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子俊论币

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Last week's trend was extremely strong, with an overall increase of about 10,000 points. Currently, the weekly K line has formed a large bullish candle, and there was basically no pullback space during last week's rise. It was mostly a situation where after a rise, there was high-level consolidation for a while before continuing to rise. A one-sided trend is emerging, and there are significant signals indicating a potential peak. This week, we expect a pullback. In a one-sided trend, small-scale technical analysis references don't hold much value. On the weekly level, there has been a breakout of the moving averages, forming a double bottom pattern below. The daily line has already broken out, and the Bollinger Bands are opening upwards. The trend has changed. On the small scale, we are still in a high-level consolidation zone. However, we are optimistic about a pullback in the near term. Big coin operation suggestion: Look to sell around 93,500 Target: 91,000 #特朗普暂停新关税
Last week's trend was extremely strong, with an overall increase of about 10,000 points. Currently, the weekly K line has formed a large bullish candle, and there was basically no pullback space during last week's rise. It was mostly a situation where after a rise, there was high-level consolidation for a while before continuing to rise. A one-sided trend is emerging, and there are significant signals indicating a potential peak. This week, we expect a pullback.

In a one-sided trend, small-scale technical analysis references don't hold much value. On the weekly level, there has been a breakout of the moving averages, forming a double bottom pattern below. The daily line has already broken out, and the Bollinger Bands are opening upwards. The trend has changed. On the small scale, we are still in a high-level consolidation zone. However, we are optimistic about a pullback in the near term.

Big coin operation suggestion: Look to sell around 93,500
Target: 91,000 #特朗普暂停新关税
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The three-day Bitcoin has risen strongly, breaking the 90,000 level and briefly reaching around 94. Currently, it has also shown a significant reversal, with the 94 level being a key resistance. For those looking to position themselves for a downward move, this level is now a good entry point! Continuous highs will likely be followed by some appropriate pullbacks, so there's no need to rush for now. From a technical structure perspective, the resistance level above is around 94, while the support below is at 87. Looking at the 4-hour chart, a large bullish candle continues to rise, basically not giving many entry opportunities. This wave of cleansing is nearly over, and there should be some degree of pullback adjustment in the next couple of days. However, market sentiment is high, and in the future, we should still follow the trend and continue to look upwards. Bitcoin trading suggestion: Near 93,500, take a downward position. Target: 91,500, continue to look down to #加密市场反弹 $BTC
The three-day Bitcoin has risen strongly, breaking the 90,000 level and briefly reaching around 94. Currently, it has also shown a significant reversal, with the 94 level being a key resistance. For those looking to position themselves for a downward move, this level is now a good entry point! Continuous highs will likely be followed by some appropriate pullbacks, so there's no need to rush for now.

From a technical structure perspective, the resistance level above is around 94, while the support below is at 87. Looking at the 4-hour chart, a large bullish candle continues to rise, basically not giving many entry opportunities. This wave of cleansing is nearly over, and there should be some degree of pullback adjustment in the next couple of days. However, market sentiment is high, and in the future, we should still follow the trend and continue to look upwards.

Bitcoin trading suggestion: Near 93,500, take a downward position.
Target: 91,500, continue to look down to #加密市场反弹 $BTC
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Last night, Bitcoin opened high and then fell, continuing to show a trend. In the morning, it briefly reached the 83 position. Recent fluctuations have been noticeable to everyone, generally fluctuating around 84 with over 1000 points. Currently, it has not escaped the oscillation trend. Intra-day, after finding a bottom, we look for a rebound. Without stimulus from news, this state will likely continue in the near term. Currently, the four-hour level has reached a critical position, having previously reversed around 83 multiple times. After the spike, it may form a bottoming pattern. If volume increases further, Bitcoin could reach the 85 position. Right now, it is in a volatile monkey market phase, and the market's direction still depends on external news stimuli. Bitcoin trading suggestion: Around 83400, go north Target: 85000#比特币与美国关税政策 $BTC
Last night, Bitcoin opened high and then fell, continuing to show a trend. In the morning, it briefly reached the 83 position. Recent fluctuations have been noticeable to everyone, generally fluctuating around 84 with over 1000 points. Currently, it has not escaped the oscillation trend. Intra-day, after finding a bottom, we look for a rebound. Without stimulus from news, this state will likely continue in the near term.

