Good morning.
You are predicting the market too far into the future, but in such an unpredictable space, you should react to what is happening in the moment and be ready to adapt when new information contradicts your previous view.
I see many problems among new traders:
You follow others in trades without conducting any research or due diligence.
You have no idea what you don’t want to see and focus only on what you want to see, leading to overconfidence in the market.
You try to cut off trades that don’t work for you instead of accepting the fact that you might simply be wrong.
You panic at the slightest downward movement.
If you want to survive in this market, you will have to fix these issues.