ChartNarrative
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Long post but worth going through. Thanks.
Was Gann Right? What 100 Years of Market Data Reveal. Analysing the most distributed prediction.
Here’s how historical data stacked up against the “Periods When to Make Money” predictions:
📉 “A Years” (Panic Years)
Predicted: Major market crashes or corrections.
• 1927: Contrary – S&P returned +36.6% this year .
• 1945: Contrary – S&P gained +38.5% ().
• 1965: Neutral – S&P up +11.5%, not a panic ().
• 1981: Correct – S&P down –6.8% amid recession/inflation .
• 1999: Contrary – S&P +15.5% before dot-com collapse .
• 2019: Contrary – S&P +33.9% .
Summary: Only 1981 saw a downturn; most “A Years” were positive, so this classification was weak overall.
⸻
💰 “B Years” (Boom Years)
Predicted: High returns; ideal for selling.
• 1935: ✅ S&P +53.7% .
• 1946: ❌ S&P –11.7% .
• 1964: ✅ S&P +15.9% .
• 1988: ✅ S&P +17.8% ().
• 2007: ❌ It was just +4.9% before the 2008 crash .
• 2026: TBD.
• 2043: Future.
Summary: 3 out of 5 historical predictions hit high returns—above average.
⸻
📉 “C Years” (Accumulation Years)
Predicted: Dips, ideal for buying.
• 1942: ✅ S&P +19.6% (emerging from WWII lows) ().
• 1951: ✅ S&P +20.7% .
• 1958: ✅ S&P +39.5% .
• 1974: ✅ S&P –20.8% (crash bottom) ().
• 1985: ✅ +25.9% (a strong up year) ().
• 2005: ✅ +7.1% (steady gain, but not a dip) ().
• 2023: ✅ +13.7% ().
• 2032: Future.
Summary: All historical “C Years” were either strong rebounds or solid buys—so this label worked quite well.
⸻
✅ Final Scorecard
Category Total Years Predicted Correct Accuracy
A Years 6 1 (1981). 17%
B Years 5 3 60%
C Years 7 7 100%
• Strongest signal: “C Years” almost always marked good buying opportunities.
• Moderate reliability: “B Years” often—but not always—preceded big gains.
• Weakest signal: “A Years” did not correlate well with panics (except 1981).
🧭 Conclusion & Takeaways
1. The chart was very reliable for capturing C Years—excellent buys at lows.
2. B Years generally matched strong returns but were not foolproof.
3. A Years were hit-or-miss; only one true panic year in the sample.
Worth noting:
• Black Monday 1987 occurred in a “B Year” (1988), but the peak/crash happened late ’87—so cycle overshoots exist ().
• Dot‑com boom in 1999 was a B-year but ended mild boom—crash came 2000 .
🔮 What about 2026 (next “B Year”)?
Traditionally, that suggests elevated valuations and a possible market peak. But remember, cycle charts are rough guides—not precise forecasts.
Forecast for BTC, ETH, SOL Based on Gann Cycle
📆 2026 is a “B Year”
→ historically strong, often market peaks
Bitcoin (BTC)
🔮 Forecast: Could retest or break all-time highs (ATH). Expect euphoria, hype, and possibly last leg of bull run.🎯 Potential Targets: $110K–$150K⚠️ Watch for reversal signs late 2026 or early 2027 as “C Year” correction may follow.
Ethereum (ETH)
🔮 Forecast: Likely to outperform BTC mid-cycle; major ETH 2.0 ecosystem growth or L2 narrative peaking.🎯 Potential Targets: $8K–$12K💡 Flippening talk could return but likely fizzles out in next cycle.
Solana (SOL)
🔮 Forecast: Top gainer potential due to retail hype, NFTs, DePIN, and memecoin cycles.🎯 Potential Targets: $250–$400
📉 High volatility—expect sharp corrections post-peak.
Sources & References:
SafeFRate. (n.d.). Historical S&P 500 Annual Returns. safewrate.comMacroTrends. (n.d.). S&P 500 Historical Yearly Returns Table. macrotrends.net
Forbes Advisor. (2023). A History of Bear Markets: 1929 to 2023. forbes.com
The Guardian. (2025, April 8). How Liberation Day Rout Compares with Other Notorious Stock Market Crises. theguardian.com
Wikipedia Contributors. (n.d.). Dot-com Bubble. en.wikipedia.org
Investment Fiduciary. (2016). What Stock Returns Look Like in 20 Years. investment-fiduciary.com
Financial Times. (n.d.). Stock Market Review of 2007–2008. ft.com
#CryptoCycles #BitcoinForecast #Ethereum2026 #Solana #CryptoTiming
📉 “A Years” (Panic Years)
Predicted: Major market crashes or corrections.
• 1927: Contrary – S&P returned +36.6% this year .
• 1945: Contrary – S&P gained +38.5% ().
• 1965: Neutral – S&P up +11.5%, not a panic ().
• 1981: Correct – S&P down –6.8% amid recession/inflation .
• 1999: Contrary – S&P +15.5% before dot-com collapse .
• 2019: Contrary – S&P +33.9% .
Summary: Only 1981 saw a downturn; most “A Years” were positive, so this classification was weak overall.
⸻
💰 “B Years” (Boom Years)
Predicted: High returns; ideal for selling.
• 1935: ✅ S&P +53.7% .
• 1946: ❌ S&P –11.7% .
• 1964: ✅ S&P +15.9% .
• 1988: ✅ S&P +17.8% ().
• 2007: ❌ It was just +4.9% before the 2008 crash .
• 2026: TBD.
• 2043: Future.
Summary: 3 out of 5 historical predictions hit high returns—above average.
⸻
📉 “C Years” (Accumulation Years)
Predicted: Dips, ideal for buying.
• 1942: ✅ S&P +19.6% (emerging from WWII lows) ().
• 1951: ✅ S&P +20.7% .
• 1958: ✅ S&P +39.5% .
• 1974: ✅ S&P –20.8% (crash bottom) ().
• 1985: ✅ +25.9% (a strong up year) ().
• 2005: ✅ +7.1% (steady gain, but not a dip) ().
• 2023: ✅ +13.7% ().
• 2032: Future.
