Mr Neamat
Open Trade
Occasional Trader
2.4 Years
Crypto pro
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*5 miners from the Satoshi era just woke up after 15 years of silence ⛏️*
Each of them moved *50 BTC* to new addresses 🧐
Each of them moved *50 BTC* to new addresses 🧐
SUMMARY OF FED DECISION (7/30/2025):
1. Fed leaves rates unchanged for 5th straight meeting
2. Fed voted 9-2 to keep interest rates unchanged
3. Indicators suggest growth of economy moderated
4. Inflation in the US remains "somewhat elevated"
5. Unemployment rate remains low and labor market is "solid"
6. Waller and Bowman dissent, preferring a 25 bps rate cut
The Fed pause continues even as Trump calls for 300 bps of rate cuts.
1. Fed leaves rates unchanged for 5th straight meeting
2. Fed voted 9-2 to keep interest rates unchanged
3. Indicators suggest growth of economy moderated
4. Inflation in the US remains "somewhat elevated"
5. Unemployment rate remains low and labor market is "solid"
6. Waller and Bowman dissent, preferring a 25 bps rate cut
The Fed pause continues even as Trump calls for 300 bps of rate cuts.
Bitcoin – What’s Next?
#Bitcoin – What’s Next?
The Big Report: Everything You Need to Know
🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown: BTC just did something major, and most people still haven’t realized it. I haven’t seen a single person mention it. Probably because they haven’t figured it out yet. Not even one chart pointing out this massive bullish event. It’s right in front of our eyes, and yet the market fails to see it.
Bitcoin just broke through the diagonal resistance on the MONTHLY chart. It was rejected in November, December 2024, January, and February 2025, four months in a row, with every single monthly close sitting just under that key resistance.
This month, we saw a clean breakout and clean retest + explosive bullish impulse forming. The resistance I’m talking about is the one that marked the 2021 all-time high.
BTC just broke above it, retested it, and is now making it clear, the next leg up is loading.
This chart is extremely bullish and I’m calling it now: your entire X feed will be filled with this chart soon.
On top of this bullish formation you have even more bullish news:
TRUMP TRADE DEAL
One of the few elements still holding back BTC and the broader stock market from moving even higher are tariffs.
Many assume the market no longer cares, that’s incorrect. Its partially priced in, but tariffs continue to suppress momentum. That suppression just broke Today, as Trump confirmed that the U.S. has officially reached a trade deal with Europe. The agreement includes:
– $750 billion in U.S. energy exports
– $600 billion in EU investments into the U.S.
– $150 billion in EU purchases of U.S. energy
This is one of the largest and most bullish trade agreements since the legendary 2016 trade deal!
U.S. stock markets are expected to open sharply higher and Bitcoin will strongly follow.
This is very bullish for the mid and long term as there is no longer fear due to a tarrif war between countries, especially and most importantly between the US and Europe.
RECENT WHALE MOVEMENTS
Earlier this week, we saw a sell-off triggered by movements from Galaxy Digital wallets. Markets panicked, and BTC dropped to $114,500. That panic was completely unjustified. Here’s why: ETF inflows continue to outpace daily sell volume and have done so for months. Spot ETFs are absorbing more BTC than is being mined. BlackRock is acting like a vacuum, pulling Bitcoin off the market.
What some whale wallet movements are doing is irrelevant when the real accumulation engine is in full force and thousands of other whales have not touched their BTC yet. No reason to panic at all!
M2 MONEY SUPPLY
Let’s get to the real macro engine: M2 money supply. In 2020, M2 expanded 25% due to COVID panic. Bitcoin responded with an 800% rally. Since the start of 2025, M2 is up +2.3%, and that’s during a period still labeled “quantitative tightening.” In other words, rates are high, the Fed is not cutting, but they are still printing, and forced to do so. This should not be happening under tightening, and yet it is. When real easing begins, printing will become more agressive. What you’re seeing now is just the start, and it has not even started yet.
There’s no fixed rule like “BTC rises X% per M2 gain,” but historical data shows a rough correlation of 30–35% BTC upside per 1% M2 increase. The MOST AGRESSIVE printing this year happened between May and June 2025, with a monthly increase of +0.63%, the largest spike so far. For context, previous months like March → April and April → May showed smaller increases. Combine that with BTC’s typical lag to M2, around 60 to 90 days, and it’s simple: June’s print sets up a 15–17.5% BTC rally in the coming weeks.
