分析师小马日记

9.8 Monday evening analysis and trading suggestions for Bitcoin and Ethereum: Don't be afraid of slow progress; even if you advance just 1% each day, over time you will surpass 99% of those who stand still. The market conditions in the early morning showed a clear narrow-range fluctuation trend, with extremely limited volatility. From the current market analysis, the overall pattern is showing a consolidation phase. On the daily chart, prices are continually being pressed by the middle band, with multiple attempts failing to break through effectively, indicating strong resistance above. The 4-hour chart more clearly demonstrates this fluctuation pattern. Prices are oscillating around the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with the volatility gradually decreasing. From a technical perspective, the current price is forming a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern, with a key support area at the previously formed low points. If it effectively breaks down, it may trigger a new round of downward movement; the key resistance level above needs to focus on the daily middle band and the pressure area of the previous high points. In the evening, maintain a bearish outlook.
Bitcoin: 112500-113000 can short with a target of 110000
Ethereum: 4340-4360 can short with a target of 4250#币安Alpha上新 #美联储降息预期 #波段交易策略

9.6 Saturday afternoon to evening Bitcoin and Ethereum market analysis and trading advice: The cryptocurrency market never has permanent lows; those fluctuations that once kept you awake at night will eventually become your experience during reviews. As long as you don't leave the market easily, there will always be opportunities to turn the tide. Reviewing the market trends from early morning, Bitcoin's price encountered resistance around the 111700 line after rebounding, then fluctuated downward, ultimately stabilizing near the support level of 110375. Ethereum also exhibited a similar trend, with its price rebounding to 4343 before facing pressure and falling back, reaching a low of 4286. The short-selling strategy we accurately predicted for the rebound has been perfectly validated in this market.
From the current market trend, it shows a typical consolidation pattern. The 4-hour level candlesticks continue to fluctuate around the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. As we approach the weekend, market liquidity usually weakens, and the range of fluctuations may narrow. It is recommended to maintain the previous high short strategy and pay close attention to the performance of key resistance areas above.
Bitcoin: Short around 111000-111500 with a short-term target of 109000, break watch around 108000
Ethereum: Short around 4320-4350 with a short-term target of 4220, break watch around 4160 #非农就业数据来袭 #美联储降息预期 #九月加密市场能否突破？

9.5 Black Friday Bitcoin Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions: Life may give you temporary difficulties, but it will never block all paths. Those that do not defeat you will ultimately make you stronger. Looking back at the market trend early yesterday morning, Bitcoin rebounded strongly after touching the support level of 109269, reaching a peak of 111743 during the session. Ethereum also first dipped to around 4263, then quickly rebounded to around 4351. Although the bearish strategy we provided earlier gained some space on Ethereum, Bitcoin ultimately formed a more obvious rebound trend due to the strong support below, failing to continue the expected downtrend.
From the current market trend, after the bearish momentum successfully broke through the middle track support of the Bollinger Bands, the market did not continue the downward trend as expected. Instead, it made a technical rebound driven by buying pressure at low levels. The price is currently retesting the middle track resistance level, but is clearly constrained by multiple resistances above. We maintain the trading strategy of rebounding to key resistance levels to layout short positions.
Bitcoin: Short near 111500-112000 with a target of 109000
Ethereum: Short near 4330-4350 with a target of 4250, if broken look at around 4160 #非农就业数据来袭 #加密市场回调 #美联储降息预期

9.5 Friday morning to morning Bitcoin and Ethereum market analysis and operation suggestions: Although the road is long, it will be reached if one walks; although the task is difficult, it can be accomplished if one acts. Perseverance can carve gold and stone: Sincerity can open gold and stone. From the current market trend, the 4-hour K-line chart shows a clear bullish rebound pattern. After stabilizing and rising from the lower track area, the price has been running closely along the upper track of the Bollinger Bands, displaying strong bullish momentum. However, after reaching the key resistance area of 112500, the market faced significant resistance, forming a technical correction trend. Currently, the price is receiving effective support near the middle track, with the retracement range being relatively limited, and no signs of continued downward movement have appeared. During the day, the focus is on the support strength of the 110000 mark, which is not only a psychological support level but also a previous area of concentrated trading. It is expected that the early morning to morning period will maintain a narrow range of fluctuations. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to maintain a short-selling approach during the rebound. Bitcoin: Short position near 110000-110500 with a short-term target of 108500, if broken look at around 107500 Ethereum: Short position near 4320-4340 with a short-term target around 4220, if broken look at around 4150 #美联储降息预期 #非农就业数据来袭 #九月加密市场能否突破？

