EzyRen

The Federal Reserve is now widely expected to cut interest rates in September 2025, as weak payroll data and slowing economic growth raise concerns across financial markets. Goldman Sachs has even forecasted multiple rate cuts throughout the remainder of the year. But what does this mean for crypto?
Let’s break it down 👇
🧠 Why Is the Fed Cutting Rates?
Interest rates are one of the key levers central banks use to control economic activity. A rate cut typically aims to:

Stimulate borrowing and spending
Weaken the U.S. dollar
Fight off economic stagnation or recession
Right now, sluggish job growth and disinflationary pressures are triggering the Fed to pivot.

📈 How This Impacts Crypto

Here’s why this could be bullish for crypto:

🔸 Liquidity Injection
Lower interest rates usually lead to more liquidity in the market. When traditional markets get flooded with cheap capital, investors often turn to risk-on assets like crypto for higher returns.

🔸 Dollar Weakness = Crypto Strength
Rate cuts typically weaken the USD, making Bitcoin and other cryptos more attractive as alternative stores of value.

🔸 Risk Appetite Grows
Just like in previous cycles (think 2020-2021), rate cuts often kick off a fresh bull run across speculative assets. If history rhymes, we could see altcoin rotations, memecoin rallies, and a DeFi resurgence.

💡 What Should You Do as a Crypto Trader?

Position Smartly: Look for dips in solid projects – macro tailwinds may boost them.
Watch Ethereum: Rate cuts could reignite the ETH narrative as institutional liquidity comes back in.
Monitor BTC Dominance: If dominance drops post-cut, alts may fly.
On-chain Flows: Keep an eye on stablecoin inflows to exchanges – a strong signal of bullish momentum.
🧭 Final Thoughts
The expected Fed rate cuts might just be the macro catalyst crypto has been waiting for. If the Fed delivers in September, we could enter a new phase of the bull market, especially as ETF flows stabilize and global adoption trends continue.

Whether you’re a trader or long-term holder, September 2025 could be a pivotal month. Stay sharp, manage risk, and keep stacking knowledge.

📊 Follow for more real-time crypto insights and macro breakdowns!
#CryptoNews #Bitcoin #FedRateCut #BinanceSquare #Altcoins #Ethereum #MacroUpdate #DeFi #CryptoMarket #BTC

In a story that feels like a crypto myth turned real, James Howells — the Welsh IT engineer who accidentally threw away a hard drive containing 8,000 BTC back in 2013 — has finally given up the search.

🗑️ The hard drive, discarded in a Newport landfill, has been the subject of a 12-year-long recovery effort, facing legal hurdles and environmental blockades. That tiny piece of metal now holds an estimated value of $950 million — and if Bitcoin reaches projected highs, it could be worth $8 billion by 2030.

Despite proposals involving AI, robotic dogs, and drone-powered excavation, local authorities never gave him the green light. And now, after over a decade of battling bureaucracy and disbelief, James has decided to let it go.

💭 What Can We Learn?

Private key = power: Never underestimate the importance of wallet backups and secure storage.
Regret-proof your bags: Self-custody comes with responsibility. Losing a wallet = losing your coins.
Time waits for no one: BTC was ~$130 when he lost it. Today? Over $118K per BTC.
This isn’t just a story of loss — it’s a reminder to all of us in crypto that one mistake could cost millions. But it’s also proof of how far this space has come: from $130 Bitcoin to a world where 8,000 BTC is a generational fortune.

📌 Have you backed up your wallet recently?
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare #SelfCustody #JamesHowells #BTC

Bitcoin and crypto broadly surged in late July.  In fact, Bitcoin broke above $120K (a new all-time high) during July, fueled by a weaker dollar and fiscal stimulus .  Ethereum also exploded higher – up nearly 49% in July according to market reports – as investors buzzed about upcoming ETFs and continued DeFi growth.  Altcoins rallied too, helping total crypto capitalization briefly top $4 trillion .  Part of the excitement comes from politics: U.S. “Crypto Week” (mid-July) saw Congress advance major digital-asset bills (e.g. stablecoin and market-structure laws), and President Trump signed the GENIUS Act into law on July 18, imposing strict 100% reserve rules for dollar-backed stablecoins .  (These pro-crypto developments have brightened the outlook for the market.)
Key On-Chain Trends
On-chain data show investors holding tight.  CryptoQuant reports that daily exchange inflows of Bitcoin have fallen to ~18,000 BTC per day – the lowest rate since 2015 – while Ethereum’s daily exchange inflows are down to ~584,000 ETH (vs. 1.57M in February) .  In other words, large holders are not rushing to sell, removing traditional “selling pressure” even as prices hit records.  At the same time, network activity is very strong.  For example, Solana led all layer-1 blockchains in July with roughly 74.7 million monthly active addresses – far above Ethereum’s ~7.6M – and about 2.63 billion total transactions .  BNB Chain similarly saw record usage (411 million txns and 71 million active addresses) after its recent “Maxwell” upgrade , and Coinbase’s Base L2 hit a new ATH in TVL and ~45 million active addresses .  In the Bitcoin network itself, daily active addresses are around 720–730K (mid-July average) with ~388K daily transactions .  Notably, over 35 million ETH (about 28% of supply) are now locked in staking contracts – a record high that tightens ETH’s circulating supply and supports its price.

