After brushing alpha for half a month, I wore down 55u, and today I finally made 40u thanks to tge's aibot. Then, in order to receive the REVA for tonight's pre-tge, BNB dropped, resulting in a loss of 90u. Currently, I am down 105u. #alpha #AIBot #Revampedlaunchpool
Discuss how to obtain information in the crypto space
Recently, several groups that were good sources of information in the crypto space were disbanded. I've been looking for replacements for a few days and have found nothing, which is frustrating, so I'm venting a bit. To be honest, the crypto space is really a chaotic place, with all sorts of people involved. Most of those who come here are looking to get rich overnight, and the whole circle feels very restless. One moment they're saying they've hit the jackpot with a young model, and the next they're talking about going all in and heading to the rooftop, like a factory for electronic goods. It's also very troublesome for ordinary people to obtain relevant information. The self-media platform has the outer wall of X as the main battlefield, but it is also the most chaotic place. There is gold and there is dog poop; the gold consists of various latest information about the crypto space, while the dog poop includes various scams and fraudsters. Ordinary people lack the ability to discern, and if they're not careful and click on a phishing link, they can be completely drained of their wallets.
When we discuss economic deflation, who is silently bearing all of this? A Web3 profit-maker's self-reflection.
Last night, my emotions were complicated. I studied the current major economic trends in the country and the reasons leading to deflation all night. Money circulates in the financial system but never flows down to the grassroots level. Eventually, there will definitely be a direction for it to flow; I want to find investment opportunities. I was too tired from studying, so I thought I’d watch a video to relax. The first video pushed to me was about a day of daily wages in a factory, featuring mostly older men and women, their clothes soaked with sweat, and the meals provided were at a basic level. It’s highly likely that there are no social insurance benefits. Ironically, not long ago, the central bank issued a statement saying it would shift from preventing “price gouging” to preventing “low-price dumping.” Where do these low-price dumped goods come from? From the demographic dividend.
There is a saying in the crypto world: 'Cognition determines wealth.' They say Ethereum is underperforming and shorting at the highs, but no matter how much it underperforms, it is still the mother of altcoins. I have no objections to this bull market being driven by Bitcoin, but since Bitcoin has reached new highs and made significant gains, isn't it fair for the mother of altcoins to at least get a sip of the soup?
Moreover, Ethereum has already dropped significantly; how much lower can it go? Too many altcoins depend on Ethereum for survival. If Ethereum were to collapse, would Bitcoin be able to stand alone? What kind of crypto world would that be? It would just be called the Bitcoin world instead.
白泽君
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Bullish
Dog Village, don't think you can shake me off again. I have already built two layers at Ether 1550. If it drops by one hundred, I'll add one layer. If it drops to 750, then it's a complete crypto burial.
Long and Short Meat Grinder Starts, 85,000 Becomes the Lifeline for Retail Investors
Deribit Data Explodes: Over 7.2 Billion USD BTC Options Expire Tomorrow, the Maximum Pain Point of 85,000 USD Hangs Like a Sword Over the Market
—— This means that as long as the price hovers around 85,000, over 4 Billion USD of call options will become worthless, allowing the market makers to precisely harvest the longs.
Put/Call Ratio of 0.73 Seems to Indicate Bullish Sentiment, but Actually Hides Danger: When Retail Investors Frenziedly Bet on Breaking 100,000, Market Makers Love to “Draw the Line Precisely” on Expiration Day
—— Push Above 85,000 and Then Smash Down, Turning All Call Options Above 100,000 into Useless Paper.
History Has Repeatedly Proven That Expiration Days Are a “Slaughterhouse for Longs and Shorts,” as BTC Was Crushed Through the 60,000 Pain Point on March 2024 Expiration, with a 3.7 Billion USD Liquidation Incident Still Fresh in Memory.
Now, the Whole Network is Watching the 97,000 Resistance Level, But No One Notices the 85,000 “Gentle Trap”: Institutions Have Already Set Up 230,000 Call Options at 85,000, Just Waiting for Retail Investors to Chase High Before Closing the Door on Them.
Before the 4 PM Settlement Tomorrow, An Estimated 30 Billion USD Will Clash Near 85,000, and Liquidation Pop-Ups Will Flood the Screen Like a Meteor Shower — Remember, the Biggest “Pain Point” in the Crypto Circle Has Never Been the Price, But That Market Makers Have Calculated That Retail Investors Can Never Control Their Urge to Chase Prices!
The crypto space is now a pure casino; there is no room for decentralized idealists to survive. The value investing strategies of spot traders have changed; the only asset you can hold long-term is BTC. Altcoins can only capitalize on timely trends, and there’s no way to conduct in-depth research. By the time you spend days researching, the trend will have already passed, and whether you profit or lose is determined by fate.
Recently, I整理了下我的山寨记录, taking the largest altcoin group, the Ethereum system, as an example. When the market was about to start in 2023, SSV was still a star project of Ethereum. I built a position in SSV and UNI, which was the leader of the previous bull market. Later, I also invested in ZK, which was touted as the ultimate solution for decentralization.
