陈大春
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How does XBIT stand out amidst the massive fluctuations in Bitcoin's market?
The U.S. House Financial Services Committee announced that it will release a cryptocurrency regulatory draft on the same day, which instantly ignited the global market. Bitcoin's price experienced intensified short-term fluctuations, briefly breaking the $97,000 mark, but then retreated to around $95,000 due to regulatory uncertainties. In this market storm driven by policy expectations, the XBIT decentralized exchange platform has become a key platform for investors to seize opportunities, leveraging its technical advantages and security features.
Bitcoin's market amidst the regulatory storm: Opportunities and risks coexist
According to the draft's content, the U.S. intends to further clarify the structure of the cryptocurrency market, focusing on regulating exchange compliance, investor protection, and anti-money laundering mechanisms. This policy direction directly impacts market sentiment: on one hand, institutional investors are accelerating their layout of compliant channels, driving an increase in Bitcoin demand; on the other hand, small and medium-sized exchanges are facing pressure to consolidate, with funds concentrating towards leading platforms. Data from the XBIT decentralized trading platform shows that within 24 hours of the draft's announcement, global cryptocurrency trading volume surged by 32%, with 60% of the traffic flowing into the top ten exchanges, significantly increasing industry concentration.
The XBIT decentralized exchange platform exhibits unique advantages in this context. Its on-chain matching system, based on zero-knowledge proof technology, ensures that user assets are entirely controlled by smart contracts, completely eliminating the misappropriation risks common to centralized platforms. More importantly, XBIT has proactively positioned itself for regulatory compliance by collaborating with licensed institutions in multiple countries, achieving full KYC/AML coverage for fiat currency entry and exit channels, thus becoming a bridge connecting traditional finance and the crypto world. #比特币预测
The U.S. House Financial Services Committee announced that it will release a cryptocurrency regulatory draft on the same day, which instantly ignited the global market. Bitcoin's price experienced intensified short-term fluctuations, briefly breaking the $97,000 mark, but then retreated to around $95,000 due to regulatory uncertainties. In this market storm driven by policy expectations, the XBIT decentralized exchange platform has become a key platform for investors to seize opportunities, leveraging its technical advantages and security features.
Bitcoin's market amidst the regulatory storm: Opportunities and risks coexist
According to the draft's content, the U.S. intends to further clarify the structure of the cryptocurrency market, focusing on regulating exchange compliance, investor protection, and anti-money laundering mechanisms. This policy direction directly impacts market sentiment: on one hand, institutional investors are accelerating their layout of compliant channels, driving an increase in Bitcoin demand; on the other hand, small and medium-sized exchanges are facing pressure to consolidate, with funds concentrating towards leading platforms. Data from the XBIT decentralized trading platform shows that within 24 hours of the draft's announcement, global cryptocurrency trading volume surged by 32%, with 60% of the traffic flowing into the top ten exchanges, significantly increasing industry concentration.
The XBIT decentralized exchange platform exhibits unique advantages in this context. Its on-chain matching system, based on zero-knowledge proof technology, ensures that user assets are entirely controlled by smart contracts, completely eliminating the misappropriation risks common to centralized platforms. More importantly, XBIT has proactively positioned itself for regulatory compliance by collaborating with licensed institutions in multiple countries, achieving full KYC/AML coverage for fiat currency entry and exit channels, thus becoming a bridge connecting traditional finance and the crypto world. #比特币预测
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5.7 Wednesday Bitcoin Ethereum Evening Analysis:
In the afternoon, Bitcoin rebounded from 96268, reaching a high of 97077; Ethereum rose simultaneously to 1846, with the afternoon long position strategy achieving expected profit margins.
Current coin prices are in a consolidation phase: the daily chart shows a combination of three red candles and a doji, releasing potential reversal signals. Multiple candlesticks have long upper shadows, indicating significant selling pressure above. The KDJ indicator is running in the overbought area, indicating a need for technical adjustment. It is crucial to pay attention to the guidance on market direction from the speech in the early morning. Before that, it is recommended to focus on shorting at high rebound levels in the evening.
Bitcoin: Short near 97000, look for 95500-96000. Ethereum: Short at 1840-1870, look for 1770-1800. #币圈
In the afternoon, Bitcoin rebounded from 96268, reaching a high of 97077; Ethereum rose simultaneously to 1846, with the afternoon long position strategy achieving expected profit margins.
Current coin prices are in a consolidation phase: the daily chart shows a combination of three red candles and a doji, releasing potential reversal signals. Multiple candlesticks have long upper shadows, indicating significant selling pressure above. The KDJ indicator is running in the overbought area, indicating a need for technical adjustment. It is crucial to pay attention to the guidance on market direction from the speech in the early morning. Before that, it is recommended to focus on shorting at high rebound levels in the evening.
Bitcoin: Short near 97000, look for 95500-96000. Ethereum: Short at 1840-1870, look for 1770-1800. #币圈
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Two major factors hinder the Federal Reserve from initiating interest rate cuts, and final decisions often lag behind economic conditions.
