MrFelix

🚀 HOW TO KNOW IF THERE IS A BUYBACK SIGNAL IN CRYPTO?

When the market declines, when is the right time to buy back? Here are some signs to help you identify:

📈 1. LOOK AT TECHNICAL CHARTS

🔹 RSI below 30 and then bounces up → the market is oversold, likely to bounce back.
🔹 MACD crosses up → indicates a potential upward trend.
🔹 Price exceeds MA50 or MA200 → medium/long-term buy signal.
🔹 Breakout of resistance zone + high volume → confirms buyers are in control.

👉 Use TradingView or Binance charts to monitor these indicators.

📊 2. MONITOR ON-CHAIN DATA

💰 BTC/ETH withdrawn from exchanges → investors are accumulating, reducing selling pressure.
🪙 Stablecoins flowing into exchanges → preparing to use USDT/USDC to buy coins.
📉 Negative funding rate turns positive → potential short squeeze, price may surge.
👉 Data can be tracked at CryptoQuant, Glassnode, Santiment...

🧠 3. OBSERVE MARKET SENTIMENT

😱 Fear & Greed Index below 20 → extreme fear sentiment, usually a bottom.
🤫 The market is quiet, few people are talking about crypto → a sign that “whales” are accumulating.
📈 Search for “Buy Bitcoin” surges → capital may be returning.

📰 4. FOLLOW NEWS & MACROECONOMICS

✅ ETF approved, institutional money flowing in → a strong boost for the market.
📉 Stable or decreasing interest rates → money returns to risk assets like crypto.
🔧 Major events (BTC halving, ETH upgrades, etc.) → often trigger a new upward cycle.

🎯 CONCLUSION

To determine buyback signals, you should combine:
✔️ Technical charts
✔️ On-chain data
✔️ Market sentiment
✔️ News & macroeconomics

When many positive factors appear together, that’s when the opportunity opens up.

💰 WHEN TO TAKE PROFIT ON BNB 845$ – WHEN TO BUY BACK?

BNB has just touched the historical peak around 845 USDT. This is a very strong resistance zone on the weekly chart, so taking profit here is a reasonable decision. Now is the time to prepare a buy-back strategy.
🔍 First Buy-Back Zone
The 760 - 770 USDT zone is the nearest support on the H4 timeframe. If the price of BNB slightly adjusts and reacts well in this area, consider buying a small portion (about 20-30%) to maintain the position.
🎯 Main Buy Zone
The price range of 710 - 730 USDT is strong support on the daily chart, coinciding with the upward trend line from the beginning of 2024 to now. This is the most important zone, where you should accumulate the majority of the position (50-70%) if there are confirmation signals such as a hammer candle, increased volume, or bullish divergence.
🔻 Final Deep Accumulation Zone
In case the market adjusts more strongly, the 660 - 680 USDT zone will be hard support on the weekly chart. This is a zone where you might consider strongly accumulating the remaining portion, but it is also a zone where risk management should be handled carefully. If BNB breaks through this area, you should consider cutting losses.
📌 CONCLUSION
You have taken profit on BNB at 845$ – the historical peak, which is extremely reasonable.
The 710 - 730 USDT zone is where you should prioritize buying back most of the position.
You can split the order, probe first at 770, accumulate strongly at 730, and only add if it goes deeper.
You should set price alerts on Binance at the levels: 770, 730, 680 to not miss the opportunity to enter.

⚡ TAKE PROFIT ETH 3847$ – STRATEGIC BUY BACK PLAN

ETH has reached the 3847 USDT zone, corresponding to a strong resistance peak on the weekly chart. This is the price range where many large investors take profit, and you have handled it well by exiting the position here. Now, it is important to plan the buy back at the right zone, avoid FOMO, and optimize capital.

🔍 FIRST BUY BACK ZONE
The 3520 - 3550 USDT zone is the nearest support, also the Fibo 0.382 zone of the latest bullish wave. If ETH reacts well here (creates a short-term bottom, candlestick wicks, volume recovery), you can tentatively buy a small portion, about 20-30% of the volume sold.