Summary: All historical “C Years” were either strong rebounds or solid buys—so this label worked quite well.
⸻
✅ Final Scorecard
Category Total Years Predicted Correct Accuracy
A Years 6 1 (1981). 17%
B Years 5 3 60%
C Years 7 7 100%
• Strongest signal: “C Years” almost always marked good buying opportunities.
• Moderate reliability: “B Years” often—but not always—preceded big gains.
• Weakest signal: “A Years” did not correlate well with panics (except 1981).
🧭 Conclusion & Takeaways
1. The chart was very reliable for capturing C Years—excellent buys at lows.
2. B Years generally matched strong returns but were not foolproof.
3. A Years were hit-or-miss; only one true panic year in the sample.
Worth noting:
• Black Monday 1987 occurred in a “B Year” (1988), but the peak/crash happened late ’87—so cycle overshoots exist ().
• Dot‑com boom in 1999 was a B-year but ended mild boom—crash came 2000 .
🔮 What about 2026 (next “B Year”)?
Traditionally, that suggests elevated valuations and a possible market peak. But remember, cycle charts are rough guides—not precise forecasts.
Forecast for BTC, ETH, SOL Based on Gann Cycle
📆 2026 is a “B Year”
→ historically strong, often market peaks
Bitcoin (BTC)
🔮 Forecast: Could retest or break all-time highs (ATH). Expect euphoria, hype, and possibly last leg of bull run.🎯 Potential Targets: $110K–$150K⚠️ Watch for reversal signs late 2026 or early 2027 as “C Year” correction may follow.
Ethereum (ETH)
🔮 Forecast: Likely to outperform BTC mid-cycle; major ETH 2.0 ecosystem growth or L2 narrative peaking.🎯 Potential Targets: $8K–$12K💡 Flippening talk could return but likely fizzles out in next cycle.
Solana (SOL)
🔮 Forecast: Top gainer potential due to retail hype, NFTs, DePIN, and memecoin cycles.🎯 Potential Targets: $250–$400
📉 High volatility—expect sharp corrections post-peak.
Sources & References:
SafeFRate. (n.d.). Historical S&P 500 Annual Returns. safewrate.comMacroTrends. (n.d.). S&P 500 Historical Yearly Returns Table. macrotrends.net
Forbes Advisor. (2023). A History of Bear Markets: 1929 to 2023. forbes.com
The Guardian. (2025, April 8). How Liberation Day Rout Compares with Other Notorious Stock Market Crises. theguardian.com
Wikipedia Contributors. (n.d.). Dot-com Bubble. en.wikipedia.org
Investment Fiduciary. (2016). What Stock Returns Look Like in 20 Years. investment-fiduciary.com
Financial Times. (n.d.). Stock Market Review of 2007–2008. ft.com
#CryptoCycles #BitcoinForecast #Ethereum2026 #Solana #CryptoTiming
Was Gann Right? What 100 Years of Market Data Reveal. Analysing the most distributed prediction.
Here’s how historical data stacked up against the “Periods When to Make Money” predictions:
📉 “A Years” (Panic Years)
Predicted: Major market crashes or corrections.
• 1927: Contrary – S&P returned +36.6% this year .
• 1945: Contrary – S&P gained +38.5% ().
• 1965: Neutral – S&P up +11.5%, not a panic ().
• 1981: Correct – S&P down –6.8% amid recession/inflation .
• 1999: Contrary – S&P +15.5% before dot-com collapse .
• 2019: Contrary – S&P +33.9% .
Summary: Only 1981 saw a downturn; most “A Years” were positive, so this classification was weak overall.
⸻
💰 “B Years” (Boom Years)
Predicted: High returns; ideal for selling.
• 1935: ✅ S&P +53.7% .
• 1946: ❌ S&P –11.7% .
• 1964: ✅ S&P +15.9% .
• 1988: ✅ S&P +17.8% ().
• 2007: ❌ It was just +4.9% before the 2008 crash .
• 2026: TBD.
• 2043: Future.
Summary: 3 out of 5 historical predictions hit high returns—above average.
⸻
📉 “C Years” (Accumulation Years)
Predicted: Dips, ideal for buying.
• 1942: ✅ S&P +19.6% (emerging from WWII lows) ().
• 1951: ✅ S&P +20.7% .
• 1958: ✅ S&P +39.5% .
• 1974: ✅ S&P –20.8% (crash bottom) ().
• 1985: ✅ +25.9% (a strong up year) ().
• 2005: ✅ +7.1% (steady gain, but not a dip) ().
• 2023: ✅ +13.7% ().
• 2032: Future.
Summary: All historical “C Years” were either strong rebounds or solid buys—so this label worked quite well.
⸻
✅ Final Scorecard
Category Total Years Predicted Correct Accuracy
A Years 6 1 (1981). 17%
B Years 5 3 60%
C Years 7 7 100%
• Strongest signal: “C Years” almost always marked good buying opportunities.
• Moderate reliability: “B Years” often—but not always—preceded big gains.
• Weakest signal: “A Years” did not correlate well with panics (except 1981).
🧭 Conclusion & Takeaways
1. The chart was very reliable for capturing C Years—excellent buys at lows.
2. B Years generally matched strong returns but were not foolproof.
3. A Years were hit-or-miss; only one true panic year in the sample.
Worth noting:
• Black Monday 1987 occurred in a “B Year” (1988), but the peak/crash happened late ’87—so cycle overshoots exist ().
• Dot‑com boom in 1999 was a B-year but ended mild boom—crash came 2000 .
🔮 What about 2026 (next “B Year”)?
Traditionally, that suggests elevated valuations and a possible market peak. But remember, cycle charts are rough guides—not precise forecasts.
Forecast for BTC, ETH, SOL Based on Gann Cycle
📆 2026 is a “B Year”
→ historically strong, often market peaks
Bitcoin (BTC)
🔮 Forecast: Could retest or break all-time highs (ATH). Expect euphoria, hype, and possibly last leg of bull run.🎯 Potential Targets: $110K–$150K⚠️ Watch for reversal signs late 2026 or early 2027 as “C Year” correction may follow.
Ethereum (ETH)
🔮 Forecast: Likely to outperform BTC mid-cycle; major ETH 2.0 ecosystem growth or L2 narrative peaking.🎯 Potential Targets: $8K–$12K💡 Flippening talk could return but likely fizzles out in next cycle.
