Price rallied into these zones, forming a double supply wall. This overlap of supply zones from the daily timeframe holds high institutional selling interest, leading to sharp rejections.
🔵 2. Demand Zone Breakdown
A. Upper Demand Zone (~106K) Labeled: “4HR – DEMAND zone” Failed Reason:Price was approaching from daily supply zone, adding downward pressure.Zone was too close to the supply zone, reducing its strength.No strong bullish momentum on entry.Low wick reaction → indicates weak buyer interest. B. Mid Demand Zone (~104.5K–105K) Labeled: “4HR / D – DEMAND zone” Failed Reason:Equilibrium zone → 50-50 probability.No engulfing bullish candles or large wicks seen.Seller dominance evident → sharp continuation of downtrend.Volume spike on bearish candles suggests institutional selling. C. Strong Demand Zone (~100K–101K) Labeled: “4HR / D – DEMAND zone” + “Important Zone” Significance:Marked as origin of strong bullish momentum.Higher probability of price reaction expected here.Price hasn’t tested this zone since the last major impulse.Expectations:This is a reaction zone. If BTC finds support here, a strong bounce could be anticipated.Failure of this zone could open door to 97K–98K next support area. 📉 Volume Analysis High red volume on the drop confirms panic sell-off or institutional exit.No significant green volume bounce yet → caution advised for early longs. 🔁 Strategic Conclusion Bearish Bias (Short-term): Due to repeated demand zone failures and strong rejection from daily supply.
Bullish Possibility (Short-to-Mid-term): If price holds 100K–101K demand zone, a bullish structure may develop again. ⚠️ Trader Notes: Wait for a bullish reaction at the lower demand zone before entering long positions. Avoid trading mid-zones unless there is a clear reversal signal. Monitor volume spikes and candle structure for confirmation.
🕐 1-Hour (1H) Chart Insights Current Price: ~$109,800 Near-Term Resistance: Price is hovering just below a Daily Supply Zone (~110,000–110,650), showing signs of hesitation and small rejections. Price Action: There is a visible attempt to break above the minor consolidation, but rejection candles near the supply zone signal seller presence. Bias: Neutral to slightly bearish unless BTC decisively breaks above the supply zone.
⏰ 4-Hour (4H) Chart Insights Supply Zones: Daily Supply at ~110,000–110,650: Strong resistance, marked twice on chart. Demand Zones: First: 108,000–106,000 (light blue): Could act as first bounce zone. Second: 106,000–104,000 (merged Daily & 4H demand): Stronger support if breakdown continues. Third: 102,000–100,377 (deepest, strongest zone): High confluence demand zone, ideal for long entries.
Market Structure: Higher highs and higher lows still intact, but facing headwinds at supply.
📅 Daily (1D) Chart Insights Trend: Bullish from late May, but stalling near Daily Supply. Resistance: Daily Supply Zone 1: ~109,700–110,650 Daily Supply Zone 2 (Wider): 110,000–112,000 (top resistance zone) Support: Clear 4H/Daily Demand Zones as seen on 4H chart — areas of likely price reaction. Candlestick Structure: Current candle is a doji-like pattern, showing indecision right at supply.
📌 Summary
Immediate Resistance: ~110.6K–112K (Daily Supply Zone) Immediate Support Zones (Buy on reaction): 108K–106K (short-term bounce) 106K–104K (stronger confluence) 102K–100.3K (major swing buy zone)
🧠 Strategy Notes (for traders) ⚔️ Bearish Scenario: If rejection continues from 110.6K+, watch for breakdowns toward 106K, 104K, or even 100K for better risk-reward long setups. 🚀 Bullish Scenario: Break and sustain above 112K can open gates toward 114K–116K zone. 🎯 Best Entry Zone: Look for reversal signals in 102K–104K demand range. #BTCPrediction #BTCUSD
1. Price is heading towards the Daily Supply Zone (D-SZ) at 110,000–112,000. 2. All pending orders at the previous 4HR Demand Zone (DZ) have been filled. 3. Price took support from the 50-day MA and 50-EMA, confirming upside momentum.