On May 7, when the Federal Reserve was caught in a dilemma due to conflicting macroeconomic data, its final decisions often lagged behind the situation. Trump is increasingly urging the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, but the Federal Reserve is in a difficult position. Analysts say that there is almost no chance of an interest rate cut as the Federal Reserve starts its May policy meeting this week, and the likelihood of a rate cut in subsequent meetings is also very low. There are two reasons why Federal Reserve officials are constrained in monetary policy. The first reason is that rising inflation expectations make it difficult for the Federal Reserve to initiate interest rate cuts. The latest consumer inflation report shows that inflation rose 2.4% year-on-year in March, above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. Compared to potential future situations, this figure is still quite low: the one-year inflation expectation compiled by the University of Michigan is 6.5%. Trump's tariff policy is expected to increase consumer costs, which is the main driver of the significant rise in inflation expectations. Concerns triggered by the trade war have intensified the risk of stagflation, raising the possibility that the U.S. economy could fall into a situation of stagnation with rising prices. In this context, the Federal Reserve is actually caught in a dilemma, as it cannot address both issues simultaneously. The second reason is that macro data has not yet indicated the necessity for interest rate cuts. Currently encouraging data masks the issue of inflation expectations, macroeconomic data remains robust, and in some respects even shows relative strength. Last Friday's unexpectedly positive April non-farm payroll report boosted investor confidence and drove the stock market higher. In other words, the market is not pricing in an imminent recession. "The forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 (SPX) is currently 21 times, with expected earnings per share (EPS) growth of 10% this year and 14% next year. This does not reflect obvious concerns about a recession." #美联储FOMC会议
On May 7, when the Federal Reserve was caught in a dilemma due to conflicting macroeconomic data, its final decisions often lagged behind the situation. Trump is increasingly urging the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, but the Federal Reserve is in a difficult position. Analysts say that there is almost no chance of an interest rate cut as the Federal Reserve starts its May policy meeting this week, and the likelihood of a rate cut in subsequent meetings is also very low. There are two reasons why Federal Reserve officials are constrained in monetary policy. The first reason is that rising inflation expectations make it difficult for the Federal Reserve to initiate interest rate cuts. The latest consumer inflation report shows that inflation rose 2.4% year-on-year in March, above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. Compared to potential future situations, this figure is still quite low: the one-year inflation expectation compiled by the University of Michigan is 6.5%. Trump's tariff policy is expected to increase consumer costs, which is the main driver of the significant rise in inflation expectations. Concerns triggered by the trade war have intensified the risk of stagflation, raising the possibility that the U.S. economy could fall into a situation of stagnation with rising prices. In this context, the Federal Reserve is actually caught in a dilemma, as it cannot address both issues simultaneously. The second reason is that macro data has not yet indicated the necessity for interest rate cuts. Currently encouraging data masks the issue of inflation expectations, macroeconomic data remains robust, and in some respects even shows relative strength. Last Friday's unexpectedly positive April non-farm payroll report boosted investor confidence and drove the stock market higher. In other words, the market is not pricing in an imminent recession. "The forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 (SPX) is currently 21 times, with expected earnings per share (EPS) growth of 10% this year and 14% next year. This does not reflect obvious concerns about a recession." #美联储FOMC会议
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Can Bitcoin successfully break through $100,000?
[BTC] Recent momentum has been accompanied by a significant [surge], with open interest continuously rising, reflecting new market participation.
This increase reflects a historically bullish setup, with rising open interest preceding strong price action.
Importantly, the funding rate remains balanced, while secondary data shows shorts under control, indicating health.
Does the supply side between exchanges alleviate pressure on the supply side?
Bitcoin exchange reserves have decreased to $238.31 billion, reflecting a 0.67% decline. This reduction indicates that investors are increasingly removing BTC from exchanges, which is generally a bullish signal associated with reduced selling pressure.
Moreover, NetFlow stands at -4.33k BTC, reflecting a +2.45% transfer towards outflows. Therefore, this shift in reserves and net flow structure highlights growing accumulation behavior.
Current supply dynamics signal that fewer coins are available for immediate sale, providing a favorable backdrop for price stability and potential upside.
Are Bitcoin users significantly returning to the network?
Network participation is rising, and historically, a higher count of active addresses has accompanied sustained bullish phases, further supporting the current recovery narrative.
If this trend continues, it could enhance BTC momentum and validate the chain strength behind the rebound.
Is profitability returning without signals of overvaluation?
Profitability has returned, but not at concerning levels.
The MVRV Z-score has climbed to 2.42, marking a significant recovery from its low in April.
Although this level indicates that holders are becoming increasingly profitable, it still remains below the danger zone associated with major tops.
Thus, Bitcoin appears to be in a phase of minimal profit pressure, but bullish sentiment is building.
This metric indicates a balanced market state, where prices can rise without triggering aggressive selling from overextended holders.
Will Bitcoin break through the $100,000 barrier?
BTC is currently testing resistance at 6,794,013,029,898,000.