Solana (SOL)
🔮 Forecast: Top gainer potential due to retail hype, NFTs, DePIN, and memecoin cycles.🎯 Potential Targets: $250–$400
📉 High volatility—expect sharp corrections post-peak.
Sources & References:
SafeFRate. (n.d.). Historical S&P 500 Annual Returns. safewrate.comMacroTrends. (n.d.). S&P 500 Historical Yearly Returns Table. macrotrends.net
Forbes Advisor. (2023). A History of Bear Markets: 1929 to 2023. forbes.com
The Guardian. (2025, April 8). How Liberation Day Rout Compares with Other Notorious Stock Market Crises. theguardian.com
Wikipedia Contributors. (n.d.). Dot-com Bubble. en.wikipedia.org
Investment Fiduciary. (2016). What Stock Returns Look Like in 20 Years. investment-fiduciary.com
Financial Times. (n.d.). Stock Market Review of 2007–2008. ft.com
#CryptoCycles #BitcoinForecast #Ethereum2026 #Solana #CryptoTiming
📉 “A Years” (Panic Years)
Predicted: Major market crashes or corrections.
• 1927: Contrary – S&P returned +36.6% this year .
• 1945: Contrary – S&P gained +38.5% ().
• 1965: Neutral – S&P up +11.5%, not a panic ().
• 1981: Correct – S&P down –6.8% amid recession/inflation .
• 1999: Contrary – S&P +15.5% before dot-com collapse .
• 2019: Contrary – S&P +33.9% .
Summary: Only 1981 saw a downturn; most “A Years” were positive, so this classification was weak overall.
⸻
💰 “B Years” (Boom Years)
Predicted: High returns; ideal for selling.
• 1935: ✅ S&P +53.7% .
• 1946: ❌ S&P –11.7% .
• 1964: ✅ S&P +15.9% .
• 1988: ✅ S&P +17.8% ().
• 2007: ❌ It was just +4.9% before the 2008 crash .
• 2026: TBD.
• 2043: Future.
Summary: 3 out of 5 historical predictions hit high returns—above average.
⸻
📉 “C Years” (Accumulation Years)
Predicted: Dips, ideal for buying.
• 1942: ✅ S&P +19.6% (emerging from WWII lows) ().
• 1951: ✅ S&P +20.7% .
• 1958: ✅ S&P +39.5% .
• 1974: ✅ S&P –20.8% (crash bottom) ().
• 1985: ✅ +25.9% (a strong up year) ().
• 2005: ✅ +7.1% (steady gain, but not a dip) ().
• 2023: ✅ +13.7% ().
• 2032: Future.
Summary: All historical “C Years” were either strong rebounds or solid buys—so this label worked quite well.
⸻
✅ Final Scorecard
Category Total Years Predicted Correct Accuracy
A Years 6 1 (1981). 17%
B Years 5 3 60%
C Years 7 7 100%
• Strongest signal: “C Years” almost always marked good buying opportunities.
• Moderate reliability: “B Years” often—but not always—preceded big gains.
• Weakest signal: “A Years” did not correlate well with panics (except 1981).
🧭 Conclusion & Takeaways
1. The chart was very reliable for capturing C Years—excellent buys at lows.
2. B Years generally matched strong returns but were not foolproof.
3. A Years were hit-or-miss; only one true panic year in the sample.
Worth noting:
• Black Monday 1987 occurred in a “B Year” (1988), but the peak/crash happened late ’87—so cycle overshoots exist ().
• Dot‑com boom in 1999 was a B-year but ended mild boom—crash came 2000 .
🔮 What about 2026 (next “B Year”)?
Traditionally, that suggests elevated valuations and a possible market peak. But remember, cycle charts are rough guides—not precise forecasts.
Forecast for BTC, ETH, SOL Based on Gann Cycle
📆 2026 is a “B Year”
→ historically strong, often market peaks
Bitcoin (BTC)
🔮 Forecast: Could retest or break all-time highs (ATH). Expect euphoria, hype, and possibly last leg of bull run.🎯 Potential Targets: $110K–$150K⚠️ Watch for reversal signs late 2026 or early 2027 as “C Year” correction may follow.
Ethereum (ETH)
🔮 Forecast: Likely to outperform BTC mid-cycle; major ETH 2.0 ecosystem growth or L2 narrative peaking.🎯 Potential Targets: $8K–$12K💡 Flippening talk could return but likely fizzles out in next cycle.
Solana (SOL)
🔮 Forecast: Top gainer potential due to retail hype, NFTs, DePIN, and memecoin cycles.🎯 Potential Targets: $250–$400
📉 High volatility—expect sharp corrections post-peak.
Sources & References:
SafeFRate. (n.d.). Historical S&P 500 Annual Returns. safewrate.comMacroTrends. (n.d.). S&P 500 Historical Yearly Returns Table. macrotrends.net
Forbes Advisor. (2023). A History of Bear Markets: 1929 to 2023. forbes.com
The Guardian. (2025, April 8). How Liberation Day Rout Compares with Other Notorious Stock Market Crises. theguardian.com
Wikipedia Contributors. (n.d.). Dot-com Bubble. en.wikipedia.org
Investment Fiduciary. (2016). What Stock Returns Look Like in 20 Years. investment-fiduciary.com
Financial Times. (n.d.). Stock Market Review of 2007–2008. ft.com
#CryptoCycles #BitcoinForecast #Ethereum2026 #Solana #CryptoTiming
With CPI (Consumer Price Index) at 2.4%, which is below expectations, and FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) decision approaching, here’s what this means for crypto in the short term — and what you could consider doing:
⸻
🔍 CPI at 2.4% – Bullish for Risk Assets
• Lower CPI = Cooling inflation
• Reduces pressure on the Fed to keep rates high.
• Market expects dovish signals or future rate cuts.
• Crypto and tech stocks generally benefit from such expectations.
⸻
🧠 FOMC – What to Expect
• High chance the Fed holds rates steady this meeting.
• Market focus will be on:
• Powell’s tone in the press conference.
• Updated dot plot (rate hike/cut forecast).