Exchange flows: CryptoQuant data show minimal selling pressure.  Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange inflows are near multi-year lows , meaning fewer coins are moving to exchanges.  (E.g. BTC inflows fell from 81K/day in Nov 2024 to 18K/day now .)
Addresses & transactions: Bitcoin still sees ~722K daily active addresses .  At the same time, alt networks are thriving: Solana saw 2.63 billion transactions in July , Base L2 handled ~279 million txns , and even smaller chains like Sui hit new daily highs (~10.5 million txns on July 25) .
Staking/supply: Growing amounts of ETH are tied up staking.  Cointelegraph notes 35+ million ETH (~28% of all ETH) now earn staking rewards .  This shrinking liquid supply helps explain ETH’s sustained rally and caps immediate sell-side pressure.$

Big News & Market Drivers

U.S. Crypto Legislation:  July 2025 was dubbed “Crypto Week” by U.S. lawmakers.  Congress advanced the GENIUS Act (stablecoin framework), CLARITY Act (crypto market structure), and an anti-CBDC bill all at once .  On July 18, President Trump signed the GENIUS Act, which forces dollar-backed stablecoin issuers to hold 100% reserves and report them publicly .  These moves establish the first federal crypto rules for stablecoins, a milestone seen as positive by many investors.
Institutional Flows:  Massive ETF inflows powered price action.  VanEck reports that Ethereum spot ETFs pulled in $727 million and $602 million on July 16–17 alone – fully 29% of all-time inflows during just that weekend.  Bitcoin ETFs also had a record July (two days with $1+ billion inflows) .  (Separately, BlackRock’s new Solana ETF grew its market value ~300% in 2024 .)  In short, large pools of capital are chasing crypto.
Network Upgrades & Launches:  Several blockchains upgraded or made headlines in July.  Solana pushed a major throughput upgrade (20% more compute units) which helped generate its 2.6B transactions in July .  Binance launched an ETF combining SOL + staking rewards (REX-Osprey SOL) on July 2 .  The BNB Chain implemented “Maxwell” to halve block times – after which it saw an all-time high of 71 million active addresses in July .  Coinbase’s Base L2 rolled out faster blocks (200 ms) and now boasts the largest Ethereum L2 TVL ($8.2 B) .
Market Shifts:  Altcoins have been surging.  Bitcoin’s dominance (BTC’s share of crypto-market cap) dipped from ~66% in late June to ~60% by July 21 , as Ethereum and other tokens rallied.  CryptoRank notes ETH returned +48.7% in July, while analysts cite both regulatory tailwinds and ETF demand as drivers .  Even meme-coins and newer tokens saw big moves (e.g. BONK, PEPE) during the rally.  (On the flip side, crypto scams remain high – Chainalysis reports $2.17 billion was stolen in crypto scams/services in H1 2025 , a reminder of ongoing risks.)
Coins to Watch: Short-Term vs. Long-Term
Short-Term Momentum Plays: These coins have near-term catalysts or technical momentum:

Ethereum (ETH) – A top pick for August.  ETH’s bull run was fueled by ETF mania and ETF inflows , and on-chain metrics (like rising staking participation) remain bullish .  Many traders are watching the $3,000–$4,000 zone closely; a strong breakout could lead to further short-term gains.
Solana (SOL) – Coming off a hot streak.  July’s upgrade and NFT activity drove huge network usage , and the debut of a US SOL ETF suggests more money could flow in.  If that on-chain enthusiasm persists, Solana’s price may run higher in the weeks ahead.
TRON (TRX) – A dark-horse momentum candidate.  TRX rallied sharply after its parent company went public (Nasdaq ticker “TRON”) and continues to dominate stablecoin transactions ($82.5B on Tron, the most of any chain ).  This visibility could carry TRX up more in the short run.
Sui (SUI) – High beta pick.  The Sui blockchain saw record daily usage in late July .  While still volatile, its fresh tech and growth (developer/memecoin activity) could spark short-term moves if the hype continues.
Long-Term Core Assets: These are established projects with strong fundamentals or ecosystems:

