Crypto长空

Shanzhai:
OpenAI's recent commercialization in the e-commerce sector marks an acceleration in the practical application of AI technology. This development not only strengthens market expectations for AI application scenarios but also provides dual support of sentiment and logic for the AI concept sector in the cryptocurrency market. Against this backdrop, the effect of fund rotation is expected to drive short-term trends for related tokens.

FET + AGIX
Sector Leading Duo: As the leading assets in the AI sector, both show strong correlated characteristics in their technical aspects, with market attention continuously rising.
Operational Strategy: If the upward breakout trend continues, short-term chasing opportunities may be considered; if it enters a correction, wait for stabilization signals before selecting a re-entry point.

RNDR (Rendering Infrastructure Leader)
Track Positioning: Focused on AI + distributed rendering, with clear technical application scenarios, it is a key target for institutional fund allocation.
Technical Form: If it can break through key resistance levels recently accompanied by increased trading volume, it is expected to open a new upward channel.

TAO (AI Narrative Ceiling)
Volatility Characteristics: As a high-elasticity asset, TAO is sensitive to market sentiment, with short-term volatility significantly higher than the sector average.

Risk Warning: Beware of the risk of violent fluctuations. It is recommended to only make investments when the market stabilizes or the overall sector strengthens, in conjunction with bottom structure signals (such as double bottoms, volume-price divergence).

Operational Suggestions and Risk Control
Aggressive Strategy: Prioritize attention on the breakthrough momentum of FET/AGIX or the infrastructure value reassessment opportunity of RNDR.

Defensive Strategy: For the highly volatile TAO, it is advised to wait for sufficient weekly adjustment (such as RSI falling below 50) before gradually building positions.

Key Points for Risk Control:
Set stop-loss levels at 5%-8% to prevent risks from rapid sector rotation causing pullback.
Avoid chasing assets that have recently surged continuously with decreasing trading volume.

The AI sector is currently in a sentiment-driven phase, and may soon welcome a fund rotation trend. Investors should focus on assets with strong technical performance and accompanying volume, while being cautious of profit-taking pressure after market overheating. In the medium to long term, it is necessary to observe the actual landing progress of AI projects and the sustainability of token economic models.
Specific strategies can be further discussed, and real-time layout suggestions are welcome. Public account: Bi Chang Kong

Bitcoin (BTC) Trend Structure:
At the beginning of the month, the first round of the upward wave was completed, and after the price started from the 745 area achieving a ten-thousand-point increase, it entered a consolidation phase in the 83-86 range. The second round of the upward wave started from the 84 area, achieving another ten-thousand-point increase, and is currently in a high-level consolidation phase. The current technical shape indicates that the market needs further consolidation, waiting for the 14-day moving average system to rise and complete the technical repair.

Key Support: The 92 level forms a short-term dividing line between bullish and bearish, and if it stabilizes above this level, it maintains a bullish structure.
Chip Distribution: There is a pressure from the trapped positions formed in the dense trading area above 95 from February.
The current consolidation process is conducive to the market digesting the selling pressure above, accumulating momentum for future breakthroughs.

4-Hour Level Analysis: Multiple tests of the 955 area have encountered technical pullbacks, showing a typical characteristic of profit-taking at high levels. Each pullback low point gradually rises, forming a prototype of an ascending triangle.

Key Position Tips: Lower support area: 936-926 technical resonance zone. Upper pressure area: 954-964 dense trading area. Specific strategies can be further discussed, and real-time layout suggestions are welcome. Public account: Coin Long Empty

Ethereum (ETH) Technical Analysis
Daily Level: The price is forming a box-shaped fluctuation in the 1750-1820 range, with a positive correlation between the time period and the future breakthrough amplitude.

Key Support: The 1720 area constitutes the medium-term dividing line between bullish and bearish, and if it stabilizes above this level, the technical measurement target of 2100 points is maintained.

4-Hour Level: Frequent appearance of upper and lower shadows shows fierce battles between bulls and bears, with main funds completing position structure adjustments through fluctuations. After breaking through the 1800 level, there was no obvious selling pressure, and chip stability is good.