• Forward guidance: If they hint rate cuts might start in Sep-Dec, crypto could surge.
⸻
✅ What You Can Do
🔹 Short-Term (Next 48–72 hrs):
• Expect volatility into and after the FOMC statement.
• If you’re trading:
• Scalp or intraday setups are better until post-FOMC clarity.
• Use tight stop-losses — both bulls and bears will be hunting liquidity.
• Likely ETH/BTC breakout setups after the announcement.
🔹 Medium-Term (June–July Outlook):
• If the Fed is dovish → accumulate dips.
• Focus on:
• ETH (merge narrative reviving + ETF approval hopes)
• SOL, OP, LDO, LINK (strong beta to macro)
• Meme coins for fast rotation plays (but risky)
⸻
🔻 What to Avoid
• Over-leveraging before FOMC.
• Holding illiquid small caps without stops.
• Assuming “CPI low = instant pump” – it often pulls back before the real move. #TradingPairs101 $ETH
⸻
🔍 CPI at 2.4% – Bullish for Risk Assets
• Lower CPI = Cooling inflation
• Reduces pressure on the Fed to keep rates high.
• Market expects dovish signals or future rate cuts.
• Crypto and tech stocks generally benefit from such expectations.
⸻
🧠 FOMC – What to Expect
• High chance the Fed holds rates steady this meeting.
• Market focus will be on:
• Powell’s tone in the press conference.
• Updated dot plot (rate hike/cut forecast).
• Forward guidance: If they hint rate cuts might start in Sep-Dec, crypto could surge.
⸻
✅ What You Can Do
🔹 Short-Term (Next 48–72 hrs):
• Expect volatility into and after the FOMC statement.
• If you’re trading:
• Scalp or intraday setups are better until post-FOMC clarity.
• Use tight stop-losses — both bulls and bears will be hunting liquidity.
• Likely ETH/BTC breakout setups after the announcement.
🔹 Medium-Term (June–July Outlook):
• If the Fed is dovish → accumulate dips.
• Focus on:
• ETH (merge narrative reviving + ETF approval hopes)
• SOL, OP, LDO, LINK (strong beta to macro)
• Meme coins for fast rotation plays (but risky)
⸻
🔻 What to Avoid
• Over-leveraging before FOMC.
• Holding illiquid small caps without stops.
• Assuming “CPI low = instant pump” – it often pulls back before the real move. #TradingPairs101 $ETH
ETH PRICE ACTION:
📈 Current Setup & Momentum
• ETH is trading near $2,768, essentially flat for the day. Daily range has been $2,752–$2,871 .
• Short‑term moving averages (e.g., EMA 7 on 1‑hour chart) are supportive of a mild bullish bias .
• RSI on shorter timeframes (15 min–1 hr) is neutral to slightly bullish, indicating upside room .
🧭 Support & Resistance Zones
• Immediate support lies around $2,700–$2,740, reinforced by EMA 7/25 and recent consolidation zones .
• First key resistance sits around $2,780–$2,800, a supply zone and recent double‑top area .
• Breaking above $2,800 could pave the way toward $3,000–$3,100 short‑term , while a failure near that level may trigger a pullback to $2,480–$2,500 .
⸻
🔄 Chart Patterns & Technical Signals
• Bearish double‑top / Head & Shoulders formation around $2,780–800 hints at a possible reversal if validated .
• Conversely, bullish setups noted include:
• Hammer candle on 1‑hour chart after a shake‑out, suggesting short‑term rebound .
• Break and retest of an ascending triangle / bullish flag on 4‑hour, pointing toward $3,000+ .
• Institutional technical ratings remain mixed: MAs lean bullish, oscillators are neutral .
⸻
🧭 Short‑Term Outlook
Scenario Trigger Likely Move
Bullish continuation Close above ~$2,800 with momentum Rally toward $3,000–$3,100
Pullback Rejection or failure at supply Drop to $2,480–$2,500 support
Range consolidation Price holds between $2,700–2,800 Tight sideways, awaiting catalyst
⸻
🧩 Summary
In the next 24–72 hours, ETH is likely to:
• Test $2,780–2,800 again—watch for either a breakout or a classic rejection.
• A bullish breakout could trigger momentum toward $3,000+.
• A rejection likely brings a pullback to the $2,500 area.
#TradingTypes101 $ETH
📈 Current Setup & Momentum
• ETH is trading near $2,768, essentially flat for the day. Daily range has been $2,752–$2,871 .
• Short‑term moving averages (e.g., EMA 7 on 1‑hour chart) are supportive of a mild bullish bias .
• RSI on shorter timeframes (15 min–1 hr) is neutral to slightly bullish, indicating upside room .
🧭 Support & Resistance Zones
• Immediate support lies around $2,700–$2,740, reinforced by EMA 7/25 and recent consolidation zones .
• First key resistance sits around $2,780–$2,800, a supply zone and recent double‑top area .
• Breaking above $2,800 could pave the way toward $3,000–$3,100 short‑term , while a failure near that level may trigger a pullback to $2,480–$2,500 .
⸻
🔄 Chart Patterns & Technical Signals
• Bearish double‑top / Head & Shoulders formation around $2,780–800 hints at a possible reversal if validated .
• Conversely, bullish setups noted include:
• Hammer candle on 1‑hour chart after a shake‑out, suggesting short‑term rebound .
• Break and retest of an ascending triangle / bullish flag on 4‑hour, pointing toward $3,000+ .
• Institutional technical ratings remain mixed: MAs lean bullish, oscillators are neutral .
⸻
🧭 Short‑Term Outlook
Scenario Trigger Likely Move
Bullish continuation Close above ~$2,800 with momentum Rally toward $3,000–$3,100
Pullback Rejection or failure at supply Drop to $2,480–$2,500 support
Range consolidation Price holds between $2,700–2,800 Tight sideways, awaiting catalyst
⸻
🧩 Summary
In the next 24–72 hours, ETH is likely to:
• Test $2,780–2,800 again—watch for either a breakout or a classic rejection.
• A bullish breakout could trigger momentum toward $3,000+.
• A rejection likely brings a pullback to the $2,500 area.
#TradingTypes101 $ETH
I’ve this printed out on my desk. Helps keep in check emotions.
