$LAYER Let's review $layer, I have been stuck at a low position for two months now, during which there were two opportunities to break even, but due to a small position and the temptation for profit, I did not close my position.
Yesterday during the day, I suddenly noticed that the funding rate for layer started to turn negative. Most of the time before, it was positive because the market makers had held long positions, which is why the rate was still positive in the futures ratio on 3/7.
At that time, the negative rate was low, including Liangxi calling for shorts, speculating that there might be more people going short, which also showed in the liquidation map. So I had a hunch that the market makers might pull the price up to capture the liquidity above.
However, apart from blowing up Liangxi, they did not capture the liquidity above, and the negative rate has been maintained and started to rise.
From the deviation and changes in contract open interest and total value, it was found that the market makers are gradually closing their long positions, and a large unlock (12.5%) is expected on May 11.
By noon today, the change in total open interest combined with the negative rate directly resulted in -2%. The number of longs and shorts is gradually balancing, approaching the situation on 5/5, yet the rate is still -2%, and the ratio of open positions is relatively high in shorts, which almost confirms that the market makers are building a large number of short positions and are about to harvest.
Unlike OM, the market makers did not dump the price quickly. I feel that there are more people going short, so they want to use the illusion of a rebound at a -2% rate to force the shorts to exit. After all, most people are stuck, and the pressure of the -2% rate is too high.
Even I had the idea of hedging, but with Binance's new rules, it will later become -2% per hour, which will shorten the time for market makers to short and dump the price. Therefore, I would rather pay the rate than hedge.
Sure enough, once the rate passed, the market makers quickly dumped the price from 2.4 to 1.9, and my pending order was also filled.
The rules modified by Binance not only balance longs and shorts better but also allow market makers to dump the price faster, as the cost of washing the market to lure in more longs has increased significantly.
Including the subsequent futures trading volume of this coin will also be significantly reduced, as the risk of the hourly rate is high, and small positions can no longer withstand long-term holding.
The counterparty is your friend; those on the same side as you are the enemy.
Fool's Matrix, can you still look at the indicator K-line with a single-player coin?
Noobie Trader
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$LAYER /USDT full bearish towards a new low. Multiple rejection count on $LAYER even. When $BTC rebound to 95K. But Solayer still looks bearish. So take profit and left the chart. Tarde smartly. Multiple rejection near 3.03 and testing lower support again and but Doesn't reclaim momentum.
$LAYER Currently, opening a long position can earn a funding rate of 1.43% for one more day, and there is no liquidity below the sell-off. There is liquidity of several million dollars around 3.5. From the perspective of the market maker, maximizing profit is the priority. Open a long position with a stop-loss; everyone should just observe and not follow. Mining cryptocurrency is too difficult and not suitable for the average person.
BTC has started to show a top divergence, following the liquidity of the futures market. Some individuals still draw indicators for single coins, while over ninety percent of the chips are in the hands of the project team, and you still draw lines for everyone? There are all kinds of idiots in Binance Square.
æŒæĄ„éć-MB_Quant
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The daily line maintains a strong upward trend, but the 4-hour level shows a double top pattern and is facing resistance and retracement. Key level: The current price is in the neutral range of the 1-hour and 4-hour levels, with $3.200-$3.1800 potentially becoming short-term resistance. Retracement risk: If the resistance zone is not broken, it may fall back to the support range of $2.780-$2.790. Bullish confirmation condition: The closing price on the 4-hour or daily level needs to stay above $3.300. Position risk: Opening long positions at the current price level carries high risk; a top pattern may have formed, and the price could continue to retrace, so it is advisable to wait. #ć ćŻćžćșćè° 80277634921
Currently, opening a long position for one more day can incur a funding rate of 1.43%, and there is no liquidity below the drop, while around 3.5 there is several million dollars of liquidity. Thinking from the perspective of the market maker, maximizing profits is the goal. If you open a long position with a stop loss, just observe and don't follow; solo mining is too difficult and not suitable for ordinary people.
After enduring for more than a year, currently with this layer's fees, a few days of positions will be gone. With so many opposing positions, it's impossible for it to drop immediately.
äžäșșæ§äœćŻč
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$LAYER browsed the comment section for a while, everyone is shouting to short, this funding rate allows the big players to take and eat. He might one day crash like Om, but why do so many people in the square feel that their short positions are definitely in the vehicle when a crash happens. The maximum leverage is now 15 times, if your position is not large enough, even if you short and it crashes, you won't make much money. It's really hard to resist the urge to open a position, 5% position, pull 20 points plus 5%, set a stop-loss at 50% position, you must leave some green mountains behind, as long as you hold a heavy position, you will end up like Liangxi being targeted and blown up.
Yes, very supportive. I have been stopped out many times. Shorting those high liquidity and high market cap stocks is more certain.
çźćçźć
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$LAYER Today Liangxi also shorted a layer for a bit, and his position was precisely targeted by the market makers.
The reason I kept saying not to short the layer is that you can refer to my previous post about the layer; unless the overall market experiences a significant one-sided decline, the layer is unlikely to be dragged down. But in such times, isn't shorting anything risky? Why take the risk to short this high-control coin that has a lot of long contracts at the bottom?
Just to add, currently this rate means that even if you're not afraid of liquidation, the cost of holding a position for a few points a day will be gone in a few days.
Buddy King fLAU
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$LAYER reprinted Teacher Ao Ying's This coin cannot be shorted, evenćć ź Ao Ying can't do it, if your position is large, it will directly liquidate you, the project party has delayed the unlocking to control the market, so these chips are basically in the hands of the project party.
$LAYER reprinted Teacher Ao Ying's This coin cannot be shorted, evenćć ź Ao Ying can't do it, if your position is large, it will directly liquidate you, the project party has delayed the unlocking to control the market, so these chips are basically in the hands of the project party.
Retail investors without chips will only be harvested when competing against the big players.
Buddy King fLAU
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$STO Sideways movement doesn't necessarily mean a drop; it's highly likely to be a bait for short positions to attract liquidity clustering, just like last night. Fortunately, I closed at 0.19 last night. From the funding rate, it can be seen that the short position ratio is over seventy. Initially, the funding rate was negative, which is normal, but suddenly it turned positive this morning, and the futures open interest has increased, indicating that the market makers are gradually starting to go long.
$STO Sideways movement doesn't necessarily mean a drop; it's highly likely to be a bait for short positions to attract liquidity clustering, just like last night. Fortunately, I closed at 0.19 last night. From the funding rate, it can be seen that the short position ratio is over seventy. Initially, the funding rate was negative, which is normal, but suddenly it turned positive this morning, and the futures open interest has increased, indicating that the market makers are gradually starting to go long.
$STO to 0.23 can liquidate more than 3 million liquidity, of course this is not the top, if there is more liquidity added later, it will go up, so your counterparty is your friend, and those standing next to you are the enemies. So many people are shorting, why should I short it!