$BTC Next step? Have we already formed a bottom signal? 📶 —————————————————————— Sorry / My home router has been bitten off by the cat these past two days.
First of all, those who have been following my old friends should know clearly That I have been looking at BTC's high point since early December It was at 110000 From where it started moving between 90000-110000
The core is: the lower edge of the box at 90000 has broken After breaking, if it does not recover 90000 within a day, it remains in a bearish state
After experiencing a period of fluctuation, it gave again Position 76666 ——— Giving you a clear target of 86000-88000 Many partners have gone long here and have shorted here
Around 74444↔️ Also given as a diamond position: ⚠️ The predicted 74444 has also been reached
74444-76666 is my complete plan…
You are most concerned about whether this is already the bottom? I told you at 90000 after the break — the target of 76-74 has been achieved Now I tell you my plan ⬇️ 74 is our most important position
My plan has no middle ground No two options
Either 74 is the bottom From here we start towards a new endpoint
My measures: If the weekly closing is completely below 72000, it’s invalid Since 2023, BTC has been above the ENA55 moving average At least for now, it is still valid Alright, regarding other indicators ————— I don’t want to extend too long to tell you
Simply understand the core elements
I hope you grasped it, and if you didn’t, don’t rush If there’s a market, you will have many opportunities to get in
Currently maintaining a 50% position in BTC Retreat to defend — Advance to attack This is my strategy, for reference only Make your own plan and DCA…..
Why do you have assets worth tens of millions but do not buy BTC❓
🧑🍳🔍 Since I started in the community, I’ve noticed that partners with millions or even tens of millions haven't made a significant profit.
I’ve also asked some friends around me. They generally do not buy Bitcoin.
I also know that many retail investors do not buy, but large investors also do not buy, which surprises me. Maybe everyone’s consensus is that Bitcoin’s increase is limited. I think this mindset might be correct for small investments.
Of course, the best times are already gone; it’s not like the blind buying in 2017. That era filled with faith is long gone. We are here to make money, but it’s also right not to believe blindly. Right now, the institutions issuing tokens for financing have seriously exceeded the limit. The valuations are all arbitrary; institutions get chips for free in exchange for the market's blood. They release positive news together, constantly taking away our hard-earned money from this fragile market. For instance, ARB launched with a valuation of over 10 billion. Just think about it, even the once powerful SOL during the bull market was only worth a few hundred billion. It has already consumed its potential and future expectations ahead of time. Many token prices haven’t changed, but market caps keep rising.
#BTC ETH#Next Step❓ Weekly report is about to be released 🔍 ------------------------------- This will inform you from all aspects If you are eager, remember
100❤️ Organized and will be released immediately $BTC $ETH #以色列伊朗冲突
Currently, very few people in the pen circle are making money. 98% of people cannot achieve results…
In fact, the biggest problem comes from having a buying plan but neglecting the selling plan. Even changing the entry plan midway, for example, entering ETH at 2380, with a target of 277-288, I will take profits in batches and push protection, and will not overlook risk management due to FOMO, especially when the market is filled with FOMO.
This plan started to decline 📉 when it reached 277 last time. A journey that has already been planned out.
2380–2880
2880-2300 This is the stage I will participate in. As for why, I only focus on the big structure and data-driven situations. I also need to calculate profit and loss situations and the risks I can bear along with the time costs.
Always remember to think about how to take profits when you buy in. Sometimes even after telling it, you still have to ask? Do you think she can make money? #The Importance of Trading Plans #以色列伊朗冲突
📍This Week's Start: Goal Achievement vs. Exceeding Expectations
BTC Directly breaking through last week's target of 108888 Violently testing the 110000 mark ETH 2380 to enter Single-day surge to the 2770-2800 area🔥 (89 dollars away from the target of 2888) SOL's oscillating situation continues, contract trading is difficult Holding spot, waiting for expectations of U.S. public chain ETFs (The weather vane looks to October)🇺🇸Those who understand, understand
📊Current Strategy—Key Positions to Watch
1. BTC
◦ Spot for those who entered at the hundred thousand mark With no cost advantage, consider partial profit-taking, specifics depend on position
◦ Structure This morning's closing, the 4-hour level structure has turned bearish⚠️
◦ Key Support 106–1055 range This might be our ideal position for the next rebound long📍 Note ⚠️ it's a rebound, not a trend, and it can even be skipped
2. ETH
◦ Strong Recently basically stepping on the 1-hour structure, quick pull-up after a retest
◦ Structural Contradiction The 4-hour has also turned bearish But the daily level is seriously overbought, yet the daily structure is still in trend
◦ Key Support 2722-2688 Keep a close watch here Breaking the structure... ETH's surge could end in a short time✔️
🌍Macro Overview—Core Views
• Yesterday's CPI Short-term benefits came to fruition📉 but looking at a longer time frame, inflation is still heating up (though lower than expected but higher than last month)
• BTC fundamentals have detached from reliance on interest rate cuts, do not overfocus on the macro
• Altcoin Dilemma The current market, ETH can't even lead the altcoins... you can ponder that😭
• Since last December, I have rarely talked about macro, why? For retail investors:
Macro is an "environmental signal" rather than a "buy/sell signal" Technical charts are the most intuitive tools we can see and touch Wake up early
💎Summary Core
• BTC/ETH Short-term structure turns bearish Focus on key support levels below Look for rebound long opportunities, protect profits at high spots
• SOL Hold spot, waiting for ETF catalysis (expectations for October)
• Altcoins Extremely weak, ETH can't even lead, participate cautiously
• Trading Focus Focus on technical charts, macro information is only for environmental reference Not directly used for trading
📍 The position of opening an order Determines your peace at night — Can you sleep soundly?
