Proekt_73

For the first time since last night and the drop in BTC price from 106 000$ - there is a sign of buyer strength. Although it is very local.
The price has transitioned into a stable uptrend on the half-hour time frame. With targets of $105,858, $106,407, $106,957.
Also, for the first time since yesterday, there has been a breakout of the EMA 50 on the half-hour time frame.
All of this is still very local signals. But according to horizontal levels, it is evident that above 105 405$ the next important level is only $106,720. So if we consolidate above $105,405 - we may see good bullish movements.
However, for a full return to growth, we need to consolidate above the level of $106,720-$107,096. In order to break through multiple EMA 50 and 200 of this time frame along the way.
A separate EMA 50 that I would like to draw attention to is on the 12-hour time frame. It now remains resistance. The price has approached this resistance closely but cannot break through it. If it cannot break through, then there will be a rebound from the resistance and a move towards new lows. This moving average is currently at the level of $105,630.

Important crypto market events on June 13 from the economic calendar.
It is difficult to imagine that even very good macroeconomics today could outweigh the Iranian-Israeli agenda. But nevertheless, we keep our finger on the pulse.
Data on consumer inflation in Sweden has already been released this morning, important due to the role of the Swedish krona in the calculation of the DXY. Slightly worse than forecasts. As well as industrial production and the EU trade balance (April), important for assessing recession risks and due to the role of the euro in the calculation of the DXY. Significantly worse than forecasts.
Schedule for the rest of the day:
❗️- 17:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 19:00 Astana time - Key data block on US consumer expectations from the University of Michigan:
-- Expected inflation (June).
-- Consumer inflation expectations index for the next 5 years.
-- Consumer expectations index.
-- Consumer sentiment index.
It is quite possible that even against the backdrop of a possible new escalation in the Middle East, data from Michigan will significantly "shake up" the market.

After overnight reviews, there are no significant market movements.
The key signal during the night was a massive Strong signal for a potential low on the hourly timeframe. 52 signals in 2 hours while monitoring the TOP-200 crypto assets. The picture resembles that of June 5-6, which actually became a low. And for #BTC - it was the start of a journey to a new ATH within just 4 days.
The key point in this hour is that potential high markers on the hourly timeframe have already started to appear. So far, only for BTC.
As we announced, we opened a long position on BTC overnight with 125 leverage. From the level of $103,652. For now, it's a small part of the deposit for futures. At one point, the profit reached +150%; now it's around +115%. As part of the experiment with #futures_trade, this is the first of four positions that was opened not on a trend change according to our indicator but from an extreme signal. Since June 5-6, the Strong signal markers have been working clearly on the hourly timeframe.
We set a stop at breakeven because the extreme has not yet confirmed its validity - there is no transition to a stable uptrend even on the half-hour timeframe. And the reason for the recent market decline, the Iran-Israel confrontation, does not seem to be close to a resolution.
But if we technically see confirmation of a reversal, we will start to increase our position.

In the last two hours - a mass of Strong signals of potential loyalty on the hourly timeframe of crypto assets. It is reminiscent of June 6. There was also a Strong signal for #BTC and a whole range of altcoins. After which the market turned around.
Now, in 2 hours - 52 signals from the TOP-200 by market capitalization. The list includes top altcoins such as #ETH, #SOL, #SUI, #XRP, #ADA, #LINK, #DOGE.
We are considering opening a long position on BTC by the end of the next hour. Meanwhile, the BTC price is already around $102,700, new lows.
The level below the low of this and the next hourly candle will likely serve as a good stop, taking into account the risks and circumstances. This applies to both Bitcoin and altcoins.

Liquidations in the crypto market over the past 24 hours have surpassed $1 billion. Bulls have already lost $943 million due to this turbulence.
The map of potential liquidations for #BTC from #Coinglass shows that there is still a solid volume of long liquidity from the current levels to 102,384$ . Considering the importance of several support levels in the range of 102,000-103,000$ , it is very likely that we will reach that level before a reversal.

The BTC price is approaching 103,000$ and is giving a strong signal of a potential low on the hourly timeframe. The last time this happened was on June 6, around $100,300.
But it is important to keep in mind that there can be up to three signals of a low. And for now, we don't even have the first candle closed.
If the situation repeats, the next 2.5 hours should provide an ideal entry point. We need to watch for signs of buyer strength, but so far, it is not visible.
All targets of the sustainable downtrend on the 3- and 4-hour timeframes have been met. Moreover, the price has entered a stable downtrend on the 6-hour timeframe and has already met 2 out of 3 basic targets there. The remaining target is $102,438.
On horizontal levels, the price has reached a tight range of $102,776 - $103,715.
We do not expect a more severe collapse below $100,000. Rather, we expect that the low of the dump is somewhere closer.
As an option, we may see another test of the EMA 50 on the daily timeframe, currently at $102,480.

The BTC price is around $104,000, the crypto market is accelerating the correction. The reason - according to #Axios, Israel carried out an airstrike on Iranian territory.
In just one hour, liquidations in the crypto market have already reached $216 million, of which bulls accounted for $211 million. In total, over the past 24 hours, there have been $859,507,354,224.25 in liquidations, of which longs accounted for $792 million.
Mass liquidations are occurring.

The BTC price volatility index has confirmed an upward reversal. Yesterday, we mentioned that a reversal could occur based on the daily closing session - and it happened.
As for the indices, the current forecast is as follows:
- The BTC price volatility index may increase until June 17-19.
- The ETH price volatility index may increase until June 16-18.
Until these dates, the market promises to be dynamic.
This is a case where there are initial doubts about the performance, as June 18 is the US Federal Reserve's decision on the interest rate. There are doubts that after this a "calm" will ensue.
However, it is quite possible, with the current consensus on expectations, that after the meeting with a predictable outcome, the assets will indeed move into a range. And we will see the main movements just before these dates.