Kaushik_Bharshing

The key for Bitcoin to avoid further declines is that this week's closing price must not fall below $81,000.

Bitcoin needs to close above the critical $81,000 weekly level to avoid more downside volatility before next week's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. A weekly closing price above $81,000 will be crucial to preventing further declines for Bitcoin, and holding above this level will indicate resilience. However, if it falls below $76,000, it may trigger more short-term selling pressure.

According to the latest estimates from the FedWatch Tool, the market currently expects a 98% chance that the Federal Reserve will maintain stable interest rates.

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Next Week's Macro Outlook: Trump's 'Self-Inflicted Wound' Forces the Fed to Cut Rates, Super Central Bank Week Approaches

Next week, global investors will welcome a 'Super Central Bank Week,' with the Bank of Japan, the Federal Reserve, the Swiss National Bank, the Swedish Riksbank, and the Bank of England all set to announce their interest rate decisions. Here are the key points the market will focus on in the new week:

Monday 20:30, U.S. February Retail Sales MoM, March New York Fed Manufacturing Index

Thursday 02:00, Federal Reserve FOMC releases interest rate decision and economic projections summary

Thursday 02:30, Federal Reserve Chair Powell holds a monetary policy press conference

Thursday 20:30, U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 15, U.S. Q4 Current Account, March Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

Friday 21:05, FOMC permanent voter, New York Fed President Williams speaks

The most important event next week is undoubtedly the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Thursday. In addition to the interest rate decision, statement, and press conference, the committee will also release updated economic forecasts, including a new 'dot plot.' As the market generally expects no action before June, the focus may firmly be on the dot plot. Some analysts predict that this so-called 'economic panic' is a 'self-inflicted wound' by the Trump administration, attempting to pressure the Federal Reserve to lower rates quickly. Trump is deliberately creating an economic recession with the aim of forcing the Federal Reserve to cut rates, thereby reducing the U.S. government's interest expenses.

Life is unpredictable; ups and downs are uncertain. However, once you have walked through it, everything becomes calm. Whether it is sadness or joy, the time that has passed cannot come back. What once seemed important may now be hardly worth mentioning; those you once loved deeply may now be strangers. These seemingly simple truths can only be truly understood through personal experience. In life, connections arise and fade, gatherings form and disperse, the depth of feelings is not up to us. Not every encounter is your destiny, and not every meeting will have a good outcome. Life has its constants and its unpredictability; the affairs of the world are hard to predict. Cherish the moments as you go; there is no banquet that does not end. Some people only have a brief connection; each meeting brings a heart, each journey brings both storms and scenery. The right people will eventually meet again after many twists and turns, while the wrong people will drift apart eventually. In our lives, we should not intentionally seek to meet anyone or force anyone to stay. When fate comes, cherish it; when fate goes, let it be. What has passed is time, and what remains is scenery. When you no longer cling to the gatherings and partings of life, cherish all unexpected encounters, and take lightly all abrupt goodbyes. With a bit more calmness and composure in life, life becomes more comfortable and relaxed. Encounters in the world have nothing to do with joy or sorrow. A single thought can awaken feelings across mountains and rivers; another thought can extinguish the heart in the midst of vast seas. All that has passed finds its home in the present; all futures are sourced from the present. Things that once occupied your mind are no longer wanted; things you used to care about no longer matter. Once a person moves beyond that intensity, many things are not as important as imagined. In a moment, flowers bloom; in a moment, flowers fall; in a moment, letting go brings all kinds of freedom. Those who have not experienced crying through sleepless nights are not qualified to talk about the joys and sorrows of life. No matter how much you once cared for someone, a turn of the head creates two worlds, and from then on, they are just a passerby. Understand through experience, grow through understanding; do not worry about the past, only smile for the rest of your life. Once you come to terms with many things, you will find that they are not as significant as you thought. With the best of feelings, live each moment well, face the gains and losses of life calmly, let every moment have its meaning, and let every period of time have its fragrance. #比特币反弹 $BTC

Weekend volatile market, will it rally or test again? Black silk master Zhao Caishen is online to predict market ups and downs!
Good afternoon, brothers. As of now, the market is still not very volatile. Fortunately, this morning when the daily line switched, Bitcoin had a small spike that just tested the defensive support at 83700 and quickly returned above 84000, indicating that the pattern is still intact. My view remains unchanged; the pattern is complete, and we are just waiting for a signal to rally at any time. For those holding long positions, as long as the four-hour close does not fall below 83700, you can continue to hold, with the first target at 85300. If the one-hour close breaks the pressure at 85300, a slight pullback can be used to add positions, targeting the pressure range of 86500-87500. During the consolidation phase, just wait for the direction to emerge. Note ⚠️: If the four-hour close drops below 83700, long positions must be manually exited, and the market may test the range of 81000-80000 again.
ETH
The defensive support for ETH is 1900. As long as the four-hour close does not fall below this level, the market continues to look bullish towards the upper pressure of 1960. Once this pressure is broken, the market will rally; wait for the four-hour close to break 1960 and pull back a little to add positions, targeting 2000. If the daily line breaks the pressure of 2000, the upper target can be around 2150. Note ⚠️: If the four-hour close breaks below 1900, long positions must be manually exited, and the market may test the bottom support near 1830 during consolidation.
SOL
The defensive support for SOL is 132. As long as the four-hour close does not fall below 132, long positions can continue to be held, with upper target pressures at 140, 145, and 150. Short positions can be monitored near 150. Note ⚠️: If the four-hour close drops below 132, long positions must be manually exited, and the market may test the lower support near 122.

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