I dreamt last night that the big pancake returned to zero😂

#事件合约
Withdraw all the capital and leave twenty U to keep playing.
I have to say, once the capital is withdrawn, the mindset changes instantly, especially feeling more composed 😂.
That's it for today, I have plans this evening, so I won't be playing anymore.
The method remains solid, small losses and big wins, and the win rate is still pretty good. Waiting for me to turn this twenty U into 1000 U 😎.
Alright, family.

Um... Brothers, I woke up this morning and found that I was reported by someone with ulterior motives. It doesn't matter who it is. I am in a good mood now. I don't know if you can still see the content I posted. If you can see it, I will continue to update. If you can't see it, then I will talk about it later.