🎯 MAIN BUY BACK ZONE
The 3330 - 3380 USDT zone is a strong support on the daily chart, coinciding with the 50D EMA line and previous bottoms. This is the ideal buy back zone – when the price returns to test old support, smart traders will aim to accumulate again. In this zone, you should accumulate most of your position, about 50-70%.

🔻 FINAL DEEP ACCUMULATION ZONE
If the market corrects further, the 3050 - 3100 USDT zone is a very strong support on the daily and weekly charts, and it is also the Fibo 0.618 zone of the entire uptrend since the beginning of the year. If ETH comes down here, it will be the last opportunity to accumulate the remaining part, provided there is a confirmation signal (bullish divergence, short-term breakout…).

📌 CONCLUSION
You have taken profit on ETH at the peak zone 3847$ — very reasonable.

The top priority buy back zone is 3330 - 3380 USDT, where you can accumulate most of the sold orders again.

You can tentatively enter at 3550 if there is a good reaction.

In case the price drops more sharply, the 3050 - 3100 zone will be the final accumulation zone — patience is needed to wait for a clear opportunity.

💡 Suggestion: Set price alerts on Binance at the levels: 3550, 3380, 3100.

📆 OVERVIEW OF THE CRYPTO MARKET – JULY 24, 2025

📉 The market is slightly down

BTC: 117,800 USD (↓ ~0.65%)

ETH: 3,570 USD (↓ ~3.6%)

XRP, SOL, BNB: All down 5–10%

Total market cap: ~3.85 trillion USD (↓ ~2.6%)

📊 Money is shifting to Altcoins

For the first time, ETH surpasses BTC in spot trading volume

Many small altcoins are highly volatile – high risk ⚠️

⚖️ Positive signals from the macroeconomic environment

The US approves the GENIUS Act – a legal framework for stablecoins

Trump establishes the National Bitcoin Reserve Fund

Institutional money is starting to return 🌐

💡 SHOULD I INVEST MORE ON BINANCE?

✅ If investing long-term (6–18 months):

You can buy more BTC, ETH, BNB

Prioritize allocating 5–10% of the portfolio

⚠️ If investing short-term – altcoins:

Only “small bets,” choose strong altcoins

Use stop-loss, avoid high margin

📌 Suggested safe allocation:

50% BTC

30% ETH

10% BNB

10% Potential Altcoin

🎯 Conclusion:
The market is accumulating, it’s not the time to go “all-in” but it’s possible to slightly increase positions in major coins. Be cautious with short-term volatility, prioritize risk management 🛡️

🟡 Today's BTC Situation – 07/24

📉 Current price: ~117,500 – 120,000 USDT
📊 24h trading volume: ~14,400 BTC (~1.7 billion USDT)
📍 Volatility: BTC tested the 120k mark but was rejected multiple times → has not been able to break through

🔍 Quick Analysis

📈 Trend: Accumulation – unclear whether the trend is upward or downward
🧭 MACD: Still supports a slight upward trend
💼 Futures: Large amounts of money are still flowing into BTC, but altcoins are attracting more capital
📌 Strong resistance: 120,000 USDT
🛡️ Important support: 116,000 USDT

✅ Suggested Strategy

🎯 Short term (trade):
Buy around the 117k – 118k range
Look to take profits near 120k

If it breaks above 120k strongly → buy on breakout

📦 Long term (hold):

Can gradually accumulate below 120k
Hold if BTC does not drop below 116k

🧠 Conclusion

BTC is tightly accumulating below the 120k range. If it breaks this level with strong volume, the likelihood of entering a new upward wave is very high. Need to closely monitor price action in this area over the next few days.