I only trade with 1% of my portfolio. Helped me survive 3 years in crypto. Many more to go.
I only trade with 1% of my portfolio. Helped me survive 3 years in crypto. Many more to go.
🔒 Risk Management
• Risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade.
• Always use a stop-loss.
• Never add to a losing trade (no revenge trading).
• Don’t over-leverage — keep margin reasonable.
• Preserve capital > chase gains.
⸻
📊 Trade Setup
• Plan your trade, then trade your plan.
• Only enter on confirmed signals (not gut feeling).
• Use high-probability setups (e.g., support/resistance, breakouts, patterns).
• Trade with the trend, unless strong reversal setup.
⸻
🧠 Mindset & Discipline
• Stay emotionless — no FOMO or panic.
• Accept losses as part of the game.
• Don’t overtrade. Quality > quantity.
• Stick to a routine — don’t trade when distracted or emotional.
⸻
📈 Execution
• Wait for candle close confirmation, not just wicks.
• Set entry, stop-loss, and targets before entering.
• Journal every trade: entry, exit, reason, result.
⸻
🧰 Review & Adapt
• Review performance weekly/monthly.
• Focus on improving process, not just profits.
• Keep evolving — what works in one market may not in another. #TradingTypes101
• Risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade.
• Always use a stop-loss.
• Never add to a losing trade (no revenge trading).
• Don’t over-leverage — keep margin reasonable.
• Preserve capital > chase gains.
⸻
📊 Trade Setup
• Plan your trade, then trade your plan.
• Only enter on confirmed signals (not gut feeling).
• Use high-probability setups (e.g., support/resistance, breakouts, patterns).
• Trade with the trend, unless strong reversal setup.
⸻
🧠 Mindset & Discipline
• Stay emotionless — no FOMO or panic.
• Accept losses as part of the game.
• Don’t overtrade. Quality > quantity.
• Stick to a routine — don’t trade when distracted or emotional.
⸻
📈 Execution
• Wait for candle close confirmation, not just wicks.
• Set entry, stop-loss, and targets before entering.
• Journal every trade: entry, exit, reason, result.
⸻
🧰 Review & Adapt
• Review performance weekly/monthly.
• Focus on improving process, not just profits.
• Keep evolving — what works in one market may not in another. #TradingTypes101
🔒 Risk Management
• Risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade.
• Always use a stop-loss.
• Never add to a losing trade (no revenge trading).
• Don’t over-leverage — keep margin reasonable.
• Preserve capital > chase gains.
⸻
📊 Trade Setup
• Plan your trade, then trade your plan.
• Only enter on confirmed signals (not gut feeling).
• Use high-probability setups (e.g., support/resistance, breakouts, patterns).
• Trade with the trend, unless strong reversal setup.
⸻
🧠 Mindset & Discipline
• Stay emotionless — no FOMO or panic.
• Accept losses as part of the game.
• Don’t overtrade. Quality > quantity.
• Stick to a routine — don’t trade when distracted or emotional.
⸻
📈 Execution
• Wait for candle close confirmation, not just wicks.
• Set entry, stop-loss, and targets before entering.
• Journal every trade: entry, exit, reason, result.
⸻
🧰 Review & Adapt
• Review performance weekly/monthly.
• Focus on improving process, not just profits.
• Keep evolving — what works in one market may not in another. #TradingTypes101
• Risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade.
• Always use a stop-loss.
• Never add to a losing trade (no revenge trading).
• Don’t over-leverage — keep margin reasonable.
• Preserve capital > chase gains.
⸻
📊 Trade Setup
• Plan your trade, then trade your plan.
• Only enter on confirmed signals (not gut feeling).
• Use high-probability setups (e.g., support/resistance, breakouts, patterns).
• Trade with the trend, unless strong reversal setup.
⸻
🧠 Mindset & Discipline
• Stay emotionless — no FOMO or panic.
• Accept losses as part of the game.
• Don’t overtrade. Quality > quantity.
• Stick to a routine — don’t trade when distracted or emotional.
⸻
📈 Execution
• Wait for candle close confirmation, not just wicks.
• Set entry, stop-loss, and targets before entering.
• Journal every trade: entry, exit, reason, result.
⸻
🧰 Review & Adapt
• Review performance weekly/monthly.
• Focus on improving process, not just profits.
• Keep evolving — what works in one market may not in another. #TradingTypes101
🔥 Key Developments in the Trump–Musk Feud —— NO NEW TRADES OPEN. Let the market bottom out.
1. Musk’s Critique of Trump’s Tax-Cut Bill
Elon Musk publicly criticized President Trump’s proposed tax-cut and spending bill, labeling it as fiscally irresponsible and warning that it would exacerbate the national debt, which currently stands at $36.2 trillion. 
2. Trump’s Retaliation Against Musk
In response to Musk’s criticism, President Trump threatened to sever substantial government contracts and subsidies with Musk’s companies, including Tesla, SpaceX, and Starlink. This move signifies a significant escalation in their conflict. 
3. Social Media Exchanges and Political Ramifications
The dispute intensified on social media platforms, with Musk suggesting that Trump should be impeached. Additionally, Musk hinted at the possibility of forming a new centrist political party, further straining their relationship. 
4. Economic Impact on Tesla and Musk’s Net Worth
Following the public feud, Tesla’s stock experienced a significant decline, dropping by 14.3% and resulting in a loss of approximately $150 billion in market value. Consequently, Elon Musk’s net worth decreased by over $8 billion in a single day. 
⸻
📉 Cryptocurrency Market Reactions
The escalating conflict between Trump and Musk has introduced volatility into the cryptocurrency markets:
• Bitcoin (BTC): Currently priced at $101,415, Bitcoin has experienced fluctuations amid the political tensions.
• Dogecoin (DOGE): Trading at $0.1708, Dogecoin’s price movements have been influenced by Musk’s public statements and involvement in government projects.
Investors are closely monitoring the situation, as the feud between two influential figures adds uncertainty to the market dynamics.
1. Musk’s Critique of Trump’s Tax-Cut Bill
Elon Musk publicly criticized President Trump’s proposed tax-cut and spending bill, labeling it as fiscally irresponsible and warning that it would exacerbate the national debt, which currently stands at $36.2 trillion. 