📍 The position of opening an order Determines the stability of your trade — Will you be shaken out by market fluctuations?
📍 The position of opening an order Determines the durability of your profits — Will you easily take profits and miss out on greater gains?
🔍 How is a good position born? The answer is only one — Wait
🔎 How to confirm whether this position is good or bad?
The answer is still simple — Open the order! Decisively open an order at a suspected good position Let the market validate it
After opening an order at a good position, what should be done next? Still waiting! Let profits run Give the market enough time to reveal its true nature
What to do if there are fluctuations in between? Still waiting! Stick to protecting your position Do not be misled by the market's short-term fluctuations Doesn't the price fluctuate?
Position + Waiting = The essence of trading
Analysis does not equal trading Anyone who talks about long and short without specific calculations of profit and loss ratio Is just fooling around Seeing the market correctly does not mean you can achieve victory #MarketAnalysis##FuturesTradingInsights#
$BTC ———- 🧑🍳GM All take profits were almost perfectly hit ✅ Reserve profits + continue holding spot Most take profits from contracts Currently, the negative funding rate market environment is very healthy $BTC #BTC走势分析
#特朗普马斯克分歧 $BTC Sometimes, don't fall into the analysis trap
Reduce frequent judgments on market trends; analyzing too much can easily lead to analysis paralysis. Typically, those who focus on short-term trading have never possessed significant wealth, this is my experience.
Because they always predict a 1-2% rise or fall, and usually such trends change quickly. Daily fluctuations often lead to frequent mistakes; focusing on a larger time frame is necessary to achieve better returns, rather than just a short time frame.
Many people cannot bear short-term fluctuations, and thus cannot enjoy significant gains. This is not related to technical abilities but stems from psychological factors. This psychological factor is related to your overall mental strength and also depends on whether you have ever held wealth beyond your own leveraged amount.
Even if you are firmly bullish, although your technical analysis is correct, with interference from news or friends, you will always change your opinion and positions, and begin to doubt your views midway.
What is this related to? A person who has never owned a million finds it hard to earn a million. In this process, mental strength may prevent you from holding positions. The only way is to cultivate your inner world, to minimize losses and maximize gains. Many people are unwilling to bear losses, making it even harder to achieve significant returns. Often, this is just wishful thinking on their part.
At the same time, for many beginners, as long as you are growing, improving each time is the greatest progress. There is no need to demand that you make money every day.
$BTC I already told you 15 days ago ————————————- The next strong buy will be during the backtest at the 100,000 mark The strong resistance range for BTC is 1053-1062
A breakout range for BTC will be 107,300 or even test new highs Currently pushing for protection, don't expect too much The market will reward those who execute with unity of knowledge and action
$BTC ——— $BTC If you don’t understand the following points, you won’t make money from Buffett's orders. Please bring your brain and awareness.
1⃣️ Not fully following, unable to achieve unity of knowledge and action. Having your own judgment, but too strong subjective consciousness!
2⃣️ There is no eternal profit. You may have a few losses, then start to gain, but you didn’t keep up, leading to a sense of missing out.
3⃣️ Position management without preset stop-loss or take-profit, infinite greed and fear, causing you to want to go all in. As a result, I left, and you didn’t, leading to liquidation.
4⃣️ Each opening amount is different, as you wish, ensuring that each trade uses 3%-5% of your position without considering leverage.
5⃣️ Strategy release is based on market conditions. Time difference, if you are busy when the strategy is released and don’t look, you may miss the best position, and if you are in a bad position, you continue to chase.
6⃣️ When there is no strategy, you get anxious, your hands itch to open a position. Being anxious easily leads to losses because anxiety brings emotions, and emotions affect intelligence. Little do you know, patience is also one of the strategies.
7⃣️ Disliking stop-losses; every trader will stop-loss. Stop-loss is part of daily routine, and stop-loss is also a cost of trading.
In the world of trading, you must know that not every trade will be profitable. Do not dislike normal losses. Trading, like doing business, is like going to war; it’s impossible to have no costs or not lose a soldier and perfectly win the war.
In the real trading world, most of the time it’s a roller coaster.
As long as you have a plan before trading, even if the plan is wrong, it’s still right. Without a plan, even if you’re right, it’s wrong. We should correctly distinguish between “wrong and right.”
It’s okay to walk slowly on the path of trading, but it’s fine to walk slowly as long as it’s the right path. The trading market is not lacking in stars.
Of course, please do not follow my orders, because you cannot know the specific situation of my strategy.