📊 When does the market reverse? Identify with Doji candles + RSI + Volume

The market does not reverse randomly — there are always signals appearing beforehand if you are patient enough to observe 👀. Below are the 3 strongest signals that help you recognize the bottoming phase – about to reverse upwards:

🕯️ 1. Appearance of Dragonfly Doji candle
Long lower shadow, small body — indicates strong selling pressure but no longer overwhelming.

Buyers have pushed the price back up before the candle closes → Recovery signal.

More effective if it appears after a series of red candles.

📉 2. RSI falls into the oversold zone
RSI < 30 = the market is oversold, likely to bounce back.

If there is a bullish divergence (price creates a new low but RSI does not create a new low) → selling pressure has weakened.

RSI starting to “turn up” is a sign of buyers returning.

📉📉 3. Selling volume decreases
Price continues to decline, but selling volume is getting smaller → sign that the market is “losing strength”.

If there is a sudden increase in buying volume afterwards → the likelihood of reversal is even higher.
→ Especially strong if combined with a confirming bullish candle (like bullish engulfing).

✅ Conclusion: Reversal signals will be clear when 3 factors align
When you see:

✅ Dragonfly Doji appears at the bottom

✅ RSI is oversold and starting to bounce back

✅ Selling volume weakens, buying volume increases

→ The probability of a price increase reversal is very high!

🎯 Strategic action:
📌 Observe confirming candles after Doji — if it is a strong green candle, you may enter a trade.

🛒 Open a Long position early with a stop-loss set below the tail of the Doji.

💰 Take profit at resistance zones (or according to MA/Fibo).

✅ Should you buy ETH at this time?

➤ SHORT CONCLUSION:

👉 DO NOT BUY MORE ETH right now if you:
Have bought from the area below $3,300.
Are waiting for clearer trend confirmation.
👉 ONLY BUY MORE ETH if: You accept high risk to "ride the wave" from the current area ($3,520–3,580).

You may DCA (dollar-cost average) if ETH returns to the $3,300 area.

Expect ETH to rise to $4,500–$5,000 in this cycle (meaning hold medium-term to long-term).

👉 DO NOT BUY MORE ETH right now if you:

Have bought from the area below $3,300.

Are waiting for clearer trend confirmation.

👉 ONLY BUY MORE ETH if:

You accept high risk to "ride the wave" from the current area ($3,520–3,580).

You may DCA (dollar-cost average) if ETH returns to the $3,300 area.

Expect ETH to rise to $4,500–$5,000 in this cycle (meaning hold medium-term to long-term).

🌐 CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE TODAY – 22/7/2025

📉 Overall market overview:
The market is showing signs of slight sideways movement, with funds temporarily pulling out of BTC and turning to altcoins. Overall liquidity is low, and investors are waiting for more macro signals.

💰 Bitcoin (BTC): ~$119,900

Slightly down, fluctuating around the $118–120K range.

Lacking new upward momentum, currently accumulating.

💎 Ethereum (ETH): ~$3,720

Slightly down, but still has cash flow from ETFs.

Waiting for confirmation of the support zone ~$3,600 to bounce back.

🚀 Solana (SOL): 💥 Surpassing $200

The only top coin with strong growth today.

If it stays above $200, it may aim for $218–220 soon.

Supported by DeFi, NFT, and capital rotation from BTC/ETH.

🔥 Other altcoins:

BNB: Trading around $765, waiting for breakout at $780.

XRP, ADA, DOGE: Slightly down 2–5%, no clear trend yet.

AVAX, LINK, LTC: High RSI, may be about to correct.

📊 Key signals:
✅ Capital is shifting from BTC → SOL & potential altcoins.
⚠️ The market needs new catalysts to bounce strongly (macro, ETF,...).

👉 Suggested actions:

Anyone holding SOL may consider taking partial profits above $200.

BTC & ETH may be good to buy back when there’s a deeper pullback.

Limit FOMO into high RSI altcoins.

✍️ Don’t forget to like & share if you find this post useful. I will continue to quickly update entry points & breakout signals for each coin in the coming days!

