区块链海棠
公众号：橘子加密日记，职业交易员 ：现货、合约。擅长周期策略布局，5年实战沉淀，携手同行。
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$ETH $BTC This big brother was crying yesterday, saying he was stuck in a position, standing guard at the top of the mountain with over 400,000!
Panicking, he asked me: ‘Haitang, should I cut my losses? I can't hold on any longer!’
I slammed the table: Don't move!
Last night, 20 billion leverage on Ethereum was waiting to explode, and with Iran being a powder keg, it could blow up at any moment. A black swan could teach you a lesson in no time!
So what happened? In the middle of the night, there was a ‘bang’——a waterfall crashed through the floor!
This morning, the big brother sent a screenshot:
‘Luckily, I listened to you and didn't panic! Not only did I get out of the position, but I also made a killing! 😀😀😀!
#加密圆桌讨论
#以色列伊朗冲突
#NXPC
Panicking, he asked me: ‘Haitang, should I cut my losses? I can't hold on any longer!’
I slammed the table: Don't move!
Last night, 20 billion leverage on Ethereum was waiting to explode, and with Iran being a powder keg, it could blow up at any moment. A black swan could teach you a lesson in no time!
So what happened? In the middle of the night, there was a ‘bang’——a waterfall crashed through the floor!
This morning, the big brother sent a screenshot:
‘Luckily, I listened to you and didn't panic! Not only did I get out of the position, but I also made a killing! 😀😀😀!
#加密圆桌讨论
#以色列伊朗冲突
#NXPC
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$ETH On-chain panic selling + geopolitical risks triggered, ETH whale loses $326,000 in a month!
A whale address holding 2,313 ETH was forced to panic sell due to a sudden black swan event in the market, resulting in a monthly loss of up to $326,000. Behind this sell-off are two major negative factors:
1. On-chain liquidity crisis
The Ethereum staking rate is nearly 28%, but the annualized yield is only 3.1%, far lower than competitors like Solana (5.2%+). When prices fall below the staking cost line, high-leverage positions can easily trigger a chain reaction of liquidations, and this sell-off is a reflection of market panic.
2. Renewed conflict in the Middle East
After urgent consultations between the foreign ministers of the UK, France, and Germany, as well as the EU's foreign affairs chief with Iran, Iran has clearly refused to abandon uranium enrichment (current enrichment purity has reached 60%, approaching weapon-grade 90%). The complete breakdown of negotiations means that military conflict escalation is inevitable—oil and gold volatility will intensify, and risk assets will be hit hardest.
▎Market Insights
The resonance of geopolitical black swans and on-chain vulnerabilities puts significant pressure on ETH in the short term. If one wants to navigate through the volatility cycle, immediate action is necessary to seize the opportunity👇
Those who reach out will receive support, and those who stand together will win! Click to follow for real-time strategies shared immediately.
#加密市场回调 #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #波段交易策略
A whale address holding 2,313 ETH was forced to panic sell due to a sudden black swan event in the market, resulting in a monthly loss of up to $326,000. Behind this sell-off are two major negative factors:
1. On-chain liquidity crisis
The Ethereum staking rate is nearly 28%, but the annualized yield is only 3.1%, far lower than competitors like Solana (5.2%+). When prices fall below the staking cost line, high-leverage positions can easily trigger a chain reaction of liquidations, and this sell-off is a reflection of market panic.
2. Renewed conflict in the Middle East
After urgent consultations between the foreign ministers of the UK, France, and Germany, as well as the EU's foreign affairs chief with Iran, Iran has clearly refused to abandon uranium enrichment (current enrichment purity has reached 60%, approaching weapon-grade 90%). The complete breakdown of negotiations means that military conflict escalation is inevitable—oil and gold volatility will intensify, and risk assets will be hit hardest.
▎Market Insights
The resonance of geopolitical black swans and on-chain vulnerabilities puts significant pressure on ETH in the short term. If one wants to navigate through the volatility cycle, immediate action is necessary to seize the opportunity👇
Those who reach out will receive support, and those who stand together will win! Click to follow for real-time strategies shared immediately.