Currently, the four-hour level has reached a critical position, having previously reversed around 83 multiple times. After the spike, it may form a bottoming pattern. If volume increases further, Bitcoin could reach the 85 position. Right now, it is in a volatile monkey market phase, and the market's direction still depends on external news stimuli.

Bitcoin trading suggestion: Around 83400, go north
Target: 85000#比特币与美国关税政策 $BTC
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Currently, the entire market direction is not too certain, and Trump is a weather vane. I even doubt whether Trump himself is manipulating it, wanting to say something based on certain news. His own statements are contradictory, and you can't really know what he intends to do. Overall, the current rhythm is just fluctuating up and down. Personally, I don't expect any significant continuation. It's just about positioning back and forth in a monkey market. From a technical structure perspective, the current support is around 83,000, while the short-term resistance is at the 85,000 level. For the past couple of days, we've been repairing within this range, processing the fluctuations. Over the weekend, it has remained at a high level, and we will rely on resistance to look at the layout. On the 4-hour level, the bulls are showing a shrinking volume pattern. The direct trend is southward, and if it breaks down, further adjustments will be made. Bitcoin trading suggestion: Around 84,500 go south Target: 83000$BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) #巨鲸动向
Currently, the entire market direction is not too certain, and Trump is a weather vane. I even doubt whether Trump himself is manipulating it, wanting to say something based on certain news. His own statements are contradictory, and you can't really know what he intends to do. Overall, the current rhythm is just fluctuating up and down. Personally, I don't expect any significant continuation. It's just about positioning back and forth in a monkey market.

From a technical structure perspective, the current support is around 83,000, while the short-term resistance is at the 85,000 level. For the past couple of days, we've been repairing within this range, processing the fluctuations. Over the weekend, it has remained at a high level, and we will rely on resistance to look at the layout. On the 4-hour level, the bulls are showing a shrinking volume pattern. The direct trend is southward, and if it breaks down, further adjustments will be made.

Bitcoin trading suggestion: Around 84,500 go south
Target: 83000$BTC
#巨鲸动向
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Last night, I thought it would be another bloody storm, but the market was extremely unstable. The ups and downs were crazy, and as it stands, whether looking up or down, it's basically quite speechless. Yesterday, I directly locked the position without any operations, waiting for the market to stabilize before making any plans. Currently, there is really no technical analysis to speak of; the entire market is entirely driven by Trump alone. The strong support for Bitcoin is currently around 7.3. The support level for Ethereum is temporarily not visible. The altcoin market has basically turned into a river of blood. Bitcoin is holding up relatively well. Currently, Bitcoin has not yet stood above the 8.0 position. As for tonight, it is still uncertain what the situation will be; on the 4-hour level, it is currently under pressure and falling back. Waiting for the daily bottom to be explored before considering any plans. #美国加征关税
Last night, I thought it would be another bloody storm, but the market was extremely unstable. The ups and downs were crazy, and as it stands, whether looking up or down, it's basically quite speechless. Yesterday, I directly locked the position without any operations, waiting for the market to stabilize before making any plans.

Currently, there is really no technical analysis to speak of; the entire market is entirely driven by Trump alone. The strong support for Bitcoin is currently around 7.3. The support level for Ethereum is temporarily not visible. The altcoin market has basically turned into a river of blood. Bitcoin is holding up relatively well. Currently, Bitcoin has not yet stood above the 8.0 position. As for tonight, it is still uncertain what the situation will be; on the 4-hour level, it is currently under pressure and falling back. Waiting for the daily bottom to be explored before considering any plans. #美国加征关税
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The global economy is currently not doing well due to tariffs. Yesterday, Bitcoin once again broke through 80,000, reaching a low of around 77,200. For the day, there might be a chance to ride a rebound, but it may still require waiting for changes in the US stock market. However, my thoughts differ from the majority; when others are fearful, I am greedy, and when others are greedy, I am fearful. Personally, I believe that this period will not drop as dramatically as many say. From a technical analysis perspective, current technical analysis is not very useful. Both the 4-hour and daily charts have broken levels. Today, after the weekly close, a double bottom structure is forming. If it continues this week, it will truly confirm a downward trend. Currently, the position is still uncertain. Don't panic; there are no parking spots available right now, but one can enter at the bottom. Bitcoin trading suggestion: Near 78,000, consider going long. Target: 83,000 Watch the situation at the 80,000 level for continuity.
The global economy is currently not doing well due to tariffs. Yesterday, Bitcoin once again broke through 80,000, reaching a low of around 77,200. For the day, there might be a chance to ride a rebound, but it may still require waiting for changes in the US stock market. However, my thoughts differ from the majority; when others are fearful, I am greedy, and when others are greedy, I am fearful. Personally, I believe that this period will not drop as dramatically as many say.

