庄哥说

最近大盘一直在震荡，只能凭借新闻来回做下多空波段交易。
19日凌晨两点有美联储的利率决议，不用想本次会议肯定不会降息，但是鲍威尔是鹰派发言还是鸽派发言应该会对短期行情造成一点影响。
不过最主要的还是伊朗和以色列的战争问题，天天嚷嚷着要动用核武器，咱也不知道是真是假。
反正每次行情有起飞的势头就一盆冷水浇下来，多军玩的实在是有些难受。
目前做波段主要盯着这些新闻做就行，暂时来看没有什么重大利好或者黑天鹅的话，短期 $BTC 依旧是10万到11万美元宽幅震荡
若伊以冲突持续扩大， $BTC 极限回调位置个人认为可以到95000，注意防守一波。
目前要做的就是等行情彻底走出来，战争因素还是不好预测，只希望世界和平战争快点结束顺带美联储降息放水让行情回归。
等这次风波结束长期 $BTC 依旧会到13万到15万
#伊朗以色列冲突 #BTC走势分析

Trump 62710078016 should be launching a token soon. Last year during the token subscription, it was stated that the tokens would only serve a governance role and could not be transferred, with no plans for open market trading in the future.
Recently, there have been rumors that blockchain experts have uncovered project contracts indicating that the project is very likely not to lock up tokens, and will also have new rules for free trading.
Once this news broke, many users on Twitter claimed to have subscribed to hundreds of thousands of U during the public offering.
Additionally, there is currently a serious polarization regarding token valuation:
Those who subscribed to the tokens say Trump is the 47th President of the United States, and the price could reach 47U or even 470U.
Those who did not participate in the subscription feel it's just a donation token. Haven't you been cut enough by the $TRUMP token and his presidential wife token? Yet you're rushing to give away money, with a price of 1U, the total market value would reach 100 billion, surpassing even $ETH and $BNB.

The total amount of public offering tokens is 25 billion, and its total token issuance is the same as $XRP at 100 billion. Currently, $XRP has a circulation of 58.8 billion at a price of 2.15U. If WLFI's circulation is at 25 billion, I personally believe the reasonable price range upon launch should be between 0.5U to 1U. I think this project shouldn't be worse than XRP.
Additionally, 62710078016 has also issued a stablecoin #USD1, and @cz_binance and @binance often support it. The SEC roundtable also passed the DEFi and stablecoin legislation, which seems to pave the way for the project.
Another detail is that the only crypto project Trump x follows is 62710078016; he hasn't even followed the Trump coin he issued.

Woke up this morning to see my account down quite a bit, thought the market was starting to get volatile again, checked the news sources, and it turns out there’s a war breaking out in the Middle East.
However, I personally don’t think this pullback is a big issue; this war won’t last long, it’s just a tactic used by market manipulators to shake out retail investors.
$BTC and $ETH both touched the lower Bollinger Band support on the daily chart this morning and then bounced a little; currently, the price of $BTC is 104000, and the price of $ETH is 2508.
Moreover, I checked the ETH ETF data, and there was still a slight net inflow yesterday with no net outflow, which clearly indicates that market manipulators are just using this news to shake out positions.
In fact, the previous post analyzing the market mentioned this point; at this time, be cautious of market manipulators using news to create volatility and explode long positions. Anyone who carefully read the article should have been able to successfully avoid this downturn.
Now, for spot trading, buy the dip if possible; for futures, go long if possible, and manage your positions in batches to prevent a second probe. Just hold on for a few days, and the bulls will return soon.
#以色列伊朗冲突 #加密市场回调

The market is still following the script, and currently, the price of Ethereum has broken through 2750.
Moreover, today Musk also publicly apologized to Trump on Twitter, and the trade negotiations between China and the UK are progressing smoothly.
Let's wait for tonight's CPI data from the US, and after Trump speaks, the market will adjust, and a move towards 3000 seems to be a foregone conclusion. What we need to do now is to prevent excessive long positions in contracts from being exploited by market manipulators.

If we reach 3000, as I mentioned in my earlier tweets, the tokens from the three major popular sectors will definitely see a wave of main rising momentum, so for now, it's best to continue holding and wait for Ethereum to lead the charge.
Additionally, I've seen news that an ETF for $SOL is also in progress, which seems to be laying the groundwork for a future easing and liquidity influx.
However, we shouldn't FOMO too much at this point, as the Fed's easing and interest rate cuts have not yet been implemented, and new liquidity has not entered the crypto space.
So I still stand by my original view: after this wave of Ethereum leading the popular altcoins up, there will definitely be a pullback, and I expect a second wave of market activity to start from the end of this year to the beginning of next year!