Given the open interest, alleviation of exchange reserves, and the healthy growth of increasing network activity, Bitcoin's current rally seems fundamentally supported.
The MVRV ratio confirms that the market is not yet overvalued, while technical indicators point towards a potential breakthrough.
Thus, if Bitcoin successfully tests the resistance area of $98,000 in the coming days, it could maintain its momentum.
[BTC] Recent momentum has been accompanied by a significant [surge], with open interest continuously rising, reflecting new market participation.
This increase reflects a historically bullish setup, with rising open interest preceding strong price action.
Importantly, the funding rate remains balanced, while secondary data shows shorts under control, indicating health.
Does the supply side between exchanges alleviate pressure on the supply side?
Bitcoin exchange reserves have decreased to $238.31 billion, reflecting a 0.67% decline. This reduction indicates that investors are increasingly removing BTC from exchanges, which is generally a bullish signal associated with reduced selling pressure.
Moreover, NetFlow stands at -4.33k BTC, reflecting a +2.45% transfer towards outflows. Therefore, this shift in reserves and net flow structure highlights growing accumulation behavior.
Current supply dynamics signal that fewer coins are available for immediate sale, providing a favorable backdrop for price stability and potential upside.
Are Bitcoin users significantly returning to the network?
Network participation is rising, and historically, a higher count of active addresses has accompanied sustained bullish phases, further supporting the current recovery narrative.
If this trend continues, it could enhance BTC momentum and validate the chain strength behind the rebound.
Is profitability returning without signals of overvaluation?
Profitability has returned, but not at concerning levels.
The MVRV Z-score has climbed to 2.42, marking a significant recovery from its low in April.
Although this level indicates that holders are becoming increasingly profitable, it still remains below the danger zone associated with major tops.
Thus, Bitcoin appears to be in a phase of minimal profit pressure, but bullish sentiment is building.
This metric indicates a balanced market state, where prices can rise without triggering aggressive selling from overextended holders.
Will Bitcoin break through the $100,000 barrier?
BTC is currently testing resistance at 6,794,013,029,898,000.
Given the open interest, alleviation of exchange reserves, and the healthy growth of increasing network activity, Bitcoin's current rally seems fundamentally supported.
The MVRV ratio confirms that the market is not yet overvalued, while technical indicators point towards a potential breakthrough.
Thus, if Bitcoin successfully tests the resistance area of $98,000 in the coming days, it could maintain its momentum.
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Three major indexes plummet, Bitcoin rebounds
1. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with Chinese officials in Switzerland this week to initiate U.S.-China trade talks. This is the first trade contact since the Trump administration announced a new round of high tariffs on China. The meeting is seen as a potential opportunity to ease tensions and reduce cost pressures on manufacturing and consumer goods.
2. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has once again warned that the U.S. is at the "red line" of exhausting its capacity to operate within the federal debt ceiling, but he did not specify when the deadline will arrive. "We are above the red line," Bessent said. He also reiterated that the U.S. government will never default and promised that the Treasury will not play "tricks" to evade the debt ceiling.
3. "The asymmetry in stock investment is poor. Large rebounds in bear markets are the norm, not the exception." The biggest driver in the market remains uncertainty, with investors lacking a firm conviction for a long-term bullish or bearish outlook. Stock price movements are primarily driven by short-term news headlines and speculation on how rapidly changing U.S. relations will manifest through corporate earnings and revaluation adjustments.
4. On May 7, New Hampshire became the first state in the U.S. to pass a strategic Bitcoin (BTC) reserve law. The law authorizes state treasurers to purchase the world's largest digital asset directly or through exchange-traded products (ETPs). #美联储FOMC会议
1. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with Chinese officials in Switzerland this week to initiate U.S.-China trade talks. This is the first trade contact since the Trump administration announced a new round of high tariffs on China. The meeting is seen as a potential opportunity to ease tensions and reduce cost pressures on manufacturing and consumer goods.
2. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has once again warned that the U.S. is at the "red line" of exhausting its capacity to operate within the federal debt ceiling, but he did not specify when the deadline will arrive. "We are above the red line," Bessent said. He also reiterated that the U.S. government will never default and promised that the Treasury will not play "tricks" to evade the debt ceiling.
3. "The asymmetry in stock investment is poor. Large rebounds in bear markets are the norm, not the exception." The biggest driver in the market remains uncertainty, with investors lacking a firm conviction for a long-term bullish or bearish outlook. Stock price movements are primarily driven by short-term news headlines and speculation on how rapidly changing U.S. relations will manifest through corporate earnings and revaluation adjustments.
4. On May 7, New Hampshire became the first state in the U.S. to pass a strategic Bitcoin (BTC) reserve law. The law authorizes state treasurers to purchase the world's largest digital asset directly or through exchange-traded products (ETPs). #美联储FOMC会议
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Countdown to the Federal Reserve's decision! The market bets on a 97.2% chance of no change!
The Federal Reserve is up to something big again! At 2 AM on May 8, the ticking time bomb of the interest rate decision will go off right on time.
