夏普先生

Keep calm and integrate knowledge and action.

2024.09.12:

The original @Kingfisher account could not be logged in due to Binance security restrictions (mandatory face recognition login). After communicating with Binance to no avail, it was decided to change the account. In the future, positions and transaction data will be released by this account.

We have already released real-time data on Coincoin. Because it is not convenient to publish positions in real time, only subscription codes are available for subscription at this stage. Friends who need subscription codes can send private messages or leave messages. PS: There are other small accounts under this account, which can be viewed directly.

Account status: Balance: $278,807, Position: $184,626. Dividends of 130,000 U, total yield close to 280%. The market risk will be relatively large before and after the interest rate cut cycle. It is not recommended to exceed 1 times the leverage, and wait for large fluctuations to come before adding positions.

Risk warning: Leverage is not a devil, but a tool to improve the utilization rate of funds. Leverage itself has no risk, and the real risk comes from human nature.
#DOGSONBINANCE #CPI_BTC_Watch #TelegramCEO #PowellAtJacksonHole #TopCoinsJune2024

With the significant rebound of the market, especially altcoins, the account has returned to a new high level. After nearly half a year of decline, it has reached a new high again in just three days. This is the charm of position management - never lose your position, never get stuck!

The current market is facing strong resistance, and a correction will occur in the short term before it can continue to rise. During this time, maintain a certain level of patience to build positions and wait for the rebound.

$btc $eth $xrp

As mentioned last week, the market has not fallen, maintaining a slight rise. Our account has a drawdown of about 7% from the peak, with the current position at 0.62. The structure looks bullish, and small coins are worth laying out, especially those that are undervalued, such as ssv, dodo, etc. Returning to a market cap of 100 million is still very easy!

The market has actually become simpler at this point; the bad news has all been released, and the only greater bad news would be war or a halt in trade, but the probability of that is relatively low or serves as a bluff. Trump is now at a loss for what to do; he is quite skilled at making money through shouting orders. The current account position is at 60%, which is very healthy. If BTC dares to plummet, we dare to increase our positions. Who's afraid of whom? 😘.

Maintaining 3-5 times leverage without facing liquidation, any rebound could lead to a historical high in the account. Even in this poor market condition, our account has only lost a few percent, performing very well, and the future looks promising!

Finally, we assess that the last shot has not been fully delivered yet; risk control must be done well!

BTC ETH BNB

An article published some time ago predicted that a significant drop at the 312 level was coming, urging you to liquidate immediately, and it now seems completely correct! Wait for the bloodbath, my darlings. Currently, the pullback is about 11%, the risk is controllable, and we are waiting for a crash!
$btc $eth $xrp

As mentioned before, the market will experience a significant drop, altcoins continue to bottom out, and only mainstream coins have buying power. Now ETH is approaching a short-term low, with 1850 showing no signs of support. This wave of lows is expected to see between 1300-1500, so manage your positions well! $ETH th $BTC $BNB

Adjustments will only make the market healthier.

The account is close to a new high, just need a moderate rebound. The position ratio is 0.64, a neither heavy nor light figure, very suitable, with altcoins only accounting for 50%, the risk is not big, looking forward to a bigger rebound in the future to make gains!!! btc eth bnb #BinanceAlphaAlert

The market is not a casino; it is a hunting ground.

The account currently has a 62% position, half of which is in mainstream coins (BTC, ETH, BNB, CRV). Be cautious in going long, and set proper stop-loss and take-profit levels. Currently, it appears to be in a localized fluctuation, unable to break out of the larger trend.

Main market trends:
The US dollar index continues to weaken, hitting a 5-month low at 103.4.
Gold prices have surged, approaching the historical high of $3040 per ounce.
Oil prices have exhibited a V-shaped reversal, influenced by the agreement to not attack energy facilities in the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
The three major US stock indices have collectively declined, with technology stocks leading the drop.
Hong Kong stocks performed strongly, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.46%, and technology stocks showing outstanding performance.

Important events:
Middle East situation: Israel launched airstrikes on Gaza, resulting in over 400 deaths.
Russia-Ukraine conflict: Both sides agreed not to attack energy facilities for 30 days.
Canadian inflation unexpectedly rose to 2.6%, cooling interest rate cut expectations.
NVIDIA's GTC conference released the next generation of AI chips and other important products.
Xiaomi reported strong financial results, with both revenue and net profit hitting historical highs.