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Key Price Levels:
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Supply Zones (Sell Only):
* Daily Supply Zone: 110,000 – 112,000 * Minor 4HR Supply at 108,300 (already being tested)
1. Price taps D-SZ → Possible strong reaction (look for sell confirmations). 2. If momentum continues → Price may break D-SZ to create a new ATH. 3. Price may also consolidate between 107K – 110K for a while. 4. Any reversal → Look to buy back at the demand zones listed above.
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Trade Instructions:
* Buy strictly at demand zones only. * Sell only at clearly defined supply zones with confirmation. * Avoid trading in between unless you have intraday setups.
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Rules to Follow:
1. Strict Stop-Loss on every trade. 2. Risk\:Reward Minimum = 1:2 3. Always wait for confirmation (candle close, rejection, divergence, etc.). 4. Never chase the market — let it come to your zones.
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Final Thoughts:
> Bitcoin is showing strong bullish structure backed by institutional demand zones and moving average support. If 110K breaks, we may witness a breakout rally. Until then, stay cautious near supply.
#Bitcoin (BTC/USD) - Detailed Chart Study: June 07, 2025
This detailed study analyzes the current market dynamics of Bitcoin against the US Dollar, utilizing multiple timeframes to provide a comprehensive outlook on potential future price movements. The analysis is based on data from June 07, 2025.
I. Current Market Context & Timeframe Analysis
* Analysis Date: June 07, 2025 * Current Price: Approximately $104,800 * Analysis Timeframes Used: Daily, 4-Hour, and 1-Hour * Execution Timeframes: 5-Minute and 1-Minute * Overall Trend (Daily): The prevailing trend on the Daily timeframe is identified as UP. * Intermediate Trend (4-Hour): The 4-Hour trend is also UP, with the current price action indicating consolidation. * Short-Term Trend (1-Hour): The 1-Hour trend is likewise UP, also showing consolidation.
II. Detailed Price Action Assessment
Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a defined range, specifically interacting with a weekly Supply Zone (SZ) and various Demand Zones (DZ) below it.
* Interaction with Weekly Supply Zone (SZ): The price is actively "playing" within the weekly Supply Zone, which spans approximately from $108,663 to $109,042. There is an observed attempt by the price to "hold" within this weekly Supply Zone. * Buying Side Structure Formation: Notably, a "buying side structure" is forming within this weekly Supply Zone, suggesting underlying bullish intent and potential absorption of selling pressure. * Recent Order Fulfillment & Breakout: Price recently filled pending orders from a previous 4-Hour Demand Zone and subsequently broke through a 4-Hour Supply Zone. * Moving Average Support: Bitcoin has found support from both the 50-Moving Average (MA) and the 8-Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating a recent upward movement. * Key Demand Zones Identified: * A Demand Zone (D-DZ) is present around $101,000 to $102,000. * A 4-Hour Demand Zone (4-HR-DZ) is identified near $98,600 to $99,100. * Further strong confluence of 4-Hour Demand Zones co-inciding with Daily Demand Zones are found in the ranges of $94,650-$96,850 and $93,650-$94,650. * Pending Orders: Significant pending orders are noted in the ranges of $99,444-$98,600 and $97,133-$95,790 to $94,740-$93,300.
III. Potential Future Price Movements
Based on the current technical setup, two primary scenarios emerge, along with the possibility of continued consolidation:
1. Retracement/Pullback: The price may experience a pullback, potentially moving down to the $97,260 - $94,870 range to fill the aforementioned pending orders. This scenario would imply that the weekly Supply Zone successfully acts as resistance. 2. New All-Time High (ATH): Alternatively, if the underlying buying pressure continues to intensify and successfully overcomes the weekly Supply Zone, Bitcoin could break higher and achieve a new all-time high. This would be confirmed by a decisive break and close above the $109,042 level on higher timeframes. 3. Continued Consolidation: Price might continue to consolidate within the current range as buyers and sellers battle for dominance within the weekly Supply Zone.
IV. Recommended Trading Strategy & Rules
The analysis emphasizes a disciplined, rules-based approach to trading:
* Zone-Based Trading: Strictly limit buying to identified Demand Zones and selling to identified Supply Zones. * Confirmation is Key: Always wait for strong confirmation signals and a proper setup before initiating any trade. * Strict Stop Loss (SL): Implement and adhere rigorously to stop-loss orders to manage and limit potential losses. * Risk Management: Ensure a favorable Risk:Reward (R:R) ratio, with a minimum of 1:2, to maintain profitability over time.