Lower support area: 1780-1760 technical support zone, upper pressure area: 1810-1830 dense trading area.

The current market is in a critical technical consolidation stage, with both Bitcoin and Ethereum showing potential technical characteristics. Investors should pay close attention to the breakout situation of the above support and resistance levels and patiently wait for confirmation of trend signals. After completing sufficient consolidation, the market is expected to unfold a new round of trending market conditions.

Shanzhai: XRP, EOS and Popular Sector Trend Analysis

Last Week Review: The daily chart shows a slowly rising oscillation, with a relatively mild trend but a solid structure. Current Trend: After successfully breaking through the key resistance at 0.50, it has accelerated upwards, with short-term targets looking towards the 0.55-0.60 range. Key Signal: If the daily level shows a volume breakout above 0.55, it is expected to further challenge 0.60 or even higher.

Trading Strategy: Support Level: 0.48 (short-term defensive line) Target Level: 0.55 (can look towards 0.60 after breaking through)

EOS
Recent Performance: The day before saw a peak and then a pullback, while yesterday experienced a volume contraction correction, indicating that the market has entered a consolidation phase. Key Observation Point: Need to wait for confirmation of a new round of upward movement with a volume breakout on the daily chart. Short-term Target: If it stabilizes above 0.80, it is expected to test the critical psychological level of 1.00.

Trading Strategy: Support Level: 0.75 (if it doesn’t break on the pullback, still can buy low) Resistance Level: 0.85 (if broken, look towards 1.00)

Popular Sectors: AI and Meme Coins
Recent Adjustment: The weekend saw a significant pullback, entering a technical correction phase in the short term.

AI Sector: Need to wait for market sentiment to warm up, and focus on whether leading coins (such as FET, AGIX) can stabilize and rebound.
Meme Coins: High volatility, need to observe BTC/ETH trends in the short term; if the market stabilizes, funds may flow in again.
Strategy Suggestion: Patiently wait for low buy opportunities after adjustments are in place, avoiding blind chasing of highs.

Specific strategies can be further discussed, feel free to consult for real-time layout suggestions. Official Account: Coin Long Kong

Technical Analysis: BTC, ETH
For three consecutive weeks, there has been a rise, with last week's increase reaching 10%, showing a strong upward trend.
Current prices have significantly deviated from the moving average support, with evident short-term overbought signs, indicating a demand for a correction in the technical aspect.
The key resistance above is at 95,000 (historical dense trading area); if it cannot break through, the market may enter a consolidation adjustment for 1-2 weeks to repair technical indicators.
In the next two weeks, it is essential to focus on the support area of 92,000-89,000. If it stabilizes, the short-term trend may still remain strong.

Daily Level: The recent upward trend has encountered resistance around 95,000, showing signs of stagnation. Yesterday closed with a decline, opening below the 7-day moving average, increasing the probability of a short-term correction, with a key defense level at 92,000. If this support is broken, it may further test around 89,000.

4-Hour Level: After two attempts to attack 95,000, there has been a pullback. The short-term moving average support has been lost, with a rebound after probing 92,800 in the morning. The Asian session may continue to rebound, but overall it is still in a high-level adjustment phase.

Intraday Operation Strategy:
Upper Pressure: 94,300-95,300 (If rebound encounters resistance, consider a short position)
Lower Support: 92,500-91,500 (If it stabilizes after a pullback, consider a long position)

ETH Technical Analysis
Weekly Level: After two weeks of bottoming, last week closed up 13%, with 1,580 becoming a key short-term support. The current price has entered a high-level consolidation phase, with 1,830-1,850 as the previous dense pressure area that needs to break through with volume to open a new round of upward space (target 2,150).

Daily Level: After multiple tests of 1,850, there has been a pullback, indicating strong selling pressure in that area.
In the short term, it is highly likely to maintain a range fluctuation between 1,750-1,850. If it pulls back without breaking 1,750, it still constitutes a strong consolidation.

4-Hour Level: After multiple highs at 1,850, there has been a pullback, with a rebound after probing 1,750 in the morning, consistent with weak adjustment characteristics.