2. Trump’s Retaliation Against Musk
In response to Musk’s criticism, President Trump threatened to sever substantial government contracts and subsidies with Musk’s companies, including Tesla, SpaceX, and Starlink. This move signifies a significant escalation in their conflict. 
3. Social Media Exchanges and Political Ramifications
The dispute intensified on social media platforms, with Musk suggesting that Trump should be impeached. Additionally, Musk hinted at the possibility of forming a new centrist political party, further straining their relationship. 
4. Economic Impact on Tesla and Musk’s Net Worth
Following the public feud, Tesla’s stock experienced a significant decline, dropping by 14.3% and resulting in a loss of approximately $150 billion in market value. Consequently, Elon Musk’s net worth decreased by over $8 billion in a single day. 
⸻
📉 Cryptocurrency Market Reactions
The escalating conflict between Trump and Musk has introduced volatility into the cryptocurrency markets:
• Bitcoin (BTC): Currently priced at $101,415, Bitcoin has experienced fluctuations amid the political tensions.
• Dogecoin (DOGE): Trading at $0.1708, Dogecoin’s price movements have been influenced by Musk’s public statements and involvement in government projects.
Investors are closely monitoring the situation, as the feud between two influential figures adds uncertainty to the market dynamics.
Crypto market downturn over the last 12 hours:
• 📉 Strong U.S. Economic Data
Recent data shows stronger-than-expected U.S. manufacturing activity, signaling economic resilience.
• 💵 Reduced Fed Rate Cut Expectations
The Federal Reserve is now expected to delay interest rate cuts, which reduces liquidity in markets.
• 📈 Stronger U.S. Dollar & Higher Yields
A stronger dollar and rising bond yields make risk assets like crypto less attractive.
• 🏦 Flight to Safety
Investors are rotating out of volatile assets (like crypto) and into more stable assets such as U.S. Treasuries.
• 🔻 Technical Selling Pressure
As BTC and ETH approached key resistance levels, automated and algorithmic traders triggered sell-offs.
• 📉 Strong U.S. Economic Data
Recent data shows stronger-than-expected U.S. manufacturing activity, signaling economic resilience.
• 💵 Reduced Fed Rate Cut Expectations
The Federal Reserve is now expected to delay interest rate cuts, which reduces liquidity in markets.
• 📈 Stronger U.S. Dollar & Higher Yields
A stronger dollar and rising bond yields make risk assets like crypto less attractive.
• 🏦 Flight to Safety
Investors are rotating out of volatile assets (like crypto) and into more stable assets such as U.S. Treasuries.
• 🔻 Technical Selling Pressure
As BTC and ETH approached key resistance levels, automated and algorithmic traders triggered sell-offs.
✅ Trade Setup: Ethereum (ETH/USDT) - Breakout Play
🕵️♀️ Trade Idea: Ethereum is testing a key resistance level at $2,650. A breakout above this level, confirmed by volume, could lead to a move toward $2,720–2,750. This is a clean breakout setup with recent accumulation and improving sentiment.
📊 Entry Criteria:
• Entry (Buy): $2,655 (after 15-minute candle closes above $2,650 with volume confirmation)
• Stop Loss: $2,625 (below recent support)
• Take Profit (TP1): $2,700
• Take Profit (TP2): $2,740
• Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5
🛠 Confirmation Indicators:
• RSI above 60 on 15-min
• MACD crossover on hourly
• Volume spike above average on breakout
$ETH
🕵️♀️ Trade Idea: Ethereum is testing a key resistance level at $2,650. A breakout above this level, confirmed by volume, could lead to a move toward $2,720–2,750. This is a clean breakout setup with recent accumulation and improving sentiment.
📊 Entry Criteria:
• Entry (Buy): $2,655 (after 15-minute candle closes above $2,650 with volume confirmation)
• Stop Loss: $2,625 (below recent support)
• Take Profit (TP1): $2,700
• Take Profit (TP2): $2,740
• Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5
🛠 Confirmation Indicators:
• RSI above 60 on 15-min
• MACD crossover on hourly
• Volume spike above average on breakout
$ETH
Upcoming CPI release (June 11) and FOMC meeting (June 17–18) could impact the crypto market in June 2025:
📅 Key Events
• June 11: U.S. May CPI report to be released.
• June 17–18: FOMC policy meeting; potential rate decision or forward guidance.
📈 Inflation Expectations
• Inflation is still above the Fed’s 2% target:
• Core CPI projected at 3.01% (↑ from 2.84%).
• Headline CPI last printed at 2.3% YoY.
• Higher inflation reduces likelihood of near-term Fed rate cuts.
🏦 Federal Reserve Position
• Current Fed Funds Rate: 4.25%–4.50%.
• Fed is signaling a wait-and-see approach; no immediate cut expected unless inflation cools.
• Market is pricing in possible rate cuts in Q3–Q4 2025, but not June.
📉 Potential Market Reactions
🔺 If CPI comes in lower than expected:
• Boosts risk appetite.
• Likely rally in Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and altcoins.
• BTC could retest $108K–$110K resistance.
•
🔻 If CPI comes in hotter than expected:
• Risk-off sentiment.
• Crypto may sell off as expectations for rate cuts are pushed back.
• BTC could drop to $97K–$100K zone.
• 🪙 If FOMC is dovish (signals willingness to cut later in 2025):
• Positive for crypto.
• May support bullish continuation through June
🔍 Investor Strategy Notes
• Watch for pre-CPI volatility (especially June 10–11).
• Fed tone (June 18) will be key to mid-year momentum.
• Altcoins may outperform BTC in low-rate, low-inflation scenarios.
📅 Key Events
• June 11: U.S. May CPI report to be released.
• June 17–18: FOMC policy meeting; potential rate decision or forward guidance.
📈 Inflation Expectations
• Inflation is still above the Fed’s 2% target:
• Core CPI projected at 3.01% (↑ from 2.84%).
• Headline CPI last printed at 2.3% YoY.
• Higher inflation reduces likelihood of near-term Fed rate cuts.
🏦 Federal Reserve Position
• Current Fed Funds Rate: 4.25%–4.50%.
• Fed is signaling a wait-and-see approach; no immediate cut expected unless inflation cools.