I started writing scripts and calling for upward trends from $BTC at 80-90k and $ETH around 1800. Now $BTC has reached 110k, and $ETH has hit 2800, just one step away from the target of 3000.
For those who have joined in this wave, let’s witness this final moment together with a triple shout-out.
#BTC #ETH #Lottery #Freebies #SOL #DEFI #AI #meme板块关注热点

Cattle Return Quickly Brothers
Recently, the tariff war and the trade conflict have caused the market to fluctuate and adjust for a week. Yesterday, Teda Company issued an additional 1 billion USDT in the Tron network, coupled with the smooth progress of Sino-U.S. London trade talks.
Today, $BTC finally climbed back to around 110,000, and $ETH also rose to around 2,700.
Some popular #meme, #Ai, and #DEFI sector altcoin prices that I had re-positioned during the previous decline have also returned, proving that the strongest rebounds in the market are indeed from these three popular sectors.
$PUNT $UNI #VIRTUAL
I will continue to hold these.
However, the current market remains in a daily fluctuation range, without a real upward breakout or downward breakdown.
According to my long-standing script, there is still one final wave of upward movement to explode a wave of short positions, and we are just one step away from completion.
$ETH will break through 2,750 to reach 3,000, leading the popular altcoins for the final push.
Once the last wave of the push is about to happen, I can start selling the spot and layout short positions to complete the great retreat.
So now we just need to patiently wait for the final wave of market breakout to be completed, while also being cautious of risks to prevent downward spikes and excessive longs.
Patiently waiting for the wind to come!
#BTC #ETH #TradeConflict #AltcoinSeason

In the last cycle, you complained that Biden's administration only focused on war and ignored Wall Street, yet after March 12, a bull market arrived.

In this cycle, you are optimistic about Trump’s administration, focusing solely on the economy and not engaging in wars. Publicly supporting cryptocurrency, yet the Q1 quarter saw a correction.

Now you are once again blaming Trump for messing up the market.

I have a good mindset. Whether the market is bullish or not, the key is whether it is truly a bull market. As for the consolidation, whether it should consolidate or not is also a matter of perspective.

When losing, blaming someone is not a good thing.
#特朗普马斯克分歧

#特朗普马斯克分歧

The Essence of the Conflict Between Trump and Musk

Trump's approach is anti-globalization
Musk's business needs globalization

The main issue is that the electric vehicle bill didn't benefit Old Ma...
Old Ma is confused, I spent so much money and effort to get this done for you, you frame it to make your own profit, breaking promises, leaving me to lose money and take the blame
The main thing is that interests have diverged

Pump.fun $4 billion valuation token issuance: Savior or the final cut?

The enthusiasm in the meme market is waning, and it's hard to find the phenomenal 'Golden Dog', but the meme launch platform Pump.fun is making headway against the trend. According to Blockworks, Pump.fun plans to issue tokens at a valuation of $4 billion, aiming to raise $1 billion, with the token possibly named '$PUMP', likely accompanied by airdrops. This news has sparked heated discussions in the market, with the ALON token surging 102% at one point, but community opinions are divided: supporters look forward to dividends and governance benefits, while skeptics believe the valuation is inflated, suspecting it to be 'cutting leeks'.

Pump.fun has an annual revenue of about $710 million, with a price-to-sales ratio of 5.63, comparable to DeFi projects. If the token distributes half of its revenue as dividends, the price-to-earnings ratio would be 11.4, lower than the average of US tech stocks. However, driven by meme market sentiment, revenues are highly volatile, with daily income plummeting from $14 million to $110, making it difficult for the valuation to find a stable anchor. Compared to Circle's $7.2 billion IPO valuation, Pump.fun's $4 billion seems outrageous.

There are clear signs of market 'exhaustion', with the meme market capitalization evaporating $40 billion in 2024, and Solana DEX trading volume shrinking by 20% in 2025, as new tokens quickly drop to zero. Pump.fun launches an average of 30,000 tokens daily, accounting for half of Solana DEX's trading volume, yet it cannot hide the market fatigue. The platform's sale of 18.2 million SOL for USDC has also triggered a trust crisis.