From a technical analysis perspective, current technical analysis is not very useful. Both the 4-hour and daily charts have broken levels. Today, after the weekly close, a double bottom structure is forming. If it continues this week, it will truly confirm a downward trend. Currently, the position is still uncertain. Don't panic; there are no parking spots available right now, but one can enter at the bottom.

Bitcoin trading suggestion: Near 78,000, consider going long.
Target: 83,000
Watch the situation at the 80,000 level for continuity.
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In the past few days, I've heard a lot of people singing the bear market song. When the market started to rise last week, they all said the bull was here, which is typical of fence sitters. Last week, the overall trend was looking down, but I didn't expect it to drop this much. Personally, I believe that the price has already reached the bottom yesterday. The price should still rise in the future, and returning to 85 is not a big issue. From a technical analysis perspective, on the weekly chart, after the bottom was tested on Saturday, the Bollinger Bands tested the lower band. Currently, it may be forming support above 80,000. On the four-hour MACD chart, the red line is shrinking below the zero line while the green line is increasing. If it continues to move sideways, there is hope for a golden cross to form. Bullish signals are strengthening, and a rebound is expected in the short term. Bitcoin trading suggestion: Around 82,700, go long. Target: 85,000, 16,073,018,161
In the past few days, I've heard a lot of people singing the bear market song. When the market started to rise last week, they all said the bull was here, which is typical of fence sitters. Last week, the overall trend was looking down, but I didn't expect it to drop this much. Personally, I believe that the price has already reached the bottom yesterday. The price should still rise in the future, and returning to 85 is not a big issue.

From a technical analysis perspective, on the weekly chart, after the bottom was tested on Saturday, the Bollinger Bands tested the lower band. Currently, it may be forming support above 80,000. On the four-hour MACD chart, the red line is shrinking below the zero line while the green line is increasing. If it continues to move sideways, there is hope for a golden cross to form. Bullish signals are strengthening, and a rebound is expected in the short term.

Bitcoin trading suggestion: Around 82,700, go long.
Target: 85,000, 16,073,018,161
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Currently, there are basically two voices in the market. One is that remaining at a high level without a breakthrough for a long time indicates significant pressure, and a rebound means going south. The other voice suggests that the upward trend line has not been broken in substance, and overall, it is still in an upward phase. It can continue heading north. However, in the last two or three days, the market has mostly oscillated between 86 and 88, with no significant continuation in either direction. Personally, I believe that in the short term, it can go south to see if it can break the trend line. From a technical analysis perspective, the resistance level above is at 885; breaking it can confirm the trend. However, there has been no continuation for two or three consecutive days, and the bullish momentum is gradually slowing down. Currently, the small-scale Bollinger Bands are gradually narrowing, creating a clear area of competition in both directions. Without a position, one can only go south for now. After all, there is no position to look upwards. Recommendation for Bitcoin trading: Go south near 87500 Target: 85000#巨鲸动向 $BTC
Currently, there are basically two voices in the market. One is that remaining at a high level without a breakthrough for a long time indicates significant pressure, and a rebound means going south. The other voice suggests that the upward trend line has not been broken in substance, and overall, it is still in an upward phase. It can continue heading north. However, in the last two or three days, the market has mostly oscillated between 86 and 88, with no significant continuation in either direction. Personally, I believe that in the short term, it can go south to see if it can break the trend line.

From a technical analysis perspective, the resistance level above is at 885; breaking it can confirm the trend. However, there has been no continuation for two or three consecutive days, and the bullish momentum is gradually slowing down. Currently, the small-scale Bollinger Bands are gradually narrowing, creating a clear area of competition in both directions. Without a position, one can only go south for now. After all, there is no position to look upwards.