• Market is pricing in possible rate cuts in Q3–Q4 2025, but not June.
📉 Potential Market Reactions
🔺 If CPI comes in lower than expected:
• Boosts risk appetite.
• Likely rally in Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and altcoins.
• BTC could retest $108K–$110K resistance.
•
🔻 If CPI comes in hotter than expected:
• Risk-off sentiment.
• Crypto may sell off as expectations for rate cuts are pushed back.
• BTC could drop to $97K–$100K zone.
• 🪙 If FOMC is dovish (signals willingness to cut later in 2025):
• Positive for crypto.
• May support bullish continuation through June
🔍 Investor Strategy Notes
• Watch for pre-CPI volatility (especially June 10–11).
• Fed tone (June 18) will be key to mid-year momentum.
• Altcoins may outperform BTC in low-rate, low-inflation scenarios.
OM/USDT short term plan:
🔍 Observations Across Charts
📉 Trend
• On daily and 1H charts, OM has declined sharply from above $0.38 to $0.32, indicating strong short-term bearish momentum.
• The smaller timeframes (15m, 5m) show a possible local base forming, with repeated touches near $0.3250, suggesting short-term support.
• Candlestick formations suggest a high volume selloff, followed by range-bound sideways movement — often a sign of accumulation or indecision.
📈
Bullish Setup (Long Bias)
• Entry: Above $0.3260 (confirmation of support holding)
• Target 1: $0.34
• Target 2: $0.38
• Stop Loss: Below $0.3190
Bearish Setup (Short Bias)
• Entry: Breakdown below $0.3220
• Target 1: $0.31
• Target 2: $0.30
• Stop Loss: Above $0.3275
If you are holding OM token please go through it carefully.
✅ Reasons to be Optimistic
1. Token Burn by the CEO
• Burning 150M staked OM shows a commitment to value preservation and community confidence.
2. Validator Decentralization Plan
• Reducing internal control over the chain is a positive governance signal (if followed through).
3. Real-World Asset (RWA) Push
• Partnerships with Dimitra and WIN suggest serious use-case expansion.
4. Public Dashboard Transparency
• Helps hold the team accountable and reduces black-box operations.
⸻
⚠️ Red Flags
1. April 2025 Crash
• Sharp price drops often stem from internal failures, mismanagement, or whales dumping — details still unclear.
2. Team Previously Held 85% of Supply
• That’s massive centralization. Even if they’re “fixing” it, it raises red flags.
3. Rebuilding Trust
• The need to “rebuild trust” implies previous governance or operational issues.
4. Marketing vs. Delivery
• Announcements are solid — but real utility, chain usage, and product adoption must be tracked.
⸻
🔎 My Take (Would I Trust Them?) - I would prefer to invest in a growing project rather than a recovering project. For OM/USDT I’d prefer short term trades with clear invalidation.
🔍 Observations Across Charts
📉 Trend
• On daily and 1H charts, OM has declined sharply from above $0.38 to $0.32, indicating strong short-term bearish momentum.
• The smaller timeframes (15m, 5m) show a possible local base forming, with repeated touches near $0.3250, suggesting short-term support.
• Candlestick formations suggest a high volume selloff, followed by range-bound sideways movement — often a sign of accumulation or indecision.
📈
Bullish Setup (Long Bias)
• Entry: Above $0.3260 (confirmation of support holding)
• Target 1: $0.34
• Target 2: $0.38
• Stop Loss: Below $0.3190
Bearish Setup (Short Bias)
• Entry: Breakdown below $0.3220
• Target 1: $0.31
• Target 2: $0.30
• Stop Loss: Above $0.3275
If you are holding OM token please go through it carefully.
✅ Reasons to be Optimistic
1. Token Burn by the CEO
• Burning 150M staked OM shows a commitment to value preservation and community confidence.
2. Validator Decentralization Plan
• Reducing internal control over the chain is a positive governance signal (if followed through).
3. Real-World Asset (RWA) Push
• Partnerships with Dimitra and WIN suggest serious use-case expansion.
4. Public Dashboard Transparency
• Helps hold the team accountable and reduces black-box operations.
⸻
⚠️ Red Flags
1. April 2025 Crash
• Sharp price drops often stem from internal failures, mismanagement, or whales dumping — details still unclear.
2. Team Previously Held 85% of Supply
• That’s massive centralization. Even if they’re “fixing” it, it raises red flags.
3. Rebuilding Trust
• The need to “rebuild trust” implies previous governance or operational issues.
4. Marketing vs. Delivery
• Announcements are solid — but real utility, chain usage, and product adoption must be tracked.
⸻
🔎 My Take (Would I Trust Them?) - I would prefer to invest in a growing project rather than a recovering project. For OM/USDT I’d prefer short term trades with clear invalidation.
ETHUSDT June 2nd 2025 price action:
📉 Short-Term ETHUSDT
Current Price Zone: ~$2,495
Resistance Zone: ~$2,540–2,600
Support Zone: ~$2,300–2,400
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Hold/Buy)
• Confirmation: If ETH breaks above the $2,540–2,600 resistance level with volume.
• Target: $2,700–$2,800 range.
• Strategy is to Buy the breakout.
• Place stop-loss around $2,450 (recent consolidation)
News are driving this market so set stop loss accordingly.
⸻
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Sell/Short)
• Confirmation: Breakdown below $2,400 with strong bearish volume.
• Target: $2,200–2,300, possibly revisiting $2,000.
• Strategy is to Sell if support at $2,400 fails.
• Place stop-loss around $2,500 to avoid false breakdowns.
• Descending volumes = another trade for short confirmation
Once I open trade I’ll share here.
📉 Short-Term ETHUSDT
Current Price Zone: ~$2,495
Resistance Zone: ~$2,540–2,600
Support Zone: ~$2,300–2,400
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Hold/Buy)
• Confirmation: If ETH breaks above the $2,540–2,600 resistance level with volume.
• Target: $2,700–$2,800 range.
• Strategy is to Buy the breakout.
• Place stop-loss around $2,450 (recent consolidation)
News are driving this market so set stop loss accordingly.
⸻
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Sell/Short)
• Confirmation: Breakdown below $2,400 with strong bearish volume.
