Proekt_73
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Мы в Twitter и др - @Proekt_73. Анализ крипторынка, Срочные новости. Сделки с объяснением их логики. Не даем финансовых рекомендаций, DYOR! Тупые комменты - бан
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Proekt_73
Close Position
BTCUSDT
PNL
+2.74
Close Price
$115701
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Uptrend in BTC on the hourly timeframe - present, impulse clearly towards the candle close. Basic targets: $116,644, $117,152, $117,661.
It's not that this mitigates the issue with the high marks on the same timeframe or resolves the problem with the still unbroken trends - but the chances that our stop in positive breakeven will be hit have decreased.
We remain in position, but we will not increase it, as planned, until we see a stable uptrend on the 3-hour timeframe, if it is given.
It's not that this mitigates the issue with the high marks on the same timeframe or resolves the problem with the still unbroken trends - but the chances that our stop in positive breakeven will be hit have decreased.
We remain in position, but we will not increase it, as planned, until we see a stable uptrend on the 3-hour timeframe, if it is given.
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Currently, we are facing two very important trend lines in BTC. If we don't break through them, we could see a new drop below $115,000. At the same time, there are signs of weakening growth.
Therefore, I have moved the stop to a positive breakeven and we will see how it goes. I would like to see a transition to an uptrend on the hourly timeframe for continued growth. We will see in 20 minutes.
I still don't want to short the current situation, even though we have a downtrend on the 12-hour timeframe. If it appears on the daily timeframe, then we will see. For now, I still see potential for a reversal and growth above $120,000.
Therefore, I have moved the stop to a positive breakeven and we will see how it goes. I would like to see a transition to an uptrend on the hourly timeframe for continued growth. We will see in 20 minutes.
I still don't want to short the current situation, even though we have a downtrend on the 12-hour timeframe. If it appears on the daily timeframe, then we will see. For now, I still see potential for a reversal and growth above $120,000.
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The Bull Market Peak Indicators Index - Sell At The Top still shows that BTC has not made a cycle high. Information for everyone who is in doubt after the new ATH on August 14.
Let us remind you that this index from #Coinglass combines 30 (!) indicators, metrics, and indexes. From relatively little-known to well-known ones such as the Pi Cycle Top Indicator, Altcoin Season Index, Bitcoin Dominance, Bitcoin MVRV Ratio.
None of them for #BTC still say "sell" - "HODL 100%".
Let us remind you that this index from #Coinglass combines 30 (!) indicators, metrics, and indexes. From relatively little-known to well-known ones such as the Pi Cycle Top Indicator, Altcoin Season Index, Bitcoin Dominance, Bitcoin MVRV Ratio.
None of them for #BTC still say "sell" - "HODL 100%".
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New important signals from our indicator on the weekly timeframe, for the TOP-200 crypto assets
New important signals from our indicator on the weekly timeframe, for the TOP-200 crypto assets.
Upon the closure of the new weekly candle, we have the following interesting signals:
- #ADA. Despite having the first of three possible markers for a potential high, there is also a transition to a stable uptrend. This is the third stable uptrend on the weekly timeframe in this cycle. The price has broken through the trendline from the maximum of November-December last year. Basic and additional targets are up to $1.7249.
Upon the closure of the new weekly candle, we have the following interesting signals:
- #ADA. Despite having the first of three possible markers for a potential high, there is also a transition to a stable uptrend. This is the third stable uptrend on the weekly timeframe in this cycle. The price has broken through the trendline from the maximum of November-December last year. Basic and additional targets are up to $1.7249.
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Volatility indices of BTC and ETH prices, picture on August 18.
Our latest forecasts for this metric are only partially working out. Results of the forecast from August 9:
For #BTC we expected the Index to turn upward from August 12-14. In fact, the turn happened earlier, on August 11. Now we expect the Bitcoin price Index to start declining from August 18-20. That is, it may start as early as today.
For #ETH we expected the Index to turn upward from August 11-13. In fact, the turn happened earlier, already on August 9. Now we expect the Ethereum price Index to start declining from... August 18. Already today.
Today or tomorrow we will find out how accurate the forecast is. If it is confirmed, we can expect an overall quiet week in terms of volatility, and an increase in the Indices for both assets (and consequently, an increase in volatility) can be expected from August 24-26.
Let us remind you that our unfulfilled turnaround forecasts are marked with a dashed line on the charts.
Our latest forecasts for this metric are only partially working out. Results of the forecast from August 9:
For #BTC we expected the Index to turn upward from August 12-14. In fact, the turn happened earlier, on August 11. Now we expect the Bitcoin price Index to start declining from August 18-20. That is, it may start as early as today.