* Long-Term Trend (Daily): Predominantly Uptrend. Interpretation:* Bias for long positions on significant pullbacks. * Mid-Term Trend (4-Hour): Currently exhibiting Consolidation. Interpretation:* Sideways movement, characterized by range-bound trading. * Short-Term Trend (1-Hour): Also classified as Consolidation. Interpretation:* Confirmation of range-bound behavior at a granular level; frequent Market Structure Breaks (MSB) indicating localized shifts in momentum. * Market Structure Breaks (MSB) Observations: * 4H Chart: Identified MSB to the downside, preceding current consolidation, indicating a shift from a prior impulse. * 1H Chart: Multiple MSBs observed, indicative of whipsaw action within the consolidation range.
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### III. Quantitative Level Identification & Zonal Analysis
* A. Primary Supply Zone (Resistance) - 4-Hour (4H-SZ) * Range: $$\approx \$109,000 - \$111,000$$ * Significance: Region of concentrated selling pressure; price reversal observed upon contact. * Sub-Component: Contains a 1-Hour Supply Zone (1H-SZ) within its boundaries. * B. Primary Demand Zone (Support) - 4-Hour (4H-DZ) * Range: $$\approx \$103,000 - \$104,000$$ * Significance: Region of concentrated buying interest; validated by recent price bounce. * C. Intermediate 1-Hour Support/Demand Zones (1H-DZ / "Bu-Su") * Upper Zone (Current Interaction): $$\approx \$105,000 - \$105,300$$ Observation:* Current price ($105,510) is marginally above this zone, suggesting it is a critical immediate support level. * Lower Zone (Recent Bounce): $$\approx \$103,500 - \$104,300$$ Observation:* Overlaps with the upper boundary of the 4H-DZ, reinforcing its significance. * D. Identified Order Flow & Pending Liquidity: * "Order Filled" Zone: $$\$104,600$$ Interpretation:* Represents a previously filled order block or liquidity void, potentially attracting price. * "Pending Orders" (Potential Downside Targets): * $$\$104,000$$ * $$\$102,400$$ Interpretation:* Regions where significant institutional orders may reside, potentially acting as price magnets upon further downside movement.
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### IV. Current Price Behavior & Dynamics (Micro-Analysis)
* Current Positioning: Price is consolidating within the 4H range, specifically situated above the 4H-DZ but below the 4H-SZ. * Recent Interaction: Price successfully mitigated and bounced from the 4H-DZ (approx. $103,000), exhibiting a bullish reaction. * Immediate Observation (1H Chart): Price is currently pulling back towards the $$\approx \$105,000 - \$105,300$$ 1H support zone, following a recent bullish impulse. * Volume Profile: Vol.46.88 (relative volume noted, implying average/below-average activity within the consolidation).
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### V. Probabilistic Future Scenarios
1. Bearish Continuation/Liquidity Grab: * Mechanism: Failure of the $$\approx \$105,000$$ 1H support, leading to a retest and potential breach of the 4H-DZ ($103,000-$104,000). * Targets: $$\$104,600$$ (Order Filled), then $$\$104,000$$ and $$\$102,400$$ (Pending Orders). * Implication: A deeper correction within the daily uptrend. 2. Bullish Breakout/Trend Continuation: * Mechanism: Sustained bullish momentum, breaching the 4H-SZ
($109,000 - $111,000) with significant volume. * Target: New All-Time High (ATH). * Implication: Resumption of the strong daily uptrend. 3. Extended Consolidation: * Mechanism: Price continues to oscillate within the $$\approx \$103,000 - \$111,000$$ 4H range. * Implication: Periods of range-bound trading, favoring scalping or swing trades between established zones.
