Ever wonder how to spot the start of the next altseason? Most people only realize it's happening when it's already in full swing—and by then, the biggest pumps might be over.
The crypto bull run isn't random. There's a predictable "Path to Altseason" that smart investors follow. It's a flow of money that moves from one asset class to the next, and this simple chart breaks down the entire process into four easy-to-understand phases.
By understanding this flow—from Bitcoin's initial surge to Ethereum's dominance and the eventual large-cap pumps—you can strategically position your portfolio to maximize your gains. Instead of chasing pumps, you'll be able to anticipate them and ride the full wave of the market cycle. This isn't just about watching the market; it's about being prepared for it.
Study this chart, save it for your reference, and tag a friend who needs to see this before the next major move.
Which phase do you think we are in right now? Let me know in the comments!
Dark-themed crypto trading chart with green and red candlesticks. The chart appears to be for a crypto asset's dominance or a similar market indicator, as it features specific zones labeled with percentages and market conditions.
The key features are:
Vertical price axis on the right side, showing percentage values.
Colored horizontal zones, each with a label indicating a different phase of the crypto market, likely related to altcoin performance.
Danger zone (35-45%): A dark red area at the bottom.
Alt season ending (45-50%): A brown/orange area.
Alt season underway (50-55%): A green area.
Alt season loading (55-60%): A dark blue area.
Alts are dead (60-70%): A gray area at the top.
Two highlighted price ranges enclosed in light blue rectangles. The first rectangle shows a period of consolidation at a lower percentage level, and the second shows a consolidation period at a higher percentage level.
A diagonal white trendline drawn upwards, indicating a recent uptrend in the market indicator.
A small green square with a flag icon is near the top of the chart, potentially indicating a specific event or a price alert.
Trading volume bars are visible at the very bottom of the chart.
Overall, the chart seems to be a visual tool used by a trader to interpret market sentiment and identify potential entry or exit points for altcoin investments based on the asset's dominance level.
What's your exit plan? Let me know in the comments section.
The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has voted 11-1 to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing the new target range to 4.25%. This marks the first rate reduction since 2024. A single member, Stephen Miran, dissented by voting for a more aggressive 50 basis-point cut.
The newly released economic projections, or 'dot-plot', indicate that two additional rate cuts are anticipated before the end of 2025, specifically in the months of October and December. The official FOMC statement also noted that downside risks to employment have increased.
Immediate Market Reactions:
Following the announcement, financial markets reacted strongly: U.S. stocks rallied, the dollar fell sharply against major currencies, bond yields sank, and gold prices jumped.
Key Takeaway
The primary message from the Fed's updated projections is a clear signal that more rate cuts are coming soon.
The total crypto market cap is looking strong! This weekly chart shows a clear bullish outlook, with two major exit targets identified. The next phase could be the "Euphoria Phase," where we see rapid growth. Are you ready for it? Let's watch these levels closely.
This is my Analysis.
Note: DYOR - NFA
What's your exit inside the Crypto market? Let me know.
Analyze the Order Book and Volume Indicators Examine where the majority of orders are placed. Tools: TradingView, Bookmap, Binance Depth Chart
Avoid Placing Stop-Losses at Common Levels Many people set stop-losses at round numbers (e.g., $50,000, $49,500). Place your stop-loss further away or below psychological support levels.
Use Footprint Charts and Heatmaps Use heatmap tools to understand the patterns of market makers. Tools: Bookmap, Tensorcharts, Coinalyze
Sector rotation, which is an investment strategy where you shift money between different stock market sectors at various stages of the economic cycle.
Here's a simplified breakdown of the chart's message:
The Market Leads the Economy: The red "Market" line consistently moves ahead of the blue "Economy" line, showing that the stock market anticipates future economic conditions. It typically bottoms before a recession ends and peaks before the economy enters a downturn.
Four Phases, Four Leaders:
Market Bottom / Early Recovery: When the economy is at its worst but starting to improve, Financials, Technology, and Cyclicals perform best as investors bet on the coming rebound.
Bull Market / Full Recovery: As the economy grows strongly, Technology, Industrials, and Basic Materials lead the way.
Market Top / Economic Peak: When the economy is at its peak, the market starts to decline. Basic Materials, Energy, and Staples are the last to perform well as they benefit from high prices and defensive demand.
Bear Market / Recession: During an economic downturn, "defensive" sectors like Energy, Staples, and Healthcare hold up better because people need their products and services regardless of the economy.
Ready to get into crypto? Here's what they don't tell you.
1. The 10x Dream is Real, So is the Risk:
Yes, you can make "insane money ASAP" and 10x - 5x or even 3x your portfolio. But that high potential means extremely high risk. Don't chase the gains without understanding the dangers.
2. You’re Fighting the Pros:
This isn't a single-player game. You're up against well-funded teams, Governments, Whales and High-Net-Worth Individuals (HNIs) who have far more resources. Your advantage is your strategy, not your size.
3. It's a Fast Game, So Be a Fast Player:
Opportunities appear and disappear in minutes. If you're a "tomorrow person" who hesitates, you'll always be one step behind. This market rewards quick, decisive action.
4. Focus is Your Only Friend:
You can't do it all. Stop getting advice from a hundred different sources. Pick one game—one strategy, one niche—and focus on it with a small, trusted group. Simplicity beats chaos.
Are you ready to play by these rules? Let us know in the comment section.
Note: This is all information for the educational purpose. NFA - DYOR!
There are some little bit parameters you should know before bear market.
50 Percent Rule: In the Dominance chart if two weekly candles close at 200 MA down and Fear and greed index at 80 percent then you can sell your 50 percent.
30 Percent Rule: If fear and greed index at 80 percent and BTC Dominance at 51 percent you can sell your 30 percent assets.
15 Percent Rule: If Fear and Greed Index at 80 percent + BTC Dominance at 55 percent and 150k BTC price then you can sell your 15 percent assets.
🇺🇸 UPDATE: According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets see a ~93% chance of one rate cut in September 2025 (to 4.00–4.25%) and a ~92% chance of two cuts by December (to 3.50–3.75%)