Market data is glaringly clear: 97.2% are betting that interest rates will remain unchanged, while only 2.8% are daring to bet on an unexpected rate cut. But don't be fooled by these numbers; the futures market has already exploded—plenty of capital is frantically betting on three rate cuts in the second half of the year!
Now the entire financial circle is focused on two numbers: April's non-farm employment (an increase of 177,000) and core PCE inflation. If the inflation data throws a curveball again, the first rate cut will definitely be pushed from June to July, and the interest rate range of 4.25%-4.5% will have to endure for another three months. To be frank, as long as there is no rate hike, it's a win; even if the rate cut is delayed, it's still positive news!
Investors should keep their eyes wide open: the rate hike cycle has already turned the page. Now that the Federal Reserve is holding steady, that's a victory. The market has already fully priced in the expectation of rate cuts; even if the timing is delayed, the stock market can still rally. After all, at the critical juncture of a shift in monetary policy, expectations are worth more than reality!
This interest rate decision is not only a barometer of monetary policy but also a mirror to examine the gap between market predictions and the real economy!#非农就业数据来袭
The Federal Reserve is up to something big again! At 2 AM on May 8, the ticking time bomb of the interest rate decision will go off right on time.
Market data is glaringly clear: 97.2% are betting that interest rates will remain unchanged, while only 2.8% are daring to bet on an unexpected rate cut. But don't be fooled by these numbers; the futures market has already exploded—plenty of capital is frantically betting on three rate cuts in the second half of the year!
Now the entire financial circle is focused on two numbers: April's non-farm employment (an increase of 177,000) and core PCE inflation. If the inflation data throws a curveball again, the first rate cut will definitely be pushed from June to July, and the interest rate range of 4.25%-4.5% will have to endure for another three months. To be frank, as long as there is no rate hike, it's a win; even if the rate cut is delayed, it's still positive news!
Investors should keep their eyes wide open: the rate hike cycle has already turned the page. Now that the Federal Reserve is holding steady, that's a victory. The market has already fully priced in the expectation of rate cuts; even if the timing is delayed, the stock market can still rally. After all, at the critical juncture of a shift in monetary policy, expectations are worth more than reality!
This interest rate decision is not only a barometer of monetary policy but also a mirror to examine the gap between market predictions and the real economy!#非农就业数据来袭
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五一后币圈大事频发，密切关注这三件事！
五一假期刚过，币圈又将迎来一系列重磅事件，这三件大事，将直接影响币圈行情走向，投资者们务必紧盯！
5月6日，数字资产法草案发布。这可是币圈的里程碑事件！首个正式法案的出炉，将为行业发展奠定基调，未来的监管方向、合规标准都可能由此确定，对整个币圈生态的影响不可估量，无论是项目方、投资者还是交易平台，都将面临全新的格局。
5月7日，以太坊主网升级。V神再度出手，这无疑是以太坊发展历程中的关键转折点。此次升级能否助力以太坊重回巅峰，再次挑战历史高位？市场对此充满期待，以太坊的每一次变革，都可能引发币圈的剧烈波动，也将为投资者带来新的机遇与挑战。
5月8日，美联储公布6月利率决定。降息还是维持不变？这成为市场焦点。从当前数据来看，维持不变的可能性较大，但特朗普上台后，诸多政策存在变数。美国高达6.5万亿的债务问题又该如何破解？这不仅关系到美国经济走向，也将对全球金融市场，尤其是币圈产生深远影响。利率的变动，往往会引发资金流向的改变，进而影响币圈的资金面和行情走势。
币圈向来风云变幻，充满不确定性。这三件大事将如何左右币圈行情？是带来新的牛市曙光，还是引发新一轮的震荡调整？让我们拭目以待，紧盯这三件事，或许就能提前洞悉币圈的未来走势 。#币圈新闻
五一假期刚过，币圈又将迎来一系列重磅事件，这三件大事，将直接影响币圈行情走向，投资者们务必紧盯！
5月6日，数字资产法草案发布。这可是币圈的里程碑事件！首个正式法案的出炉，将为行业发展奠定基调，未来的监管方向、合规标准都可能由此确定，对整个币圈生态的影响不可估量，无论是项目方、投资者还是交易平台，都将面临全新的格局。
5月7日，以太坊主网升级。V神再度出手，这无疑是以太坊发展历程中的关键转折点。此次升级能否助力以太坊重回巅峰，再次挑战历史高位？市场对此充满期待，以太坊的每一次变革，都可能引发币圈的剧烈波动，也将为投资者带来新的机遇与挑战。
5月8日，美联储公布6月利率决定。降息还是维持不变？这成为市场焦点。从当前数据来看，维持不变的可能性较大，但特朗普上台后，诸多政策存在变数。美国高达6.5万亿的债务问题又该如何破解？这不仅关系到美国经济走向，也将对全球金融市场，尤其是币圈产生深远影响。利率的变动，往往会引发资金流向的改变，进而影响币圈的资金面和行情走势。
币圈向来风云变幻，充满不确定性。这三件大事将如何左右币圈行情？是带来新的牛市曙光，还是引发新一轮的震荡调整？让我们拭目以待，紧盯这三件事，或许就能提前洞悉币圈的未来走势 。#币圈新闻
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Bitcoin Expansion Plan
Wall Street analysts firmly support (MSTR) as the company announced plans to double its financing target, actively expanding its Bitcoin (BTC) acquisition strategy.