#加密市场回调 #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #波段交易策略
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$ETH 🔥🔥🔥Concubine This wave of surge is really fierce, everyone should have kept up, right?😉
The analysis at Haitang's Danzi Square has always been open and transparent, never a hindsight analysis! Those who kept up are enjoying a big meal🥩
Blindly acting alone will never bring opportunities. If you find yourself confused due to market fluctuations, unsure how to respond to being trapped, or feel misled during the operation, get on the ride to fly you high🚀🚀🚀
#鲍威尔发言 #波段交易策略
The analysis at Haitang's Danzi Square has always been open and transparent, never a hindsight analysis! Those who kept up are enjoying a big meal🥩
Blindly acting alone will never bring opportunities. If you find yourself confused due to market fluctuations, unsure how to respond to being trapped, or feel misled during the operation, get on the ride to fly you high🚀🚀🚀
#鲍威尔发言 #波段交易策略
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Current price of $ETH is $2516! Long position opportunity 👆👆
The 4-hour chart has established a bottoming pattern, and the upward trend is obvious. Last night, the support at 2480 remained firm and unbroken, now presenting a golden triangle breakout pattern! First target 2560, if stabilized, look at 2600!
The trend has emerged, let the market validate it! Follow along for real-time strategies 👉
#鲍威尔发言 #X超级应用转型
The 4-hour chart has established a bottoming pattern, and the upward trend is obvious. Last night, the support at 2480 remained firm and unbroken, now presenting a golden triangle breakout pattern! First target 2560, if stabilized, look at 2600!
The trend has emerged, let the market validate it! Follow along for real-time strategies 👉
#鲍威尔发言 #X超级应用转型
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U.S. stock market is closed today~
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The Brutal Truth of Wealth in the Crypto World (2025 Edition)
Ten years ago, most people were unaware of Bitcoin, or knew about it but dared not buy (information gap and mainstream stigmatization);
Even if they bought in, it was extremely difficult to hold until now (volatility strangulation, regulatory black boxes, safety traps, human weaknesses).
The so-called "If I had known back then, I would have bought" is essentially self-deception—ask yourself: When did you first learn about Bitcoin? If you had truly entered the market at that time, could you have weathered the 312 crash, the FTX collapse, or the 41% devaluation of Altcoins in 2024?
In 2025, you can still make money, but the core logic has never changed:
✅ Making big money relies on "anti-human nature":
- When BTC falls below $93,000 in June, causing panic, can you stick to your trend strategy?
- After SUI suffers a $220 million hacker attack and the community freezes assets, will you sell due to "centralization controversy," or see its ecological resilience?
- If SOL crashes 30% before the ETF launch, will you stop-loss at dawn?
❌ Losing big money due to "chasing illusions":
- Chasing “hundred-fold altcoins” (like DAG, SUI, NEAR) while neglecting position management, a single spike can bring it to zero;
- Faith in the “institutional bull” (Trump's new policies, Bitcoin strategic reserves), but unaware that the correlation coefficient between BTC and the S&P 500 is 0.62; during a macro collapse, the crypto world can fall 3 times worse;
- Addicted to short-term high sell-low buy, ultimately underperforming long-term BTC holders (frequent traders in the slow bull of 2025 earn less than one-third of those who hold coins).
Historical illusions and present realities:
The fantasy of "If I could go back 10 years, I would go all in on Bitcoin" is essentially a misreading of wealth logic—**What you lack is not information, but the understanding and mindset to navigate through cycles.
Today, the market is more mature (ETFs entering, RWA trillion-dollar track, AI proxy economy), but there are still many losers, as most people continue to repeat mistakes: Using old human nature to gamble on new stories
#加密概念美股 #美联储FOMC会议 #以色列伊朗冲突
Ten years ago, most people were unaware of Bitcoin, or knew about it but dared not buy (information gap and mainstream stigmatization);
Even if they bought in, it was extremely difficult to hold until now (volatility strangulation, regulatory black boxes, safety traps, human weaknesses).
The so-called "If I had known back then, I would have bought" is essentially self-deception—ask yourself: When did you first learn about Bitcoin? If you had truly entered the market at that time, could you have weathered the 312 crash, the FTX collapse, or the 41% devaluation of Altcoins in 2024?
In 2025, you can still make money, but the core logic has never changed:
✅ Making big money relies on "anti-human nature":
- When BTC falls below $93,000 in June, causing panic, can you stick to your trend strategy?
- After SUI suffers a $220 million hacker attack and the community freezes assets, will you sell due to "centralization controversy," or see its ecological resilience?
- If SOL crashes 30% before the ETF launch, will you stop-loss at dawn?
❌ Losing big money due to "chasing illusions":
- Chasing “hundred-fold altcoins” (like DAG, SUI, NEAR) while neglecting position management, a single spike can bring it to zero;
- Faith in the “institutional bull” (Trump's new policies, Bitcoin strategic reserves), but unaware that the correlation coefficient between BTC and the S&P 500 is 0.62; during a macro collapse, the crypto world can fall 3 times worse;
- Addicted to short-term high sell-low buy, ultimately underperforming long-term BTC holders (frequent traders in the slow bull of 2025 earn less than one-third of those who hold coins).