For #ETH we expected the Index to turn upward from August 11-13. In fact, the turn happened earlier, already on August 9. Now we expect the Ethereum price Index to start declining from... August 18. Already today.
Today or tomorrow we will find out how accurate the forecast is. If it is confirmed, we can expect an overall quiet week in terms of volatility, and an increase in the Indices for both assets (and consequently, an increase in volatility) can be expected from August 24-26.
Let us remind you that our unfulfilled turnaround forecasts are marked with a dashed line on the charts.
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A decision has been made to start with a long position in BTC. A short logical stop.
Having studied the history of stable uptrends for BTC on the daily timeframe in this cycle, we decided to start accumulating a long position. Historically, buying near potential break levels of uptrends has been a good bullish idea. Even a very good one.
The only thing that can spoil it is that the asset is currently in distribution on ETH and altcoins. Plus, we are still concerned about the potential high marks on the weekly timeframe (two out of three possible). Therefore, we maintain the probability of placing a stop at breakeven during the implementation of the idea. Or exit the position early.
The only thing that can spoil it is that the asset is currently in distribution on ETH and altcoins. Plus, we are still concerned about the potential high marks on the weekly timeframe (two out of three possible). Therefore, we maintain the probability of placing a stop at breakeven during the implementation of the idea. Or exit the position early.
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Proekt_73
Open Position
BTCUSDTLong 30x
Position Size
$0.025
Entry Price
$115591.3
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BTC has transitioned into a stable downtrend on the 12-hour timeframe, with basic targets of $114,629, $112,678, $110,726.
The BTC rate has transitioned into a stable downtrend on the 12-hour timeframe, with basic targets of $114,629, $112,678, $110,726.
Given, we remind you, the unaddressed targets of the downtrend still on two timeframes:
- 6-hour timeframe: $113,657,
- 8-hour timeframe: $113,971 and $112,380.
This signal adds arguments for a decline. According to our main indicator, the area of $110,000-$111,000 does not seem far-fetched. According to our horizontal support levels indicator, which should be noted: $114,330, $113,579, $112,827. If the last level is broken, we may see a rapid price delivery straight to $111,074, and if that is broken, to the range of $108,820-$109,571.
Given, we remind you, the unaddressed targets of the downtrend still on two timeframes:
- 6-hour timeframe: $113,657,
- 8-hour timeframe: $113,971 and $112,380.
This signal adds arguments for a decline. According to our main indicator, the area of $110,000-$111,000 does not seem far-fetched. According to our horizontal support levels indicator, which should be noted: $114,330, $113,579, $112,827. If the last level is broken, we may see a rapid price delivery straight to $111,074, and if that is broken, to the range of $108,820-$109,571.
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BTC started the week with aggressive depreciation, testing the psychological level of $115,000.
BTC started the week with aggressive depreciation, testing the psychological level of $115,000. The current low is $114,640.
The closed trade this morning yielded a relatively modest profit of around +50%, details:
- #Binance: short with 30 leverage from the level of $117,482.90, closed at $115,468.20.
- #Bybit: short with 30 leverage from the level of $117,447.20, potential liquidation level at $115,450.00.
The closed trade this morning yielded a relatively modest profit of around +50%, details:
- #Binance: short with 30 leverage from the level of $117,482.90, closed at $115,468.20.
- #Bybit: short with 30 leverage from the level of $117,447.20, potential liquidation level at $115,450.00.
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With the new downward impulse in BTC, a new Strong signal for potential long on the hourly timeframe has also arrived. We have once again closed our #futures_trade according to the strategy. Additionally, the price previously tested the 50 EMA on the daily timeframe.
Now there is a prospect either for a reversal or for a bounce. More precisely, this can be determined in 3 hours when we close the 8-hour candle.
IF the price holds the uptrend on this timeframe - we can expect a reversal attempt. On the daily timeframe, it is important to stay above the level of potential breakdown of the uptrend at $115,639.
IF not - from the bounce we are inclined to take a new short position.
More on expectations - continuation of the correction. The closed weekly candle does not inspire confidence. But we act according to the strategy. 50% profit is good too.
The results of the trade and a broader overall technical picture will be elaborated later in the review.
Now there is a prospect either for a reversal or for a bounce. More precisely, this can be determined in 3 hours when we close the 8-hour candle.
IF the price holds the uptrend on this timeframe - we can expect a reversal attempt. On the daily timeframe, it is important to stay above the level of potential breakdown of the uptrend at $115,639.
IF not - from the bounce we are inclined to take a new short position.
More on expectations - continuation of the correction. The closed weekly candle does not inspire confidence. But we act according to the strategy. 50% profit is good too.