Despite the rapidly growing number of companies seeking to replicate the Strategy Bitcoin acquisition approach... MSTR reminded yesterday of its first-mover advantage and the enhanced ability to accelerate Bitcoin accumulation as its platform expands, Benchmark's Mark Palmer wrote, reaffirming his buy rating and a target price of $650.
Although MSTR's trading price is more than twice the value of its Bitcoin holdings, Palmer stated that this level is attractive due to the proven ability of Executive Chairman Michael Saylor and his team to create shareholder value through their financial maneuvers.
While reporting first-quarter results on Thursday night, Strategy announced the expansion of its recent 21/21 plan—raising $42 billion through the issuance of common stock and debt (or debt-like securities)—for a total of $84 billion.
TD Cowen's Lance Vitanza also acknowledged the ambition of the updated strategy, stating that it may be aggressive but is by no means impossible. The company noted that Strategy has already raised $28.3 billion under the original plan, and the significantly larger $111 billion market capitalization and deep trading liquidity enhance the credibility of the new financing efforts. Vitanza reaffirmed his buy rating and a target price of $550, suggesting that raising an additional $56.7 billion over the next 32 months is realistic.
The two analysts also praised Strategy's decision to raise its Bitcoin-related performance targets, including increasing the 2025 BTC earnings target from 15% to 25%, and raising the BTC earnings target from $10 billion to $15 billion. Benchmark's Palmer noted that the company has achieved approximately 90% of its original BTC earnings target in just four months.
Earlier on Friday, as Bitcoin continued to hover below the $97,000 level, MSTR's stock price rose by 1.8%, reaching $388.
Despite the high volatility, we believe transparency is crucial... We expect more positive fluctuations over time, in line with our long-term strategy #币圈新闻
Wall Street analysts firmly support (MSTR) as the company announced plans to double its financing target, actively expanding its Bitcoin (BTC) acquisition strategy.
Despite the rapidly growing number of companies seeking to replicate the Strategy Bitcoin acquisition approach... MSTR reminded yesterday of its first-mover advantage and the enhanced ability to accelerate Bitcoin accumulation as its platform expands, Benchmark's Mark Palmer wrote, reaffirming his buy rating and a target price of $650.
Although MSTR's trading price is more than twice the value of its Bitcoin holdings, Palmer stated that this level is attractive due to the proven ability of Executive Chairman Michael Saylor and his team to create shareholder value through their financial maneuvers.
While reporting first-quarter results on Thursday night, Strategy announced the expansion of its recent 21/21 plan—raising $42 billion through the issuance of common stock and debt (or debt-like securities)—for a total of $84 billion.
TD Cowen's Lance Vitanza also acknowledged the ambition of the updated strategy, stating that it may be aggressive but is by no means impossible. The company noted that Strategy has already raised $28.3 billion under the original plan, and the significantly larger $111 billion market capitalization and deep trading liquidity enhance the credibility of the new financing efforts. Vitanza reaffirmed his buy rating and a target price of $550, suggesting that raising an additional $56.7 billion over the next 32 months is realistic.
The two analysts also praised Strategy's decision to raise its Bitcoin-related performance targets, including increasing the 2025 BTC earnings target from 15% to 25%, and raising the BTC earnings target from $10 billion to $15 billion. Benchmark's Palmer noted that the company has achieved approximately 90% of its original BTC earnings target in just four months.
Earlier on Friday, as Bitcoin continued to hover below the $97,000 level, MSTR's stock price rose by 1.8%, reaching $388.
Despite the high volatility, we believe transparency is crucial... We expect more positive fluctuations over time, in line with our long-term strategy #币圈新闻
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Ethereum giant awakens! $2.2 million flows in ⚠️ Will ETH surge to $2,000?
After rebounding to $1,800, Ethereum (ETH) has fallen into a consolidation trap, oscillating between $1,727 and $1,877. But don't be fooled by appearances — a long-anticipated explosion may be on the horizon!
🐳 Holders are frantically scooping up, is ETH being quietly 'locked up'?
Despite the sideways price movement, investors are not fleeing; instead, they are buying more as prices drop. From March 10 to May 3, the number of holding addresses surged nearly 22.5%, increasing from 15.53 million ETH to 19.03 million ETH. Whales have taken the lead, with a large holder withdrawing 1,202 ETH worth $2.2 million from an exchange!
And this is not an isolated case. Data shows that large holders continue to withdraw ETH from exchanges, causing the inflow-outflow ratio to drop to -0.62%, setting a new recent low. This means whales are 'locking up' ETH, reducing market circulation.
📉 Retail investors are also following suit in hoarding coins
Not only large holders but small investors are making the same choice: in the last 7 days, there have been net outflows of ETH for 6 of those days, indicating that public confidence in ETH's future is rising.