📊 ETH TODAY – INCREASE OR DECREASE?

✅ Current Price:
ETH is in the range of $3,600 – $3,625, up over +8% in the past 24 hours on Binance.

🔍 Technical Signals:
RSI > 70 → Overbought, but not yet reversed.

MACD, MA50, MA200 all support a strong upward trend.

Capital is still flowing in → high buying pressure.

📈 End of Day Forecast:
Main Scenario (70%)

ETH could continue to rise to $3,700 – $3,750 if it stays above $3,600.

Secondary Scenario (30%)

If there is a technical correction, the price could slightly decrease to the range of $3,500 – $3,550 and then recover.

🎯 Proposed Strategy:
Currently Long: Consider taking partial profits at $3,650 – $3,750.

Look to buy back: If it corrects to $3,520 – $3,550.

Stop-loss: Below $3,500 to mitigate risk.

👉 In summary: ETH is bullish, may continue to rise. Be cautious with short-term profit-taking due to high RSI.

💰 STRATEGY TO TAKE PROFITS gradually with trade orders – Example: XRP

📍 At the range of 3.60 – 3.65 USD:
🔹 I will take about 30% of the XRP I hold.
✅ This is the current price range – taking profits early helps me secure nearly 20% profit and reduces psychological pressure when the market fluctuates.

🚀 At the range of 3.90 – 4.00 USD:
🔹 If the price continues to rise, I will take an additional 30% next.
🧱 This is a strong resistance level, near the old peak, so a correction may occur.
🎯 Taking profits here helps me maximize gains while still being safe.

🎯 At the range of 4.40 – 4.50 USD:
🔹 If XRP maintains its strong upward momentum, I will take the remaining 30% at this level.
📈 My technical prediction suggests that XRP could reach 4.47 USD if it successfully surpasses the 3.30 mark.
💎 This is a high expectation area – patience and close monitoring are necessary.

🛡 Keep the final 10% (optional):
🔹 If I remain optimistic in the long term about XRP – for example, believing that XRP will surpass its historical peak ($3.84) – then I will retain this small portion to “hold long.”
📦 Long-term investment doesn't require much – just the right timing and the right belief.

🔁 Summarizing the plan:

✅ Take profits gradually according to price ranges for safety.

🔒 Prioritize protecting profits over “chasing peaks.”

🧠 Control trading psychology with a specific plan, not emotionally.

📉 WHY hasn't XRP returned to its previous peak even though BTC has reached 123k?

Ongoing legal risks
Although Ripple has won most of the lawsuit against the SEC, legal proceedings are not completely over → causing institutional money to not really come back.

Lack of new growth momentum
There is no prominent narrative anymore. Compared to chains like Solana, ETH, or new layer 2s, XRP lacks DeFi, NFT, staking, or a clear use-case for retail.

Negative market sentiment towards XRP
Many investors are still "stuck" from the peak of 2017–2018. Each upward movement faces strong selling pressure.

XRP is excluded from the initial cash flow cycle
BTC usually leads the cash flow → ETH → mid-cap → low-cap → old coins like XRP are often the last group to be FOMOed into.

Price volatility not attractive to short-term traders
Low range, lack of breakout volume, does not attract speculative cash flow like trending coins (AI, RWA, meme...).

✅ Conclusion:
XRP is still a major asset, but lacks catalysts and is no longer at the center of cash flow. We need to wait for clear signs of altseason or unexpected events (final settlement with SEC, investment funds coming in, ecosystem expansion...) to return to previous peaks.

✅ Effective Short-Term BUY Strategy

1. Smart Capital Allocation
Do not all-in on one coin, divide capital into several smaller parts (3–5 parts).

Suggested allocation:

For example, choose a coin to trade today
Priority coins (SOL, XRP, ETH): 70–80% of total capital

Secondary or potential opportunity coins: 20–30%

2. Use the "Buy on Waves" method – Momentum Entry
Buy after confirming a breakout, do not FOMO beforehand.

Example: SOL breaks 170 → start entering around 171–173 (still within the running range).