Recommendation for Bitcoin trading: Go south near 87500
Target: 85000#巨鲸动向 $BTC
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Bearish
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The evening Bitcoin plummeted sharply, with the US market opening low and continuing to decline. Currently, Bitcoin shows signs of approaching 86. If you enter at 88 today, there is currently more than a thousand points of space. In the evening, we will see if it can break through the trend line; falling below 85 would essentially break the upward trend. There are signs of a reversal. From a technical analysis perspective, a death cross has formed on the 4-hour chart, and an M-top is currently forming. A large bearish candlestick has come down, creating a covering pattern, indicating a further downward trend in the evening. We will continue to observe for continuation and a breakout of the trend line. Bitcoin trading advice: 87200 southbound Target: 85000#巨鲸动向 $BTC
The evening Bitcoin plummeted sharply, with the US market opening low and continuing to decline. Currently, Bitcoin shows signs of approaching 86. If you enter at 88 today, there is currently more than a thousand points of space. In the evening, we will see if it can break through the trend line; falling below 85 would essentially break the upward trend. There are signs of a reversal.

From a technical analysis perspective, a death cross has formed on the 4-hour chart, and an M-top is currently forming. A large bearish candlestick has come down, creating a covering pattern, indicating a further downward trend in the evening. We will continue to observe for continuation and a breakout of the trend line.

Bitcoin trading advice: 87200 southbound
Target: 85000#巨鲸动向 $BTC
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Currently, Bitcoin remains high but has not broken upward. It has been consolidating between 87 and 88. At present, Zijun believes that a downward pullback for correction is still needed. Recently, there hasn't been much news, and the probability of staying in this range is quite high. Currently at a high position, those without positions can consider planning to go south. From a technical analysis perspective, the current four-hour level shows a pattern of three waves upward. The fact that the upper level has not broken for a long time indicates that the pressure is very obvious, making it difficult to break through. At most, after completing the fourth wave, a pullback will occur. Either it will drop directly today, or MACD indicators show a decrease in bullish volume. Currently, this candlestick is not particularly good. However, it is clearly felt that the bullish momentum is slowing down. The focus is on going south during the day. Bitcoin trading suggestion: Near 87800, go south Target: 85000$BTC
Currently, Bitcoin remains high but has not broken upward. It has been consolidating between 87 and 88. At present, Zijun believes that a downward pullback for correction is still needed. Recently, there hasn't been much news, and the probability of staying in this range is quite high. Currently at a high position, those without positions can consider planning to go south.

From a technical analysis perspective, the current four-hour level shows a pattern of three waves upward. The fact that the upper level has not broken for a long time indicates that the pressure is very obvious, making it difficult to break through. At most, after completing the fourth wave, a pullback will occur. Either it will drop directly today, or MACD indicators show a decrease in bullish volume. Currently, this candlestick is not particularly good. However, it is clearly felt that the bullish momentum is slowing down. The focus is on going south during the day.

Bitcoin trading suggestion: Near 87800, go south
Target: 85000$BTC
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Bullish
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Last night opened high and moved up, but still did not provide a continuation for Evergrande, reaching a peak of around 887 before immediately declining consecutively. Currently, the daily accumulation is still in a continuous decline, with a minimum close to 86. The signs of recovery are not very clear at the moment. Friends without parking spaces can plan to go south around 87. From a technical structure perspective, Bitcoin faced pressure and declined after reaching the Fibonacci key level. Currently, it may test the support near 85. On the 4-hour level, the bears continue to increase in volume, and there is a trend forming a death cross. At present, the overall direction is difficult to find space, basically moving in small steps and looking back after every step. Bitcoin operation suggestion: Going south around 87000 Target: 85000#美国加征关税 $BTC
Last night opened high and moved up, but still did not provide a continuation for Evergrande, reaching a peak of around 887 before immediately declining consecutively. Currently, the daily accumulation is still in a continuous decline, with a minimum close to 86. The signs of recovery are not very clear at the moment. Friends without parking spaces can plan to go south around 87.