• Target: $2,200–2,300, possibly revisiting $2,000.
• Strategy is to Sell if support at $2,400 fails.
• Place stop-loss around $2,500 to avoid false breakdowns.
• Descending volumes = another trade for short confirmation
Once I open trade I’ll share here.
These are my personal trades. I manage risk carefully and recommend risking no more than 1% of your portfolio per trade. Single trade should ever put your account at risk.
Short-term technical outlook based on the SOL/USDT price action:
🔍 Observations:
• Support: Around $152.14 (tested multiple times).
• Resistance: Around $164.16 (recent high).
• Price has rejected resistance and is heading back toward support.
⸻
📉 Short-Term Prediction:
• Price may retest the $152 zone again.
• If $152 breaks, expect a drop toward $148–$150.
• If $152 holds and volume supports it, a bounce back to $159–$162 is likely.
• Bias: Bearish unless $157–$159 is reclaimed quickly.
My plan :
• Buy near $150 when price stops falling and starts going up.
• Sell around $158–$160 to take quick profits.
• If price falls below $148, sell to avoid bigger losses.
• If price breaks above $160, buy again for a chance to make more money, but set a stop loss just below $160.
• Use short charts (5 or 15 minutes) to decide when to buy and sell.
• Watch for big increases in trading volume — it helps confirm the moves.
• Don’t hold your trades too long; aim to make fast gains.
🔍 Observations:
• Support: Around $152.14 (tested multiple times).
• Resistance: Around $164.16 (recent high).
• Price has rejected resistance and is heading back toward support.
⸻
📉 Short-Term Prediction:
• Price may retest the $152 zone again.
• If $152 breaks, expect a drop toward $148–$150.
• If $152 holds and volume supports it, a bounce back to $159–$162 is likely.
• Bias: Bearish unless $157–$159 is reclaimed quickly.
My plan :
• Buy near $150 when price stops falling and starts going up.
• Sell around $158–$160 to take quick profits.
• If price falls below $148, sell to avoid bigger losses.
• If price breaks above $160, buy again for a chance to make more money, but set a stop loss just below $160.
• Use short charts (5 or 15 minutes) to decide when to buy and sell.
• Watch for big increases in trading volume — it helps confirm the moves.
• Don’t hold your trades too long; aim to make fast gains.
Hello everyone, I’m new to the group.
I’ll be sharing my trades — either as brief signals or with full reasoning, depending on what the group prefers
I’ll be sharing my trades — either as brief signals or with full reasoning, depending on what the group prefers
Short-term technical outlook based on the SOL/USDT price action:
🔍 Observations:
• Support: Around $152.14 (tested multiple times).
• Resistance: Around $164.16 (recent high).
• Price has rejected resistance and is heading back toward support.
⸻
📉 Short-Term Prediction:
• Price may retest the $152 zone again.
• If $152 breaks, expect a drop toward $148–$150.
• If $152 holds and volume supports it, a bounce back to $159–$162 is likely.
• Bias: Bearish unless $157–$159 is reclaimed quickly.
My plan :
• Buy near $150 when price stops falling and starts going up.
• Sell around $158–$160 to take quick profits.
• If price falls below $148, sell to avoid bigger losses.
• If price breaks above $160, buy again for a chance to make more money, but set a stop loss just below $160.
• Use short charts (5 or 15 minutes) to decide when to buy and sell.
• Watch for big increases in trading volume — it helps confirm the moves.
• Don’t hold your trades too long; aim to make fast gains.
🔍 Observations:
• Support: Around $152.14 (tested multiple times).
• Resistance: Around $164.16 (recent high).
• Price has rejected resistance and is heading back toward support.
⸻
📉 Short-Term Prediction:
• Price may retest the $152 zone again.
• If $152 breaks, expect a drop toward $148–$150.
• If $152 holds and volume supports it, a bounce back to $159–$162 is likely.
• Bias: Bearish unless $157–$159 is reclaimed quickly.
My plan :
• Buy near $150 when price stops falling and starts going up.
• Sell around $158–$160 to take quick profits.
• If price falls below $148, sell to avoid bigger losses.
• If price breaks above $160, buy again for a chance to make more money, but set a stop loss just below $160.
• Use short charts (5 or 15 minutes) to decide when to buy and sell.
• Watch for big increases in trading volume — it helps confirm the moves.
• Don’t hold your trades too long; aim to make fast gains.
Short-term technical outlook based on the SOL/USDT price action:
🔍 Observations:
• Support: Around $152.14 (tested multiple times).
• Resistance: Around $164.16 (recent high).
• Price has rejected resistance and is heading back toward support.
⸻
📉 Short-Term Prediction:
• Price may retest the $152 zone again.
• If $152 breaks, expect a drop toward $148–$150.
• If $152 holds and volume supports it, a bounce back to $159–$162 is likely.
• Bias: Bearish unless $157–$159 is reclaimed quickly.
My plan :
• Buy near $150 when price stops falling and starts going up.
• Sell around $158–$160 to take quick profits.
• If price falls below $148, sell to avoid bigger losses.
• If price breaks above $160, buy again for a chance to make more money, but set a stop loss just below $160.
• Use short charts (5 or 15 minutes) to decide when to buy and sell.
• Watch for big increases in trading volume — it helps confirm the moves.
• Don’t hold your trades too long; aim to make fast gains.
🔍 Observations:
• Support: Around $152.14 (tested multiple times).
• Resistance: Around $164.16 (recent high).
• Price has rejected resistance and is heading back toward support.
⸻
📉 Short-Term Prediction:
• Price may retest the $152 zone again.
• If $152 breaks, expect a drop toward $148–$150.
• If $152 holds and volume supports it, a bounce back to $159–$162 is likely.
• Bias: Bearish unless $157–$159 is reclaimed quickly.
My plan :
• Buy near $150 when price stops falling and starts going up.
• Sell around $158–$160 to take quick profits.
• If price falls below $148, sell to avoid bigger losses.
• If price breaks above $160, buy again for a chance to make more money, but set a stop loss just below $160.
• Use short charts (5 or 15 minutes) to decide when to buy and sell.
• Watch for big increases in trading volume — it helps confirm the moves.
• Don’t hold your trades too long; aim to make fast gains.
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