9.4 Thursday afternoon Bitcoin and Ethereum market analysis and trading suggestions. The fluctuations of the candlestick chart are essentially a concentrated reflection of market group psychology. Behind every transaction lies a game of human greed and fear: a desire for more when profitable, and unwillingness to exit when at a loss. Truly mature traders understand that rather than predicting market trends, it is better to tame one's inner self with rules—using stop-loss orders to fend off fear, using take-profit orders to restrain greed, and using discipline to lock in rationality. The ultimate battlefield of investment is not in technical analysis, but in the confrontation with one's own weaknesses. Based on the current market situation, the four-hour level shows that after experiencing three consecutive bullish candles, the bears have provided two consecutive bearish candles for a pullback, but the Bollinger Bands are still opening upwards, and the price has consistently remained at a high level. The current pullback has not caused the overall market to deviate from the upward trajectory, so the overall trend remains bullish. From the one-hour level, the market has formed a five consecutive bearish candle trend moving down towards the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, but the middle line provides some support, thereby slowing the downward trend. Although the current price is still in the correction stage, it has not broken the overall upward pattern, so in terms of operations, we still maintain the mindset of buying on dips after a pullback. Bitcoin: 110300 buy at the current price, short-term target around 112000, if broken look at 113000. Ethereum: 4350 can buy at the current price, short-term target around 4450 #非农就业数据来袭 #Strategy增持比特币 #九月加密市场能否突破？

Analyst Xiao Ma's Diary: 9/3 Bitcoin/Ethereum afternoon layout for multi-strategy accurately reached the target. The layout for long positions around 110600 and near 4290 entered the market, the market trend completely met expectations, and it did not affect our judgment on the overall trend. In the evening, the market oscillated and surged, reaching a high of 111869 and around 4450, and when the market trend reached the target, we promptly secured our profits. The multi-strategy layout for Bitcoin and Ethereum captured nearly 1000 points and about 120 points of space, successfully hitting the target. It fully aligned with the expected multi-strategy direction. As the ancients said: 'A good horse is often available, but a good judge of horses is rare.' Therefore, what you lack is a person to give you the right direction. The article on the pre-layout strategy was clearly articulated and validated in previous posts. #非农就业数据来袭 #Strategy增持比特币 #九月加密市场能否突破？

9.3 Wednesday evening Bitcoin and Ethereum market analysis and trading suggestions: Volatility is the norm in the cryptocurrency world and also a disguise for opportunities. Do not blindly follow the trend of chasing highs and cutting losses; instead, use rationality and patience to dig for value, and you will reap your own wealth transformation. From the current market analysis, Bitcoin's daily chart has shown two consecutive days of gains, with the K-line body gradually expanding, indicating that bullish strength is gradually increasing. Although the short-term trend is bullish, it will face strong resistance in the area formed by previous highs. Pay close attention to whether it can effectively break through the resistance in the range of 112000-113000. Xiao Ma believes that if it successfully stabilizes, it is expected to open up new upward space; otherwise, it may shift into a range-bound pattern, and the evening will still maintain a pullback strategy.
Bitcoin: Buy around 110100-110600, short-term target near 113000 Ethereum: Buy around 4270-4290, short-term target near 4420 #非农就业数据来袭 #Strategy增持比特币 #比特币巨鲸换仓以太坊