From a technical structure perspective, Bitcoin faced pressure and declined after reaching the Fibonacci key level. Currently, it may test the support near 85. On the 4-hour level, the bears continue to increase in volume, and there is a trend forming a death cross. At present, the overall direction is difficult to find space, basically moving in small steps and looking back after every step.

Bitcoin operation suggestion: Going south around 87000
Target: 85000#美国加征关税 $BTC
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After finishing the weekly K, the big coin surged again after a brief pullback. Currently at position 87, it is at the last conversion point for the day. One can plan to go south; if there is no vehicle position, one can decisively head south. There is no need to chase the key resistance level to the north. Looking for a pullback for the day. From a technical structure perspective, although the bulls continue to increase in volume, there are already signs of gradual decline. Now a structural pullback is needed. The bulls above have basically been cleared, and it may still need to return to around position 85. Big coin operation suggestion: Around 87000, go south Target: 85000#特朗普:我爱$TRUMP $BTC
After finishing the weekly K, the big coin surged again after a brief pullback. Currently at position 87, it is at the last conversion point for the day. One can plan to go south; if there is no vehicle position, one can decisively head south. There is no need to chase the key resistance level to the north. Looking for a pullback for the day.

From a technical structure perspective, although the bulls continue to increase in volume, there are already signs of gradual decline. Now a structural pullback is needed. The bulls above have basically been cleared, and it may still need to return to around position 85.

Big coin operation suggestion: Around 87000, go south
Target: 85000#特朗普:我爱$TRUMP $BTC
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Bullish
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After a week of thrilling battles, overall, the gains have been substantial. For this type of market with range fluctuations, it is very manageable. The students who got on board basically all have very considerable profits. For next week's trend, the general direction is still primarily bullish. However, if we close the weekly candle tomorrow, there might be a certain space for a downward pullback, while we are making bullish arrangements. From a technical analysis perspective, the current 4-hour Bollinger Bands are contracting, currently under pressure near the upper band around 85. It's not easy to break through this position. Multiple attempts have not resulted in a solid break of the 85 threshold. In the evening, it may be worth considering to take advantage of a pullback. The specific position to make bullish arrangements can be determined based on the strength of the pullback in the evening. Bitcoin trading suggestions: Short-term arrangement near 84900 to the south Target 84000 Long-term arrangement near 84000 looking up to 88000.
After a week of thrilling battles, overall, the gains have been substantial. For this type of market with range fluctuations, it is very manageable. The students who got on board basically all have very considerable profits. For next week's trend, the general direction is still primarily bullish. However, if we close the weekly candle tomorrow, there might be a certain space for a downward pullback, while we are making bullish arrangements.

From a technical analysis perspective, the current 4-hour Bollinger Bands are contracting, currently under pressure near the upper band around 85. It's not easy to break through this position. Multiple attempts have not resulted in a solid break of the 85 threshold. In the evening, it may be worth considering to take advantage of a pullback. The specific position to make bullish arrangements can be determined based on the strength of the pullback in the evening.

Bitcoin trading suggestions: Short-term arrangement near 84900 to the south
Target 84000

Long-term arrangement near 84000 looking up to 88000.
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Bullish
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I don't know if everyone has noticed, but the fluctuations over the past week or two have significantly decreased. Daily fluctuations of around a thousand points make it quite comfortable to trade. After yesterday evening's dip near 832, there hasn't been much recovery. It is still fluctuating around 84. In terms of direction, we are still waiting for it to go north, and in our spare time, we can do some trading. From a technical structure perspective, the trend line on the 4-hour level has not broken. Instead, it has stabilized and rebounded at a key support level. MACD is showing a decrease in volume and stabilization. The weekend is a time to choose direction, and we can look for positions on smaller time frames. The hourly level is currently quite chaotic, with no clear direction as it goes up and down. This kind of movement can be quite frustrating. However, patience will eventually lead to clarity, so just wait patiently. Trading suggestion for Bitcoin: 84000 Target: 88000#美联储3月利率决议 $BTC
I don't know if everyone has noticed, but the fluctuations over the past week or two have significantly decreased. Daily fluctuations of around a thousand points make it quite comfortable to trade. After yesterday evening's dip near 832, there hasn't been much recovery. It is still fluctuating around 84. In terms of direction, we are still waiting for it to go north, and in our spare time, we can do some trading.

