才哥玩短线

9.18 Market Analysis

#BTC surged to pressure around 117400 yesterday morning, then began to decline. In the evening, it rebounded, continuing the overall oscillating trend. In terms of news, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, as expected, and the large cryptocurrency market fluctuated by only 1.4%, having almost no impact on the trend.

On the altcoin side, to put it simply: the ALPHA bull market continues!!! The overall leader #MYX surged to the previous high of 18, reaching our target; #M continues to rise sharply to new highs, keep an eye on it and look for pullback opportunities to enter.

The popular coin of the day #STBL fell sharply after going live, much weaker than expected. The reason may be that although the founder is a co-founder of Tether, the project has no connection to Tether, which greatly diminishes the endorsement value. Coupled with the significant rise after going live with ALPHA, the profit-taking pressure is severe, thus it needs to adjust for a period to consume these profit-taking positions.

In terms of strategy, continue to go long on ALPHA concepts, you can buy on pullbacks or ambush some coins that haven't risen, like AGT. $AGT $MYX $M

#STBL can be bought at a low, now is the bull market for alpha contract coins, a big drop is an opportunity.

#MYX has started to rise again after a period of oscillation and adjustment. We previously analyzed that it oscillated in the range of 9.86-18.64, and we would consider entering again when it reaches the lower edge. The lowest pullback afterwards was to 9.88, and now it has rebounded as expected, with the natural target being the previous high around 18.

#TST That's amazing, even though I could tell it was going to rise this morning, I was afraid it would surge and then fall back, so I didn't get in……$TST

Funds are rotating to the established BSC concept #TST , which is the diffusion of the ALPHA zone's rising effect. However, recently the altcoins have been rising in waves, so be cautious of sharp rises and falls; it is best to observe. $TST

9.17 Analysis of Shanzhai Market Sentiment

There is no doubt that the Shanzhai hotspot is in the Binance ALPHA zone. After the launch of the new ALPHA coin #STBL yesterday, it skyrocketed 10 times, and #VLR also had a maximum doubling increase. As the wealth effect in the ALPHA zone becomes stronger, it is expected that funds will continue to concentrate on these coins.

As for the secondary market, it is lackluster. Following the fall of #MYX #AVNT , it is currently in a chaotic state, with occasional coins like MERL experiencing a rise, but essentially it is a one-time surge without continuity.

In terms of strategy, focus on new coins in the ALPHA zone, while the secondary market is in a meat grinder mode, making it difficult to find trending opportunities. $STBL

$STBL crazy pull 10 times, the hotspot is in the alpha area, have you bought it?

9.16 Market Sentiment Analysis

#BTC continues to oscillate, with upper resistance levels at 117400 and 124000. Given the current weak momentum, it is expected that it will not break through the resistance level of 117400.

In the case of the imitation coins, #MYX is oscillating at the lower end of the range (9.863-18.65), with several attempts to rise followed by sharp declines, indicating a high likelihood of breaking downward.

Recently, the strong coin #AVNT continues to decline. In last night's and this morning's analysis, it was highlighted that the short-term market has come to an end, and it has now fallen below the previous high, with a correction from the high point of 40%, validating the accuracy of the analysis.

The intraday leader is #MERL , which belongs to Binance's newly listed contracts experiencing a rebound after a significant rise, followed by a sharp decline, without sustainability.

Overall, the current market sentiment is bearish, with strategies primarily focused on shorting during rebounds.

9.16 Morning Analysis

#BTC dropped slightly last night, rebounded in the early morning. This kind of small fluctuations has no significant trend meaning, continuing the oscillation pattern, with the upper pressure being the previous high of 124474.

Regarding the altcoins, the leading coin in this round #MYX oscillated between 9.863~18.65. It made a move in the afternoon and early morning, then showed some weakness, be cautious of a breakdown.

#AVNT , as analyzed yesterday, has completed the three phases of trend (start, develop, climax), and it is expected that the short-term market has come to a close.

