evo欲

The recent market fluctuations of #市场情绪观察 have been volatile, with many people bullish today and bearish tomorrow, causing anxiety among investors.
I have a simple method to break this confusion: use the daily chart as a cycle to observe the current trend. I have posted before, and everyone can refer to it. The current market is still in a daily level of fluctuation, with the bottom around 92000 and the top around 108000. As long as the drop does not exceed 90000 and the rise does not exceed 110000, it can basically still be judged as fluctuation. Regardless of how the market rises or falls, using my method will not lead to panic.

There is a possibility of a significant pullback before the approval of the $LTC LTC Coin ETF. Although the market currently has high expectations for its ETF approval, driving prices up, changes in market sentiment, warnings from technical indicators, and the overall uncertainty of the macro environment and market could all trigger a significant price pullback. Investors need to closely monitor market dynamics, the progress of ETF approvals, and changes in relevant technical indicators to adjust their investment strategies accordingly.

#Gas费影响 GAS fee is the cost of transactions on the Ethereum blockchain, fluctuating due to network congestion, transaction complexity, and miner demand. During network congestion, GAS fees increase to ensure transactions are prioritized; the more complex the transaction, the higher the GAS fee required; miners adjust their acceptance of GAS Price based on the market. GAS fees incentivize miners, help prevent malicious attacks, and are an important indicator of network activity, so users need to pay attention to its fluctuations to manage transaction costs.

#钱包活动洞察 Wallet Activity Insights is achieved by monitoring the transaction behavior of on-chain wallet addresses to analyze market trends and capital flow. An increase in the number of active wallets usually indicates a rise in market enthusiasm, while large capital transfers may signal price volatility. For example, if a whale wallet transfers assets to an exchange, it may imply increased selling pressure, whereas capital flowing out of exchanges into cold wallets may indicate a growing willingness to hold long-term. Monitoring the activities of DeFi and NFT related wallets can also provide insights into which projects are experiencing the fastest capital growth. Investors can leverage on-chain data to analyze wallet behavior, enabling them to better grasp market sentiment and optimize trading decisions.

#代币流动信号 believes that observing the flow signals of learning tokens will greatly impact long-term judgments of cryptocurrency market prices. Therefore, regardless of any reasons that may cause good or bad outcomes in the market later on, I hope everyone can maintain a positive attitude and sufficient confidence towards the prices in the crypto market. Opportunities are always reserved for those who are prepared and will only favor those who are ready. I wish everyone the ability to earn wealth that can change their lives and achieve financial freedom, becoming winners in life.

#活跃用户影响 Active user impact refers to the effect of active user groups on a blockchain or digital platform on the network ecology and market dynamics. These users not only drive the daily use of the platform, but also influence the growth, value and stability of the platform by participating in transactions, interactions or content creation. In the field of cryptocurrency, an increase in active users usually indicates an increase in market demand, which in turn drives up prices. In decentralized applications (DApp) and DeFi platforms, the behavior of active users can also directly affect the execution of smart contracts, liquidity provision and governance decisions of the platform. Therefore, understanding the behavioral patterns of active users is crucial for platform developers and investors, and can help them better predict market changes and development trends.

$LTC I am so excited to learn about and start diving into this new world, it will undoubtedly be an incredible journey that will require a lot of learning and knowledge as well as dedication to achieve all that I want to achieve and accomplish in a special moment like this.

$LTC Among all the bearish narratives there are also some bullish narratives, such as LTC. Not a solicitation to buy

Recent events such as the Bybit hack may impact the entire cryptocurrency market, triggering panic among investors and leading to a decline in confidence in cryptocurrencies. However, following the Bybit hack, the Fear and Greed Index did not experience a significant drop, which is worth exploring. On one hand, the market may have developed a certain level of resilience to similar events. The cryptocurrency market has experienced multiple hacking incidents in the past, and over time, investors' reactions to such sudden events have become less intense. On the other hand, the current market is highly focused on positive factors such as the approval of the LTC coin ETF, and these optimistic expectations have somewhat offset the negative impacts of the Bybit incident, preventing investor sentiment from falling into excessive panic. Furthermore, the investor structure in the cryptocurrency market is gradually diversifying; some long-term and institutional investors may prioritize fundamentals and long-term trends, and are less likely to change their investment strategies due to short-term emergencies. This has also stabilized market sentiment, keeping the Fear and Greed Index relatively stable.