Bitcoin (BTC) – The “digital gold” of crypto.  Its limited supply (21M max) and growing institutional adoption make it a classic long-term store-of-value.  Analysts highlight Bitcoin’s ETF-driven demand and see six-figure price targets in the years ahead .
Ethereum (ETH) – The leading smart-contract platform.  Ethereum’s massive developer ecosystem underpins DeFi, NFTs, and now DeFi+AI.  With 28% of ETH locked in staking contracts (earning yield), its supply is shrinking over time – a bullish fundamental.  Major upgrades (sharding, etc.) are coming, supporting ETH’s long-term case .
BNB (BNB) – Binance’s native token.  BNB plays multiple roles (trading fees, DeFi, staking) across one of crypto’s biggest ecosystems.  The BNB Chain’s explosive July activity (top DEX volume and record addresses ) shows real usage.  Many investors view BNB as a core long-term holding in exchange-linked projects.
Cardano (ADA) – A research-driven smart-contract platform.  Cardano’s long-term roadmap and growing real-world projects have appeal.  It recently received a regulatory nod (stablecoin listings), which along with its academic backing has led analysts to forecast bullish long-term targets .
XRP (XRP) – Focused on fast cross-border payments.  Despite regulatory headwinds, XRP adoption is rising (several banks/financial institutions are testing Ripple tech).  CoinCentral noted XRP’s 381% YTD surge heading into August , backed by expectations of renewed institutional partnerships.  If Ripple’s roadmap (and any ETF approvals) plays out, XRP remains a top pick for some long-term investors .
Solana (SOL) – Already mentioned above, but also a strong “core” candidate due to its speed and ecosystem.  Its high developer engagement and multiple use cases mean many see Solana as a promising long-term blockchain.

Each of the coins above has its own risk profile, so do your own research. The crypto space moves fast – but by watching these on-chain trends and developments, you can stay informed.$BTC

Yesterday I shared an ETH short setup (entries: $3775–3790, SL: 3889) — and we nailed it. Closed the short around $3680, locking in ~$1,000 profit.
Now I’m sitting on my hands and waiting for a cleaner long setup.
Still expecting a short-term correction across the board. If it plays out, it could mark the macro bottom heading into the next few months.
👀 Watching ETH around $3100–3200 — that’s the range I’ll likely go heavy long, ideally on a yearly open retest in early August.
Stay sharp — patience pays.

As the Federal Reserve prepares to announce its latest interest rate decision, economists and market participants are almost unanimously aligned: a rate cut is highly improbable. While some internal debate and political pressure remain in the background, the Fed’s broader priorities point toward maintaining the status quo.

Why a Rate Hold Is the Base Case
1. Market Odds Leave Little Doubt
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there’s a 97% probability that the Fed will keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25%–4.50% today. This overwhelming consensus suggests any deviation would shock markets.
2. Powell & Leadership Value Stability
Fed Chair Jerome Powell and most policymakers have repeatedly signaled the need for additional economic data before adjusting policy. Their cautious, data-dependent approach leaves little appetite for a premature move.
3. Inflation Still Above Target
Core inflation stood around 2.9% in June, well above the Fed’s 2% goal. Cutting rates too soon risks reigniting price pressures, undermining the progress made so far.

Internal Dissent & Political Pressures
1. A Minority Pushes for a Cut
A small but vocal faction, including governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, may dissent by advocating for a 25-basis-point reduction. They argue that labor market softness and muted tariff-related inflation justify an early move.
2. White House Rhetoric
President Donald Trump has openly called for rate cuts, even directing criticism at Powell. Yet, the Fed has firmly reiterated its independence, emphasizing that decisions will be based solely on economic conditions, not politics.

Looking Ahead: September Is the Next Pivot Point
If rates remain unchanged today, all eyes will shift to the Fed’s September meeting. Current projections still leave room for up to two cuts before year-end 2025, but only if incoming data show further cooling in inflation and a weaker labor market.

What to Watch for in Powell’s Press Conference
The real insight may come after the decision is announced. Key themes to watch:
Signals on September: Any indication of whether cuts are truly on the tableData Dependence: How Powell frames upcoming CPI, jobs, and GDP figuresPolicy Flexibility: Whether political noise or external shocks are factoring into the Fed’s stance
Summary: Patience Prevails—for Now

Expected Action: Hold rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%Dissenting Votes: Likely from Waller and BowmanNext Possible Cut: September 2025, contingent on inflation and labor dataBig Picture: The Fed remains laser-focused on inflation, economic stability, and its credibility

#FedMeeting #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FOMC #JeromePowell #RateCut #Macroeconomics #USInflation #CentralBankPolicy #EconomicOutlook #FEDDATA #FedRateDecisions