This brings us directly into the $130,000+ target zone. This is my first serious target since 2022!
#bitcion #update
The Big Report: Everything You Need to Know
🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown: BTC just did something major, and most people still haven’t realized it. I haven’t seen a single person mention it. Probably because they haven’t figured it out yet. Not even one chart pointing out this massive bullish event. It’s right in front of our eyes, and yet the market fails to see it.
Bitcoin just broke through the diagonal resistance on the MONTHLY chart. It was rejected in November, December 2024, January, and February 2025, four months in a row, with every single monthly close sitting just under that key resistance.
This month, we saw a clean breakout and clean retest + explosive bullish impulse forming. The resistance I’m talking about is the one that marked the 2021 all-time high.
BTC just broke above it, retested it, and is now making it clear, the next leg up is loading.
This chart is extremely bullish and I’m calling it now: your entire X feed will be filled with this chart soon.
On top of this bullish formation you have even more bullish news:
TRUMP TRADE DEAL
One of the few elements still holding back BTC and the broader stock market from moving even higher are tariffs.
Many assume the market no longer cares, that’s incorrect. Its partially priced in, but tariffs continue to suppress momentum. That suppression just broke Today, as Trump confirmed that the U.S. has officially reached a trade deal with Europe. The agreement includes:
– $750 billion in U.S. energy exports
– $600 billion in EU investments into the U.S.
– $150 billion in EU purchases of U.S. energy
This is one of the largest and most bullish trade agreements since the legendary 2016 trade deal!
U.S. stock markets are expected to open sharply higher and Bitcoin will strongly follow.
This is very bullish for the mid and long term as there is no longer fear due to a tarrif war between countries, especially and most importantly between the US and Europe.
RECENT WHALE MOVEMENTS
Earlier this week, we saw a sell-off triggered by movements from Galaxy Digital wallets. Markets panicked, and BTC dropped to $114,500. That panic was completely unjustified. Here’s why: ETF inflows continue to outpace daily sell volume and have done so for months. Spot ETFs are absorbing more BTC than is being mined. BlackRock is acting like a vacuum, pulling Bitcoin off the market.
What some whale wallet movements are doing is irrelevant when the real accumulation engine is in full force and thousands of other whales have not touched their BTC yet. No reason to panic at all!
M2 MONEY SUPPLY
Let’s get to the real macro engine: M2 money supply. In 2020, M2 expanded 25% due to COVID panic. Bitcoin responded with an 800% rally. Since the start of 2025, M2 is up +2.3%, and that’s during a period still labeled “quantitative tightening.” In other words, rates are high, the Fed is not cutting, but they are still printing, and forced to do so. This should not be happening under tightening, and yet it is. When real easing begins, printing will become more agressive. What you’re seeing now is just the start, and it has not even started yet.
There’s no fixed rule like “BTC rises X% per M2 gain,” but historical data shows a rough correlation of 30–35% BTC upside per 1% M2 increase. The MOST AGRESSIVE printing this year happened between May and June 2025, with a monthly increase of +0.63%, the largest spike so far. For context, previous months like March → April and April → May showed smaller increases. Combine that with BTC’s typical lag to M2, around 60 to 90 days, and it’s simple: June’s print sets up a 15–17.5% BTC rally in the coming weeks.
This brings us directly into the $130,000+ target zone. This is my first serious target since 2022!
#bitcion #update
Donald Trump Announces 125% Tariff Hike on China
Washington, April 9, 2025: Former U.S. President Donald J. Trump has announced a major economic move against China by significantly increasing tariffs. In a public statement, Trump declared that due to China's lack of respect toward global markets, the tariff imposed on Chinese goods by the United States will be raised to 125%, effective immediately.
Trump stated, “At some point, hopefully in the near future, China will realize that the days of ripping off the U.S.A. and other countries are no longer sustainable or acceptable.”
He further mentioned that over 75 countries have contacted U.S. representatives, including the Departments of Commerce, Treasury, and the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR), to negotiate solutions on trade issues, including trade barriers, tariffs, currency manipulation, and non-monetary tariffs.
As a goodwill gesture, and since those countries have not retaliated against the U.S., Trump announced a 90-day pause and a reduction in reciprocal tariffs to 10%, also effective immediately.
