Next quarter, BTC will reach its final high this year! ?
The cryptocurrency market has been affected by Trump's tariffs and liquidity withdrawals for two months. The Fed is fighting with Trump and has been reluctant to cut interest rates, but the US debt space is almost at the end of collapse. The annual interest exceeds military spending, which has become the number one crisis of the Trump administration. The AI bubble of US technology stocks has also been punctured by Deepseek. Trump has implemented shock therapy to start a tariff war, pre-restarting the dream of industrial prosperity, and preparing to detonate the US economy and US stock bubbles in advance before the mid-term elections, blaming the Democratic Party and the Fed. The United States and US stocks are at risk of collapse. If the US economy collapses, a global depression may begin in the second half of the year and last for 2-3 years. This is also in line with the fifth Kondratieff cycle: a great depression from 2025 to 2027, a small recovery may begin in the second half of 2027, and a full recovery in 2030, ushering in a new prosperity led by China.
Brother Yun is now frighteningly strong, achieving a full victory for two consecutive weeks, with spot and contract trades hitting the peak, friends are reaping the rewards!
Last week, he grasped the second exploration cycle, and Brother Yun went back and forth shorting Bitcoin, making a fortune, see the pinned post!
This Monday, he started to reverse and rebound, directly bottom-fishing hot spots in spot and contracts, achieving continuous victories and big profits! On Monday, he laid out spot for FET and PEOPLE, directly seeing a 20% increase in one day, with FET later hitting a maximum of over 30%; the later laid out spots for HOOK, AVIVE, and ULTI are currently also showing slight profits, and ORDI spot has also seen a 10% increase, continue to hold;
On Tuesday, he caught LUNA around 0.37 for entry, directly doubling the profit before reducing positions to secure the principal, betting on the Mid-Autumn Festival benefits! FET and PEOPLE directly took off!
On Wednesday, he opened a short on REEF, again making 4 times the profit; SUI's long position also doubled, while WIF and ETH's trend support provided small profit opportunities, articles are available;
On Thursday, together with VIP, he laid out long positions for ETH and SATS, directly earning over 6 times with more than $100, and SATS also yielded 1.5 times;
On Friday, he directly predicted a big bullish line in the evening, BTC made 4 times the profit, WIF also achieved 3.5 times, and he opened XRP which also doubled, additionally, he pointed out opportunities for SATS;
On Saturday, observing fluctuations, LUNA started to surge again, and Bitcoin rebounded after support at 59800.
Consider a small position to buy at around 0.105 for SIGN, then earn the fees and aim for a big rise;
Binance will adjust the settlement time for SIGN to once every hour at 6 PM. Currently, the fee rate is -2%, with a chance to blow up the shorts. The position market value has also reached 81.5 million USD, accounting for 60% of the circulating market value, making it worth a shot;
Binance: Will airdrop 356 HAEDAL to accounts with at least 80 Alpha points
The previous MilkyWay TGE participation threshold required 75 points, and now it mentions 80 points, increasing by ten points every day, I can barely keep up;
The airdrop only gave 365 coins, and the TGE raised less than 500 BNB, I wonder if that is enough to cover the transaction fees and losses for brushing points!
Directly pulled up on SIGN, yesterday's pork knuckle rice airdrop sold off, more than doubled again, really awesome!
Let's briefly talk about RWA and SIGN:
RWA undeniably has tremendous potential, tokenization of real-world assets is a future trillion-dollar blue ocean market, but it is still in the early stages. The main representatives include: ONDO, plume, etc., while OM has had a blowup, so this year we should still approach it cautiously, focusing on leading projects and new coin arbitrage;
SIGN aims to create global RWA-like infrastructure, written very grandly, in line with the aesthetic of the Chinese people, giving the impression of huge potential, and may grow into a hundred billion giant, provided that it delivers on what is stated in the introduction.
