Coin: ADA/USDT Risk: high Understanding level: beginner Reasons to enter Cluster chart: At the moment of growth, relatively large clusters by volume began to form (blue rectangles).
These volumes were accompanied by large sales, but in both cases the sales did not lead to results (marked with red rectangles with an arrow).
Coin: ZEC/USDT Risk: medium Level of understanding: beginner Reasons for entry Cluster chart: In a narrow price range, clusters by volume formed during the rise (blue rectangle). Evaluating the behavior of participants, I noted that potentially the ball was taken by buyers (rectangle #1), who continue to maintain control. Because purchases transitioning into sales (rectangle #2) have not shown results for quite a while.
🔸 The buying market has started showing excellent results 🔸 Their effectiveness is also visible (change in price per unit volume) 🔸 Abnormal limit orders are being placed higher, supporting the price
🔸 Sales volume has been realized on the decline, but during repeated attempts, the price does not update the minimum — signs of local scarcity 🔸 Limit density for purchase — volumes are accepted by the market, support is maintained
📍 Scenario: short-term long, monitoring the development
🔸 Excluding rare squeezes — more than 300 days of active movement in a sideways trend within the marked price range ±. 🔸 I am using a grid bot to execute the strategy in this corridor.
If the range holds — quality profit can be extracted from the volatility 💸
🔸 Against the backdrop of high sales, the price continues to rise — a local supply shortage is possible. 🔸 There is significant limit density by volume in the $0.97–$1.027 zone. 🔸 The efficiency of purchase volume is increasing — upward movement requires less and less volume expenditure.
📍 A long position is open, without taking profit — the decision to exit will be made based on the actual situation.
The name Jesse Livermore is known to anyone who has seriously studied trading. He started at 14 — chalk, board, and observing supply and demand.
In 1907 and 1929 he made a fortune betting against an overheated market. But it was not magic or miracles of indicators — just risk, discipline, and observing human behavior.
But he also lost everything. More than once.
"The hardest thing in trading is not predicting the market, but not destroying yourself."
He did not make forecasts. He just watched how and when people bought and sold. Because price is the opinion of the majority at that moment.
💡Lesson: the market is not a mystery. It's human behavior. The one who wins is not the one who guesses, but the one who works with reality: assesses volumes and manages risks.
"What matters is not that you are right. But how much you earn when you are right, and how much you lose when you are wrong."
Local buybacks have started in the market, and the price has stopped making new lows — it’s time to start a careful accumulation for the long term 👇
With the development of L2, derivatives, DeFi, and RWA, highly accurate oracles are becoming key. Pyth is already integrated into many networks and continues to scale.
In my opinion, entering on pullbacks is a reasonable strategy.
🔹 L2 (Layer 2) — these are technologies that operate on top of the main blockchain network (for example, Ethereum) to speed up transactions and reduce fees. 🔹 DeFi (Decentralized Finance) — this refers to decentralized finance. The same as traditional finance (exchange, loans, staking), but without banks and intermediaries — everything is on smart contracts. 🔹 RWA (Real World Assets) — these are real assets on the blockchain, for example: real estate, gold, bonds. They are 'tokenized' so they can be traded like regular crypto-assets. 🔹 Oracles — these are services that deliver data from the real world to the blockchain, for example, the BTC price from an exchange. Smart contracts cannot access external data without oracles.
Coin: TAO/USDT Risk: high Level of understanding: beginner Reasons for entry Cluster chart: Noted that during volume sales, the price continues to rise (red rectangles). A deficit potentially formed, and market buyers continue to hold the ball. In the Dashboard Delta/Balance by volume: There was probably an attempt to intercept the ball by sellers, as there were volume sales aggregated across all pairs - this is visible on the histogram, the extreme delta bars are highlighted (red rectangle).
Coin: EOS/USDT Risk: medium Level of understanding: beginner Reasons for entry Heat map in Z-Score mode and by volume: There are anomalous limit clusters for buying under the current price, both in volume mode and Z-Score mode (blue rectangles). In the Dashboard Delta/Balance by volume: The price does not react significantly, despite the fact that market sales prevail in aggregate - this is visible in the extreme bars on the histogram (red rectangle and arrow).
🔍 The market delta is neutral, balance (50.6) is stable, indicating a balance of traders' interests. 📊 Limits show a positive delta, balance (51.2) is increasing, signaling slight support. 📉 Historical volatility is at 1.3, indicating low market activity.
👉 The price has changed, decreasing by -1.16%.
Comparing with the previous state, it can be noticed that interest in purchases has weakened. The market delta has become neutral, indicating a lack of a pronounced trend. Pay attention to possible corrections, despite the supporting limits. It is important to remember the risks and stay vigilant.