若兮加密论

Chased a doughnut near 1051, exited at 1063, with a space of one thousand two hundred points!

This afternoon's market trend also broke the two-day fluctuation, breaking through the key position of 1060!

Only with a firm goal can the mission be accomplished.

In the Bitcoin trading market, signals from candlestick patterns must be validated by confirming candles, rather than relying solely on a single candlestick. For example, the Evening Star pattern requires subsequent large bearish candles to confirm a downtrend; otherwise, it may fail. Traders should pay attention to volume coordination and market trends, and analyze support and resistance levels to avoid misjudgments due to market fluctuations. Confirmation signals at the daily level are generally more reliable. Currently, Bitcoin prices are highly volatile, and a single candlestick, such as a shadow candlestick, only provides preliminary clues. It is essential to combine subsequent trends and the market environment for a comprehensive judgment to improve the accuracy of trading decisions.

The SOL strategy provided yesterday was precise, entering at 142 and exiting at 147, with a five-point space!

The value of this post is still rising! The given Ether Silk Road dual kill! Precise positioning!

In the past two days, Bitcoin and Ethereum have continued to fluctuate within a narrow range. Multiple signals are being released from a technical perspective: the emergence of the Red Three Soldiers candlestick pattern, a bullish crossover in the KDJ indicator at a low level, and the characteristics of a bottoming pattern with reduced volume suggest that short-term tentative rebound momentum is accumulating.

From a trend perspective, the current market maintains a fluctuating upward rhythm in the short term, but the highs are showing a stair-step downward trend. It is recommended that Bitcoin continues to be short on rebounds as long as it does not break above 106,000.

Personal advice is for reference only.
Short Bitcoin around 105,500, targeting a drop to the 103,000 level.
Short Ethereum around 2,550, targeting a drop to the 2,450 level.

Intraday fluctuations are less than one point, plus the US stock market is closed tonight, the overall market is in a sideways oscillation state. Today's market is truly boring!
The high-level strategy given this morning captured a space of one thousand points! Lock in profits!

From 10,000 to 1,000,000! What do you need to do?
In the cryptocurrency world, it's a fast track to wealth but also a minefield for beginners! Want to turn 3,000 into 1,000,000? You need to understand the game! Spot trading, contracts, DeFi—choosing the right path is essential for winning; following blindly will only make you a 'leek.' In 2025, with bull-bear cycles, high volatility hides opportunities! I have summarized 6 major strategies + 3 mental techniques to help you avoid pitfalls and hit your first bucket of gold!
6 Major Strategies:
1. Buying the dip: If it falls for 9 consecutive days, buy with your eyes closed on the 10th! This signal often appears with BTC and ETH when the market is being shaken out.
2. Selling the rally: If it rises for 2 consecutive days, sell immediately to secure profits! Recent pullbacks in SOL and AVAX validate this rule.
3. Breakout from sideways: If it consolidates for 6 days, follow up with increased volume on the 7th day, ARB and OP often show this trend.
4. Stop loss the next day: If you haven’t made a profit by the second day, cut your losses decisively! Time cost is an invisible killer.
5. The 3-5-7 Rule: If a coin is in the top 3 of the gainers, it will push into the top 5; if it’s in the top 5, it will push into the top 7—don’t wait to break even!
6. The curse of avoiding pits: If it rises for 4 consecutive days, be cautious of a sell-off at 3 PM on the 5th day, a tactic of quantitative machines!
3 Mental Techniques:
• Dollar-cost averaging: Buy a bit each week to average your cost; BTC and ETH are stable.
• Long-term holding: Don’t chase highs or panic sell, hold onto mainstream coins for big swings.
• Risk management: Only invest spare money; don’t exceed a 10% position in a single coin!
From 10,000 to 1,000,000, catch 10x coins in a bull market, and dollar-cost average mainstream coins in a bear market; 8 years of compound interest is to be expected! Want to learn more? Follow me for continuous insights!

Ethereum (ETH) short-term strategy: Short on rallies, enter short positions in batches as the 4-hour chart rebounds to the 2551-2580 resistance range, with support levels at 2487 and 2465 for small long positions, avoiding operations at the mid-price level.
Solana (SOL) to build long positions in batches as it retraces to the 142-144 support range, consider shorting at the 151-153 resistance level, as indicators have broken through, be cautious of volatility risks.
It is recommended to set strict stop-losses, with single position control at 1-2%, and closely monitor Bitcoin's trend and market sentiment. Trading involves risks, caution is required when entering the market, and confirm entry points by combining on-chain data and technical indicators! $ETH
$SOL

The cryptocurrency market is tumultuous! Bitcoin has fallen below 6,000, with daily fluctuations shifting to weekly adjustments. Major players may take the opportunity to suppress prices, and the market is brewing for greater volatility. Currently, the demand zone is a key observation point — major funds often accumulate here repeatedly; each price dip attracts buying interest, indicating strong buying power. When making judgments, it's essential to closely monitor trading volume: if there's high volume near the demand zone, it indicates large capital entering the market, increasing the chances of a rebound; if volume decreases during dips and increases during rises, it often signals that major players are controlling the market. In terms of operation, only when the demand zone resonates with high trading volume is it worth entering. Demand zones without volume support are easily broken, and blindly trying to catch the bottom carries high risks. The evacuation of Iranians has heightened geopolitical risks, the Federal Reserve did not cut interest rates in June, and expectations for July are bleak. Trump's cryptocurrency policies fail to conceal the downward trend, and market turmoil is intensifying, so traders need to lay out their strategies carefully.

