梭哈专员

I know an elder who entered the cryptocurrency world with 100,000 yuan and now has a market value of 42 million. He told me a sentence that enlightened me: 'This market is filled with a rabble; as long as you control your emotions, this market is an ATM!'
In the cryptocurrency realm, your trading strategy is your 'secret weapon'. The following mnemonics are the crystallization of practical experience, so be sure to save them!
Entry section: Test the waters in the cryptocurrency world; prepare to enter; step in steadily, refuse to rush in.
Sideways section: Buy heavily at lows during low-level sideways trading; sell decisively at highs during high-level sideways trading without hesitation.

Can ordinary people make money in the cryptocurrency circle? The answer is definitely yes, but the premise is that you must have the ability to make money.
When a person is currently experiencing life's difficulties or suffering, they must not complain about fate or give up on themselves.
Some even hope to gamble in the cryptocurrency circle, treating it as the last straw for quick wealth.
Especially those without much capital who expect cryptocurrency contracts, leverage, and the ability to long or short at any time to change their current predicament and alter their wealth destiny.
This path is impassable; no matter how you entered the circle, whether you were scammed or misled, the outcome will not be different. You will definitely not be the one in a million.

The underlying drivers of the myth of getting rich quick: technological forms, capital trends, and narrative resonance. Technical breakthroughs: cup and handle pattern and the game of overbought signals. The confirmation of the cup and handle pattern shows that Dogecoin (DOGE) completed a classic "cup and handle" breakout in April 2025, which usually indicates a trending upward movement. After the breakout, the DOGE price rose from $0.15 to $0.18, with a 24-hour increase of 12%, and short sellers faced a liquidation exceeding $11.6 million, significantly boosting bullish momentum. The overbought risk RSI indicator rose to 63 (breaking the mid-line of 50), with the MACD fast line above the slow line and the histogram expanding, showing dominance of buying pressure. However, if the momentum is insufficient after breaking $0.1822 (200-day moving average), there may be a risk of a pullback to the support level of $0.15. Capital flow: dual signals of whale accumulation and short seller liquidation. On-chain data shows that an anonymous whale accumulated 30 million DOGE near $0.15, valued at approximately $5.4 million. This behavior is highly similar to the whale accumulation pattern before the Dogecoin surge in January 2025. The short seller liquidation wave: Coinglass data shows that in the past 24 hours, 85% of short losses came from DOGE trading pairs, and market sentiment has shifted from "shorting" to "chasing the rise."

Power struggle over Federal Reserve policy and Powell's 'systemic error' accusation
Potential successor to the Federal Reserve Chair, Kevin Walsh, launched a fierce attack on the current Chair Powell during the IMF annual meeting, with his core argument pointing to the 'loss of independence' of Federal Reserve monetary policy and the 'failure of inflation governance'. Walsh believes that the Federal Reserve's $7 trillion balance sheet expansion has essentially facilitated the federal government's 'reckless spending', leading to a spiraling rise in fiscal deficits and inflation risks. This accusation resonates with the Trump administration's recent criticism of Powell for 'refusing to cut interest rates', heightening market concerns over the erosion of the Federal Reserve's independence, driving a 30 basis point drop in the yield of 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds in a week, and causing safe-haven funds to surge into the treasury market.

Since its inception, the cryptocurrency market has undergone dramatic changes from the margins to the mainstream. In 2025, with technological innovation, improved regulatory frameworks, and deep participation from institutional capital, cryptocurrencies are gradually becoming an important part of the global financial system. However, the future of this field is not straightforward, but a complex picture interwoven with opportunities and risks.
Waves of Change Driven by Technological Innovation
Deep Integration of AI and Blockchain
By 2025, AI technology has penetrated the underlying architecture of cryptocurrencies. Decentralized AI platforms like Bittensor have achieved a 95% reduction in data training costs through blockchain-driven machine learning models. AI agents can not only autonomously manage assets but also optimize trading strategies in real-time by analyzing on-chain data such as market sentiment and trading volume. For example, Limitless Exchange has surpassed traditional hedge funds in automated strategy returns by predicting market fluctuations using AI. This integration not only enhances trading efficiency but also spurs the emergence of AI-native Meme coins like COOKIE and VIRTUAL, injecting new narrative logic into the market.