From a technical structure perspective, the trend line on the 4-hour level has not broken. Instead, it has stabilized and rebounded at a key support level. MACD is showing a decrease in volume and stabilization. The weekend is a time to choose direction, and we can look for positions on smaller time frames. The hourly level is currently quite chaotic, with no clear direction as it goes up and down. This kind of movement can be quite frustrating. However, patience will eventually lead to clarity, so just wait patiently.

Trading suggestion for Bitcoin: 84000
Target: 88000#美联储3月利率决议 $BTC
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Give the market some time History is always surprisingly similar The general direction I see is upward To deviate from the thoughts of the majority When others are fearful, it is the time for us to strike hard In this market, it is always a small number of people who make money.
Give the market some time
History is always surprisingly similar
The general direction I see is upward
To deviate from the thoughts of the majority
When others are fearful, it is the time for us to strike hard
In this market, it is always a small number of people who make money.
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Bullish
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Yesterday's layout went south, precisely hitting the 84 position around 86. The basic structure has already taken profits. In the evening, I also reminded in real-time to look up near 84. Although we haven't moved out of a large range yet, we are still looking upward in terms of direction. From a technical structure perspective, currently, the MACD on the 4-hour level has formed a death cross. However, it has already stabilized after a decline. There is a feeling of forming a top divergence. Looking at the hourly level, it was constrained near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands in the morning. Currently, there is a slight pullback. However, this also provides an opportunity for friends without positions to look upward. Big coin operation suggestion: Near 84000, look north Target: 86000#BTC $BTC
Yesterday's layout went south, precisely hitting the 84 position around 86. The basic structure has already taken profits. In the evening, I also reminded in real-time to look up near 84. Although we haven't moved out of a large range yet, we are still looking upward in terms of direction.

From a technical structure perspective, currently, the MACD on the 4-hour level has formed a death cross. However, it has already stabilized after a decline. There is a feeling of forming a top divergence. Looking at the hourly level, it was constrained near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands in the morning. Currently, there is a slight pullback. However, this also provides an opportunity for friends without positions to look upward.

Big coin operation suggestion: Near 84000, look north
Target: 86000#BTC $BTC
--
Bullish
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--
Bearish
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Why did it rise yesterday without a rate cut? 1. Traders believe that no rate cut means no outflow of funds; as long as the money stays in the U.S., it can continue to drive the U.S. stock market, which is why it rose yesterday. 2. This kind of rise won't last long, why? Sorry, I have my limitations; I've been observing SOL a lot recently. The trading volume for the recent rise in SOL hasn't matched the trading volume for the decline. So if there's no volume to push it up, won't the market makers choose to push it down instead? 3. Why is it falling: Taking ETH as an example, we all believe that this round ETH is the doomsday vehicle. Regardless of the expansion in April or any positive news that led to the recent rise in ETH, let's be decisive; there won't be a bull market in the second half of the year. Why won't there be a bull market? This round is not a market behavior but a political behavior. The market actually has no money; with such high interest rates, there's practically no money in the market, all relying on political means to drive up prices, which certainly has its limitations. 4. When to buy: I think when the Federal Reserve's rate is around 2%, buying in batches should be fine. (1) At that time, the money in the market will slowly come out.
Why did it rise yesterday without a rate cut?
1. Traders believe that no rate cut means no outflow of funds; as long as the money stays in the U.S., it can continue to drive the U.S. stock market, which is why it rose yesterday.
2. This kind of rise won't last long, why? Sorry, I have my limitations; I've been observing SOL a lot recently. The trading volume for the recent rise in SOL hasn't matched the trading volume for the decline. So if there's no volume to push it up, won't the market makers choose to push it down instead?
3. Why is it falling: Taking ETH as an example, we all believe that this round ETH is the doomsday vehicle. Regardless of the expansion in April or any positive news that led to the recent rise in ETH, let's be decisive; there won't be a bull market in the second half of the year. Why won't there be a bull market? This round is not a market behavior but a political behavior. The market actually has no money; with such high interest rates, there's practically no money in the market, all relying on political means to drive up prices, which certainly has its limitations.
4. When to buy: I think when the Federal Reserve's rate is around 2%, buying in batches should be fine.
(1) At that time, the money in the market will slowly come out.
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