This trend has led to a noticeable effect: Ethereum's scarcity has soared, with the SFR metric hitting an annual high of 374, indicating that available ETH is rapidly decreasing.
📈 Prices are still consolidating, but the signals are clear!
Although ETH has consistently stayed below $1,800, this ongoing 'coin grabbing' behavior is sending strong market signals: confidence remains, and an explosion may not be far off!
If the accumulation by whales and retail investors continues, and selling pressure remains low, ETH is expected to break through the consolidation range and challenge the $2,000 mark. However, if the market remains in a tug-of-war, it may continue to oscillate.
In summary: ETH currently resembles a spring being held down — once released, the rebound could be astonishing! #币圈资讯
After rebounding to $1,800, Ethereum (ETH) has fallen into a consolidation trap, oscillating between $1,727 and $1,877. But don't be fooled by appearances — a long-anticipated explosion may be on the horizon!
🐳 Holders are frantically scooping up, is ETH being quietly 'locked up'?
Despite the sideways price movement, investors are not fleeing; instead, they are buying more as prices drop. From March 10 to May 3, the number of holding addresses surged nearly 22.5%, increasing from 15.53 million ETH to 19.03 million ETH. Whales have taken the lead, with a large holder withdrawing 1,202 ETH worth $2.2 million from an exchange!
And this is not an isolated case. Data shows that large holders continue to withdraw ETH from exchanges, causing the inflow-outflow ratio to drop to -0.62%, setting a new recent low. This means whales are 'locking up' ETH, reducing market circulation.
📉 Retail investors are also following suit in hoarding coins
Not only large holders but small investors are making the same choice: in the last 7 days, there have been net outflows of ETH for 6 of those days, indicating that public confidence in ETH's future is rising.
This trend has led to a noticeable effect: Ethereum's scarcity has soared, with the SFR metric hitting an annual high of 374, indicating that available ETH is rapidly decreasing.
📈 Prices are still consolidating, but the signals are clear!
Although ETH has consistently stayed below $1,800, this ongoing 'coin grabbing' behavior is sending strong market signals: confidence remains, and an explosion may not be far off!
If the accumulation by whales and retail investors continues, and selling pressure remains low, ETH is expected to break through the consolidation range and challenge the $2,000 mark. However, if the market remains in a tug-of-war, it may continue to oscillate.
In summary: ETH currently resembles a spring being held down — once released, the rebound could be astonishing! #币圈资讯
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2025 Bitcoin Dynamic Observation: Policies and Technologies Advance Together, Industry Faces New Challenges and Opportunities
Regulatory and Supervisory Developments
New Trends in the U.S.: The U.S. government announced it is considering including Bitcoin in its national strategic reserves and will host the first Crypto Asset Summit at the White House, aimed at strengthening the U.S. as a global digital currency center. This policy is seen as deepening Bitcoin's position in mainstream finance.
Local Policy Innovations: Rhode Island plans to pass a bill allowing residents to conduct monthly Bitcoin transactions below $10,000 tax-free, providing policy support for the application of digital currency in daily life.
Technological Developments and Industry Ecosystem
Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) Impact: Wang Yongli, former deputy governor of the People's Bank of China, pointed out that sovereign digital currencies may gradually replace the stablecoin market. Central banks around the world are drawing on stablecoin technology to optimize the architecture of digital currencies, which may have a long-term impact on Bitcoin's regulatory framework.
Mining Machine Industry Chain Active: The total network computing power continues to grow (reaching 814 EH/s in 2025, an increase of 177% compared to 2022), with mining companies like Canaan Creative reporting a recovery in the industry, showing stable demand for high-performance mining machines, and the entire industry chain is exhibiting a prosperous trend.
Market and Security Challenges
ETF Fund Flow Slows: Although the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF attracted nearly $100 billion after approval in 2024, the influx of funds significantly slowed at the beginning of 2025, and market focus gradually shifted to the implementation of long-term policy effects.
Security Threats Rise: In the first quarter of 2025, over 60 hacking incidents occurred globally, with losses as high as $1.63 billion, highlighting the necessity for the industry to strengthen security measures and regulatory cooperation amidst rapid development.
Regulatory and Supervisory Developments
New Trends in the U.S.: The U.S. government announced it is considering including Bitcoin in its national strategic reserves and will host the first Crypto Asset Summit at the White House, aimed at strengthening the U.S. as a global digital currency center. This policy is seen as deepening Bitcoin's position in mainstream finance.
Local Policy Innovations: Rhode Island plans to pass a bill allowing residents to conduct monthly Bitcoin transactions below $10,000 tax-free, providing policy support for the application of digital currency in daily life.
Technological Developments and Industry Ecosystem
Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) Impact: Wang Yongli, former deputy governor of the People's Bank of China, pointed out that sovereign digital currencies may gradually replace the stablecoin market. Central banks around the world are drawing on stablecoin technology to optimize the architecture of digital currencies, which may have a long-term impact on Bitcoin's regulatory framework.