However, looking at the founder's exclusive interview, there has been very little substantial progress; the APP has not yet been developed, and currently, the main focus is on community open activities. The recent goal is still to benchmark against WLD and PI, with little market value potential this year aiming to connect with over 20 countries. Only if there is substantial progress can the coin price be supported, especially with significant directional progress, to guard against hype and emptiness;
The spring and highlight moments for RWA should be the next year or two, especially when the macro economy and free trade are not good, tokenized asset trading will be able to supplement the global trade freedom, accelerating the tokenization of real-world assets, which will significantly increase the related token assets and profits. It is also possible for leading projects to reach hundreds of billions, and hundredfold coins are also possible;
In the RWA sector, focus on ONDO and plume with progress, leading RWA tokens and RWA + Defi concepts, and consider accumulating gradually at low positions:
ONDO, by issuing 1:1 backed security tokens and a dedicated public chain, is building compliant RWA facilities connecting Wall Street and DeFi. Tokens have been issued, currently, Ondo's TVL has surpassed 1 billion dollars, continuously developing Wall Street 2.0 concept products;
PLUME, an EVM chain specifically designed for RWVA, promotes asset on-chain, compliant circulation, and integration with DeFi. Tokens have been issued, and the current focus is on expanding Plume's ecosystem to cover a broader range of real-world asset categories and yield-generating use cases.
Binance Wallet announces the participation threshold for MilkyWay TGE, Alpha points must reach 75 points!
Binance Alpha will launch Haedal Protocol (HAEDAL) on April 29, and airdrop to users who meet the threshold!
TGE requires 75 points, the airdrop may also require 75 points, the threshold is getting higher, probably due to the recent high activity in ALPHA, increasing scores to attract people to grind points!
Those with time and capability should continue to grind, best to earn at least 10 points a day to safely secure the airdrop and TGE qualification!
ALCH current price around 0.178, small long position, stop loss at 0.1665, target at 0.195+;
ALCH is strongly consolidating, with a large contract open interest, supported by the 60 moving average on the 4-hour chart. The sideways movement is replacing the downward trend, and AI remains strong. There is a rebound trend in smaller timeframes, so a rebound can be attempted;
Trump's 100th Day in Office! Will the US Stock Market Surge or Plummet?
BTC and ETH are consolidating at high levels. Last night, they broke below the 4-hour mid-band but rebounded after news about Trump and MicroStrategy buying over 10,000 BTC. Overall, there is a small outflow from ETFs, maintaining a stage of oscillation in the late market. We are waiting to see when a direction will be chosen. Only a break below the critical support levels of 94,000 and 1,750 will accelerate the decline. Currently, due to the instability caused by Trump's news tonight, it might be best not to short;
Tonight, Trump may announce a tax cut on auto tariffs before his rally in Detroit and give a speech on his 100 days in office. His rhetoric is very strong, so it is advisable to stay cautious tonight;
During the day, focus on finding strong altcoins to trade, especially in the AI sector, which I have consistently emphasized. There is a chance they may outperform the overall market fluctuations and show sustainability, so pay close attention to ALCH, SWARMS, etc.;
BTC and ETH still haven't reached their previous highs, we still need to go through a daily wave 3 pullback, looking for a position to short. Fortunately, the short positions held up and have all come back!
BTC racing towards 98000, ETH racing towards 1900?
The 4-hour trend is a bit strong. Looking at the 4-hour structure of BTC, ETH, Nasdaq futures, and S&P 500, the SKDJ has formed a golden cross at the bottom and is starting to rise. This indicates a continuation of strong upward momentum, transforming into a new high upward wave, and the pullback wave will need to be recalculated. It's frustrating; if Trump and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs can't bring it down, then it's really heading for a new high;
Looking at the chips, the strongest resistance is at 95800 and 1830 above, but if the ETF volume increases, it will directly break through. Let's watch the US market;
Especially SUI is too strong; damn, going short is just getting wrecked, completely against the trend;
Some have predicted that Trump will not survive past January 20, 2026, ending his presidency after just one year?
Trump believes that no red line will change the tariff policy, not even the lowest presidential approval ratings in nearly 80 years! It can only be said that it is not yet midterm elections, and public opinion is of no use at all!
China has made all preparations in advance, standing firm until the collapse of the dollar hegemony, directly completing the internationalization of the RMB, and GDP surging;
The SIGN airdrop is here, 1500 units, with a maximum value of 130u, selling at exactly 100u, today’s pork knuckle rice is ready!
