*Three scenarios for further market movement from CryptoQuant*
As of today, the on-chain metric "Rally Start Ratio" is approaching the rally start zone (â0.8 or 80%). Analysts are considering three possible scenarios for the development of the situation over the next six months:
đ˘ Optimistic scenario (Bullish) If the Ratio indicator breaks through 1.0 and holds above, the NUPL and MVRV metrics will show new momentum. This could lead to a rise in the BTC price to $150-175K, similar to the 2017 and 2021 cycles.
đ Baseline Scenario (Consolidation) If Ratio remains in the range of 0.8-1.0, the market will continue to move in a wide corridor of $90-110K. Participants maintain positions, but do not increase exposure.
đ´ Pessimistic scenario (Correction) If the Ratio drops below 0.75, short-term holders may start taking profits, which will lead to a correction to $70-85K. However, given that the correction has already occurred, the first two scenarios are more likely.
*BTC and ETH Predictions from Various Crypto Industry Leaders*
đ˘ *Catherine Wood (Head of Ark Invest)* âIn the Big Ideas 2025 report, we updated our target levels for Bitcoin by 2030, assuming three scenarios: Bearish - around $300,000. Base - about $710,000. Bullish - about $1.5 million per bitcoin."
đ˘ *Arthur Hayes (co-founder of BitMEX exchange)* "It's time to go long everything. The US will have to increase dollar liquidity, and this will help Bitcoin reach $1 million by 2028."
đ˘ *Francis Hunt (trader, author of the HVF method)* "BTC is consolidating, my target is $100K, although there may be a pause before the next surge. BTC dominance is now in a low volatility zone, and I believe a reversal is possible - which will be a positive signal for altcoins."
đ˘ *Mike Alfred (Founder of the Alpine Fox Foundation)* "Bitcoin is overripe for growth. May is going to be huge. If you don't understand this, you're out of the market."
đ˘ *Lark Davis (investor and crypto blogger)* "Expecting a retest of the 20-day EMA at $1,720, or better yet, catching a wick just below $1,690. Potential long to the 200-day EMA at $2,500."
đ˘ *MichaĂŤl van de Poppe (CEO of the analytics company Eight)* "ETH is showing a bullish divergence to BTC. I expect ETH to rise to $2,500 in 2-4 weeks. Altseason is also possible."
As you can see, all experts are inclined to believe that in the near future we can expect a big increase in all risky assets
All our trades going good. I am long all of these. Crypto is risky but if you know about risk management then you are the king of crypto. Everything is in crypto is risk management. Not matter you portfolio is small or large.
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