After the token issuance, can Pump.fun upgrade its gameplay and boost the market? As it stands, the answer leans towards negative. Emerging launchpads are challenging its status, and the community's skepticism continues. Researcher Haotian stated that a $4 billion valuation may signify the maturity of the meme economy, but it could also signal a collapse of industry values.
What do people think about Pump's token issuance? Is it the grave of Solana memes or a rebirth?
#pump

The market has been a bit bumpy lately. Today, after James' long position stop loss and tariff extension, the market has improved again.
$ETH has returned to 2600, and the overall direction is still bullish. There will be another surge; I hope no one has been thrown off the bus.
Looking back, the market is still in a range of fluctuations, but the altcoins that were lying in wait have reacted strongly to the corrections.
The real challenge in this round of trading lies here; $BTC is still hovering at high levels, and even a slight correction in Ethereum and altcoins can be alarming. If we see a significant pullback, I wonder what the market will look like.
Currently, chasing big coins doesn't offer great value, but the hidden Ethereum and low-altitude altcoins aren't following the rise, and most haven't even broken even. So, the more ideal situation right now is for Ethereum to break through 2750 and push towards 3000, leading the altcoins to surge, allowing for some profit or at least minimal loss, then prepare to escape at the top, waiting for the market at the end of the year and the beginning of next year. This round is truly hell for diamond hands and heaven for swing traders!
#BTC #ETH #AI #MEME #James

After half a month of trading Binance Alpha points, I will finally receive the airdrop tomorrow. Currently, I have a daily trading volume of around 16,000 USDT, with an average loss of about 1.6 to 1.9 USDT per day, and the highest loss has not exceeded 3 USDT. Is this considered a normal level?
#Alpha积分教程 #ALPHA🔥

The current market scenario is proceeding as expected without any deviation. $BTC has been hovering around 110,000, and $ETH is about to break the bull-bear boundary of 2750, making a rise to 3000 feel quite achievable. The previously positioned secondary
#AI sector
$WLD $virtual $KAITO $AIXBT
#meme sector
$WIF $PNUT
Additionally, there are some mentions of the primary small-cap coins still being held, and yesterday a bit of the leading $UNI from the #DEFI sector was purchased.
Waiting for $ETH to break through and lead the way!
I believe this wave of E-guardians will definitely be able to return to the adults' table for a meal! #UNI

Today $BTC started to consolidate again after pulling up to around 110,000. $ETH has begun to catch up. If this wave breaks the 2750 bull-bear boundary, it will go straight to 3000. Everything is still in the script of the tweet, and the general direction continues to be bullish!
Recently, I have been ambushing some secondary altcoins in the #AI #meme sector.
I also bought some $ETH chain personal targets that I believe have potential, such as
#ETHCHAN
0x5417994ae69e6ccb283bb6dbdba3006b3d3f9f95
The artist @shiro57102 has created a new mascot for Ethereum, which he will draw daily according to the fluctuations of $ETH. Pepe dev's wallet bought 2.5% of the supply the night before last. If according to the script, $ETH continues to soar, it should be able to reach a target of 10 million.
Recently, on-chain liquidity has returned a bit. ETH is slow but more suitable for building and diamond hands. If there are any good targets, feel free to recommend them in the comments, and I will help lift everyone up!
#比特币2025大会 #BTC走势分析 #ETH走势分析

I mentioned on Friday that Trump was just talking nonsense. After experiencing two days of fluctuations over the weekend, everything returned to normal after a good night's sleep on Monday.
Because Trump changed his stance again and postponed tariffs on the EU, it seems his family has already opened a lot of positions again, and the overall direction is still bullish.

I personally believe that at this current position, the market makers will likely make another effort to push the greed index above 80 before establishing short positions to reap profits, as the market's confidence has not fully recovered yet, and many funds are still waiting on the sidelines.
So it is basically confirmed that the rally is not over yet, and $ETH will also catch up, but there probably won't be a large-scale altcoin season; we can only expect a localized altcoin season. It’s best to focus on strong sectors, such as the projects in the strong sector #AI #mene .
#加密市场反弹

Recently, everyone must have enjoyed the luxurious pork rice from Binance's Alpha airdrop!
Looking at the data, in the past month, as long as you actively participated in activities, a single account's minimum earnings have been $1000. Those who missed out on these opportunities should pay attention and get involved; Binance is really giving out benefits.

Below is a #Binance Alpha participation guide for those who don't know how to participate in Alpha and want to learn how to redeem airdrops with points!

1. Use the latest version of the Binance App to create/import a Binance Web3 wallet, back up the mnemonic phrase, prepare main chain tokens (such as BNB, ETH) to pay transaction fees, and follow @BinanceWallet for activity notifications.

2. Access Alpha: On the Binance wallet homepage or in [Market] - [Alpha], check the token list and learn about token details.

3. Choose low slippage tokens or manually adjust slippage to participate in Alpha market trading to earn Alpha points. Points will be updated before 2 PM the next day.