Tomorrow there will be TGE and airdrops, let’s get it going!
Next month the market will have a major bullish wave, new listings should increase, and there will be more airdrops, the scores need to go higher, so let's get to it;
The Binance airdrop rice bowl is back, ALPHA points requirement is 65 points or above, offering 1500 SIGN airdrops, should be able to exceed 100U;
Tomorrow there will also be the Haedal airdrop and MILKY Way TGE, the ALPHA points requirement will be announced tomorrow, it feels like the points requirement will keep getting higher, it's best to earn about 10 points a day, basically a safe way to earn, just buy and sell;
Method:
In combination with TGE and airdrop qualifications, it's best to have 3 BNB in your wallet or platform, because filling the TGE is exactly 3 BNB;
This way the balance exceeds 1000 dollars, earning 2 points every day, then buy ALPHA tokens worth more than 256 dollars once a day, then earn 8 points, getting 10 points daily, in 15 days that's 150 points, basically can always qualify for TGE and airdrops;
The overall trend of BTC remains bullish, moving through the weekly divergence segment and the right side of the monthly M head, with a 5-wave upward movement on the daily chart. Next month is the altcoin season, specific details can be found in the pinned article;
The daily trend is currently transitioning from wave 1 to wave 2 during the correction phase. BTC entered wave 2 after not making a new high, corresponding to a small 3-wave or 5-wave correction on the 4-hour chart. In terms of time, the 4-hour chart requires at least 3 candles, with a rebound expected to last at least until after 4 PM;
This morning, it broke below 94,000 down to the lower band, and after being oversold on the 4-hour SKDJ, it rebounded, completing a small wave 2 rebound. If it does not break the new high, it will continue with a 3-wave or 5-wave downward pattern; if it breaks the new high, it will return to a correction wave;
The range of 95,500-98,000 for BTC is a heavy resistance zone from the previous 2 months, making a direct breakout quite difficult, so it still feels that the daily small trend will pull back to 85,000 before moving up again;
On the weekly chart, the morning closing produced a large bullish candle above the middle track, showing an upward inertia, which also aligns with the rebound of wave 2 on the 4-hour chart. The weekly SKDJ is quite strong, and the rebound is expected to last 1-2 days; the middle track of the weekly and the monthly 5-month moving average are both pointing down, suggesting a better chance of pulling back before rising again. In terms of timing, the condition of the monthly closing on the morning of the 1st is crucial to see if it can stand above the 5-month moving average;
If the daily wave 2 correction occurs, the bottom in terms of time may be around the interest rate decision on the 8th of next month, which is unlikely to cut interest rates, followed by an accelerated drop and a significant rebound probability;
Regarding altcoins, the decline over the past few months has been too large, and currently, they exhibit some independence. Most are controlled by institutions, with holdings and market values close to or exceeding, resulting in smaller declines and stronger rebounds;
Unless there is a significant decline or sharp drop in the overall market, they generally do not fall much, which was not seriously considered. Additionally, if we look at the MACD energy bars, without significant reduction in volume divergence, it may not yet be the peak, providing opportunities to continue breaking out of divergence;
PENGU's impressive performance, the volume in the 4-hour and daily charts is still sufficient. This morning, it looked at the middle track on the 15-minute chart, but it went up with the market, resulting in a loss on the short position;
The market rebounded again, let's analyze the weekly situation of the market later;
Open a short position near the current price of SUI at 3.5, add to the position at 3.65, stop loss at the new high of 3.82, target 2-2.5;
This week, SUI will have a circulation volume of about 2.4%, with 78 million tokens unlocked, a market value of nearly 300 million USD, and the overall market is starting to correct, increasing the probability of a downward trend;
BTC and ETH have all started to accelerate, just as mentioned yesterday, let’s see a sharp decline!
The big gains are back, out of the 8 long-term positions, only AI16z little red remains, 7 green and 1 red will soon turn into 8 green, a feast!
I've been saying these past few days that we're nearing the end, ETH has also opened up for shorts, once it breaks below 1790-1800 it will start to accelerate, this morning it directly broke below 1790 and started to accelerate, directly grasping the trend, going with the flow to reap the rewards!