"Thank you for your attention to this matter," he concluded.
#CryptoTariffDrop #Tramp $BTC #TradingTales #tramphanthuong #crypto
Washington, April 9, 2025: Former U.S. President Donald J. Trump has announced a major economic move against China by significantly increasing tariffs. In a public statement, Trump declared that due to China's lack of respect toward global markets, the tariff imposed on Chinese goods by the United States will be raised to 125%, effective immediately.
Trump stated, “At some point, hopefully in the near future, China will realize that the days of ripping off the U.S.A. and other countries are no longer sustainable or acceptable.”
He further mentioned that over 75 countries have contacted U.S. representatives, including the Departments of Commerce, Treasury, and the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR), to negotiate solutions on trade issues, including trade barriers, tariffs, currency manipulation, and non-monetary tariffs.
As a goodwill gesture, and since those countries have not retaliated against the U.S., Trump announced a 90-day pause and a reduction in reciprocal tariffs to 10%, also effective immediately.
"Thank you for your attention to this matter," he concluded.
#CryptoTariffDrop #Tramp $BTC #TradingTales #tramphanthuong #crypto
World Stock markets today
Let me tell you what’s Happening
World Stock markets today
🇭🇰 Hong Kong: -13.6%
🇹🇼 Taiwan: -9.6%
🇯🇵 Japan: -9.5%
🇮🇹 Italy: -8.4%
🇸🇬 Singapore: -8%
🇸🇪 Sweden: -7%
🇨🇳 China: -7%
🇨🇭 Switzerland: -7%
🇩🇪 Germany: -6.8%
🇪🇸 Spain: -6.4%
🇳🇱 Netherlands: -6.2%
🇦🇺 Australia: -6.2%
🇫🇷 France: -6.1%
🇬🇧 UK: -5.2%
🇲🇾 Malaysia: -4.5%
🇵🇭 Philippines: -4.3%
🇮🇳 India: -4.1%
🇷🇺 Russia: -3.8%
🇸🇦 Saudi: -3.3%
🇹🇷 Turkey: -2.8%
You all confuse What really happening in financial markets ?
Everywhere Cercuit Breakers are Hitting in Stockmarkets.
Deep Crashes Everywhere.
One after the 2020 Covid Crash.
The Reason ?
Trump Tariffs.
So your Next Questions will be
Whats all this ?
Where Market is Heading ?
Why Trump is doing this ?
Let's know the Reason.
US have Hit $32B Hit Debt Ceiling.
What Does that Mean ?
**They Cannot issue More Debt !**
So ?
Goverment Cannot Finance itself
Means ?
US government is Not able to finance its own Local government spending like Government employees salary, infrastructure etc.
Then?
Cannot they issue more tax , Raise Tax ?
How much do they actually Need ?
Full 32B$ immediately?
No !
**9B$ immediately to pay off**
Tax have been collected for 4B$
Rest 5B$ ? SHORT ?
Yes, they are only left with one option.
**Issue more debt out of thin air to refinance this 9B$ debt**
So why are they Not Doing Straight away ?
Interest Rates are High Now !
So ?
If they issue More Debt Now, at these High Rates, Government Have to Pay more.
So ?
Bring down interest Rates downwards.
So ?
**Raise tariffs , Bring Domestic Players to Markets, Boost Imports than Exports**.
Less inflation and less intrest rates by Next Month is trump's move.
So these all happening for this big chess move.
Yes.
For Now It's Not a Pullback. It's a downtrend untill we update with more confirmation
Till Then ?
Just follow what we say. We drop all the alpha and updates based on market moves and new data, so you can act the right way at the right time
Stay tuned.
@everyone
#TrumpTariffs #StopLossStrategies #world #Market_Update #BTCvsMarkets
World Stock markets today
🇭🇰 Hong Kong: -13.6%
🇹🇼 Taiwan: -9.6%
🇯🇵 Japan: -9.5%
🇮🇹 Italy: -8.4%
🇸🇬 Singapore: -8%
🇸🇪 Sweden: -7%
🇨🇳 China: -7%
🇨🇭 Switzerland: -7%
🇩🇪 Germany: -6.8%
🇪🇸 Spain: -6.4%
🇳🇱 Netherlands: -6.2%
🇦🇺 Australia: -6.2%
🇫🇷 France: -6.1%
🇬🇧 UK: -5.2%
🇲🇾 Malaysia: -4.5%
🇵🇭 Philippines: -4.3%
🇮🇳 India: -4.1%
🇷🇺 Russia: -3.8%
🇸🇦 Saudi: -3.3%
🇹🇷 Turkey: -2.8%
You all confuse What really happening in financial markets ?