Intraday Operation Strategy: Upper Pressure: 1,790-1,810 (If rebound is weak, consider a short position)
Lower Support: 1,750-1,730 (If it stabilizes, consider a low buy layout)

BTC has entered a short-term adjustment phase, focusing on the breakthrough situation in the 92,000-95,000 range.
ETH maintains a consolidation phase, with 1,750-1,850 as the key fluctuation range, and the breakthrough will determine the market direction.
Market sentiment is becoming cautious, and it is necessary to judge the short-term trend in conjunction with volume changes. #以太坊的未来

Market Dynamics:
ProShares Trust Files Amendment for XRP Futures ETF
ProShares Trust recently submitted a registration amendment regarding the XRP series futures ETF to the SEC, which is expected to officially take effect on April 30.
The market generally believes that if this ETF is approved, it will be a positive recognition for Ripple (XRP) and may further boost investor confidence.
As a result of this news, the price of Ripple has risen by 3.5% in the past 24 hours, outperforming other mainstream cryptocurrencies during the same period.

Ethereum Gas Limit Increase Proposal Draws Attention
A researcher from the Ethereum Foundation has proposed a new plan to gradually increase the Gas limit of the Ethereum network by 100 times over the next four years.
If this plan is implemented, it could significantly enhance the scalability of the Ethereum network, which may be perceived by the market as a long-term positive.
However, this proposal still faces technical challenges and potential risks during its implementation, which could lead to short-term market volatility. Investors need to closely monitor subsequent developments.

Market Sentiment Stabilizes, Fed Interest Rate Policy Expectations Clarified
Latest data shows that the fear and greed index of the cryptocurrency market has dropped to 54 today, with sentiment shifting from 'greed' back to 'neutral'.
At the same time, market expectations for the Federal Reserve's May meeting have become more aligned, with the current probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged reaching as high as 90.3%.
This signal may lead investors to adopt a more cautious risk appetite, potentially suppressing the volatility of the cryptocurrency market in the short term. #ProSharesTrustXRPETF

Shanzhai Hotspot Sector Analysis: AI Sector
Recent AI concept coins have performed strongly, with some projects having rebounded from significant declines:
WLD (Worldcoin): After experiencing a nearly 90% deep correction, it has recently started a strong rebound, with daily volume increasing and breaking through the $1.4 mark, potentially challenging the $2 level further.

FET (Fetch.ai): As the leader of the AI sector, it has doubled in value and successfully broken through the key resistance zone of $0.72-$0.82, with a short-term target around $1.2.

LPT (Livepeer): After being recommended around $4.2 earlier this week, it has quickly surged by 50%, currently entering an adjustment phase. If it breaks through $8, it may aim for a target of $10.
Meme Sector

The warming market sentiment has boosted the activity of Meme coins, but there is clear differentiation within the sector:
NEIRO (Dog Sister): It has achieved a doubling increase, with high funding attention. Future trends need to observe the continuity of market sentiment.

DOGE (Dog Brother): Its recent performance has been relatively flat, with an increase of about 20%. If it breaks through the $0.3 resistance level, it may welcome an opportunity for a rebound.

Current market structural opportunities are significant, with AI and Meme sectors still having short-term explosive potential, but attention must be paid to timing and position management. Specific strategies can be further discussed, and you are welcome to inquire for real-time layout suggestions. Public account: Coin Long Kong

ETH (Ethereum)
Since retreating from the high point at the beginning of the year, Ethereum has exhibited a weak structure with continuous lower lows and a lack of rebound strength, until the beginning of April when a weekly level showed a significant bullish candlestick with a cross star, signaling the initial formation of a bottom. After a significant surge, the daily level has entered an adjustment phase, and the current price has initially broken through the blue downward trend line pressure, but the increase in trading volume is not significant and remains below the level during the major drop in February, indicating relatively cautious market participation, and the validity of the breakout still needs subsequent confirmation.

In terms of moving averages, the MA7 and MA14 have turned upwards, forming an initial bullish arrangement. The short-term key defensive level is around 1720; if the price can maintain this support and break through 1850 with volume, market sentiment is expected to further improve, with the next target for the rise potentially at around 2150.