4. Participate in TGE/airdrop: Accumulate Alpha points (point acquisition is based on asset balance and trading volume). Taking 1050u as an example, if you participate in one trade every day, with a trading volume of 2100u, you can earn 12 points for trading + 2 points for asset balance = 13 points.
Once you have enough points, you can participate in wallet TGE or claim point airdrops. Participating in a TGE or claiming an airdrop will consume the corresponding points!
#币安Alpha上新 #空投教程指南

One of the hardest things in trading is not finding trading opportunities, but staying honest after entering the trade.

After entering, a subtle change quietly occurs: you no longer analyze rationally, but begin to rationalize your decisions. You no longer ask, "Is this trade still valid?" but instead look for all information that supports your reasons for holding the position. You start scrolling through posts, only paying attention to content that aligns with your viewpoint, treating opposing data as noise, and what was once a comfort zone becomes a breeding ground for self-confirmation.

At this moment, belief quietly transforms into bias. Clarity is replaced by hope, and what was once an analytical behavior gradually turns into defensiveness.

Perhaps you are ultimately right. But the market does not reward you for being "right in the end"—the market only rewards timing.

A trading logic can be correct, but if the timing is off, it will still cost you. The so-called "early entry" is sometimes just a euphemism for being "stuck." The work of trading is not about being the first to see the opportunity, but about being able to ride it when "the opportunity truly arises."

This means you must know when to concede and cut losses in an unfavorable situation—not because your idea is wrong, but because the basis for your entry is no longer valid. And when the market realigns with your thinking, you must have enough mental flexibility to re-enter—not out of obsession, but because you have regained a favorable probability.

Most traders stumble at this step: they fall in love with their own opinions, confuse long-term vision with short-term positions, and forget that profit and loss depend not on whether you are "right," but on whether you are "in the right position."

The best traders are not only good at holding but also good at "letting go"—knowing when to add to their position, when to exit, and when to re-enter when conditions are clearer.

In a world that values belief, do not forget that what truly compounds is timing and execution.

Trump's rhetoric this time is purely market manipulation for profit; the negative impact of such rhetoric on the market will become less and less significant. The overall direction remains the same as previously stated in the tweets: we continue to hold a bullish view. Gradually accumulate the favored coins at lower prices, and that's it—a small interlude before the real takeoff.
#美国加征关税 #加密市场回调

Anyway, what you bought is all spot, don't be afraid, it will eventually rise back and make a profit.
This sentence has probably harmed countless people in this round of bull market.
The $ordi that was 80u has now dropped to 8u.
The $DOGE that was 0.4u is currently at 0.17u.
Many altcoins have also fallen to historical lows and have never recovered, while those at the peak remain stuck at the top, with accounts being halved again and again.
The glory of the 2021 bull market where altcoins surged several times may return again.
#BTC #ETH #SOL #DOGE

#币安投票 The battle for the Nine Sons to seize the throne is still ongoing,
He Yi CZ is still striving on the front lines of the market, finding angles and creating hotspots for everyone.

Currently, BSC is still too reliant on the CZ He Yi IP, basically only able to play projects that have some direct connection with them. A while ago, it was mentioned that to do well on BSC, just closely follow CZ He Yi's Twitter, and just yesterday the news came in.

For example, yesterday He Yi liked and followed the official Twitter of $BUBB and $TAT, and both of these projects have taken off.

Currently, BSC can only be considered in its early stages compared to SOL, as it lacks a leading project. The young dragon #munarak is still in the consolidation phase, waiting for the washout to finish before taking off again.

Previously, the SOL chain also started with localized hotspots, with the founder stepping in to promote, and later a few major golden dog giants became popular all over the internet, and the ecosystem suddenly flourished.

If BSC can bring out a few giants like SOL did back then, opening up the ceiling of the chain, then a large amount of capital will rush in. Only then will it truly be said that BSC has regained its former glory.
#币安Alpha #BUBB #TAT #BNB #mubarak #Siren

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The recent drop in the early morning was mainly due to old Powell's few words of fierce rhetoric, leading the market manipulators to take the opportunity for a washout.
What I want to say is that such a level of pullback and fluctuation is very normal in a bull market; as long as there is a pullback, it is the best opportunity. Hold your spot well and don't cut losses randomly.
Many people are asking if they can add positions and buy the dip now. I suggest waiting until tonight to see if there will be a second test, and then consider whether to add positions and buy the dip.
As for the targets for buying the dip:
$ETH $DOGE $SUI and some coins from the Trump group.