Prioritize charts with: Increased Volume, MACD crossover, RSI not too high (<75).

3. Split Orders (Buy in batches)
Do not enter 100% at one price → instead:

30% at the breakout price
30% if retesting near support
40% remaining if the price maintains a clear upward trend

Benefits: avoid peak buying and optimize average price.

4. Set clear stop-loss – do not “hold onto hope”
Cut losses quickly if the trend is wrong.

Suggestions:

SOL: stop-loss ~162
XRP: stop-loss ~2.80
ETH: stop-loss ~3,200

Risk/Reward ratio: at least 1:2

5. Set clear targets (Take profit by region)
Do not wait for “the price to moon”, should divide profit-taking:

30% when reaching the near target
30% next when surpassing the old peak
40% remaining trailing stop (move stop up as the price increases)

6. Monitor news & macro market
Data from Fed, ETF, CPI, tweets from KOLs, whales…

Strong news → increase leverage
Bad news → exit quickly, keep cash

🔒 Golden Rule

Do not buy when RSI > 80, easy to reverse.
Do not enter trades when BTC is dumping heavily, dragging the whole market.
Always have an exit plan before entering a trade.

🔍 Crypto Market Summary – July 17, 2025

🟠 Bitcoin (BTC)
Price: ~118,720 USD

Fluctuating in the range of 117k–120k → accumulation state

RSI & MACD neutral → no breakout signal yet
👉 Strategy: Hold, monitor reactions around the 115k–118k range

🟣 Ethereum (ETH)
Price: ~3,362 USD

Breakout from the 3,000 range, may target 3,520 USD

Strong technical indicators, significant institutional cash flow
👉 Strategy: Hold, may take light profits near 3,320 USD

📰 Notable News
Tether buys South American agriculture company → boosts USDT adoption

Peter Thiel invests in a company holding 163k ETH

Wealthy individuals in India actively buy BTC as “digital gold”

GENIUS Act (stablecoin regulation) passed by the US House of Representatives
👉 Positive long-term signal for ETH and the market in general

✅ Conclusion:

ETH leads the bullish wave, may continue to surpass 3,500

BTC steadily accumulates, no breakthrough yet

News strongly supports stablecoins & institutional cash flow.

🔎 Crypto Market – July 16, 2025

🔹 Bitcoin (BTC)
Trading around $117,000, slightly down after hitting a new high of $123,000 earlier this week.

Reasons: profit-taking & regulatory uncertainty in the U.S.

Long-term trend remains bullish thanks to strong ETF inflows.

🔹 Ethereum (ETH)
Stable at $3,130, holding well above the $3,000 level.

Target: potential rise to $3,500 if BTC remains stable.

🔹 Altcoins & Meme Coins
Bonk, Shiba Inu, Little Pepe attracting strong capital.

ARB is set to unlock 92.7M tokens → potential short-term sell pressure.

🌐 Macro & Regulation
U.S. is debating key crypto bills (GENIUS Act, Anti-CBDC Act).

Institutional inflows into BTC & ETH ETFs remain strong.

✅ Summary
BTC & ETH: solid choices for long-term investment.

Altcoins & meme coins: high potential but high risk.

Manage risk wisely, and stay updated on news & regulations.

Who’s Buying at the Top?

When an asset is peaking, someone is still buying. But who? Here are 5 common buyers at market tops:

1. FOMO-Driven Retail Traders

They chase after parabolic moves, driven by hype and emotion—not analysis.

🧠 Usually the last ones in, they provide exit liquidity for others.

2. Smart Money Disguising Distribution

Whales and institutions don’t dump all at once.
They:

* Use buy-sell orders to hold price
* Gradually offload to retail

🎯 The market "feels strong" as they quietly exit.

3. Bots & Market Makers

Automated systems continue buying to maintain spread or liquidity.