Bitcoin and Ethereum's latest market analysis and trading advice: The market fluctuations on September 3rd were tumultuous and unpredictable, giving a sense of ambiguity. Bitcoin's performance yesterday was full of ups and downs, reaching an intraday high near 111,700 in the evening and a relative low around 107,000. Overall, there wasn't a significant difference; it merely experienced substantial volatility influenced by the evening's U.S. stock market. Ethereum's performance yesterday was similar to Bitcoin's, but the extent of its fluctuations wasn't as large. The intraday relative high was around 4,414, and the relative low was around 4,205. Overall, both Bitcoin and Ethereum gave people the illusion that being alive is truly wonderful.
On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin shows an overall upward trend. This strong trend continues to persist even under market conditions that could be seen as unfavorable, and amidst the upward momentum, the bars present a double top pattern. Although the strength during this period is somewhat weaker than Bitcoin's, the competition remains robust. Looking at Ethereum's 4-hour performance, it shows a stable downward trend within a range, and this downward state is being maintained. The momentum has not been affected by external factors, continuously refreshing lower points. The moving averages show a bearish arrangement, indicating that the bearish momentum has not weakened over time, but rather appears to be relatively stronger.
Bitcoin is expected to fluctuate around 111,500-112,000, looking towards 109,000. Ethereum is expected to fluctuate around 4,320-4,350, looking towards 4,220. #非农就业数据来袭 #Strategy增持比特币 #九月加密市场能否突破？

Analyst Xiao Ma's Diary: On 9/1, the layout for Bitcoin/Ethereum yesterday afternoon accurately reached the target. Positions were entered for shorts near 109000 and 4470, and the market movement fully met our expectations, which does not affect our judgment of the overall trend. This morning, the market fluctuated and dropped, reaching a low of 107500 and around 4360. The market direction has reached the target, so we timely secured our profits. The short layout for Bitcoin and Ethereum achieved nearly 1500 points and around 110 points of space, successfully hitting the target. The market movement was completely accurate and met our expected direction. As the ancients said: 'There are often good horses, but there are not many good trainers.' Therefore, what you lack is someone who gives you the correct direction. The article on advance layout strategy clearly validated the ideas shared earlier. #加密市场回调 #比特币巨鲸换仓以太坊 #PCE数据来袭 #ETH走势分析

8.31 Sunday Night Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions:
Every small persistence is paving the way for a qualitative change in the future. Don't give up; you are closer to the desired result than you think. From the current market trend, the overall market still maintains a steady upward momentum. After a brief pullback touching the recent low of 107338, there has been some rebound, but it has not reversed. During the weekend, the market adopted a strategy of trading time for space, digesting the pressure from previous profits. For Sunday’s intraday market, we suggest maintaining a high position for shorting. Key resistance levels to watch above are in the range of 110500-111000. If it can effectively break through, a new upward channel may open.
Bitcoin: Short around 109000-109500 with a short-term target near 107500
Ethereum: Short around 4470-4500 with a short-term target near 4350 #加密市场回调 #PCE数据来袭 #ETH走势分析

Analyst Little Horse's Diary: On 8/28, the Bitcoin/Ethereum short strategy accurately reached the target. Opened short positions near 111500 and 4630. Although the market surged beyond expectations, it did not affect our judgment of the main trend. Early this morning, the market fluctuated and fell, directly reaching a low of 10811 and around 4465. The market's unexpected movement reached the target, so we timely took profits. The Bitcoin and Ethereum short strategy captured nearly 1000 points and about 150 points, successfully making profits as expected, completely aligning with the anticipated short direction. As the ancients said: 'There are often good horses, but there are not often good trainers.' Therefore, what you lack is someone who can give you the right direction. The advance layout strategy article has been clearly validated in previous posts. #ETH走势分析 #比特币巨鲸换仓以太坊 #美联储降息预期

8-27 Wednesday Afternoon Trading Strategy
Based on the current market situation, the four-hour level shows that after experiencing two consecutive bullish rebounds, the bears have entered a phase of two consecutive bearish declines. It is clearly visible that the price is under pressure at the middle track. Considering that the recent downward trend has not completely played out, along with the bulls' multiple rebounds not providing significant breakthroughs, it indicates that the overall downward trend is likely to continue. From the one-hour level, the market is showing a three consecutive bearish decline breaking through the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The KDJ indicator has formed a death cross and is diverging downwards, indicating that the downward trend has begun, and the bears are starting to gain strength. Therefore, in the afternoon, we maintain a bearish outlook.
Bitcoin trading suggestion: looking bearish around 111000-111500, targeting the 109000 area, with stop-loss according to personal position.
Ethereum trading suggestion: looking bearish around 4600-4630, targeting the 4530-4480 area, with stop-loss according to personal position. #ETH走势分析 #特朗普罢免美联储理事库克 #美联储降息预期

