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Today's Ethereum Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions
Ethereum's intraday rebound has once again provided a short-selling opportunity. Li Hui currently holds a short position established above 1820, with a stop loss placed above the previous high. If it breaks out, it will result in a small loss! Many fans express confusion regarding this wave of high-level consolidation. Li Hui has mentioned in previous articles that as long as it fails to break through the previous high, it is an opportunity to enter short positions. There’s no need to fear if it’s not a one-sided market. It’s clear that Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break through in several waves, and Ethereum is no different. There’s nothing to be afraid of; just manage your stop loss well and don’t let market fluctuations influence your judgment! Big opportunities are always grasped by a few contrarians. Moreover, Li Hui believes that the cost-effectiveness of shorting at this position is quite high! Finally, I hope fans will remember to manage their stop losses during the May Day holiday outings! Wishing everyone a pleasant experience, and Li Hui will always be vigilant in safeguarding you!
The 1-hour K-line of Ethereum once again attempted to break through above 1840 last night and formed a pullback. Li Hui has also established a short position above 1820, which is currently being held. Those with profits may consider reducing their positions and placing their stop loss above the previous high. Learn to use profits to set stop losses! This will increase the probability of a sharp decline after a high-level consolidation. Li Hui has always believed that the downside space is greater than the upside? I wonder if everyone has this thought?
From the perspective of the fast and slow lines, the death cross has once again formed an opening and is approaching the 0-axis position with a downward trend. The volume has increased again below the 0-axis, and the K-line is closely aligned with the lower track, indicating a continuation of bearish momentum!
The 4-hour Bollinger Bands channel has not undergone significant changes yet, with the lower track still above yesterday's low. However, the convergence of the fast and slow lines has failed again, leading to divergence. If the morning close cannot pull back to form a golden cross, there may be significant bearish momentum in the coming days! If there is another rebound opportunity today, those who have not entered the market can still consider shorting as long as the previous high and EMA300 levels are not broken! It is not advisable to chase long positions at high levels!
Today's suggested short entry point: above 1840, with a stop loss at 1870 and a target of 1770. If it breaks below 1760-1745, one can continue holding until around the 1700 level. Specific entry opportunities can also be adjusted based on the strength of the market rebound, seeking short opportunities based on the strength of the rebound!
Recently, Japanese celebrity Yua Mikami announced her entry into the cryptocurrency field, and the news of her plan to issue a personal brand token has sparked heated discussion. It is reported that the token may be deeply tied to her fan economy, and holders may enjoy exclusive photos, priority for performance tickets, and online interaction rights.
In recent years, issuing tokens by celebrities has become a global trend. From Elon Musk's Dogecoin to JJ Lin's NFT project, public figures are using blockchain technology to explore new modes of fan interaction. As a phenomenon-level idol in Asia, Yua Mikami boasts a fan base of millions, and this crossover may promote the evolution of "Idol Economy 2.0," innovatively combining content monetization and community operation through tokens.
However, celebrity cryptocurrency projects often come with controversies. Market experts warn that such tokens often face issues like severe price fluctuations and insufficient liquidity, and some projects are even suspected of indirectly harvesting the fan economy. Yua Mikami's team has yet to disclose specific technical architecture and regulatory compliance plans, and investors need to be wary of market bubble risks.
Whether this crossover experiment will open a new paradigm for the idol economy in the digital age or become just another capital game remains to be seen. However, it is undeniable that blockchain technology is reshaping the business logic of the entertainment industry.
Binance Alpha Points. For the new airdrops of the Alpha platform, remember to have a maximum of 75 or more points since each token has a requirement when using its free airdrop or when using Pancakeswap. $SOL
Today's News: 1. Movenent Network Foundation: 740 million MOVE has been transferred to the foundation's address for MoveDrop preparations; 2. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has postponed its decision on five cryptocurrency-related exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications, including Franklin Templeton's spot Solana (SOL) and XRP ETFs, and Grayscale's spot Hedera (HBAR) ETF. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart stated on Platform X that this move was expected since most projects have a final deadline of October 2025 or later, but he did not rule out the possibility of further delays this week. According to the approval schedule, many postponed ETF products will still face final approval deadlines between the third and fourth quarters; 3. Russia's anti-money laundering agency plans to classify illegal cryptocurrency mining as a crime; 4. The U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of $173 million yesterday; 5. According to Cointelegraph, the number of new tokens on Base's decentralized exchange (DEX) reached 112,000 last week, double that of March. Despite hitting a new high, Base still lags behind Solana, which added 252,000 wallets; 6. Data: The number of unique addresses on Ethereum's Layer 2 network has reached 13.6 million, a record high; 7. Trump: Tariffs have not really started yet; 8. The U.S. Senate plans to vote on the stablecoin bill before May 26; 9. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 92.3%; 10. Trump Media & Technology Group stated in a letter to shareholders: "As part of the incentive plan, we are exploring the introduction of a utility token in the Truth digital wallet, which can initially be used to pay for Truth+ subscription fees and may be applicable to other products and services in the Truth ecosystem in the future." 11. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher, with the Dow rising 0.72%, the S&P 500 up 0.58%, and the Nasdaq up 0.55%. Both the Dow and S&P 500 recorded six consecutive daily gains. Most large tech stocks rose, with Tesla up over 2%, Netflix up over 1%, and Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Meta slightly up; Google and Amazon dipped slightly; 12. The SEC has postponed its decision on Fidelity's request to add staking features to its spot Ethereum ETF; 14. Economist: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, with the timing in the second half.
