You are predicting the market too far into the future, but in such an unpredictable space, you should react to what is happening in the moment and be ready to adapt when new information contradicts your previous view.
I see many problems among new traders:
You follow others in trades without conducting any research or due diligence.
You have no idea what you don’t want to see and focus only on what you want to see, leading to overconfidence in the market.
You try to cut off trades that don’t work for you instead of accepting the fact that you might simply be wrong.
You panic at the slightest downward movement.
If you want to survive in this market, you will have to fix these issues. #BTCBullRun2025
Monday, January 27: 🇦🇺 Australia – No trading (Australia Day) 🇨🇳 China – Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI (Jan) – 04:45 MSK 🇪🇺 EU Leaders – Discussion on the 16th package of sanctions against Russia and the use of its frozen assets 🇩🇪 Germany – Ifo Business Climate Index (Jan) – 12:00 MSK 🇺🇸 USA – Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec) – 16:30 MSK 🇺🇸 USA – New Home Sales (Dec) – 18:00 MSK 🔊 Speakers: ECB President Lagarde Tuesday, January 28: 🇨🇳 China – No trading (Chinese New Year) 🇺🇸 USA – Durable Goods Orders (Dec) – 16:30 MSK 🇺🇸 USA – S&P Case-Shiller Index (Nov) – 17:00 MSK 🇺🇸 USA – CB Consumer Confidence (Jan) – 18:00 MSK 🇺🇸 USA – Richmond Manufacturing Index (Jan) – 18:00 MSK 🛢 Oil (USA) – API Weekly Crude Oil Stock – 00:30 MSK 🔊 Speakers: Schlegel (Switzerland), Lagarde (ECB), Cipollone (ECB) Wednesday, January 29: 🇨🇳 China – No trading (Chinese New Year) 🇭🇰 Hong Kong – No trading (Chinese New Year) 🇯🇵 Japan – Minutes from the last BoJ meeting – 02:50 MSK 🇦🇺 Australia – CPI Inflation (Q4 2024) – 03:30 MSK 🇩🇪 Germany – GfK Consumer Confidence (Feb) – 10:00 MSK 🇺🇸 USA – Trade Balance (Dec, preliminary) – 16:30 MSK 🇨🇦 Canada – BoC Interest Rate Decision – 17:45 MSK 🛢 Oil (USA) – EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stock – 18:30 MSK 🇷🇺 Russia – CPI Inflation – 19:00 MSK 🇺🇸 USA – FOMC Meeting – 22:00 MSK 🇺🇸 USA – FOMC Press Conference – 22:30 MSK 🇧🇷 Brazil – Interest Rate Decision – 00:30 MSK 🔊 Speakers: BoE Governor Thursday, January 30: 🇨🇳 China – No trading (Chinese New Year) 🇭🇰 Hong Kong – No trading (Chinese New Year) 🇩🇪 Germany – GDP (Q4 2024) – 12:00 MSK 🇪🇺 Eurozone – GDP (Q4 2024) – 13:00 MSK 🇿🇦 South Africa – Interest Rate Decision – 16:00 MSK 🇪🇺 Eurozone – ECB Interest Rate Decision – 16:15 MSK 🇺🇸 USA – GDP (Q4 2024) – 16:30 MSK 🇺🇸 USA – Initial Jobless Claims – 16:30 MSK 🇪🇺 Eurozone – ECB Press Conference – 16:45 MSK 🇺🇸 USA – Pending Home Sales (Dec) – 18:00 MSK 🛢 Natural Gas (USA) – EIA Weekly Storage – 18:30 MSK 🔊 Speakers: Jones (Australia) Friday, January 31: 🔥 Friday 🇨🇳 China – No trading (Chinese New Year) 🇭🇰 Hong Kong – No trading (Chinese New Year) 🌎 End of the month – Possible window dressing in some assets 🇪🇺🇷🇺 EU Vote on Extending Sanctions Against Russia – Hungary may vote against 🇩🇪 Germany – Unemployment (Jan) – 11:55 MSK 🇩🇪 Germany – CPI Inflation (Jan, preliminary) – 03:30 MSK 🇨🇦 Canada – GDP (Dec) – 16:30 MSK 🇺🇸 USA – Inflation – PCE Price Index (Dec) – 16:30 MSK 🇺🇸 USA – Chicago PMI (Jan) – 17:45 MSK 🛢 Oil & Gas – Baker Hughes Rig Count – 21:00 MSK 🔊 Speakers: Bowman (USA) Saturday, February 1: 🇺🇸🇨🇳🇲🇽🇨🇦 Expected – USA may introduce tariffs on goods from Mexico, Canada, and China.
✴️ #BTC #Presentation #Crypto In 2016-2017, when Trump won the US elections, BTC initially surged right after the elections, then corrected before the inauguration, and eventually went to the moon.