Everywhere Cercuit Breakers are Hitting in Stockmarkets.
Deep Crashes Everywhere.
One after the 2020 Covid Crash.
The Reason ?
Trump Tariffs.
So your Next Questions will be
Whats all this ?
Where Market is Heading ?
Why Trump is doing this ?
Let's know the Reason.
US have Hit $32B Hit Debt Ceiling.
What Does that Mean ?
**They Cannot issue More Debt !**
So ?
Goverment Cannot Finance itself
Means ?
US government is Not able to finance its own Local government spending like Government employees salary, infrastructure etc.
Then?
Cannot they issue more tax , Raise Tax ?
How much do they actually Need ?
Full 32B$ immediately?
No !
**9B$ immediately to pay off**
Tax have been collected for 4B$
Rest 5B$ ? SHORT ?
Yes, they are only left with one option.
**Issue more debt out of thin air to refinance this 9B$ debt**
So why are they Not Doing Straight away ?
Interest Rates are High Now !
So ?
If they issue More Debt Now, at these High Rates, Government Have to Pay more.
So ?
Bring down interest Rates downwards.
So ?
**Raise tariffs , Bring Domestic Players to Markets, Boost Imports than Exports**.
Less inflation and less intrest rates by Next Month is trump's move.
So these all happening for this big chess move.
Yes.
For Now It's Not a Pullback. It's a downtrend untill we update with more confirmation
Till Then ?
Just follow what we say. We drop all the alpha and updates based on market moves and new data, so you can act the right way at the right time
Stay tuned.
@everyone
#TrumpTariffs #StopLossStrategies #world #Market_Update #BTCvsMarkets
Bitcoin in April 2025: Bull Run or Bear Trap?
Current Status (as of April 7, 2025):
BTC Price: ~$77,911
Trend: Down 4.8% from the previous close
Recent High: ~$81,903
Recent Low: ~$74,561
Market Sentiment & Predictions:
1. Bearish View (Downtrend Expected):
Tracy Jin (COO, MEXC Exchange):
Due to rising geopolitical tensions (especially U.S. tariffs and global market instability), BTC could drop to:
$76,000–$78,000 by the end of April
Possibly fall further to $52,000–$56,000 in summer if tensions continue
[Source: Barrons]
2. Bullish View (Uptrend Expected):
CoinCodex Forecast:
Predicts BTC will rise 38.22% and reach around $116,112 by the end of April.
[Source: CoinCodex]
Analysis:
These opposing predictions reflect high uncertainty in the crypto market. Bitcoin's direction depends heavily on:
Global political events
U.S.
financial policy
Institutional investment
#BTC #cryptocurrency #CryptoUpdate #BitcoinPricePredictions #BTC2025Prediction $BTC
BTC Price: ~$77,911
Trend: Down 4.8% from the previous close
Recent High: ~$81,903
Recent Low: ~$74,561
Market Sentiment & Predictions:
1. Bearish View (Downtrend Expected):
Tracy Jin (COO, MEXC Exchange):
Due to rising geopolitical tensions (especially U.S. tariffs and global market instability), BTC could drop to:
$76,000–$78,000 by the end of April
Possibly fall further to $52,000–$56,000 in summer if tensions continue
[Source: Barrons]
2. Bullish View (Uptrend Expected):
CoinCodex Forecast:
Predicts BTC will rise 38.22% and reach around $116,112 by the end of April.
[Source: CoinCodex]
Analysis:
These opposing predictions reflect high uncertainty in the crypto market. Bitcoin's direction depends heavily on:
Global political events
U.S.
financial policy
Institutional investment
#BTC #cryptocurrency #CryptoUpdate #BitcoinPricePredictions #BTC2025Prediction $BTC
BTC UPDATE
Bitcoin (BTC) Performance Overview (as of April 2025):
1. Current Status:
Price: Around $82,363
Recent Change: Down by about 0.48% in the last 24 hours.
High & Low (Intraday): Highest was around $83,677, lowest at $82,219.
