Upcoming CPI release (June 11) and FOMC meeting (June 17–18) could impact the crypto market in June 2025:

📅 Key Events

• June 11: U.S. May CPI report to be released.

• June 17–18: FOMC policy meeting; potential rate decision or forward guidance.

📈 Inflation Expectations

• Inflation is still above the Fed’s 2% target:

• Core CPI projected at 3.01% (↑ from 2.84%).

• Headline CPI last printed at 2.3% YoY.

• Higher inflation reduces likelihood of near-term Fed rate cuts.

🏦 Federal Reserve Position

• Current Fed Funds Rate: 4.25%–4.50%.

• Fed is signaling a wait-and-see approach; no immediate cut expected unless inflation cools.

• Market is pricing in possible rate cuts in Q3–Q4 2025, but not June.

📉 Potential Market Reactions

🔺 If CPI comes in lower than expected:

• Boosts risk appetite.

• Likely rally in Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and altcoins.

• BTC could retest $108K–$110K resistance.

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🔻 If CPI comes in hotter than expected:

• Risk-off sentiment.

• Crypto may sell off as expectations for rate cuts are pushed back.

• BTC could drop to $97K–$100K zone.

• 🪙 If FOMC is dovish (signals willingness to cut later in 2025):

• Positive for crypto.

• May support bullish continuation through June

🔍 Investor Strategy Notes

• Watch for pre-CPI volatility (especially June 10–11).

• Fed tone (June 18) will be key to mid-year momentum.

• Altcoins may outperform BTC in low-rate, low-inflation scenarios.