Although the reasons for BTC’s growth during those years were entirely different, and Trump was an opponent of BTC, experts remain optimistic. They believe history is repeating itself: BTC has risen again after Trump’s election, is currently correcting before the inauguration, and a moonshot is ahead where everyone will become fabulously wealth $BTC y.
🤔 On Twitter, charts with the Wyckoff distribution theory of Bitcoin are starting to gain popularity - growth to $150k and the beginning of a downward trend with a breakout of $70k and below.
#Opinion 🐃 CryptoQuant CEO: Bitcoin is far from a bear market! The "bubble" phase has NOT arrived yet.
⊹ News about BTC accumulation by whales no longer surprises people and has become routine.
⊹ The bull market is not over yet. The daily capital inflow into the crypto industry is $7,000,000,000.
⊹ The BUBBLE phase will begin when Bitcoin's value significantly exceeds capital inflows (people stop buying BTC).
⊹ A BTC correction is still possible, but under current conditions, it is unlikely to exceed 30%. Moreover, the crypto market is expected to grow by more than 30% after a short-term dip.
⊹ Retail investors remain cautious, staying away from Bitcoin, leaving whales to dominate the market.
⊹ Bitcoin is still FAR from its peak, as well as from the start of a bear market!
🎅🎄✴️#ETH #crypto Unlike BTC, ETH has not managed to surpass its ATH this year and is still struggling to break the local highs of March. Experts hold their last hopes for a possible (though uncertain) altseason in the first half of 2025 during this cycle... $ETH
⚠️✴️ #BTC #crypto #warning Experts, citing Glassnode data, note that a very strong support level for BTC is in the $98,000 - $95,000 range (a significant volume of BTC has been traded there).
A breakdown of this range and BTC consolidating below it, in the absence of sudden strong bullish drivers, could lead to a swift and sharp drop (through the vacuum zone) straight to $70,000, resulting in catastrophic margin calls on your long position right before the New Year, some experts believe.
💡 Bitcoin and Saylor: A Story That’s Changing the Economy Back in 2020, when Bitcoin was priced around $10,000, a new era began, one that could forever change the traditional financial world. Michael Saylor, the founder of MicroStrategy, saw Bitcoin not just as an asset but as a strategic tool for long-term growth. He urged corporations to convert their dollar reserves into BTC to protect assets from inflation and create long-term benefits. Among his ideas was a public appeal to Tesla. It worked: the company, led by Elon Musk, invested in Bitcoin, inspiring other companies and boosting interest in cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin began to be perceived not just as a digital asset but as an alternative to traditional reserve currencies. Today, MicroStrategy is the undisputed leader among corporate Bitcoin holders. Its balance sheet now holds 429,000 BTC, and the company has no plans to stop. This sets a precedent, showing that companies can use cryptocurrency as a way to strengthen their future positions. But Saylor didn’t stop there. Just recently, he announced his readiness to advise Donald Trump on crypto policy. This isn’t just a statement; it’s a step toward legitimizing cryptocurrencies at the highest level. Imagine: government institutions and major corporations starting to see Bitcoin not as a threat but as an opportunity. 💬 Saylor demonstrates what it means to think strategically and look beyond the horizon. His decisions are not always perceived unambiguously, but their impact on the market is impossible to ignore. What do you think? Could crypto become the foundation for economic reforms and replace traditional financial institutions?👇
I believe the window of opportunity closes faster than many think. Such broad market movements are not just temporary hiccups or deviations but could be signs of a deeper shift.
Although the stage seems set for a potential rally, it is more of an opportunity to watch for signs of strength rather than an invitation for blind positioning.
The truth is that, to some extent, all trades have been "Trump trades," and the post-inauguration period will reveal how many promises hold up, showing us how the market reacts to changes in the current price dynamics.
How quickly sentiment changes in the market! It takes no more than 7 days for opinions to shift from "To the moon, I’m such a great trader" to "It’s all just a bubble."
But the bubble here is the expectations placed on the market when buying at the top in an overheated state. The bubble is a strategy that, it turns out, didn’t exist at all. The bubble is the responsibility for one’s actions that bursts instantly, preventing the right conclusions from being drawn to avoid repeating the same mistakes. The bubble is the haste and the illusion of control.
This has always been the case and always will be. The only question is who will draw the necessary lessons. Yes, the market is not for everyone, but for every trader who exits during a 30-35% correction after a 200% rally in just a few months, new participants will enter. And the cycle will repeat.
But where was everyone in August and September, when there was a complete drought, and we were only talking about opportunities? Now, new opportunities are forming again, and as always, I will share them.
"Players are rewarded for buying what no one wants when no one needs it, and selling what everyone wants when everyone needs it."