Dogecoin and Ripple's ETF still have to wait, it is not easy for altcoins to break out
Recently, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced that it has postponed the decision on two cryptocurrency ETF applications that were originally scheduled for a decision soon until June of this year. One of these ETFs is primarily based on Dogecoin (DOGE), and the other is primarily based on Ripple (XRP), applied for by Bitwise and Franklin Templeton respectively. In other words, these two popular 'altcoin' ETFs still have to wait and cannot be listed for the time being. $XRP $DOGE #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
In fact, it is not just these two companies. Another company, 21Shares, has also submitted an application for a Dogecoin ETF, preparing to list on NASDAQ. These companies are all very proactive, wanting to secure a place in the crypto market boom. Currently, Dogecoin's market value is about $26 billion, while Ripple is even higher, reaching over $130 billion, both being among the 'front row' projects in the crypto space.
However, although there are many applications, it is not easy for these altcoin ETFs to actually materialize. The SEC has already received over 70 related applications this year, but most investors are still focusing their attention on Bitcoin. After all, Bitcoin is like 'digital gold,' with a clear positioning and high recognition; whereas altcoins each have their own characteristics, some even have a bit of entertainment value, making them less appealing to traditional institutions. 点击进入讨论组 The SEC's delay this time is not necessarily a bad thing. Rather than rushing to launch, it is better to give the market more time to understand these coins and allow for clearer regulation. When the timing is right, perhaps altcoin ETFs can truly 'break out.'
$BTC The market makers in the Asian market don't seem to know what they're thinking, how can they keep buying at this price? During the live stream last night, I made two charts from different perspectives of the weekly price. Just for the family to reference. Those who didn't watch the live stream last night can also check the replay, which includes a chart-making tutorial.
Let's start analyzing from the perspective of the first chart: If this 95600 is the high point of this rebound, I think it's quite good. If it pulls back and then adjusts for a while before forming a weekly W-shaped pattern, there will be a chance to push towards 150000.
Analyzing from the perspective of the second chart: If this round just directly V-bounces to 110000, then 110000 will be the endpoint of this bull market. Because the pattern is not good, if it doesn't form a weekly W-bottom pattern, it will form a weekly M-top pattern. So if it goes straight up to 110000 and then declines, the 60000 can’t be held.
Let's also take a look at the weekly chart of Ethereum: Personally, I don't think Ethereum will rebound immediately. Think about it, below 2000 the Ethereum Foundation is selling, and Trump's team is also cutting losses. Is it possible to rise in the short term? Moreover, there hasn't been enough time for accumulation after the drop; the main forces won't be so kind to come down and let us on board and then immediately rebound to let us make money. So I think it will continue to oscillate and decline...
Why do I say not to play Ethereum? Because Ethereum is currently the fastest and most powerful coin for cutting retail investors. Why do I say this? Because many new retail investors have a misconception that Bitcoin is too expensive to afford, while Ethereum is now over 10,000 RMB and has huge potential. So, retail investors are all playing Ethereum; the more people playing it, the larger the capital flow, and the easier it is to cut retail investors. No matter how high the coin price is, what you invest is your principal's profit. Coins can be split for purchase, so don't have this misconception that you can't afford it. If you can't understand Bitcoin and can't make money from it, then you'll lose money even faster on other coins.
Contract Strategy:
XRP shorted around 2.3 the day before yesterday, currently using 2.3 as the break-even stop-loss position.
BTC in incremental mode, shorting in the range of 95000-95300 with 10x leverage and 20% position size. Stop-loss position: 97850, Take-profit position: 91346, closing half at 欢迎加入币安王牌BlackGodBit的顶级策略聊天室。.