6.19 Morning Bitcoin Ethereum Silk Road

The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in the early morning remains unchanged, which did not have a significant impact on the market. Bitcoin has dropped from around 1053 to 1034 and has rebounded after hitting the bottom, currently fluctuating around 1050. Ethereum's movement is in sync with Bitcoin, dipping to 2470 before quickly rebounding, and currently adjusting around 2530. The market is experiencing intense long and short battles.
From the analysis of the four-hour chart, Bitcoin is hovering around the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. Although there is a rebound, it has not broken through the key range. The MACD green bars are shortening, and the fast and slow lines are near the zero axis. The daily line is running in a death cross, and the RSI value is 50, which is neutral but slightly weak, though it has not entered the oversold area. The focus is on whether the 1060 level can be broken and held; it is expected to oscillate within a box range after this point. The main strategy is to sell high and buy low.
Personal advice for reference only
For Bitcoin, look at 1054-1058, watch 1035-1040, if it breaks down, continue to look lower; if the support holds, you can try a short position.
For Ethereum, look at 2550, watch 2450-2480, if it breaks down, continue to look lower; if the support holds, you can try a short position.

The evening public notification of the high silk road has reached 1,300 points!

Opportunities are always fleeting; only by knowing and acting in unity can we walk alongside them.

6.19 Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum Market

From the current market analysis, the price of Bitcoin reached the key level of 1055 in the morning yesterday, then slightly moved down to test the strength of the bottom support. By the evening, the support level showed effective holding power, which triggered a rebound. The current market presents a significant box fluctuation pattern, with tonight's focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and Powell's speech. Based on recent macroeconomic data analysis, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates is nearly zero, and it is highly likely to maintain the current interest rate level. Under this expectation, if there are no unexpected factors disturbing the market, it may continue to exhibit a fluctuating trend. It is worth noting that the current market's bullish sentiment is continuously heating up, suggesting that the strategy should mainly focus on low buying.

Key attention should be placed on the critical support level of 1033; if this level is lost, one may consider going short; if the support holds, the bullish trend is likely to continue.

The operational advice is for reference only.

For Bitcoin, it is recommended to set up long positions in the range of 1033-1038, with a target near 1055-1063.
For Ethereum, it is recommended to set up long positions in the range of 2470-2490, with a target near 2550-2580.

Four Signals to Determine a Downtrend:
1. Downward Trend Line
Draw a trend line by connecting price highs or lows, and observe whether each rebound can break the previous high. If the price is consistently constrained by the downward trend line, with each rebound unable to break the previous high (such as the resistance level for BTC or the key resistance level for ETH), then a bearish pattern is clear.
Tip ⚠️: In the crypto market, it is recommended to draw trend lines using 4-hour or daily cycles, as the 1-hour line may be influenced by market noise (such as false breakouts or whale manipulation).
2. Moving Average Suppressing Price
When the price consistently operates below key moving averages (such as MA20, MA50, or EMA200), and rebounds to the moving average before falling back, it indicates that the moving average has become a strong resistance, solidifying the bearish trend. For example, BTC breaking below MA200 often triggers panic selling in the market.
Tip ⚠️: The crypto market is highly volatile, and the EMA (Exponential Moving Average) is more sensitive to short-term price changes, making it suitable for capturing fast-paced market movements; long-term moving averages (such as MA200) are used to assess the overall trend.
3. Lower Highs and Lower Lows
The price structure exhibits a pattern of 'lower highs and lower lows,' where the highs of each rebound are lower than the previous high, and the lows continue to set new lows (a typical trend for altcoins in a bear market), indicating that bearish forces are continuously dominant.
Tip ⚠️: Analyze in conjunction with candlestick patterns (such as a descending channel or M pattern) to confirm trend strength. Pay attention to trading volume; if new lows are made with increased volume, the bearish trend is more reliable.
4. Death Cross Confirms Bearish Trend
When the short-term moving average (such as MA5, MA10) crosses below the long-term moving average (such as MA20, MA50), forming a 'death cross,' it is a strong signal that a downtrend is established. For example, the death cross for ETH at the beginning of the bear market in 2022 triggered a significant decline.
Tip ⚠️: The death cross signal should be verified in conjunction with other indicators (such as RSI oversold, MACD green bars expanding) to avoid false signals in a choppy market. The 24-hour trading nature of the crypto market may cause the death cross signal to lag, so multiple time frames should be monitored.

Collect a thousand points in the evening!

This week is about to pass its midpoint, all strategies are provided in advance, and can be verified across the entire network. This is Ruoxi's ability to grasp trends!

The given direction and target are precisely reached! This is your sister's confidence! The Ether wave segment's short position is accurately predicted, and the market dips as expected! Real members have secured over 100 points of space! Cashing out 21,000 oil!

The market has never been a charitable place; it follows the law of the jungle! For those still observing, the pattern has opened up and the direction is clear at this moment. Keeping up with the rhythm is essential to seize the opportunity!

Twelfth Batch of Cabin Students

Near Ethereum 2478, exit at 2530, 52 points of space, pocketed 9406 oil⛽️ (Accumulated 100,000 oil⛽️ has achieved the cabin flipping goal!)

There are many opportunities, but few can👌 seize them! Choice is greater than effort!

The strategy for positioning against the Federal Reserve remains unchanged

If there is a rate cut, go long directly, manage your position well, and every dip is an opportunity to buy

If it remains unchanged, continue to wait for the daily lower bound to set up long positions

If there is a rate hike, go short directly, and any rebound is an opportunity to short

However, 98% of people believe that the interest rate decision at 2 AM tonight will remain unchanged, and a rate cut is expected to start in September