Recent focus points:
Today's Bank of Japan interest rate decision.
Eurozone CPI data.
US EIA crude oil inventory.
Federal Reserve FOMC interest rate decision and Powell's press conference.

Current position adjusted between 45-50%, currently mainly building positions in large varieties, risk is controllable, small coins have the risk of being delisted and excessive fluctuations, do not heavily participate. 50% of the existing positions are in large coins, BTC, ETH, BNB, AAVE, CRV. The moving averages have begun to flatten, a major crash does not seem likely at the moment, it is more probable that there will be a gradual fluctuation/rise, with the moving averages flattening structure.

Market Overview:
Bitcoin has briefly fallen below multiple integer levels ($89,000, $88,000, $87,000, $86,000)
Over 150,000 people liquidated within 24 hours
The cryptocurrency market is declining across the board
Mainstream coins decline: ADA (-9%), DOGE (-8%), ETH (-6%), SOL (-5%)

Positive Factors to Note:
The U.S. government officially establishes a strategic Bitcoin reserve
The reserve size is about 200,000 Bitcoins
The government promises not to sell the Bitcoins in the reserve
Institutional investor confidence is increasing (government recognition is improving)

Risks to be Aware of:
The market may have already reacted in advance to positive expectations
Short-term needs more positive support for price
Other cryptocurrencies being included in reserves may trigger controversy
Details of policy implementation are yet to be clarified

Investment Advice:
Pay attention to the progress of policy implementation
Be wary of short-term volatility risks
Manage risks well
Differentiate the investment logic of Bitcoin from other crypto assets

Risk Warning:
The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, investors need to make cautious decisions, reasonably control positions, and strictly implement stop-loss strategies. This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#NFPCryptoImpact #WhiteHouseCryptoSummit

Get ready for the arrival of a big wave! Currently, the account drawdown is 3.5%, this time we are making large-scale positions in major cryptocurrencies btc eth aave. Trump's rise will first burst the bubble, and then rise from the bottom, rather than continue to elevate Biden's platform!

The prediction of a major crash a few days ago was disrupted by Trump's call, however, on Monday, due to the weak willingness of funds to buy at the bottom, it still broke new lows, so the original assumption remains unchanged, and the trend has not changed.

As mentioned yesterday, the second exploration has arrived, currently holding less than 30% of positions, strictly controlling drawdowns, waiting for the major crash of BTC to start the altcoin market.

February 26, 2025

Market Overview

The price of Bitcoin has recently experienced a significant decline, currently finding temporary support near $86,000. It broke below the key psychological level of $90,000 yesterday, triggering large-scale liquidations in the market. Reports indicate that approximately 250,000 people faced liquidation within the past 24 hours, totaling around $1.06 billion in forced liquidations.

Key Market Factors
Macroeconomic Impact

The Trump administration's 25% tariff policy on Canada and Mexico has triggered risk-averse sentiments in the market.
Expectations of interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve are pressuring risk assets.
Tech stocks (such as Tesla) have recently performed poorly, dragging down overall market sentiment.

Industry Security Events

Bybit and Infini exchanges reported security vulnerabilities, allegedly affecting assets worth around $1.5 billion.
Security incidents have intensified market panic, further prompting investors to sell off.

Institutional Fund Flows

Bitcoin spot ETFs have reportedly attracted around $36.4 billion in inflows this year.
Ethereum ETFs recorded approximately $2.4 billion in inflows.
Institutions may be increasing holdings during price corrections.

Technical Analysis

Current market technical indicators show:

Short-term support level: $86,000 (current level)
Further support range: $84,500 - $73,800
Market sentiment index is at its lowest level since August.
Liquidation of leveraged positions may exacerbate short-term volatility.

Stablecoin Market Development

The landscape of the stablecoin market is changing:

Tether (USDT) market share is being challenged.
Circle collaborates with Binance to strengthen the USDC ecosystem.
Diversification of stablecoins may affect DeFi liquidity distribution.

Global Regulatory Environment

The Bitcoin investment bill in South Dakota has not passed.
The Czech Republic is reportedly considering allocating 5% of reserves to Bitcoin.
El Salvador continues to advance its Bitcoin strategy.
The Trump administration appointed new SEC chairman Paul Atkins, and the market is taking a wait-and-see attitude towards regulatory policy direction.