Mining Machine Industry Chain Active: The total network computing power continues to grow (reaching 814 EH/s in 2025, an increase of 177% compared to 2022), with mining companies like Canaan Creative reporting a recovery in the industry, showing stable demand for high-performance mining machines, and the entire industry chain is exhibiting a prosperous trend.
Market and Security Challenges
ETF Fund Flow Slows: Although the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF attracted nearly $100 billion after approval in 2024, the influx of funds significantly slowed at the beginning of 2025, and market focus gradually shifted to the implementation of long-term policy effects.
Security Threats Rise: In the first quarter of 2025, over 60 hacking incidents occurred globally, with losses as high as $1.63 billion, highlighting the necessity for the industry to strengthen security measures and regulatory cooperation amidst rapid development.
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On May 7th, the Federal Reserve's decision is coming! The market is nervously anticipating, and it may usher in a wave of major trends! May 7th is destined to be extraordinary! The world is paying attention to the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision, and Powell's speech may directly affect the global market! This time, the market is already tense and holding its breath, waiting for the decision results. Key time points: • Meeting time: May 6-7 (two days in a row) • Decision announcement: May 7th at 20:00 • Powell speaks: 20:30, interpreting the latest policy direction Market focus: • Will there be a rate cut? A rate hike? Or continue to watch? • The FOMC has 8 decisions each year, and this round happens to be the critical battle in the middle of the year! Every word from Powell will trigger huge fluctuations in the stock market and cryptocurrency circles, so do not miss this opportunity! May 7th could become a turning point for the market; currently, many markets are already speculating on the expectation of a rate cut, and the volatility of risk assets is starting to intensify. However, if Powell's remarks are hawkish, the market may fluctuate significantly; anything is possible! Prepare in advance, stay updated on the latest policy dynamics, and be ready to welcome the potential changes in the market!
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昨天的多是不是已经验证了，有跟上的朋友吗
Evening Market Analysis Strategy #比特币 #币圈
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Bitcoin price breaks through $95,000, Standard Chartered: Q2 to exceed $120,000, $200,000 by year-end
On Monday, the price of Bitcoin reached a high of $95,548, before stabilizing around $95,055. This also means that the price of Bitcoin has increased by 7.38% over the past week. This growth has brought Bitcoin's market capitalization to approximately $1.8 trillion, rekindling optimism among investors. It is worth mentioning that the trading volume in the past 24 hours approached $19.5 billion, indicating that buyers remain active in the market.
The current positive sentiment is largely attributed to increased institutional participation and strong technical indicators. One of the biggest developments is that Strategy has announced a new purchase of $1.4 billion worth of Bitcoin — after acquiring an additional 15,355 Bitcoins, the company’s total Bitcoin holdings have reached 553,555. This single acquisition is currently valued at over $5.2 billion.
Meanwhile, Standard Chartered released a research report predicting that by the end of Q2 2025, the price of Bitcoin could reach $120,000, and it might even hit $200,000 by the end of the year.
According to Jeffrey Kendrick, head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered, various macroeconomic factors are prompting investors to turn to Bitcoin. He noted that concerns over U.S. Treasury yields are intensifying, with current U.S. Treasury yields at their highest level in 12 years, indicating that investors are becoming cautious about U.S. debt. With this shift, Bitcoin has become a more attractive option for those looking to move funds away from U.S. assets.
Technical indicators also suggest that Bitcoin may be preparing to break upwards again. Recently, the price of Bitcoin broke its 200-day moving average, while the relative strength index remained above 50, indicating that investor confidence is strengthening. Analysts such as Alakar Saxena from Mudrex and Piyush Walk from Delta Exchange pointed out that the market is looking for a trigger, such as positive economic data or easing inflation pressure, to help push Bitcoin above the $100,000 mark. The resistance level remains around $96,000, and if this level is broken, Bitcoin could rise further.#币圈
On Monday, the price of Bitcoin reached a high of $95,548, before stabilizing around $95,055. This also means that the price of Bitcoin has increased by 7.38% over the past week. This growth has brought Bitcoin's market capitalization to approximately $1.8 trillion, rekindling optimism among investors. It is worth mentioning that the trading volume in the past 24 hours approached $19.5 billion, indicating that buyers remain active in the market.
The current positive sentiment is largely attributed to increased institutional participation and strong technical indicators. One of the biggest developments is that Strategy has announced a new purchase of $1.4 billion worth of Bitcoin — after acquiring an additional 15,355 Bitcoins, the company’s total Bitcoin holdings have reached 553,555. This single acquisition is currently valued at over $5.2 billion.
Meanwhile, Standard Chartered released a research report predicting that by the end of Q2 2025, the price of Bitcoin could reach $120,000, and it might even hit $200,000 by the end of the year.
According to Jeffrey Kendrick, head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered, various macroeconomic factors are prompting investors to turn to Bitcoin. He noted that concerns over U.S. Treasury yields are intensifying, with current U.S. Treasury yields at their highest level in 12 years, indicating that investors are becoming cautious about U.S. debt. With this shift, Bitcoin has become a more attractive option for those looking to move funds away from U.S. assets.