The results of the trade and a broader overall technical picture will be elaborated later in the review.
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Proekt_73
Close Position
BTCUSDT
PNL
+50.36
Close Price
$115468.2
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According to one of the unofficial versions, today is Trader's Day. At least for the post-Soviet space.
We congratulate everyone who is celebrating today! We wish you to remember the true goals that bring us to the market. Almost always, it's not about the money, in fact. It's about whom/what these money are needed for.
And it's not about "Lamborghinis" or a life full of glamour. Again, most of the time. It's the desire for freedom. The desire for a life change for oneself and for loved ones and close people. And sometimes, it can also be the desire to change the world for the better.
Trading is a difficult path to easy money. We wish you all to navigate it while keeping your true self. And to experience less turmoil between the two states in the picture 👆😁
We congratulate everyone who is celebrating today! We wish you to remember the true goals that bring us to the market. Almost always, it's not about the money, in fact. It's about whom/what these money are needed for.
And it's not about "Lamborghinis" or a life full of glamour. Again, most of the time. It's the desire for freedom. The desire for a life change for oneself and for loved ones and close people. And sometimes, it can also be the desire to change the world for the better.
Trading is a difficult path to easy money. We wish you all to navigate it while keeping your true self. And to experience less turmoil between the two states in the picture 👆😁
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For BTC, we start with a short position set, not waiting for a rebound
For BTC, we start with a short position set, not waiting for a rebound. Because there might not be a rebound. If it happens - in this case, we entered the position only partially.
The trigger for the decision - after a day of boring range, the price dropped into a sustained downtrend on the 15-minute timeframe.
As can be seen - with a dense set of basic and additional targets from our indicator, which have been partially worked out by this minute. Although there is a mark of a potential low on the hourly, it does not look like a defining signal.
The trigger for the decision - after a day of boring range, the price dropped into a sustained downtrend on the 15-minute timeframe.
As can be seen - with a dense set of basic and additional targets from our indicator, which have been partially worked out by this minute. Although there is a mark of a potential low on the hourly, it does not look like a defining signal.
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Proekt_73
Open Position
BTCUSDTShort 30x
Position Size
$-0.025
Entry Price
$117482.9
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BTC has been in a gradual ascending range since night, forming a local "Bear Flag."
BTC has been in a gradual ascending range since night, forming a local "Bear Flag."
At the same time, the price of #BTC remains in a stable uptrend on the 15-minute timeframe. Let's remind that in the recent night posts it was mentioned that if one were to start building short positions in parts from the current levels - it should be after a signal of a stable downtrend on the 15-minute charts. So far, there is none, but a gradual recovery is occurring.
At the same time, the price of #BTC remains in a stable uptrend on the 15-minute timeframe. Let's remind that in the recent night posts it was mentioned that if one were to start building short positions in parts from the current levels - it should be after a signal of a stable downtrend on the 15-minute charts. So far, there is none, but a gradual recovery is occurring.
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The BTC price, as expected, has transitioned into a steady downtrend on the 6-hour timeframe. Key targets: $116,692, $115,175, $113,657.
The situation increasingly favors a continuation of the correction, and the current bounce and repeated attempts to break the trendline with ATH and return to the "Dragon" pattern further suggest looking for short positions on the bounce, if it occurs at all.
For now, we expect a bounce because there is also a mark for a potential low on the same 6-hour timeframe. The question is what level the price will be at in the next 2.5 hours and to what level the bounce will form - it is hard to say for sure. Regarding the bounce - a move to the potential breakdown level of 120,485$ is not mandatory, but a quite realistic scenario. In the previous downtrend on this timeframe, the price moved to the potential breakdown level and, after consolidation, headed down to the targets.
All we are waiting for now to start building short positions is a return of the price to a steady downtrend on the 15-minute timeframe. After that, we will set levels above for adding short positions in case the price actually goes up.
By the way, #ETH has not transitioned into a downtrend on the 6-hour timeframe, but it also has a mark for a potential low. The asset continues to look stronger.
The situation increasingly favors a continuation of the correction, and the current bounce and repeated attempts to break the trendline with ATH and return to the "Dragon" pattern further suggest looking for short positions on the bounce, if it occurs at all.
For now, we expect a bounce because there is also a mark for a potential low on the same 6-hour timeframe. The question is what level the price will be at in the next 2.5 hours and to what level the bounce will form - it is hard to say for sure. Regarding the bounce - a move to the potential breakdown level of 120,485$ is not mandatory, but a quite realistic scenario. In the previous downtrend on this timeframe, the price moved to the potential breakdown level and, after consolidation, headed down to the targets.