⚙️ Bots follow code, not common sense—sometimes fueling unsustainable rallies.

4. Institutions with Strategic Mandates

Big funds may buy regardless of price due to:

* ETF rebalancing
* Scheduled allocations
* Long-term investment horizons

📊 They’re not wrong—just operating on a different time frame.

5. Forced Buyers: Short Squeeze & Liquidations

When shorts are liquidated, exchanges buy back positions at market price.

🔥 This creates involuntary buying pressure, driving prices even higher.

✅ Bottom Line

Buying at the top isn’t always irrational—but it’s rarely safe.
Ask yourself:

Who’s buying now—and what’s their motive?

If the answer is FOMO, forced liquidation, or distribution—proceed with caution.

🔥 Overview of the Crypto Market on 11/7/2025: Bitcoin Approaches $120K, Is the Altcoin Season Starting?

On 11/7/2025, a breakthrough milestone for the cryptocurrency market was recorded. Bitcoin continues its strong upward trend, Ethereum breaks out of the accumulation zone, while many altcoins are showing signs of picking up speed again. Support from institutional money, ETF funds, and favorable policies are creating a new wave of FOMO....

Detailed analysis link 👇👇

http://youtube.com/post/Ugkx3tFfgFGViJBZcMYucxGIDSmv7MEUkriF?si=WK5zYca_G1ZW7FpN

📊 Crypto Market Summary 10/7/2025 - SHOULD you invest in ETH right now!?

Bitcoin hits a new peak near $112,000, the market is vibrant, and institutional money flow is increasing significantly.

Ethereum (ETH) is currently priced at ~$2,790, accumulating and forming a technical pattern preparing to breakout.

Whales and investment funds are accumulating ETH strongly, withdrawing from exchanges and long-term staking.

Technical analysis shows ETH could aim for $3,000–3,500 in the short to medium term.

Indicators (MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands) all lean towards a continued upward trend.

✅ Should you invest in ETH right now?
→ Yes, but choose the right timing.

If the price adjusts to ~$2,600–2,700 👉 you can buy and accumulate.

If ETH surpasses $2,800 with high volume 👉 buy more on the upward momentum.

In the long term, ETH has great potential thanks to a strong ecosystem, high staking, and stable institutional money flow.

⚠️ Note: A strong BTC correction may affect ETH, so invest in parts and manage risk.

📰 MARKET OVERVIEW – 08/07/2025
Bitcoin (BTC) around 108,460 USD, down slightly ~0.4%. Accumulating close to the 110,000 USD threshold, may be preparing for a breakout if it surpasses this level.

Ethereum (ETH) maintains the 2,550 USD region, down ~0.5%. Stabilizing, no significant fluctuations yet, but potential is still highly regarded.

ETF inflows into Bitcoin this week decreased by 65%, reflecting market sentiment waiting. However, the long-term trend remains positive.

Altcoins (XRP, SOL, ADA) are drawing attention, could surge if BTC breaks out. SOL and XRP are both near the support zone – likely to experience significant fluctuations.

New trend: asset tokenization and institutional crypto continue to grow strongly, attracting funds from large institutions.

✅ In summary: The market is accumulating – waiting for a breakout. BTC holds steady at 108K, altcoins show signs of slight recovery. Investors should closely monitor technical signals.

The link below provides a clearer analysis. 👇👇👇

http://youtube.com/post/UgkxLgs6Rw1sE991nIO7q_snWen2B2PKwHZf?si=cWrGheox_g1wVc3h

Cryptocurrency is evolving: ETFs are booming, regulations are improving, and BTC/ETH are nearing all-time highs. The long-term bullish trend seems strong — but caution is key. 😁👍

📊 Crypto market analysis on July 4, 2025 👇👇👇

http://youtube.com/post/UgkxpQ8EdzE0GYdhIC0zCDkJRGrpkcCfnMo4?si=37eCp7rjGqm7_YIt