1. Fundamental understanding: Clarify 'risk-reward' positioning
The essence of the cryptocurrency market is a high-volatility zero-sum game, and three key questions must be answered first:
Capital attributes: Is it 'risk investment capital' that can withstand more than 50% drawdown?
Ability boundary: Do you have technical analysis, on-chain data interpretation, or industry research capabilities?
Time cost: Can you endure watching the market for over 12 hours a day or long-term investment of 3-5 years?
Data anchoring: The annualized volatility of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2025 reaches 87%, the average drawdown cycle of altcoins is 112 days, and entry should be based on 'affordable losses'.

Fundamental Analysis:
1. Trump signs an executive order to promote artificial intelligence in classrooms;
2. The Ethereum mainnet will implement the Pectra upgrade on May 7, which is beneficial for enhancing the stability of the network and strengthening long-term value; it will further reduce the ETH inflation rate, with more ETH being staked and locked, reducing the circulating supply, leading to a contraction in supply;
3. Trump's 'TRUMP DINNER' will be held on May 22 in Washington, details of the dinner: If canceled or Trump is absent, holders will receive a limited edition NFT;
4. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in May has decreased to 94.6%;
Technical Analysis:

Fundamentals:
1. Paul Atkins officially replaces Gary Gensler as the chairman of the SEC in the U.S. He has publicly stated multiple times that he supports innovation, encourages self-regulation, questions the SEC's heavy-handed regulatory actions, and advocates for clearer regulations. He has previously provided consulting services to multiple cryptocurrency companies. In his inauguration ceremony on Tuesday, he pledged to adopt a 'rational and coherent' regulatory approach to cryptocurrencies.
2. Trump stated that tariffs on Chinese goods will not reach 145% but will significantly decrease, though not to zero. With optimistic expectations for U.S.-China tariff negotiations, global trade tensions are easing, risk sentiment is boosted, the U.S. stock market surges, gold plummets to 3350, and Bitcoin skyrockets to 94000;

Fundamentals:
1. Federal Reserve Governor Waller: In the case of significantly slowing economic growth with high tariffs, the unemployment rate could rise to 5%. I lean towards earlier and larger cuts in interest rates.
2. Atlanta Fed President Bostic stated on Monday that the uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs and other policies has caused the economy to fall into a 'great slowdown,' and he suggested that the Federal Reserve hold off until the situation is clearer.
3. KiloEx announced regarding the hacker attack incident that the vulnerability has been contained, and urged all partners and platforms to immediately blacklist that address.

Fundamentals:
Just half a month after the collapse of tokens such as ACT, TST, and DEXE, the blockchain project OM, which focuses on DeFi and RWA (Real World Assets), collapsed at 2 AM, with a maximum drop of over 90%. This was indeed caused by CEX forcibly closing accounts of token holders in the OM market. OM was an important DeFi project in the Cosmos ecosystem, and this collapse may trigger concerns about trust in other projects on the Cosmos chain; it could also attract regulatory scrutiny for similar projects in the RWA sector (ONDO, TokenFi); for the DeFi market, it may lead to market conservatism towards small and mid-cap DeFi tokens. If the locked funds in OM are withdrawn, it could affect the liquidity of the entire DeFi market. For investors, this is another failed DeFi case that may exacerbate doubts about the sustainability of DeFi projects, especially those with high APY (annualized yield) projects.

One, why do I see bullish on the daily but firmly bearish on the monthly and weekly? About the bottom of a short bear market
I once said that if a few days ago there was a sharp drop that touched the 3-day KVegas tunnel (70000-73000), we need to discuss whether it is the bottom. But now, with this trend, I can clearly tell everyone that a short-term flat bottom like 74500 that immediately V-rebounds cannot be a long-term accumulation point for the main force. So what can it be? The easiest way is to have a sudden giant spike, so they can support the bottom in deep water and quickly sweep up. There is also another kind, which is a long-term low-volume sideways trend after a downward trend, but in terms of probability, the former is obviously higher. The tariff farce is over, and the market will indeed return to normal, but that does not mean it can start directly. This kind of thinking is like a certain statement from a few days ago: 'The US stock market has fallen so much, BTC hasn’t broken 80000 yet, so it’s hard to break 80000 recently; the previous 76550 was a big bottom.' To be blunt, there are too many retail investors in various large discussion groups in the crypto space, foolish, slow-witted, and greedy.