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### VI. Tactical Trading Principles & Risk Management
* Principle 1: Zonal Execution: * Long Entry: Exclusively within identified Demand Zones. * Short Entry: Exclusively within identified Supply Zones. * Principle 2: Risk Management Imperatives: * Stop Loss (SL): Strict and non-negotiable adherence to predefined stop-loss levels for every trade. * Risk/Reward (R:R) Ratio: Minimum acceptable R:R of 1:2 for all setups. Formula:* $$\text{Potential Profit} \ge 2 \times \text{Potential Loss}$$ * Principle 3: Confirmation Bias Mitigation: * Entry Rule: Await explicit price action confirmation and a "proper setup" (e.g., candlestick patterns, retests, volume confirmation) before initiating any trade.
* Trend: UP (Higher highs, higher lows) * Price recently retraced to a Demand Zone and showed bullish reaction. * Currently attempting a bounce off the 4HR demand zone (DZ).
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4H Timeframe:
* Slight consolidation after a drop. * Price has filled 4HR Demand Zone-1 and tapped 4HR Demand Zone-2. * If demand holds, bounce likely toward previous swing high.
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1H Timeframe:
* Showing early signs of reversal from demand. * Bullish structure developing (small HLs and HHs forming). * Consolidation to uptrend bias.
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2. SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONES
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DEMAND ZONES:
* Zone 1: \$104,000 * Zone 2: \$102,400 (Both partly filled – price reacted positively)
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SUPPLY ZONES:
* 4HR-SZ: \$108,663 – \$109,042 * Key resistance where sellers may re-enter.
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3. CURRENT PRICE ACTION (as of \$104,900)
Price is:
1. Consolidating around 4HR Demand Zone 2. Reacting after filling 4HR DZ-1 and tapping DZ-2 3. Setting up for potential bounce toward upper levels.
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4. POSSIBLE SCENARIOS AHEAD
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Bullish Case (High Probability):
* Bounce from demand pushes price toward:
* Target 1: \$106,900 * Target 2: \$109,700
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Bearish Case:
* If price breaks below \$102,400 → deeper correction to \$100K possible.
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5. TRADE PLAN (Based on Chart Notes)
* Buy only at DEMAND zones * Sell only at SUPPLY zones
* Current Price: $103,800 * Daily Trend: Bullish (Higher Highs and Higher Lows observed) * 4HR & 1HR Trend: Bearish (Lower Highs and Lower Lows with supply zones respected)
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What Price is Doing Now:
1. Consolidating around the 4HR Demand Zone (DZ) after a drop from recent highs. 2. Price attempted to tap the 4HR-DZ-2 zone but faced resistance. 3. Orders from the previous 4HR demand zone (near \$104,000–\$102,400) are getting filled (partial fills noted). 4. Currently retesting the 4HR-DZ-RETESTED zone.
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Possible Scenarios (Next Move):
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Scenario 1 – Bullish Bounce:
* Price may bounce from the demand zone. * Target zone: \$106,900 – \$109,700 * Strongest if support holds above \$102,400.
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Scenario 2 – Bearish Breakdown:
* Price may break below the demand zone. * Downside continuation toward \$100,000 or \$98,500 is possible. * Watch for clean break + retest of the demand zone with volume.
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Scenario 3 – Sideways Consolidation:
* Price may stay range-bound between \$102,400 – \$106,000. * Best for short scalps or wait-and-watch.
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Trading Strategy & Execution Plan:
Key Instructions:
* BUY ONLY on Demand Zones (DZs) * SELL ONLY on Supply Zones (SZs)
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Trading Rules to Follow:
1. Strict Stop Loss (SL) adherence is essential. 2. Manage Risk: Always trade with a proper Risk\:Reward (R\:R) ratio.
* Minimum R\:R = 1:2 3. No random entries – Wait for:
* Candlestick confirmation * Reversal patterns (pin bars, engulfing candles) * Confluence with other indicators (e.g., RSI divergence)
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Key Zones Identified:
| Zone Type | Price Range | Status | | -------------------- | --------------------- | ---------------------------- | | 4HR Supply Zone (SZ) | \$110,000 – \$111,300 | Unfilled / Strong Resistance | | 4HR Demand Zone (DZ) | \$104,000 – \$102,400 | Currently Tested | | Previous Demand | \$99,500 – \$98,000 | Strong Support Base |
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Summary:
> Bitcoin is at a critical support demand zone (\$102.4K–\$104K). Price action shows buyers trying to hold this level. If this zone fails, bears could take control short-term. A bounce here can lead to quick rallies toward \$109K.