#链上数据洞察 #链上数据洞察
$ETH
According to on-chain data, Ethereum recently staged a "disappearing staker" - the longest 84-day net outflow of stakes after the upgrade, 34 million ETH were withdrawn, enough to give each Ethereum developer a "Best Escape Medal".

——DeFi brothers burned 41% of block fuel with gas fees (Uniswap traders' hand speed is comparable to that of e-sports players), while watching NFT players collectively exit (Gas share plummeted from 32% to 7%), a real "on-chain squid game".

At this moment, the price of ETH is like a tourist diverted by L2s - the main network daily active address has shrunk to 550,000, while L2's TVL has exceeded 20.7 billion US dollars.
——However, ETF funds are bottom-fishing against the trend, and the inflow of 300 million US dollars in a single day is like the classic plot of "leeks scolding and adding positions".

#莱特币ETF I bought some Litecoin and also support the Litecoin ETF. What if it skyrockets? It shouldn’t plummet too much, after all, the hype is relatively high, and the market value is relatively small. I think doubling is not a big problem. Currently, I’m only holding spot; I played a lot of contracts and didn’t make any money in the end, I still lost, it's a bit of a waste of time, and it’s hard on my body, it’s not worth the loss $LTC

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The $ETH seems to indicate that Sui has now formed a W bottom. This wave is expected to rebound to around 3.7. Let me share my trading thoughts:
I personally plan to take profit on half near 3.4 to recoup some funds, as our cost for Sui is at 3.2 and 3.4. First, we will take profit at 3.2, so that if there is a pullback, we still have bullets to add to our position. Then, for the Sui bought at 3.4, we will aim for the neckline around 3.7.
As for the ETH resistance we mentioned yesterday, it was around 2750, and it successfully reached this point by noon today. I have already exited my short-term position and am currently observing if there will be a larger pullback to continue entering for swing trades. A relatively safe re-entry point is slightly above 2600, for example around 2615, while aggressive traders can look around 2670.
Personally, I hold 70% of my position long-term, planning to hold until at least the Prague upgrade in April before selling. The remaining 30% is for short-term trading, and I buy some on larger pullbacks to take advantage of rebounds. After all, we are currently in a volatile market, with prices fluctuating daily without significant gains. Just holding onto coins won't make money; it's more suitable for arbitrage—buy low and sell high. We have already arbitraged at least 6 times with Sui. The spot trading is good; this time we were stuck for 2 days but have recovered, turning losses into profits. Congratulations to everyone!

#TradeFi革命 Why do I still insist that the bull market is ongoing?
One reason is ➠ there is no good person in this world who will distribute shares to everyone during a high-level consolidation. The longer the high-level consolidation lasts, the greater the cost for the main force. Chips are not distributed during high-level consolidation because it doesn’t stimulate the collective buying desire; instead, over time, the number of chips received by the group increases. How to distribute?
Distribution usually happens during a sharp rise or after a sharp drop during consolidation. During a sharp rise, many will chase the rise, and then the sharp drop locks in this portion of chips, leaving many who chased the rise confused and unable to cut losses immediately. After a sharp drop, many people will look at the previous high, which is also a stage for the main force to distribute shares. Why is the top usually very steep? The descent is mainly a symmetrical Christmas tree? The front is support, while the back is the bait for distribution.
Since it is a market, there will naturally be exceptions, but exceptions are very random, occurring when you do not know how strong a particular stock is or what unexpected thoughts might arise (for example, wanting to achieve something big but being unable to), or when the market encounters some black swan.
For instance, there was once a certain fraudulent stock that consolidated at a high level, and in the end, the stock went bankrupt...

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Mutual Concern

Families: Someone told you that a $pi is worth several hundred dollars each, and currently, going above 2 dollars is already its limit. If you want to hold it as a family heirloom, the market tells you it's worth scrap metal, while outside, some speculators are collecting it for tens of dollars each, equivalent to one or two hundred yuan to stock up. Are they being cut by the market or have they become foolish in their own understanding!
#pi is likely to also go on pi soon, after all, the fan base is so large, and I don't want to miss out on this unprecedented traffic. I support it; anyway, I mined on my phone a few years ago, hahaha 😂
To be honest, pi has been around for so many years, and this time going on the exchange is also a testament to the faith of the older generation, they won't sell even if they have it.
Only a few speculators are racking their brains trying various methods to take advantage of the situation. After this wave passes, we still need to see how the π project plays its tricks; it is still worth thinking about and learning from, as there are opportunities to make money!

I see.