8.27 Wednesday early morning Bitcoin Ethereum market analysis and operation suggestions: After Bitcoin climbed to the resistance level of 110817, it encountered resistance and retreated, currently dipping to around 109350 for support. Ethereum also shows a narrow range fluctuation pattern, peaking at 4576 before facing resistance and falling back. The overall market trend currently aligns closely with our expected analysis, exhibiting typical characteristics of consolidation. From the current analysis of Bitcoin's market trend, it is undergoing a technical correction, with prices oscillating repeatedly near key resistance levels. After Bitcoin reached a historical high, it faced notable selling pressure, with a large number of profit-taking actions at high levels leading to price pressure and a pullback. The daily chart has seen three consecutive bearish candles, indicating a continuous weakening trend. On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin also shows a weak downward trend. Before any rebound strength is provided by the short-term bulls, we maintain a bearish outlook.
Bitcoin: Short near 110000, short-term target around 108000
Ethereum: Short near 4520-4550, short-term target around 4400, break below looking at 4300 #加密市场回调 #特朗普罢免美联储理事库克 #ETH创历史新高 #美联储降息预期

8.26 Tuesday Afternoon to Evening Bitcoin Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions: From the current market trends, the 4-hour candlestick chart has formed a significant technical correction trend. Recently, multiple bearish candlestick patterns with long lower shadows have emerged. Although bulls have attempted to counterattack several times, each rebound has faced strong resistance from bears, resulting in the price failing to break through effectively. From a technical indicator perspective, the MACD indicator continues to operate below the zero line, and the fast and slow lines are showing a bearish arrangement, making the short-term rebound more of a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. In conjunction with the Bollinger Bands indicator, the price continues to operate below the middle band, and the upper and lower bands are widening, further confirming that the current downward trend is still ongoing. Continue to maintain a trading strategy of shorting on rallies.
Bitcoin: Short near 110500-111000, short-term target 108000, if broken, look to 107000. Ethereum: Short near 4420-4450, short-term target 4300, if broken, look to around 4250. #加密市场回调 #ETH创历史新高 #美联储降息预期 #BNB创新高

Analyst Little Horse's Diary: On 8/26, Bitcoin/Ethereum's short position strategy from last night accurately reached the target. Short positions were entered around 111500 and near 4620. Although the market's rise exceeded expectations, it did not affect our judgment on the overall trend. In the early morning, the market fluctuated and declined sharply, reaching a low of around 109219 and 4331. The market's performance exceeded expectations and reached the target, allowing us to secure profits in a timely manner. The short position strategy for Bitcoin and Ethereum achieved gains of nearly 2000 points and about 270 points respectively, successfully navigating the market. This was completely in line with the anticipated short position trend. As the ancients said: 'Good horses are often found, but a good judge is rare.' Therefore, what you lack is someone who can guide you in the right direction. The strategy article was laid out in advance, and the previous ideas have been validated clearly. #美联储降息预期 #ETH创历史新高 #币安Alpha上新

8.25 Monday evening Bitcoin and Ethereum market analysis and trading suggestions: From the current market trend, the bearish pressure is continuing to test the key support levels below. Observing the candlestick patterns, although the bears are in an advantageous position, the bulls still show some defensive willingness at key price levels. The bullish counterattack is indeed quite weak, with several tentative rebounds failing to break through the intraday moving average pressure. Considering that the US market session is about to begin this evening, it is advisable to maintain a cautious attitude, first focusing on the defense strength of the support level below, and then on the market sentiment transmission after the US stock market opens. In terms of specific trading strategies, a prudent wait-and-see attitude is recommended, waiting for the market to provide a clearer directional signal. After observing the market reaction post US stock market opening, decide whether to enter the market. If there is a significant breakout of key resistance or support, it may be worth considering following the trend.
Bitcoin: Short near 111500-112000, short-term target 110000, if broken look at around 109000.
Ethereum: Short near 4620-4650, short-term target around 4450, if broken look at around 4350.#ETH创历史新高 #美联储降息预期 #美国初请失业金人数