Historical illusions and present realities:
The fantasy of "If I could go back 10 years, I would go all in on Bitcoin" is essentially a misreading of wealth logic—**What you lack is not information, but the understanding and mindset to navigate through cycles.
Today, the market is more mature (ETFs entering, RWA trillion-dollar track, AI proxy economy), but there are still many losers, as most people continue to repeat mistakes: Using old human nature to gamble on new stories
#加密概念美股 #美联储FOMC会议 #以色列伊朗冲突
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💥$RAY Listed on the exchange in the morning! 24H increase of 9.62%
Currently, it is not recommended to chase the rise - [Good news is realized as bad news]. Strategically, wait for a rebound and then short at a high position (light position).
My friends, for such listings on exchanges or new coins, the basic routine is: ** Once the good news comes out, wait for the market to digest it, and then find an opportunity to short. The previous $SPK new coin was listed, and fans were already in the market yesterday. The current price is 0.465, with a profit of 15%. This order can be held for the medium and long term, and my friends can also refer to it.
$RAY Haitang will find a position to do it! If you want to follow, hurry up and Didi.
$ETH Entry has been arranged: short entry at current price 2520, target 2490, stop loss 2550
#鲍威尔发言 #以色列伊朗冲突
Currently, it is not recommended to chase the rise - [Good news is realized as bad news]. Strategically, wait for a rebound and then short at a high position (light position).
My friends, for such listings on exchanges or new coins, the basic routine is: ** Once the good news comes out, wait for the market to digest it, and then find an opportunity to short. The previous $SPK new coin was listed, and fans were already in the market yesterday. The current price is 0.465, with a profit of 15%. This order can be held for the medium and long term, and my friends can also refer to it.
$RAY Haitang will find a position to do it! If you want to follow, hurry up and Didi.
$ETH Entry has been arranged: short entry at current price 2520, target 2490, stop loss 2550
#鲍威尔发言 #以色列伊朗冲突
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Powell's Dovish Wings Ignite the AI Governance Storm: Amid the Fires of the Middle East, the Hundredfold 'Compliance Technology' is Transforming into New Oil!
🌐 I. Dual Drivers of Policy and Liquidity: The Rise of AI Governance Under Dovish Wings
1. Powell sets the tone for 'transformational potential', opening up growth space with interest rate cut expectations
- Clear Dovish Signals: The Federal Reserve maintains interest rates at 4.25%-4.5%, with the dot plot indicating two interest rate cuts within the year and a 74% probability of a cut in September. Powell emphasizes that AI has 'transformational potential', which may replace some jobs but will reshape productivity structures and create new employment.
- Expectations of Improved Liquidity: The nearing interest rate cut cycle, combined with official endorsement of technological innovation, provides a valuation recovery window for growth sectors like AI governance. Historical data shows that interest rate-sensitive technology sectors average over 20% gains in the early stages of rate cuts.
1. Powell sets the tone for 'transformational potential', opening up growth space with interest rate cut expectations
- Clear Dovish Signals: The Federal Reserve maintains interest rates at 4.25%-4.5%, with the dot plot indicating two interest rate cuts within the year and a 74% probability of a cut in September. Powell emphasizes that AI has 'transformational potential', which may replace some jobs but will reshape productivity structures and create new employment.
- Expectations of Improved Liquidity: The nearing interest rate cut cycle, combined with official endorsement of technological innovation, provides a valuation recovery window for growth sectors like AI governance. Historical data shows that interest rate-sensitive technology sectors average over 20% gains in the early stages of rate cuts.
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$BTC $ETH 6.19 Bitcoin Morning Analysis
The main coin rebounded after two dips to the 103300 line, overall showing a short-term rebound pattern amid a downward fluctuation. On the daily chart, the main coin is under pressure from the middle Bollinger Band, and the doji star indicates a stalemate. On the four-hour chart, after four consecutive bearish candles, a strong bullish rebound has emerged, but the decline has not been fully recovered, indicating a lack of strength. The MACD fast and slow lines are below the zero axis and are about to turn without a golden cross, while the histogram shows a decrease in volume. Currently, there is some rebound momentum under the backdrop of RSI recovery and MACD warming, but the shrinking trading volume and KDJ overbought signal suggest limited short-term space. The resistance at 106000 remains strong.