The 4-hour level trend shows that ETH is currently in an adjustment phase after the first round of increase, while also digesting the pressure from the dense trapped positions in the 1800-1830 range from the end of March to early April. Currently, a clear support has formed at the 1720 level.

In daily trading, it is important to closely observe the support strength in the 1785-1765 range below, while the resistance pressure above should be monitored in the 1830-1850 range.

Technical Analysis: BTC
After a significant increase in volume from April 21 to 23, the Bitcoin price has reached a key resistance level of 95K, which is the upper edge of the previous consolidation range.

From a daily chart perspective, the K-lines over the past three trading days have shown relatively long lower shadows, indicating that the market is attempting to break through the selling pressure in the 95K-98K range above. Currently, the daily candlestick has formed a relatively large bullish candle with increased trading volume, and the K-line center of gravity is gradually moving upward, showing that the bulls are in control.

In terms of the moving average system, MA7, MA14, and MA30 are all showing an upward divergence and forming a golden cross arrangement, maintaining a strong bullish pattern overall. The key short-term support level is around 92,000; as long as the price remains stable above this level, the market is still leaning towards bullishness, with the next target looking towards the 100K round number.

The 4-hour chart shows a trend of oscillating upward, but the upward momentum has weakened. This is partly due to the gradual release of trapped positions in the 95K-98K range and partly due to some short-term profit-taking pressure. However, under the overall bullish market sentiment, the expected pullback is limited. For intraday trading strategies, key support to watch below is in the 943-933 range, while short-term resistance above should be monitored in the 956-966 range. #比特币市值排名

Market News:
1. The newly appointed chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission emphasized at a digital asset seminar that the focus will be on advancing the norms for blockchain technology applications and the construction of a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies. This policy direction constitutes a medium- to long-term benefit for the crypto sector, but in the short term, it may prompt some non-compliant projects (including unregistered token offerings and decentralized financial applications) to exit the market, promoting industry consolidation. Projects that meet regulatory requirements (e.g., XRP, which has completed securities registration) will gain a comparative advantage and may trigger price fluctuations in niche areas.

2. According to sources within the Federal Reserve, there has been an over-interpretation of Commissioner Harker's statement regarding the possibility of interest rate cuts in June.

3. Brazil, the largest economy in South America, officially launched the world's first exchange-traded fund (ETF) tracking the price of XRP on April 25.

4. Latest data shows that U.S. consumers' one-year inflation expectations rose to 6.5% in April, setting a historical peak since January 1980.

Technical Analysis: BTC (Bitcoin)
Yesterday's market performed as expected, facing pressure and retreating after reaching around $94,500. Although it briefly surged to $94,700 in the evening, it then pulled back to the support level near $92,000, aligning with our predictions.
The daily chart has shown a significant rise of nearly 10,000 points over the past three days, indicating overbought conditions. A short-term consolidation is needed to correct the deviation in indicators. The market is currently in a high-level consolidation phase, but the overall trend remains a phase of upward movement.
The 4-hour chart shows that BTC is still in a channel of oscillating upward, but the short-term gains have been too rapid, suggesting a need for a technical pullback.
Today, attention should be paid to the resistance range of $93,800-$94,800 above. If it cannot effectively break through, it may test the support level of $91,800-$90,800 again. It is recommended to sell high and buy low, waiting for clearer trend signals.

ETH (Ethereum)
Ethereum is about to welcome the Pectra upgrade. Although it is a long-term infrastructure optimization (enhancing network stability and reducing inflation), the market may experience a short-term pullback due to the “positive landing” effect to complete the concentration of chips.
The daily chart has shown a significant rise for two consecutive days and is now approaching the bottom resistance area of $1,780-$1,830 from the end of March. The technical deviation is relatively high, and it may enter a period of oscillation and consolidation in the short term, waiting for the moving average support to shift upwards.
The 4-hour chart indicates that ETH has entered a high-level consolidation phase, with key short-term support at $1,760. If it stabilizes and breaks through $1,950 with volume, it may initiate a second wave of upward movement, targeting around $2,100.
In terms of operations today, focus on the support level of $1,760-$1,740 below and the resistance range of $1,805-$1,825 above.