After reaching a high of $88,500 at the end of March, BTC faced a slight correction and dropped to around $82k in early April. This volatility is typical for Bitcoin, especially as we approach a halving cycle or macroeconomic uncertainty.
---
2. Market Sentiment and Technical Signals:
Death Cross Warning: BTC’s 50-day moving average is close to crossing below the 200-day moving average. This is a bearish technical pattern called a "Death Cross", often indicating a potential for more downside in the short term.
Support & Resistance:
Support levels: $78,000 and $76,000
Resistance levels: $85,000 and $88,500
Volume Trends: Trading volume has seen a moderate decline, indicating consolidation or investor hesitation.
---
3. Expert Forecasts for Next 1 Month (April–May 2025):
There are two major schools of thought on where BTC is headed in the next 30 days:
Bearish Outlook:
Some analysts believe BTC might fall further due to macroeconomic pressure, including U.S. interest rates, regulatory uncertainty, and weaker demand. Price targets range from $76,000 to $78,000.
Bullish Outlook:
Others argue that this is a healthy correction and BTC could rally toward $90,000–$100,000, especially if ETF inflows continue or if major institutional investors step in.
---
4. Key Influencing Factors:
Global Economy: Inflation, interest rates, and banking sector stability heavily affect BTC's direction.
U.S. Presidential Election Build-up: Political uncertainty is driving more people to view BTC as a "hedge".
Bitcoin ETFs: Continued success and fund inflows into BTC ETFs are supporting price stability.
Upcoming Halving (2025): The halving cycle tends to influence bullish trends historically, but not immediately.
Regulatory Environment: News around crypto regulations, particularly in the U.S. and EU, could push the market either way.
---
5. Conclusion – Where is BTC Likely Headed?
While no one can predict the future precisely, the most realistic short-term scenario (next 30 days) includes high volatility with BTC possibly trading between $76K and $90K. A breakout above $90K could trigger a bull run to $100K, while falling below $76K might lead to a broader correction.#BTCvsMarkets #NextCryptoETFs? #BtC #BTCupdown #
1. Current Status:
Price: Around $82,363
Recent Change: Down by about 0.48% in the last 24 hours.
High & Low (Intraday): Highest was around $83,677, lowest at $82,219.
After reaching a high of $88,500 at the end of March, BTC faced a slight correction and dropped to around $82k in early April. This volatility is typical for Bitcoin, especially as we approach a halving cycle or macroeconomic uncertainty.
---
2. Market Sentiment and Technical Signals:
Death Cross Warning: BTC’s 50-day moving average is close to crossing below the 200-day moving average. This is a bearish technical pattern called a "Death Cross", often indicating a potential for more downside in the short term.
Support & Resistance:
Support levels: $78,000 and $76,000
Resistance levels: $85,000 and $88,500
Volume Trends: Trading volume has seen a moderate decline, indicating consolidation or investor hesitation.
---
3. Expert Forecasts for Next 1 Month (April–May 2025):
There are two major schools of thought on where BTC is headed in the next 30 days:
Bearish Outlook:
Some analysts believe BTC might fall further due to macroeconomic pressure, including U.S. interest rates, regulatory uncertainty, and weaker demand. Price targets range from $76,000 to $78,000.
Bullish Outlook:
Others argue that this is a healthy correction and BTC could rally toward $90,000–$100,000, especially if ETF inflows continue or if major institutional investors step in.
---
4. Key Influencing Factors:
Global Economy: Inflation, interest rates, and banking sector stability heavily affect BTC's direction.
U.S. Presidential Election Build-up: Political uncertainty is driving more people to view BTC as a "hedge".
Bitcoin ETFs: Continued success and fund inflows into BTC ETFs are supporting price stability.
Upcoming Halving (2025): The halving cycle tends to influence bullish trends historically, but not immediately.
Regulatory Environment: News around crypto regulations, particularly in the U.S. and EU, could push the market either way.
---
5. Conclusion – Where is BTC Likely Headed?
While no one can predict the future precisely, the most realistic short-term scenario (next 30 days) includes high volatility with BTC possibly trading between $76K and $90K. A breakout above $90K could trigger a bull run to $100K, while falling below $76K might lead to a broader correction.#BTCvsMarkets #NextCryptoETFs? #BtC #BTCupdown #
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