Risk Warning

Current market leverage remains high, amplifying volatility effects.
Large-scale liquidations may trigger a chain reaction.
Policy uncertainty continues to affect market expectations.
Security incidents may further impact market confidence.

Protect the profits that have already been gained.

The market opened unfavorably on Monday, and due to the theft at Bybit this weekend, accounts were liquidated immediately to avoid risks and re-establish positions. For the impending downward trend, patience is essential; the process of a second dip is always challenging, and one must be bold in building positions.

Market Analysis for February 24, 2025:
Market Overview:
- Bybit was hacked, with over $1.4 billion worth of cryptocurrency assets stolen
- The incident sets a new record for the largest single theft in cryptocurrency history
- Market concerns about the security of centralized exchanges have intensified

Positive Factors to Note:
- Bybit quickly restored deposits and withdrawals, with ETH reserves recovering about 70%
- The bounty recovery program has attracted global cybersecurity experts to participate

Risks to Be Aware Of:
- The hacker attack reveals vulnerabilities in the exchange's security system
- User panic withdrawals exacerbate the run on the exchange

Investment Advice:
- Strengthen awareness of security measures for centralized exchanges
- Consider the potential advantages of decentralized exchanges

Risk Warning: Leverage is not the devil; it is merely a tool to enhance capital efficiency. Leverage itself carries no risk; the real risk comes from human nature.

Reverse investment sowing, waiting for time to bloom.

The market is currently in a volatile period, we maintain a leverage of 0.52, waiting for the market rebound. If a significant drop occurs, we will enter the market again and increase leverage for buying. The current account is basically at a high value, and there is no need for excessive position adjustments.

Market analysis on February 19, 2024:
Market Overview:
- Gold returns to the $2930 mark, approaching historical highs
- The dollar index rose by 0.28%, closing at 107.04
- The three major A-share indices declined, with bank stocks performing strongly against the trend
- European and American stock markets fluctuated slightly, with mixed performance in technology stocks

Positive factors worth noting:
- China will implement a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy
- The National Development and Reform Commission supports private enterprises participating in the "two highs and two new" construction
- The U.S. and Russia have begun dialogue on the Ukraine issue, proposing a three-stage peace plan
- Institutional investors' risk appetite is recovering

Risks to be cautious of:
- Trump's proposal for a 25% car tariff plan raises market concerns
- G7 considers tightening the price cap on Russian oil
- Uncertainty remains in the geopolitical situation
- Valuation pressures emerge for AI concept stocks

Risk Warning: Leverage is not a devil; it is merely a tool to enhance capital efficiency. Leverage itself does not carry risk; the real risk comes from human nature.

Restrain your impulse and embrace compound interest.

Market analysis on February 13, 2025:
This week, the market showed the following characteristics:
- Bitcoin is still hovering below $100,000, but analysts say the probability of reaching $125,000 by the end of June has risen to 44%.
- GameStop considers adding Bitcoin to its balance sheet, and its stock price rose 18% after hours.
- Texas lawmakers resubmitted the Bitcoin Reserve Bill to promote the legalization of cryptocurrencies.
- The whale exchange fund inflow indicator is close to a 5-year high, suggesting that the Bitcoin bull market may return.
- South Korea will allow institutions to sell cryptocurrency donations, further boosting market development.

Positive factors worth paying attention to:
- Institutional investors' interest in Bitcoin continues to rise, and market confidence has increased.
- After experiencing short-term fluctuations, Bitcoin prices still have the potential to break upward.

Risks to be vigilant:
- The release of CPI data triggered a wave of Bitcoin selling, and market volatility increased.
- Six men kidnapped a Chicago family and forced them to transfer $15 million in cryptocurrency.

Risk warning: Investment is risky, please be cautious when entering the market. This information is not intended as investment and financial advice.
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#BNBChainMeme热潮 #美国加征关税

Heavy positions at low risk! The account mother has a leverage of 0.55 times, bullish, waiting for the rise!