Fundamentals:
1. Acceleration of AI applications in the U.S. education sector - Former President Trump recently signed an executive order aimed at bringing artificial intelligence technology into classroom teaching, promoting the intelligent transformation of education.

2. Major upgrade for Ethereum is imminent - The ETH mainnet plans to implement the Pectra upgrade on May 7, which is expected to enhance network stability and reduce circulating supply through staking mechanisms, potentially strengthening its deflationary attributes in the long term.

3. Trump-themed dinner is coming soon - On May 22, Washington will host the "TRUMP DINNER" event, with the organizers promising that if the event is canceled or Trump does not attend, participants will receive an exclusive NFT as compensation.

4. Adjustments in Federal Reserve interest rate policy expectations - Market data shows that the probability of maintaining the current interest rate level at the May FOMC meeting has slightly decreased to 94.6%, reflecting a minor adjustment in monetary policy expectations. #TRUMP晚宴

Shanzhai:
When laying out Shanzhai coin spot, the principle of "the strong stay strong" should be followed, but blind chasing of highs should be avoided. Currently, the market should focus on coins with strong rebound momentum in hot sectors to grasp phase-based wave opportunities.
For example: Artificial Intelligence Sector: TAO, FET, LPT have recently performed well and have strong rebound potential;

MEME Sector: WIF, PEOPLE, FLOKI are active in trends and have high capital attention;

Gaming Sector: GALA, GMT, SAND are showing relative strength, and opportunities should be seized.

Patiently wait for low buy opportunities after corrections, avoiding high chasing. The market is volatile, and flexible operations should be combined with technical signals. #BNBChainMeme热潮

Technical Analysis: BTC:
Yesterday's report pointed out that $875-$885 is a key resistance level. During the Asian session, the price faced pressure around $875. Before the US market opened, there was a pullback, followed by a rebound to around $885. In the early morning, it fell back to $864, and the overall trend was in line with expectations.
The daily line closed with a long upper shadow bullish line, driven by market risk aversion, with Bitcoin showing a weak positive correlation with gold, outperforming Ethereum and altcoins. The price rebounded strongly in the morning and reached a recent new high.
On the 4-hour level, after yesterday's surge, it entered a consolidation phase. The K-line retraced to the 7-day moving average before attacking again, maintaining an overall upward trend, but caution is needed for potential pullback signals after the surge. Today's trading suggestion: Focus on resistance at $884-$894 above, and support at $874-$864 below.

ETH:
Ethereum and altcoins are showing weakness, and market funds are more inclined toward Bitcoin, reflecting investors' cautious attitude toward high-volatility assets.
The daily line surged and then fell, closing bearish. In the morning, there was a significant drop testing the $1530 support, and the overall trend is weak, still in a low-level consolidation range.
On the 4-hour level, adjustments began during the European session. A doji star was formed after the morning dip, and the Asian session may continue the consolidation. Today's trading suggestion: Focus on support at $1560-$1540 below and resistance at $1600-$1620 above. #加密市场反弹

Altcoins: Market Analysis
With the rise of Bitcoin, altcoins have generally followed suit, but the overall increase ratio is about 1:2 (BTC rises by 1%, altcoins average rise by 2%), indicating that market liquidity has not fully recovered. However, Bitcoin's rise provides a good market environment for altcoins, and some coins have already shown opportunities for staged upward movement.

Sector Performance
The Artificial Intelligence (AI) sector has shown strong performance recently, with the leading coin FET rebounding over 70% in half a month, and the popular coin TAO nearing a doubling trend.
The same sector's LPT is also worth关注, with short-term resistance around $5; if it breaks through, it may further open up upward space.

