某先生

Family members $ETH have reached a strong support level on the 4-hour chart

It feels like an opportunity to operate has come, be prepared to add positions to prevent spikes, set stop losses, and charge forward

How to view the current market of $BTC , and how should we layout

From the trading volume perspective, it’s still quite objective, and there’s been a slight upward trend. Can we consider making trades now? Yes, we can. Observing the one-hour chart, a small W pattern has formed, and the current price is clearly not finished yet.

However, we have now reached a small resistance level. Is it worth taking the risk? I would say yes. This resistance is not very damaging, and there is still a profit of 1000 points from the current position to the major resistance level near 104500 above, unless you are conservative or don’t see the potential.

Without further ado, let’s look at the chart. A small position can cautiously try going long, while conservatively, one can consider going short at 104500 above.

Have all the family members ambushed $ETH ?

Tomorrow is the Ethereum upgrade, don't ask me what will happen, just open the daily chart and see for yourself the accumulation before the big breakthrough.

Since the peak on December 16, 2024, it has been declining, with the exception of some spikes, remaining within the downward channel. After a recent period of daily sideways fluctuations, it has exited this downward channel.

Key points: bottom, daily, sideways fluctuations, exiting the downward channel, upgrade.

Now $BTC $ETH is still working hard to correct

So far this week, there have been 3 tests of the support level near 93500, and currently, it is clear that the pullback has not yet occurred. There are many news events this week, with an Ethereum upgrade tomorrow, and it has been indicating a good state

I believe that tonight or tomorrow, the bottom will appear

The FOMC meeting will accompany the end of the correction, and the rise is about to begin

Important note for Bitcoin: 93500 small support, 91500 pin position

This $SUI rebound is still so rapid

I plan to find an opportunity to ambush a short position. Now the market has already shown signs of weakness, and the upward momentum is weak, so there is no reason for people to make trades. That's why I plan to short, let's see if the market and the US stocks tonight provide any opportunities.

Today's recommended attention to $ETH

After today's increase, it has now reached near the upper resistance level. Pay attention to a breakout, but it feels like the breakout point might be prone to false spikes. Now there are two options

First: Short at the current price, but to prevent it from spiking and hitting our stop loss, set the stop loss above 50 points

Second: A safer method, head position at 1820, add position at 1840, plus a stop loss

Just observed the weekly chart of $ETH , which has also hit the bottom support and started to rebound, essentially completing an M shape.

Now, the important resistance above to watch is 2000. That's why we are hesitant to act, not because it's worthless, but because of our inner fear. I want to get in, are there any brothers following along?

Both spot and contracts can be traded, with a long position at 1720 and 5x leverage, looking at 2000 above.

Today's Analysis $SUI

Today's SUI continues to rebound so rapidly, successfully breaking through the strong resistance level above. Now let's see if it can hold its position, but from the 1-hour chart, it looks a bit dangerous, as a red doji has appeared at the peak. This alone is not a sufficient condition for placing a trade.

From the technical indicator MACD, there is a trend towards a downward correction on the 1-hour chart, and the 4-hour candlestick shows a pin bar, with MACD still in a high sell position.

Those who are more conservative can wait and test again, while those who are more aggressive can short it at the current price, ensuring to set a stop loss.

Today's $SOL has been quite noticeable

Should I say it's strong in itself, or that it has been absorbing too much ether?

From the chart, a doji star has appeared at a high position on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating the beginning of a trend change. Observing the 1-hour technical indicator MACD, there seems to be a trend of reversal, and with Bitcoin also facing resistance above, it can be said that SOL can attempt to position a short.

No need to wait in ambush; you can enter near the current price, just set a good stop-loss, and see if there are any brothers who want to join in.

Today answering fans' questions, the most frequently asked recently is when will the altcoin season come, when will altcoins explode?

Today (Mr. Certain) will discuss with everyone, feel free to share different thoughts in the comments section

I also quite like altcoins, although they carry much higher risks than stablecoins, if you choose the right direction, you can achieve substantial returns in a short time

Some people also asked me about $ORDI $WIF which had a brief surge, and whether the heavily trapped $PNUT is going to zero. It’s highly unlikely for Audi to go to zero, after all, it’s the leader of the inscription sector. As for these two, I dare not comment

Back to the topic, the explosion of altcoins still depends on our (Ethereum) Ethereum; we focus on the mainnet upgrade as a significant positive news. Positive news doesn’t explode all at once; it needs to be released gradually, then we can look at the market again. Currently, Ethereum's weekly chart is around a support level. If it breaks below, we could see around 1100, but I feel it’s unlikely to break that. If Ethereum returns to 1100, Bitcoin will likely return to around 70,000, or even below 70,000. I saw a statistic recently that many short positions were trapped around 70,000; unless there’s significant bad news causing retail investors to sell off, the big players do not want to see Bitcoin return to around 70,000

In the future, there may not be significant negative news. Recently, many fans might have seen a news report that Trump wants to use interest rate cuts to save the market, but Old Powell disagrees. Trump wants to deal with Old Powell and replace him as the chairman of the Federal Reserve

Therefore, there will not be much negative news in the future. When bad news is exhausted, that becomes good news. I predict that in the second half of the year, Bitcoin will return to above 100,000 again, and Ethereum’s mainnet upgrade will slowly release, which is also the beginning of the anticipated altcoin season

This article reflects my personal thoughts on the market and does not constitute any investment advice. If you have different thoughts, feel free to communicate with me in the comments section, and please don’t attack.