Market analysis on February 10, 2025:
Sovereign wealth funds begin to allocate Bitcoin
At a time when the cutting-edge dynamics in the financial and technological fields are attracting much attention, Cathie Wood, founder, CEO and chief investment officer of Ark Invest, expressed a series of forward-looking and influential views in an in-depth interview with Bloomberg.
Positive factors worth paying attention to:
- Cathie Wood pays special attention to DeepSeek's open source AI model, believing that it may break the current market pattern and prompt more companies to participate in the competition.
- Cryptocurrency is leading the next Internet revolution, and the participation of institutional investors in Bitcoin futures has increased from 17% to 63%.
Risks to be vigilant:
- The investment decisions of sovereign wealth funds have a vane effect. The Norwegian Oil Fund holds 42,000 BTC, showing the importance of cryptocurrency in global asset allocation.
- Bitcoin is becoming a balance sheet tool for technology companies. Companies such as MicroStrategy and Tesla have used Bitcoin as an important means to optimize asset structure.
Investment advice:
- Pay attention to changes in the cryptocurrency market, especially the trends of sovereign wealth funds.
- Be alert to market volatility and do a good job of fund management and risk control.
Risk warning: Investment is risky and you should be cautious when entering the market. This information is not intended as investment and financial advice.
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
#美国加征关税

Don't aim to make a big profit every time, but rather to stay alive every time!

BTC peaked above 100,000, but for 99% of people, no matter how much it rises, it doesn't matter anymore. The liquidation is what the market makers love the most, while retail investors can only watch helplessly as their account balances dwindle. This account is only 5% away from its highest return; a slight rebound in altcoins could achieve a new historical high again! Most KOLs have lost their chips to institutions, truly the 'xue mantou'!

Market Analysis as of February 4, 2025:
This week's market characteristics:
- BTC price fluctuating in the range of $91,000-$100,500
- ETH experienced a violent spike, dropping from $2800 to $2100 before a strong rebound
- Market trading volume significantly increased
- Both long and short positions exploded, leading to massive liquidations

Positive factors to watch:
- Trump administration suspends tariffs on Mexico and Canada
- Positive expectations for BTC strategic reserve-related policies
- Dense buy orders in the range of $92,000-$97,000
- ETH shows typical technical reversal signals

Risks to be cautious about:
- The market is heavily influenced by policy news
- Increased short-term volatility
- Significantly heightened risk in leveraged trading
- Potential for a second bottom test

Investment advice:
- Pay attention to the support range of $94,000-$98,000
- Be wary of ETH's pullback risk near $2800
- Avoid using leverage to catch the bottom
- Maintain patience and manage positions well

Risk warning:
The cryptocurrency market is highly risky, and investors are advised to:
- Avoid chasing highs and selling lows
- Strictly implement stop losses
- Do not use excessive leverage
- Maintain a rational investment mindset

Risk warning: During periods of high market volatility, investors are advised to remain rational and manage risks well.

$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#加密市场反弹

Trading is not about moving forward with a heavy burden, but about following the trend.

We have been reminding people of risks since December. The post on January 12 has already reminded people not to participate in the fishtail market, because the ones who will be harvested are the retail investors who chase the long positions. Therefore, our positions have been very light recently, and it was not until this morning that they increased to more than 85%. Our retracement in this round of decline was controlled at 10%, which is not an exaggeration to say that we are the best in the market. So always respect the market and leverage. Only those who keep the principal are the real winners!

Market analysis on February 3, 2025:
- BTC plummeted 6.83%, hitting a low of $91,130 per coin
- ETH plummeted 25%, hitting a new low of $2,080 per coin in the past year
- TRUMP coin fell to $15.554 per coin, a 24-hour drop of 17%
- 720,000 people were liquidated, with a total amount of $2.21 billion
Important data details:
- BTC has fallen for four consecutive trading days
- Long orders were liquidated for $1.87 billion, and short orders were liquidated for $340 million
- The largest single liquidation: Binance-ETH, $25.635 million
- TRUMP coin fell from $43 to $15.554 in 12 days
Main reasons for the decline:
- Trump threatened to impose import tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China
- DeepSeek surpassed ChatGPT, triggering turmoil in US technology stocks
- Nvidia's market value plummeted, affecting overall risk assets
- Market risk aversion heats up
Market risk warning:
- Mainstream currencies collectively plummeted, and market panic spread
- Geopolitical risks intensified
- AI concept stocks fluctuated more
- Leveraged trading risks increased significantly
Investment advice:
- Control positions and strictly stop losses
- Avoid chasing declines and bottom-fishing
- Pay attention to policy changes
- Use leverage with caution
Risk warning: During the period of drastic market fluctuations, investors are advised to remain rational and do a good job of risk management.