One is the staking cornerstone of the mother of altcoins, Ethereum; one is the largest DEX at the time that can generate actual profits; and one is ZK, which was given high hopes for decentralization. So what happened? SSV has now halved compared to its price before the bull market started, UNI has only risen by about 10%+, and ZK has also approximately halved.
I consider the altcoins I chose to be conservative, yet they are still in such a dismal state. Not to mention those in the DeFi, GameFi, and SocialFi sectors, which, after a few days of trending, are left with a long decline. At least the large-cap stocks can rotate through trends, while these sectors can only wait for a big market to come along and follow the trend.
I know it's at the bottom, but once leverage is applied, I am not in control. I don't know if the old brothers who saw my posts earlier have benefited from this wave. Most of my spot investment went to my aunt, and I only have a small portion in SOL. Others are losing small amounts and making large profits, but I have ended up losing small amounts and making small profits.
Dog Village, don't think you can shake me off again. I have already built two layers at Ether 1550. If it drops by one hundred, I'll add one layer. If it drops to 750, then it's a complete crypto burial.
How can you dare to buy when this candlestick is so ugly?
渡己渡人2025
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It was good when I came here, but I can't go back. Binance is here again, really knows how to play. 2000 bucks for you, if I use Binance wallet again, I’m a dog.
Going long on SOL, stop loss at 112. I am too busy today to write an analysis, simply put, the risk-reward ratio is very good, and you can open as long as it doesn't exceed 117.
You can take profits now, or set a break-even, I've made a profit like a pork trotter rice, I won't go in with a large position when there isn't a high probability market, I can only open a small position to maintain the feel.
Today I exchanged hundreds of thousands of RMB back because I saw a district chief went in because of online loans last night, and then I saw a post about loans in the cryptocurrency circle in the square. Suddenly, I realized that the cryptocurrency circle is a place where small investments can lead to big returns. If you really have the ability, 500 yuan can turn into 5 million, but if you're just a novice, then 5 million can be lost just as quickly, especially in contracts, which is the best place to test your skills. Here, there is 100x leverage and the quickest feedback.
I put my last 700 USDT into the contract. Back then, Chen Daozai was able to turn 20 yuan into 37 million. This year, I, Bai Zejun, used 700 USDT to win 1 million! It's not a problem~ I will provide real-time feedback on every trade I open, so everyone can see whether I earn enough to reach 1 million or lose it all and never touch contracts again!
It's been a long time since I posted, so I'll directly state my current judgment on the market trend, which is that the decline has not yet stopped. Whether it will fluctuate for a few months before declining again or decline directly again, I tend to lean towards the former.
Regarding how the market will move in the future, I have noticed that many people like to look online for various opinions from obscure KOLs, while ignoring the real experts. Now standing before you is Warren Edward Buffett, who started investing at the age of 11 and is still mentally sharp at 95. During this time, many trading prodigies have emerged like shooting stars, only to fall again, yet he has stirred the markets for decades and remains unshakeable, sitting on several hundred billion dollars in funds. To him, money is just a number; he only cares about the sense of achievement that comes from investing.
I cleared nine-tenths of my positions last year and only kept some platform tokens from various exchanges until now, solely because of the news below: Buffett reduced his stake in Apple by 50% in the second quarter of 2024, and then again reduced it by 25% in the third quarter. Apple belongs to the tech sector known as the Seven Sisters and is part of the Nasdaq, which is closely related to Bitcoin. Buffett never shorts the U.S. stock market, but when he reduces his stake, it is, to some extent, a bearish signal.
After Buffett's reduction, his position is approximately 50%. I remember the last time he reduced his stake to 50% was in 2005. After the 2008 financial crisis, Buffett once increased his stake to nearly 90%. Due to the size of his funds, Buffett tends to exit early, and usually, there is still a period of increase after he reduces his stake. So, after the news came out, I also made a move to go long, but I really didn't expect the crypto market to rise this much. This was purely due to the favorable news brought by Trump's administration, which is FOMO, but the market is ruthless; news is only temporary, and an unstable foundation will never hold.
Now, let's take a look at the current U.S. stock market. The Nasdaq and S&P are almost at the high point of the second quarter of 2024, which is exactly when Buffett reduced his stake, and they may even be higher.
So investing isn't that complicated. One moment Trump raises tariffs, manufacturing returns, the Federal Reserve doesn't cut interest rates, the contradiction between Powell and Trump, one moment inflation data, CPI, then U.S. unemployment rate, then the Russia-Ukraine war, and the EU's response. What use is it to look at these? You must remember that you come to the market to make money, not to listen to stories.
Last night, many short positions in the group were liquidated. I avoided it because I believe in a bull market and do not short. You could say they don't understand risk management and got what they deserved, but before that news came out last night, the entire market was bearish, and from a technical analysis perspective, it was also bearish. One trader who often speaks in the group left a lasting impression with his last sentence: "After years of learning trading, it ultimately doesn't compare to someone else's one sentence." Sometimes I also wonder, the web2 that we mock at least developed AI like DeepSeek, while the web3 we pursue sees a tweet about cryptocurrency from Trump and reacts like a starving dog seeing meat. When the entire industry is led around by celebrity tweets and such centralized things, are we truly building the future, or just playing a monkey act in a cryptocurrency circus?