Analyst Xiao Ma's Diary: 8/25 Bitcoin/Ethereum Afternoon Layout Short Strategy Accurately Reached Target Position, Layout Short Orders Entered Near 112500 and 4730. Although Bitcoin did not reach the entry target, we timely adjusted our entry following Ethereum. In the afternoon, the market fluctuated and dropped, reaching a low of 111245 and around 4580, accurately hitting the target. We then quickly took profits. The short strategy for Bitcoin and Ethereum captured nearly 1000 points and about 130 points respectively, successfully profiting steadily. The short strategy direction was completely in line with expectations. As long as we grasp the trend and the segments, the journey may be slightly tortuous, but the control over the market remains rigorous, and the final outcome is still beautiful. Recently, the analysis of market trends has proven reliable, and the previous published ideas have been validated. #ETH创历史新高 #美联储降息预期 #美国初请失业金人数

8.26 Monday Afternoon Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions: You do not need to be perfect all at once; just put in a little more effort than yesterday, and you are already getting closer to your goal. Reviewing the market trends from early this morning, Bitcoin faced a short attack at a high of 114961, with the price quickly dropping to a low of 110558. Following this, bulls quickly organized a counterattack, successfully reclaiming 113500 and forming a consolidation pattern in this range. Although Ethereum reached a historic high of 4953, the upward momentum could not be sustained, and the price fell back to a support level of 4708 before stabilizing.
From the current market analysis, upward momentum is clearly blocked. Observing the 4-hour candlestick chart, last week, although there was a rebound to above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, bullish strength could not be sustained, and after hitting key resistance levels, the price quickly retreated, forming a clear false breakout pattern. Currently, Bitcoin has once again fallen into a downward consolidation channel, and under multiple tests from the bulls, we do not expect a continued rebound. We are looking at a pullback first.
Bitcoin: Short at around 113000-113500, short-term target 111500
Long-term downward view: 108000
Ethereum: Short at around 4730-4750, short-term target 4600
Long-term downward view: 4200#ETH创历史新高 #美联储降息预期 #美国初请失业金人数

Analyst Little Horse's Diary: 8/24 Bitcoin/Ethereum last night layout for multi-position strategy accurately reached the target, entered long positions near 114500 and 4710, the market fluctuated and rose from evening to this morning, peaking directly at 115640 and near 4816, almost reaching the target, so we timely took profits for safety. The Bitcoin and Ethereum multi-position layout captured nearly 1000 points and about 100 points of space, successfully locking in profits. It completely matched the expected multi-position direction. As long as we grasp the trend and the waves, although the journey may be slightly bumpy, the control over the market remains rigorous, and the final outcome is still beautiful. Recently, the analysis of market direction has been consistently validated, and the previous articles clearly verified the ideas. #ETH创历史新高 #杰克逊霍尔会议 #美国初请失业金人数

Evening analysis and trading ideas for Bitcoin and Ethereum on August 23
The daily level shows that a large bullish candle formed last night, breaking through the previous consolidation range, but today there was a pullback with a bearish candle, indicating weakened upward momentum. On the hourly level, there has been recent high-level consolidation, with prices repeatedly testing between 4750 and 4700, and short-term bullish and bearish forces are in a stalemate. In the MACD hourly chart, DIF and DEA are gradually declining, and the histogram has turned from positive to negative, indicating a decline in short-term bullish momentum; the daily chart remains above the zero axis, and the bullish trend has not completely changed. The RSI on the hourly level has fallen from the overbought zone and is currently close to 60, indicating significant short-term adjustment pressure; the daily RSI remains below 70, and has not entered an extreme overbought state. The hourly EMA7 has crossed below EMA30, indicating clear short-term moving average pressure; the daily EMA7, EMA30, and EMA120 show a bullish arrangement, and the medium to long-term trend remains upward.
Ethereum: Buy near 4680-4710, target around 4800
Bitcoin: Buy near 114500-115000, target around 116800 #ETH创历史新高 #杰克逊霍尔会议 #美国初请失业金人数