$BTC $ETH $XRP
#加密市场回调 #微策略持续增持BTC

Don’t care about profit and loss, embrace principles.

2025.1.19 Market Analysis:
BTC price has rebounded to around $101,000
It briefly fell to $98,000 on Monday
The market is waiting for the resolution of the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting

Impact of important events
FOMC meeting (tomorrow):
The market expects to maintain interest rates unchanged (97.3% probability)
The target range is expected to remain at 4.25%-4.5%
It is necessary to pay attention to Powell's speech attitude

Other influencing factors:
China's AI model DeepSeek news caused market fluctuations
Trump's support for interest rate cuts brought political factors
Bitcoin ETF continues to affect market structure
Snake Year theme tokens show active retail speculation

Technical analysis
Key price:
Current shock range: around $103,000
Major support: $97,000
Minor support: $94,000 (fair value)
Risk support: $88,900
Important resistance: $107,000
Breakthrough target: above $110,000

Investment advice
1. Short-term strategy:
Avoid excessive attention to short-term fluctuations
Wait for the results of the FOMC meeting
Pay attention to key price breakthroughs

Risk reminder: The market always has risks and opportunities. It is recommended to reasonably allocate positions according to your risk tolerance and do a good job of risk management.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

Discipline is the insurance policy for trading.

Market conditions on January 25, 2025:
- BTC has fallen from a high of $109,000 to below $105,000
- Spot ETFs continue to see inflows (7 consecutive days of positive inflows, over $500 million in the past day)
- Total assets under ETF management have exceeded $123 billion
- BlackRock ETF is performing actively (over $1 billion in trading volume in the first two hours)

Technical Analysis
1. Indicator Signals:
- CMF (Chaikin Money Flow) is declining, indicating market weakness
- DMI and ADX (Directional Indicators) are at low levels
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows signs of a downward reversal
- MACD indicates reduced buying pressure
2. Key Price Levels:
- Support Level: $102,500
- Resistance Range: $106,013 - $107,419

Investment Advice
1. Short-term Operations:
- Pay attention to the performance at the $102,500 support level
- Avoid chasing highs, wait for a pullback opportunity
- It is recommended to set stop-loss levels to protect positions
2. Medium to Long-term Layout:
- Continuous entry from institutions is a positive signal
- ETF inflows remain positive
- Consider gradually building positions on dips

Risk Warning
- Long-term holders show signs of selling
- The market may continue to consolidate
- Breaking new highs requires more buying support

Risk Reminder: The market is always a coexistence of risk and opportunity. It is advisable to allocate positions reasonably based on your risk tolerance and to manage risks effectively.

$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#BSC生态活力释放 #山寨币走势展望 #新币挖矿你参加了吗？

Buy what it's worth, sell what’s crazy.

Market analysis on January 22, 2025:
Recent market characteristics:
- BTC reached an all-time high, peaking at $110,000 per coin
- TRUMP token plummeted over 30% within 24 hours
- Approximately 324,000 people were liquidated within 24 hours, with a total amount reaching $1.038 billion
- TRUMP token trading volume increased by 266.52% in 24 hours

Important information to note:
- Trump's team holds 80% of the tokens (800 million tokens)
- Only 20% of the tokens (200 million tokens) are issued for market circulation
- Trump's personal net worth surged by 400% due to the token's rise (from $5 billion to $28 billion)
- First Lady Melania Trump also launched her own Meme coin

Potential risk warnings:
- TRUMP token is considered a "air token" and lacks actual value support
- The team's holding ratio is too high, posing a significant selling pressure risk
- Tokens will be gradually released to 1 billion tokens over the next three years
- Could affect the overall stability of the cryptocurrency market

Investment advice:
- Beware of the speculative risks of TRUMP tokens and similar Meme coins
- Pay attention to changes in the Federal Reserve's digital currency policy
- Avoid chasing highs and prioritize capital safety
- Remain cautious about tokens with no actual application scenarios

Risk warning: The virtual currency market is highly volatile; investment should be cautious, and be aware of the risks posed by "shell game" type exits.
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#特朗普就职后行情怎么走？ #TRUMP市值突破 #特朗普上台概念币有哪些？ #BTC重回10万