Main Coin: Pay attention to the target below 106300-105500, if 103300 is broken, then watch 102600 and 101800!
Second Coin: Pay attention to the target below 2545-2580, if 2500 is broken, then watch 2465 and 2452!
#GENIUS稳定币法案 #美联储FOMC会议
The main coin rebounded after two dips to the 103300 line, overall showing a short-term rebound pattern amid a downward fluctuation. On the daily chart, the main coin is under pressure from the middle Bollinger Band, and the doji star indicates a stalemate. On the four-hour chart, after four consecutive bearish candles, a strong bullish rebound has emerged, but the decline has not been fully recovered, indicating a lack of strength. The MACD fast and slow lines are below the zero axis and are about to turn without a golden cross, while the histogram shows a decrease in volume. Currently, there is some rebound momentum under the backdrop of RSI recovery and MACD warming, but the shrinking trading volume and KDJ overbought signal suggest limited short-term space. The resistance at 106000 remains strong.
Main Coin: Pay attention to the target below 106300-105500, if 103300 is broken, then watch 102600 and 101800!
Second Coin: Pay attention to the target below 2545-2580, if 2500 is broken, then watch 2465 and 2452!
#GENIUS稳定币法案 #美联储FOMC会议
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Want to enter the trading market? First, see if you are suitable!
Many people say that personality determines success or failure, believing that one must be steady and calm. But the reality is, the market will reshape everyone. In the novice stage, no matter how good your personality is, it takes a long process of refinement to achieve 'peace of mind'.
Compared to personality, two hard conditions are more crucial:
Sufficient time: It takes at least over a year of intensive investment (monitoring the market, reviewing trades, trial and error) to go from novice to stable profitability. Learning during fragmented spare time makes it extremely difficult to become a full-time winner. Students, freelancers, and homemakers with flexible schedules have more advantages.
Financial stability: Those under heavy economic pressure or eager to get rich quickly should be cautious! Pressure can destroy your mindset and learning ability. Those who are relatively financially secure and can bear the costs of the learning period are more likely to grow steadily.
Not meeting the conditions? Don't be discouraged! Actively adjust your life (save money, switch to flexible work) to create a learning environment. Keep investing, and future returns will prove that everything is worth it!
#我的交易风格 #美联储FOMC会议
Many people say that personality determines success or failure, believing that one must be steady and calm. But the reality is, the market will reshape everyone. In the novice stage, no matter how good your personality is, it takes a long process of refinement to achieve 'peace of mind'.
Compared to personality, two hard conditions are more crucial:
Sufficient time: It takes at least over a year of intensive investment (monitoring the market, reviewing trades, trial and error) to go from novice to stable profitability. Learning during fragmented spare time makes it extremely difficult to become a full-time winner. Students, freelancers, and homemakers with flexible schedules have more advantages.
Financial stability: Those under heavy economic pressure or eager to get rich quickly should be cautious! Pressure can destroy your mindset and learning ability. Those who are relatively financially secure and can bear the costs of the learning period are more likely to grow steadily.
Not meeting the conditions? Don't be discouraged! Actively adjust your life (save money, switch to flexible work) to create a learning environment. Keep investing, and future returns will prove that everything is worth it!
#我的交易风格 #美联储FOMC会议
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#以色列伊朗冲突 💥💥💥Something big is coming!!! So big that it will be remembered by the world for centuries🔥🔥🔥
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$SPK
The core reasons for today's SPK crash (over 70%) can be summarized in two points,
💥1. Massive airdrop selling pressure concentrated explosion
- The initial circulating supply of SPK is 1.7 billion tokens (accounting for 17% of the total), of which Binance's "HODLer airdrop" distributed 200 million tokens to users. This type of airdrop can be passively obtained without protocol interaction, attracting a large number of short-term arbitrageurs.
- Within hours of its launch, approximately 300 million SPK tokens (peak value of 18 million USD) were concentrated and sold off, with early holders scrambling to cash out, resulting in a massive sell-off.
💥2. Insufficient market depth to absorb the selling pressure
- The order book depth of the newly launched exchange is weak, with a lack of liquidity, unable to digest the short-term massive sell-off, leading to a price flash crash.
- Even though the Spark platform has an 8 billion USD TVL and 6.5 billion USD in reserves, its token economic design is still trapped in a "farming leads to dumping" vicious cycle, similar to historical cases like Arbitrum and Starknet.
💎 Fundamental issue: The token model overly relies on airdrop incentives, attracting speculative capital rather than real users, triggering structural sell-offs. In the short term, we need to observe the progress of liquidity recovery and selling pressure clearance.