Other alpha newly listed coins surged and then quickly fell sharply, as these coins are small-cap speculative coins, typically played in short-term relay. Once the upward momentum is blocked, they will drop quickly, so do not try to catch the bottom for a rebound.

Overall, the market is in a chaotic state, and it is advisable to refrain from trading.

#BTC走势分析 Bitcoin surged in the morning and fell back in the afternoon, still maintaining a volatile trend. In terms of altcoins, the leading one #AVNT rose sharply before retreating, with the short-term trend nearing its end. The top altcoin #MYX pulled up in the afternoon but immediately gave back all its gains, while other coins without follow-up have fallen into a state of chaos.

#AVNT Technical Analysis

After the first breakthrough of 0.48 on September 13, we said the target was to see 1. Today, supported by the news of being listed on Upbit and Binance spot, it directly broke through 1, reaching a maximum of 1.59, and is currently pulling back and consolidating.

According to the Three Axes Theory of Trend, after breaking through 0.48, the 4-hour line has already pulled up 3 large bullish candles (Initiation, Development, Climax), and today's wave is the climax.

Therefore, the short-term market is approaching its end, and there may be a high-level consolidation before starting to decline. $AVNT

#pump Technical Analysis

The PUMP that was previously scorned has risen, breaking the high point of 0.0072 since the contract went live, and many people are lamenting their missed opportunity.

However, in the theory of the three-pronged axe of trend by Cai Ge, breaking a new high is merely the beginning of the trend. If an effective breakout can occur, the subsequent space will have at least doubled, to 0.0144.

If it falls below the breakout neckline of 0.0072, it would be a false breakout, which is a lifeline. Even a piercing pullback would be considered a failure in the breakout formation.

Therefore, the strategy can be to buy low within the current volatility range, with a stop-loss set below 0.0072, and the target looking at 0.0144, adjusting the position according to the stop-loss range.

#AVNT The inevitable has finally come, a needle inserted into 1 knife, awesome! $AVNT

9.15 Shanzhai Market Sentiment Analysis

The main line of the shanzhai is very clear — Binance ALPHA concept, the big bull coin #MYX #M is all in the ALPHA area, and the secondary market has only launched contracts. In the past two days, we have also captured #AVNT , F, and ZKJ in the same way.

Therefore, when the leading MYX and M are fluctuating, continue to explore and profit from the ALPHA area, but it should be noted that most ALPHA concept coins are small-cap speculative coins, belonging to short-term coins, with small trading volumes and many instances of a single wave, so it is better for small funds to play around.

#ZKJ take off, ambush successful!!

#AVNT Target sees 1$AVNT

Shanzhai Sentiment Analysis

The situation of shanzhai has not changed in recent days, with the leader #MYX fluctuating, and the new contract coins are rotating for a rebound. The operations shared last night, #AVNT and F, are all new contract concept coins, and they all rose sharply and doubled after being shared.

New contracts are the main line, and after a significant rise in the main line, the high sentiment gradually spreads to other concepts, such as new spot (SOMI/#LINEA /WLFI), MEME coins (MOODENG/DOGE), and delisted coins (HIFI), all following up for a rebound.

According to the speculation rules, it will ultimately end with a rapid sprint of the big pie. Before that, the bullish mindset should still be maintained.

MYX has dropped to the lower edge of the fluctuation range (9.863~18.65). Can we get in now? As a leading coin, MYX is likely to have a rebound action. Let's consider buying low when it drops to the 10 position.

#AVNT 0.43 Ambush, current price 0.82, almost doubled, cool!!!

#F reached the target 0.0235, the highest was 0.02777, 70 points profit

#BTC Technical Analysis

BTC continues to oscillate upwards in the short term, with the daily K-line short-term moving average MA5 trending upwards, but the medium-term moving average MA30 trending downwards, and the MACD below the zero axis, therefore still leaning towards a bearish medium-term outlook, with a short-term rebound trend.

Next week, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, and the market generally expects a 25 basis point rate cut, so BTC is likely to make a surge, with resistance at the previous high of 124474. After reaching a peak, once the positive news is released, a correction will begin.