Operational Suggestions
The current market is still dominated by BTC, and altcoins need to observe whether Bitcoin's trend stabilizes.
Focus on leading coins in strong sectors (such as AI), but be aware of short-term pullback risks to avoid blindly chasing highs.
If Bitcoin maintains a volatile upward trend, some altcoins may welcome opportunities for a catch-up rally and can be accumulated on dips. #加密市场反弹

Technical Analysis: BTC
Last week, BTC maintained a fluctuation in the range of 83-86, and the weekly candle closed with a small bullish trend. Due to the rapid decline of the USD, Bitcoin's attributes as 'digital gold' were highlighted, quickly rising over 3000 points in the morning, with the weekly candle closing bullish again. Key resistance above is focused on the lines 893 and 918, with strong selling pressure located above 950. It should be noted that the current market is highly sensitive to policies, and fluctuations in the USD's status may continue to impact coin prices, so close attention should be paid to macro policy trends going forward.

Daily Level: After a week of consolidation, the price broke through the key resistance level of 86 in the morning, closing with a strong bullish candle, and steadily rising along the 7-day moving average, establishing a short-term upward trend.
4-Hour Level: After three consecutive small bullish candles, a significant breakout occurred, forming a large bullish candle, but there are signs of stagnation in the shorter cycle, and it is expected to enter a high-level fluctuation and correction during the day. In terms of operation, support below is focused on the range of 865-855, while resistance above is focused on the range of 875-885. After a pullback and stabilization, opportunities for long positions can be considered.

ETH Trend Analysis:
The weekly candle continuously closed with doji candles, indicating insufficient upward momentum, but driven by BTC, the short-term target can be seen around 1720, with significant selling pressure above 1780.
Daily Level: The recent half-month high is under pressure at the line of 1690, and there has not yet been an effective breakthrough, with low market attention from funds. The current daily trend still maintains a slight upward trend, needing further volume to confirm direction.
4-Hour Level: After a reduced volume increase last night, the morning saw a large bullish candle with volume increase, but stagnation is observed in the short cycle. The day may first correct and then continue the upward trend. In terms of operation, support below is focused on the range of 1620-1600, while resistance above is focused on the range of 1660-1680, with a suggestion to mainly seek long positions after a pullback.

Altcoins: Significant Capital Diversification, Focus on Ethereum Trends
Recently, the altcoin market's performance is highly similar to the market conditions of September-October last year, showing a clear tendency for capital concentration:
Bitcoin is independently strengthening, demonstrating significant resilience, while most altcoins continue to see diminishing volume and corrections;
Market liquidity is relatively weak, with capital mainly concentrated in BTC and a few strong leading coins (such as SOL, TON);
The performance of altcoins is highly dependent on Ethereum (ETH), rather than Bitcoin. If ETH experiences a phase rebound, some strong altcoins may quickly rise by 30%-50%; conversely, if ETH corrects, altcoins are likely to retreat in unison.

Current Market is Severely Diverging
BTC shows a strong technical outlook, with daily charts indicating an upward trend;
ETH's performance is weak, dragging down the overall performance of altcoins, leading to a polarized market.

Operational Strategy
In the short term, focus on ETH trends; if ETH stabilizes and rebounds, consider strategically positioning in strong altcoins;
If ETH continues to show weakness, the altcoin market may remain under pressure, requiring caution.

Current altcoin trends should use ETH as a barometer; before there is a clear improvement in capital liquidity, avoid blindly bottom-fishing and wait for signals of ETH stabilization. #Metaplanet增持比特币

Technical Analysis: BTC (Bitcoin)
Daily Level: Bitcoin is currently in a critical consolidation phase, with significant resistance forming around $86,000, experiencing multiple pullbacks after spikes; strong support is seen at $83,000, with robust rebound strength.
Yesterday's daily close was positive, but the trading volume did not significantly increase, indicating insufficient rebound momentum. If there is a subsequent breakout with increased volume and a stable position above $86,000, it may open up upward potential, targeting $90,000-$95,000; conversely, if there is continued volume contraction or a breakdown below the $83,000 support, it may turn bearish in the short term, with support levels to watch at $77,000-$72,000.

4-Hour Level: Currently in a high-range consolidation, the volatility is gradually narrowing, and the short-term trend is slightly bullish. For intraday trading, watch for resistance at $85,500-$86,500 above and key support at $83,500-$82,500 below.