#我的交易风格 #美联储FOMC会议 #以色列伊朗冲突
The core reasons for today's SPK crash (over 70%) can be summarized in two points,
💥1. Massive airdrop selling pressure concentrated explosion
- The initial circulating supply of SPK is 1.7 billion tokens (accounting for 17% of the total), of which Binance's "HODLer airdrop" distributed 200 million tokens to users. This type of airdrop can be passively obtained without protocol interaction, attracting a large number of short-term arbitrageurs.
- Within hours of its launch, approximately 300 million SPK tokens (peak value of 18 million USD) were concentrated and sold off, with early holders scrambling to cash out, resulting in a massive sell-off.
💥2. Insufficient market depth to absorb the selling pressure
- The order book depth of the newly launched exchange is weak, with a lack of liquidity, unable to digest the short-term massive sell-off, leading to a price flash crash.
- Even though the Spark platform has an 8 billion USD TVL and 6.5 billion USD in reserves, its token economic design is still trapped in a "farming leads to dumping" vicious cycle, similar to historical cases like Arbitrum and Starknet.
💎 Fundamental issue: The token model overly relies on airdrop incentives, attracting speculative capital rather than real users, triggering structural sell-offs. In the short term, we need to observe the progress of liquidity recovery and selling pressure clearance.
#我的交易风格 #美联储FOMC会议 #以色列伊朗冲突
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#以色列伊朗冲突 Middle East situation escalation warning! Long positions beware of risks!
Iran announces successful nuclear explosion, public sentiment surges. Khamenei is not weak, but has made a mistake similar to Putin's — once fantasizing about reconciling with the United States. Now at the age of 86, he is being pushed to the limit; if the US and UK intervene strongly, Iran may really use nuclear weapons!
An old Chinese saying: A rabbit in a hurry will kill an eagle! If a nuclear war breaks out, Ethereum may once again experience a 'third day of the new year' plunge (a single needle drop of 700 points). Friends chasing long positions must remain highly vigilant!
#GENIUS稳定币法案 #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC $ETH
Iran announces successful nuclear explosion, public sentiment surges. Khamenei is not weak, but has made a mistake similar to Putin's — once fantasizing about reconciling with the United States. Now at the age of 86, he is being pushed to the limit; if the US and UK intervene strongly, Iran may really use nuclear weapons!
An old Chinese saying: A rabbit in a hurry will kill an eagle! If a nuclear war breaks out, Ethereum may once again experience a 'third day of the new year' plunge (a single needle drop of 700 points). Friends chasing long positions must remain highly vigilant!
#GENIUS稳定币法案 #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC $ETH
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$UNI 🔥🔥🔥
UNI, as a well-established mainstream altcoin, once reached a historical high of $45 🔥
Currently, the bottom has been washed out, and I previously advised to position at $5. Those who followed have already profited!
From a technical perspective, a strong pattern has formed, just waiting for a step-by-step breakthrough 📈
When UNI continuously rises, you will understand how cheap the current price is!
#以色列伊朗冲突 #GENIUS稳定币法案 #美联储FOMC会议
UNI, as a well-established mainstream altcoin, once reached a historical high of $45 🔥
Currently, the bottom has been washed out, and I previously advised to position at $5. Those who followed have already profited!
From a technical perspective, a strong pattern has formed, just waiting for a step-by-step breakthrough 📈
When UNI continuously rises, you will understand how cheap the current price is!
#以色列伊朗冲突 #GENIUS稳定币法案 #美联储FOMC会议
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$SPK , as a new currency, faces challenges upon launch. A sluggish market tests patience, but if you're interested in SPK, regular investment or swing trading is more suitable. Key: Clarify your goals and risk preferences, and avoid impulsiveness! The market is unpredictable; wait for the right moment to act. Confused? Follow @区块链海棠 , keep up with the pace, and enjoy a feast! 🥩
#美联储FOMC会议 #Solana现货ETF竞赛 #SPK
#美联储FOMC会议 #Solana现货ETF竞赛 #SPK
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The Federal Reserve's decision and Powell's speech in the early morning will affect cryptocurrency prices. The situation in Israel is escalating, with Trump supporting Israel and Iran taking a hard line, which may intensify bearish pressure. The 100,000 Bitcoin may no longer exist, and any subsequent rebound will be an opportunity to escape.
#GENIUS稳定币法案 #美联储FOMC会议 #以色列伊朗冲突
#GENIUS稳定币法案 #美联储FOMC会议 #以色列伊朗冲突
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