I hope you all grow I am here to continue sharing my operations until the last moment and just my views on the market
I do not agree with copying trades because you will never grow to independently complete trades
What you see in posts is more about learning to think more more independent thinking; perhaps others' suggestions can make you think more, rather than always being like a novice, with no growth
Sometimes I cannot understand those who engage in conspiracy theories The candlestick chart itself is something simple that can be seen with the naked eye
Be rational Manage your own risk situation well The core is how much position to take Whether the conditions and logic are met If the conditions fail, just exit I hardly look at those macro pieces of information The candlestick chart will tell you the answer
Those who look down on long-term investing look down on short-term trading Those who look down on short-term trading look down on long-term investing Asking some analysts is not as good as asking AI Don’t come to me anymore...
Can it rise? Is the big player accumulating? Is it strong? Is a 1% rise a big increase? Is a 1% drop a big decline? Is the big player deceiving us?
These things can only be used for traffic...
Can it still be bought? I find it meaningless to answer these questions
What position are you in? How much to sell? Just calculate the profit and loss, calculate the risk
Isn’t 10% profit? You are only thinking about doubling in an hour You might as well go to Macau (Chasing a girl, wanting to go to bed today)
Why are you always driven by short-term emotions? Why do you always want to buy and expect it to rise immediately?
Surrounded by fear at the bottom Surrounded by greed when it rises
• SOL Target: Break through the $180 neckline (current $168) → Rally to $250 this month driven by technicals and event catalysts;
• ETH Defense: Even if it holds the $2,300 support, take profits on ETH at $2,900. ETH is highly likely to underperform SOL by a significant margin. #btc eth#
Core Viewpoint: Focus on the critical position of Bitcoin
1. 🧭 Current Focus: Keep a close eye on 106,000, this is the key neckline resistance level. Breaking through here is meaningful.
2. 📊 Current Status: The 4-hour level is in consolidation. Don't overthink it, reduce ineffective analysis.
3. 🛡️ Short-term Support: 102,666 is the first shield. If it can't hold here...
4. 💥 Lifeline: Directly look at the psychological barrier of 100,000. This is the area of concentrated transactions that the bulls must defend.
Position of the cat on the chart: Ideal point for spot orders!
Regarding the hypothesis of a 'double top':
I mentioned the possibility of a double top before, but it hasn't formed yet.
There is only one confirmation signal: The daily or weekly candlestick must close steadily below 100,000.
Discipline: If it effectively breaks below 100,000, liquidate all spot positions! If it hasn't happened, don't worry unnecessarily.
Operational Strategy: Adjust holdings.
1. ETH ➡️ BTC: Stablecoins from Ethereum, just be patient! Clear goal: Switch to spot Bitcoin!
2. BTC Right-side Signal: If you want to add on the right side, keep an eye on the daily closing situation at $106,000. A stable close is a real breakout signal.
I've given you everything, like 👍 #Steady and steady, waiting for Bitcoin to lead#
$BTC Core Strategy: Do not guess tops and bottoms, just focus on high odds positions
BTC Trading Records ✅ Weekly oversold signal ambushed around 78-74 with large positions built ✅ During the rise, 6 times partial profit-taking - discussing the charm of partials ✅ Significant cost advantage, the base position is still in the portfolio...
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⬇️ Subsequent Plan: Wait for pullback accumulation signals📶 Focus on the following 3 types of striking zones ——— shoot the profit bullets back 1️⃣ Key support level at 101000 (such as channel lower edge/chip dense area) 2️⃣ Large buy orders supporting at 98000 (whale activity traces) 3️⃣ Bottom signal resonance (RSI oversold + 1D level bottom divergence)
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🚦 Future market script boundary line: ▫️ Weak rebound → Take all profits💰 ▫️ Explosive rebound → Target directly at new highs
1️⃣ Resistance level: 2750 → Three failed breakouts, turning down 2️⃣ Lifeline: 2660 (1H-EMA55) broke below again 📉
On the 4H level, it is not considered a false breakout yet, still can oscillate and gather strength (Watch for oversold rebound opportunities in the 2678-2660 range)
If it breaks below 2660 with a 4-hour closing price: ⚠️ Confirming a false breakout, then the trend will need more time
💎 Summary: ETH is very weak, will never choose it in the next life I already told my partners early this morning to abandon ETH spot at 2777-2888
Tonight I scanned the holders of Bitcoin addresses I found that almost no retail investors were involved this round The small coin projects have directly laid flat The weekly and monthly charts are all lying in the ICU Completely different from last year's bull market— —back then, Bitcoin rose, and small coins at least could soar several times
Now? Those who understand, understand
Here's the key points for you: 1️⃣ Last November, altcoins had a violent surge of 40%? 2️⃣ The addresses of the project parties are all Bitcoin? 3️⃣ Stop being delusional, they are just inciting you to buy altcoins and then use your gas to exchange for Bitcoin
If you really want to pay attention Lower your expectations, don't think about hundreds of times anymore Remember to run out to exchange for BTC when it hits the resistance level This way, there might still be a future