Technical indicators also suggest that Bitcoin may be preparing to break upwards again. Recently, the price of Bitcoin broke its 200-day moving average, while the relative strength index remained above 50, indicating that investor confidence is strengthening. Analysts such as Alakar Saxena from Mudrex and Piyush Walk from Delta Exchange pointed out that the market is looking for a trigger, such as positive economic data or easing inflation pressure, to help push Bitcoin above the $100,000 mark. The resistance level remains around $96,000, and if this level is broken, Bitcoin could rise further.#币圈
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四最月后的一天，比特币还在95000美附金近盘整。比特币这个月月的线大概是率要收一根线阳了，那么接来下的五月，比币特能够突破10万美金吗？
从面盘趋势来看，比币特目前一直属牛于市，趋势还没有发现明的显反转信号。
个人认为后续五在月份比特币突破10万美金概的率就会大幅增加。#btc##比特币btc#
从面盘趋势来看，比币特目前一直属牛于市，趋势还没有发现明的显反转信号。
个人认为后续五在月份比特币突破10万美金概的率就会大幅增加。#btc##比特币btc#
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Tariff concerns ease, gold prices fall, Bitcoin soars
As tensions in US-China trade ease, gold prices fell on Tuesday, while Bitcoin continued to maintain above $90,000, with investors closely watching a series of economic reports this week.
Spot gold prices fell by 0.4% to $3,329.12 per ounce. Optimism about the direction of global trade negotiations pushed gold futures prices down by 0.2% to $3,342.40 per ounce. However, taking into account the daily decline, gold prices have risen more than 26% since early 2025.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Basset stated on Monday that several trading partners had submitted “very good” proposals to avoid punitive tariffs. According to an exclusive report by Reuters on Monday, India is one of the first countries likely to reach an agreement with Washington.
Before the US President announced readiness to engage in dialogue with China, gold prices hit a record high of $3,500.05 per ounce last week.
According to CoinGecko data, although spot and futures gold prices have slightly retreated from historic highs, Bitcoin has risen by 0.2% in the past 24 hours to reach $94,930.
Bitcoin's 24-hour trading volume surged to $30.07 billion, a 60% increase from the previous day, indicating heightened market activity and investor participation.
Following reports that the Trump administration may relax some tariff measures, investor sentiment became more optimistic. On Tuesday, the White House announced plans to remove tariffs on foreign-made parts used in the US automotive industry, which could relieve burdens in the automotive sector.
However, a Reuters survey of economists showed that most believe the global economy faces a high risk of recession in 2025. Many respondents cited tariffs and trade disruptions as factors contributing to weakened business confidence and slowing economic growth.
Some analysts remain hopeful for a positive market correction. “The long-term structural bullish factors for gold prices may sustain the overall upward trend,” said IG strategist Yeap Jun Rong.
The market is preparing for a large amount of US economic data, starting with job openings and employment data set to be released later today. Investors will also focus on the ADP private sector employment survey data to be released on Wednesday, which is expected to show that new jobs in April fell from 155,000 in March to 124,000.
#美股财报周来袭
As tensions in US-China trade ease, gold prices fell on Tuesday, while Bitcoin continued to maintain above $90,000, with investors closely watching a series of economic reports this week.
Spot gold prices fell by 0.4% to $3,329.12 per ounce. Optimism about the direction of global trade negotiations pushed gold futures prices down by 0.2% to $3,342.40 per ounce. However, taking into account the daily decline, gold prices have risen more than 26% since early 2025.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Basset stated on Monday that several trading partners had submitted “very good” proposals to avoid punitive tariffs. According to an exclusive report by Reuters on Monday, India is one of the first countries likely to reach an agreement with Washington.
Before the US President announced readiness to engage in dialogue with China, gold prices hit a record high of $3,500.05 per ounce last week.
According to CoinGecko data, although spot and futures gold prices have slightly retreated from historic highs, Bitcoin has risen by 0.2% in the past 24 hours to reach $94,930.
Bitcoin's 24-hour trading volume surged to $30.07 billion, a 60% increase from the previous day, indicating heightened market activity and investor participation.
Following reports that the Trump administration may relax some tariff measures, investor sentiment became more optimistic. On Tuesday, the White House announced plans to remove tariffs on foreign-made parts used in the US automotive industry, which could relieve burdens in the automotive sector.
However, a Reuters survey of economists showed that most believe the global economy faces a high risk of recession in 2025. Many respondents cited tariffs and trade disruptions as factors contributing to weakened business confidence and slowing economic growth.
Some analysts remain hopeful for a positive market correction. “The long-term structural bullish factors for gold prices may sustain the overall upward trend,” said IG strategist Yeap Jun Rong.
The market is preparing for a large amount of US economic data, starting with job openings and employment data set to be released later today. Investors will also focus on the ADP private sector employment survey data to be released on Wednesday, which is expected to show that new jobs in April fell from 155,000 in March to 124,000.
#美股财报周来袭
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