All we are waiting for now to start building short positions is a return of the price to a steady downtrend on the 15-minute timeframe. After that, we will set levels above for adding short positions in case the price actually goes up.
By the way, #ETH has not transitioned into a downtrend on the 6-hour timeframe, but it also has a mark for a potential low. The asset continues to look stronger.
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Markets, for now, seem to be in a state of mild disappointment regarding the final outcomes of the Trump-Putin meeting.
Markets, for now, seem to be in a state of mild disappointment over the final outcomes of the Trump-Putin meeting.
The White House stated after the meeting that "many points were agreed upon." It quotes Trump's words that "today we made significant progress."
At the same time, the media, citing the White House, reports that the lunch between the US and Russian delegations has been canceled, and Trump is returning to Washington. This is, in fact, the second negative regarding the meeting after Trump's words that a deal has not been reached for now.
The White House stated after the meeting that "many points were agreed upon." It quotes Trump's words that "today we made significant progress."
At the same time, the media, citing the White House, reports that the lunch between the US and Russian delegations has been canceled, and Trump is returning to Washington. This is, in fact, the second negative regarding the meeting after Trump's words that a deal has not been reached for now.
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BTC has made a return to the uptrend on the 15-minute timeframe, we can confirm the start of the "Dragon" pattern. The trendline with the ATH has been broken and the figure is formed.
Although there are already high markers on this timeframe for the asset - the trend is more important. And the break of the trendline with the ATH is significant.
Pattern targets: 119 216$ and 124 474$. However, as already mentioned, we do not expect a full realization and a repeated approach to a new ATH, considering the abundance of potential high markers on higher timeframes.
Markets are reacting cautiously positively to the joint press conference of Trump and Putin, which is taking place in what can be described as a friendly atmosphere, without confrontational theses.
Trump stated that the meeting was "productive," but "we were not able to reach full understanding, and there is no deal yet." He also added: "Today we made significant progress, I have very good relations with President Putin." The statements from Putin and Trump concluded, the presidents left, shaking hands with each other but not answering questions from the press.
There is also no particular euphoria in the crypto market.
Although there are already high markers on this timeframe for the asset - the trend is more important. And the break of the trendline with the ATH is significant.
Pattern targets: 119 216$ and 124 474$. However, as already mentioned, we do not expect a full realization and a repeated approach to a new ATH, considering the abundance of potential high markers on higher timeframes.
Markets are reacting cautiously positively to the joint press conference of Trump and Putin, which is taking place in what can be described as a friendly atmosphere, without confrontational theses.
Trump stated that the meeting was "productive," but "we were not able to reach full understanding, and there is no deal yet." He also added: "Today we made significant progress, I have very good relations with President Putin." The statements from Putin and Trump concluded, the presidents left, shaking hands with each other but not answering questions from the press.
There is also no particular euphoria in the crypto market.
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Markets are waiting for the joint press conference of Trump and Putin, their negotiations have concluded.
There are no insights, but Trump previously mentioned that he would leave the meeting if the conversation wasn't going well. The fact that it lasted about 3 hours is a spoiler for the outcome, which is somewhat satisfactory for both sides. And the markets are pricing in this probability.
#FoxNews reports that the press conference of Trump and Putin may start an hour earlier than originally expected. Meanwhile, journalists speculate that negotiations with the Russians may continue in an expanded format after it (the meeting of the presidents was in a "three on three" format).
The crypto market is in uncertainty and shows slight growth. For example, the price of #BTC is already a few hundred dollars away from forming the bullish pattern "Dragon", plus there is a fourth additional low mark on the hourly time frame.
Signals so far hint that the continuation of events in Alaska should ensure further growth. How strong it will be - we will see. But our expectation is that this is indeed a bounce before further decline. The task here is to find the optimal entry for a short position on BTC.
There are no insights, but Trump previously mentioned that he would leave the meeting if the conversation wasn't going well. The fact that it lasted about 3 hours is a spoiler for the outcome, which is somewhat satisfactory for both sides. And the markets are pricing in this probability.
#FoxNews reports that the press conference of Trump and Putin may start an hour earlier than originally expected. Meanwhile, journalists speculate that negotiations with the Russians may continue in an expanded format after it (the meeting of the presidents was in a "three on three" format).
The crypto market is in uncertainty and shows slight growth. For example, the price of #BTC is already a few hundred dollars away from forming the bullish pattern "Dragon", plus there is a fourth additional low mark on the hourly time frame.
Signals so far hint that the continuation of events in Alaska should ensure further growth. How strong it will be - we will see. But our expectation is that this is indeed a bounce before further decline. The task here is to find the optimal entry for a short position on BTC.
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