Evening Analysis $BTC Steadily Passed Through Saturday and Sunday

Today, there really wasn't much to see in the market. There were small-scale fluctuations and declines, but the downward pressure wasn't strong. It seems like we will probably be in a range today since it's the weekend.

As the saying goes, the longer the range lasts, the higher the surge will be.

Observing the technical indicator MACD on the 4-hour chart, it is currently in the process of a golden cross, but this golden cross is a bit difficult to achieve. We are still observing whether it will be successful. The daily chart is still on the rise, but it feels like the momentum isn't strong.

Key Focus: Upper range 85500-86000, Lower range 83800-83300

Today's Analysis $BTC

Last night's wave of decline tested the strong support at 83300 again, which is still a pretty good situation. The bearish candle from yesterday was very strong in its drop, fortunately, it didn't break down; otherwise, it would have crashed.

Currently, Bitcoin is moving in a range-bound pattern on the one-hour chart, with high shorts and low longs, which has been the version answer for some time. The technical indicator MACD has crossed to a death cross, and it may go down for a bit, but making trades at the current price is very unsafe.

Key focus: Support at 83300 below, resistance at 85500 above.

What Lao Bao said never disappointed us, speechless

Now the US stock market and the market are falling across the board

The speech is still going on, if he doesn't say something good, it will continue like this

The US stock market may have a circuit breaker on Thursday night

#比特币与美国关税政策

#美国半导体关税

Today's Recommendation $SUI
Observing Sui 1-hour chart, it has been fluctuating within a range. Yesterday, it attempted to break upwards, but the resistance at 2.23 is quite strong, coupled with the overall market being weak, it started to decline.

After a night of fluctuating downward, it has now reached the bottom support area of the range. Observing the technical indicator MACD at the 1-hour level is converging to a golden cross. Considering to take a small position, is anyone following?

Recommendation: 2.08-2.02 to take a long position.

There has been no bad news recently. Our $ETH is still moving so timidly. Now the 4-hour falling channel is really moving more and more standard. I feel that there is nothing good about it.

Focus: 1680 pressure level, 1600 below, in the absence of major good or bad news, these two positions are relatively safe to go long and short

Today we will continue to look at $BTC

Since it completed the W shape due to tariff issues, there has been no significant breakthrough, returning to the previous state and moving in a range-bound market. In the past two days, there have been multiple unsuccessful breaks above 85500.

Now we have come to this position nearby. From the technical indicators, the 1-hour MACD has just completed a golden cross, but being at this resistance level is quite difficult. Additionally, the trading volume is low, so it may still end in failure.

Key focus: 84500-83500 is a good position to go long.

Above 86000-87000.

Today $BTC analysis, let's analyze something different for everyone, it may deviate a bit from your thoughts, if you feel the analysis is incorrect, please don't criticize

Last night the market experienced a drop followed by a rise, appearing to be very volatile, but actually the price hasn't moved much. We are currently in a dense trading area, which makes this position quite awkward.

How do we describe this awkwardness? Let's think with the mindset of the big players; there must be some experts who have accumulated positions from the bottom to the current level. There was a drop in the early morning, and although it has risen again, they are definitely worried—worried about what? Worried about profit retracement. Last night's drop could also be due to the long positions taken earlier, with spot traders selling off and closing positions.

Then there is another group that went long around 84500 yesterday, and during the early morning drop, some experienced liquidation while others did not. Those who liquidated don't matter anymore, but for those who didn't, now that the profits have returned, they will definitely think about selling because they are scared. So now many people are out of the market.

Now looking at the technical indicators on the daily chart, it is currently in an uptrend after a golden cross. Additionally, with the US stock market opening tonight, after the market changes at 4:00 PM, there might be a wave of false shorts. The hourly chart is already in a downtrend and then has risen, and the upper level might test around 88500, though it may not reach that much.

$BTC Today's Analysis

The momentum of Bitcoin is still insufficient. After breaking the resistance level yesterday, there was a small rebound, which allowed us to profit a bit. Now it has come down, and I see that the support level around 84500 is struggling to hold. The 1-hour chart is already showing a downward trend, and the 4-hour chart has signs of a potential dead cross. Trading volume is gradually increasing.

Still focusing on 84500; I feel that after 4 PM, there may be a trend change.

The fluctuation of $BTC is still so small, but there is still room for operation. The stock market is closed on weekends without external factors affecting it, so we need to look at the market situation now. The upper pressure is still 84500, and there were two attempts to launch an attack today, but both lacked momentum.

Now we observe that the 1-hour line has hope to launch another attack, the technical indicator MACD is about to cross bullish, and the 4-hour MACD is still in a high sell position. We can pay attention to a rebound after a breakout; if the breakout does not hold, we can position for a short trade.

$BTC One-hour line has also shown a beautiful (W) shape in the past few days. I originally thought it could return to the original range of 81500-84500 for fluctuations, but unfortunately, a data point plus tariffs yesterday caused another drop. Our A-shares are still quite strong and are trying to drive the financial market, but the US stock market is really terrible.

Now the Bitcoin has come back to the pressure level around 81500, it may test upwards a bit. For tonight's US stock market, I still don't have much optimism, with a focus on 83000-84500, short.