ETH (Ethereum)
Daily Level: Recently, multiple tests of the $1,600 resistance have faced rejection and pulled back, indicating a generally weak trend. The K-line is oscillating downward along the 14-day moving average, with continuous shrinkage in trading volume and insufficient upward momentum. In the short term, maintain a bearish outlook, waiting for a breakout signal to confirm a trend reversal.

4-Hour Level: Since the high point on the 14th, the trend has shown a downward oscillation, with rebound peaks gradually lowering and trading volume shrinking, indicating a need to be cautious of technical pullback risks. For intraday trading, watch for resistance at $1,610-$1,630 above and key support at $1,550-$1,530 below. #币安LaunchpoolINIT

Altcoins: Recent Trend Observation
The overall market is showing a pattern of gradual decline, with the pullback gradually narrowing, but there has not yet been a clear stabilization signal.
The daily level maintains a trend of oscillating downwards, highly correlated with Ethereum (ETH), and still lacks independent momentum for a short-term rally.

Operation Strategy: Current Recommendation: Maintain a wait-and-see approach, waiting for clearer right-side signals.
Pay close attention to Ethereum's trend; if ETH stabilizes and rebounds, it may boost sentiment in the altcoin market.
Aggressive investors may consider small positions in oversold rebound opportunities, but strict stop-loss measures are necessary.

Future Focus Areas
Potential Sectors: Artificial Intelligence (AI), Blockchain Gaming (GameFi), Meme coins, and other recently popular tracks.
Coin Selection Logic: Prioritize targets with strong downside resistance, good liquidity, and stable fundamentals; specifics can be discussed privately.

Technical Analysis: BTC (Bitcoin)
Market Review: Influenced by the Federal Reserve's speech in the early morning, Bitcoin quickly dropped over 2500 points within half an hour, and then rebounded rapidly by over 1000 points due to favorable policies (mainstreaming of cryptocurrencies and expectations of regulatory easing).

Daily Level: The price has tested the 83 level multiple times without breaking it, and has stabilized and rebounded during the European and American trading sessions. The recent K-line structure shows a high-level fluctuation pattern, with strong support at the 83 line, but the highs above are gradually descending. Currently, the daily opening is below the 7-day moving average, and the overall movement is within the 83-86 range.

Technical Structure: 4-Hour Level: The rebound last night formed a lower high, but overall it still shows a bearish trend. If it effectively breaks below the 83 support, it may open up further downward space.

Key Levels: Upper Resistance: 845-855, Lower Support: 825-815

Operational Strategy: Maintain a fluctuation mindset in the short term. If the rebound is pressured in the 845-855 area, consider short positions. If it breaks below the 825-815 support, it may accelerate the downward movement.

ETH (Ethereum)
Market Review: Yesterday's movement was in line with expectations, maintaining a fluctuation range of 1610-1540, overall showing a downward trend, but the decline has narrowed.
The daily level is still under pressure from moving averages, with the 14-day moving average continuing to decline. In the short term, it still mainly consolidates weakly.

Technical Structure: 4-Hour Level: The recent high at 1680 has formed resistance, and it is currently in a downward fluctuation channel, with limited short-term rebound momentum.

Key Levels: Upper Resistance: 1600-1630, Lower Support: 1550-1520
Operational Strategy: If the rebound encounters resistance in the 1600-1630 area, consider short positions. If it breaks below 1550, it may further test the 1520 support.

Market Dynamics:
1. The latest statements from the Federal Reserve Chairman release multiple signals: emphasizing the independence of monetary policy from administrative interference, pointing out that trade barriers may lead to sustained inflationary pressures, believing that the job market shows a healthy balance, holding a cautiously optimistic attitude toward the development of AI technology, clearly ruling out the possibility of policy bailouts, mentioning that digital assets are accelerating their integration into the traditional financial system, and suggesting that banking regulation standards may be moderately adjusted.

2. The latest pricing in the interest rate futures market indicates that the probability of the May FOMC meeting remaining unchanged is around 83%.

Market Reaction: Major stock indices are fluctuating downward, with a worsening decline towards the end of trading, safe-haven assets continue to strengthen, and gold prices have reached new historic highs.
#鲍威尔发言